Statistical Learning
Sparse Quantile Huber Regression for Efficient and Robust Estimation
Aravkin, Aleksandr Y., Kambadur, Anju, Lozano, Aurelie C., Luss, Ronny
We consider new formulations and methods for sparse quantile regression in the high-dimensional setting. Quantile regression plays an important role in many applications, including outlier-robust exploratory analysis in gene selection. In addition, the sparsity consideration in quantile regression enables the exploration of the entire conditional distribution of the response variable given the predictors and therefore yields a more comprehensive view of the important predictors. We propose a generalized OMP algorithm for variable selection, taking the misfit loss to be either the traditional quantile loss or a smooth version we call quantile Huber, and compare the resulting greedy approaches with convex sparsity-regularized formulations. We apply a recently proposed interior point methodology to efficiently solve all convex formulations as well as convex subproblems in the generalized OMP setting, pro- vide theoretical guarantees of consistent estimation, and demonstrate the performance of our approach using empirical studies of simulated and genomic datasets.
Retrieval of Experiments by Efficient Estimation of Marginal Likelihood
Seth, Sohan, Shawe-Taylor, John, Kaski, Samuel
We study the task of retrieving relevant experiments given a query experiment. By experiment, we mean a collection of measurements from a set of `covariates' and the associated `outcomes'. While similar experiments can be retrieved by comparing available `annotations', this approach ignores the valuable information available in the measurements themselves. To incorporate this information in the retrieval task, we suggest employing a retrieval metric that utilizes probabilistic models learned from the measurements. We argue that such a metric is a sensible measure of similarity between two experiments since it permits inclusion of experiment-specific prior knowledge. However, accurate models are often not analytical, and one must resort to storing posterior samples which demands considerable resources. Therefore, we study strategies to select informative posterior samples to reduce the computational load while maintaining the retrieval performance. We demonstrate the efficacy of our approach on simulated data with simple linear regression as the models, and real world datasets.
Near-optimal-sample estimators for spherical Gaussian mixtures
Acharya, Jayadev, Jafarpour, