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 Statistical Learning


A Hybrid Method for Distance Metric Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider the problem of learning a measure of distance among vectors in a feature space and propose a hybrid method that simultaneously learns from similarity ratings assigned to pairs of vectors and class labels assigned to individual vectors. Our method is based on a generative model in which class labels can provide information that is not encoded in feature vectors but yet relates to perceived similarity between objects. Experiments with synthetic data as well as a real medical image retrieval problem demonstrate that leveraging class labels through use of our method improves retrieval performance significantly.


Decentralized Data Fusion and Active Sensing with Mobile Sensors for Modeling and Predicting Spatiotemporal Traffic Phenomena

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The problem of modeling and predicting spatiotemporal traffic phenomena over an urban road network is important to many traffic applications such as detecting and forecasting congestion hotspots. This paper presents a decentralized data fusion and active sensing (D2FAS) algorithm for mobile sensors to actively explore the road network to gather and assimilate the most informative data for predicting the traffic phenomenon. We analyze the time and communication complexity of D2FAS and demonstrate that it can scale well with a large number of observations and sensors. We provide a theoretical guarantee on its predictive performance to be equivalent to that of a sophisticated centralized sparse approximation for the Gaussian process (GP) model: The computation of such a sparse approximate GP model can thus be parallelized and distributed among the mobile sensors (in a Google-like MapReduce paradigm), thereby achieving efficient and scalable prediction. We also theoretically guarantee its active sensing performance that improves under various practical environmental conditions. Empirical evaluation on real-world urban road network data shows that our D2FAS algorithm is significantly more time-efficient and scalable than state-of-the-art centralized algorithms while achieving comparable predictive performance.


Bayesian Optimal Active Search and Surveying

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider two active binary-classification problems with atypical objectives. In the first, active search, our goal is to actively uncover as many members of a given class as possible. In the second, active surveying, our goal is to actively query points to ultimately predict the proportion of a given class. Numerous real-world problems can be framed in these terms, and in either case typical model-based concerns such as generalization error are only of secondary importance. We approach these problems via Bayesian decision theory; after choosing natural utility functions, we derive the optimal policies. We provide three contributions. In addition to introducing the active surveying problem, we extend previous work on active search in two ways. First, we prove a novel theoretical result, that less-myopic approximations to the optimal policy can outperform more-myopic approximations by any arbitrary degree. We then derive bounds that for certain models allow us to reduce (in practice dramatically) the exponential search space required by a naive implementation of the optimal policy, enabling further lookahead while still ensuring that optimal decisions are always made.


Variable noise and dimensionality reduction for sparse Gaussian processes

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The sparse pseudo-input Gaussian process (SPGP) is a new approximation method for speeding up GP regression in the case of a large number of data points N. The approximation is controlled by the gradient optimization of a small set of M `pseudo-inputs', thereby reducing complexity from N^3 to NM^2. One limitation of the SPGP is that this optimization space becomes impractically big for high dimensional data sets. This paper addresses this limitation by performing automatic dimensionality reduction. A projection of the input space to a low dimensional space is learned in a supervised manner, alongside the pseudo-inputs, which now live in this reduced space. The paper also investigates the suitability of the SPGP for modeling data with input-dependent noise. A further extension of the model is made to make it even more powerful in this regard - we learn an uncertainty parameter for each pseudo-input. The combination of sparsity, reduced dimension, and input-dependent noise makes it possible to apply GPs to much larger and more complex data sets than was previously practical. We demonstrate the benefits of these methods on several synthetic and real world problems.


Bayesian Multicategory Support Vector Machines

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We show that the multi-class support vector machine (MSVM) proposed by Lee et al. (2004) can be viewed as a MAP estimation procedure under an appropriate probabilistic interpretation of the classifier. We also show that this interpretation can be extended to a hierarchical Bayesian architecture and to a fully-Bayesian inference procedure for multiclass classification based on data augmentation. We present empirical results that show that the advantages of the Bayesian formalism are obtained without a loss in classification accuracy.


Predicting Conditional Quantiles via Reduction to Classification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We show how to reduce the process of predicting general order statistics (and the median in particular) to solving classification. The accompanying theoretical statement shows that the regret of the classifier bounds the regret of the quantile regression under a quantile loss. We also test this reduction empirically against existing quantile regression methods on large real-world datasets and discover that it provides state-of-the-art performance.


Matrix Tile Analysis

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Many tasks require finding groups of elements in a matrix of numbers, symbols or class likelihoods. One approach is to use efficient bi- or tri-linear factorization techniques including PCA, ICA, sparse matrix factorization and plaid analysis. These techniques are not appropriate when addition and multiplication of matrix elements are not sensibly defined. More directly, methods like bi-clustering can be used to classify matrix elements, but these methods make the overly-restrictive assumption that the class of each element is a function of a row class and a column class. We introduce a general computational problem, `matrix tile analysis' (MTA), which consists of decomposing a matrix into a set of non-overlapping tiles, each of which is defined by a subset of usually nonadjacent rows and columns. MTA does not require an algebra for combining tiles, but must search over discrete combinations of tile assignments. Exact MTA is a computationally intractable integer programming problem, but we describe an approximate iterative technique and a computationally efficient sum-product relaxation of the integer program. We compare the effectiveness of these methods to PCA and plaid on hundreds of randomly generated tasks. Using double-gene-knockout data, we show that MTA finds groups of interacting yeast genes that have biologically-related functions.


Gene Expression Time Course Clustering with Countably Infinite Hidden Markov Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

It is said that genes that cluster with similar expression-- that is, are co-expressed--serve similar functional roles in a process (see, for example, Eisen et al. 1998). Bioin-formaticians have more recently had access to sets of time-series measurements of genes' expression over the duration of an experiment, and have desired therefore to learn not just co-expression, but causal relationships that may help elucidate co-regulation as well. Two problematic issues hamper practical methods for clustering gene expression time course data: first, if deriving a model-based clustering metric, it is often unclear what the appropriate model complexity should be; second, the current clustering algorithms available cannot handle, and therefore disregard, the temporal information. This usually occurs when constructing a metric for the distance between any two such genes. The common practice for an experiment having T measurements of a gene's expression over time is to consider the expression as positioned in a T -dimensional space, and to perform (at worse spherical metric) clustering in that space. The result is that the clustering algorithm is invariant to arbitrary permutations of the time points, which is highly undesirable since we would like to take into account the correlations between all the genes' expression at nearby or adjacent time points.


Discriminative Learning via Semidefinite Probabilistic Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Discriminative linear models are a popular tool in machine learning. These can be generally divided into two types: The first is linear classifiers, such as support vector machines, which are well studied and provide state-of-the-art results. One shortcoming of these models is that their output (known as the 'margin') is not calibrated, and cannot be translated naturally into a distribution over the labels. Thus, it is difficult to incorporate such models as components of larger systems, unlike probabilistic based approaches. The second type of approach constructs class conditional distributions using a nonlinearity (e.g. log-linear models), but is occasionally worse in terms of classification error. We propose a supervised learning method which combines the best of both approaches. Specifically, our method provides a distribution over the labels, which is a linear function of the model parameters. As a consequence, differences between probabilities are linear functions, a property which most probabilistic models (e.g. log-linear) do not have. Our model assumes that classes correspond to linear subspaces (rather than to half spaces). Using a relaxed projection operator, we construct a measure which evaluates the degree to which a given vector 'belongs' to a subspace, resulting in a distribution over labels. Interestingly, this view is closely related to similar concepts in quantum detection theory. The resulting models can be trained either to maximize the margin or to optimize average likelihood measures. The corresponding optimization problems are semidefinite programs which can be solved efficiently. We illustrate the performance of our algorithm on real world datasets, and show that it outperforms 2nd order kernel methods.


A Permutation Approach to Testing Interactions in Many Dimensions

arXiv.org Machine Learning

To date, testing interactions in high dimensions has been a challenging task. Existing methods often have issues with sensitivity to modeling assumptions and heavily asymptotic nominal p-values. To help alleviate these issues, we propose a permutation-based method for testing marginal interactions with a binary response. Our method searches for pairwise correlations which differ between classes. In this manuscript, we compare our method on real and simulated data to the standard approach of running many pairwise logistic models. On simulated data our method finds more significant interactions at a lower false discovery rate (especially in the presence of main effects). On real genomic data, although there is no gold standard, our method finds apparent signal and tells a believable story, while logistic regression does not. We also give asymptotic consistency results under not too restrictive assumptions.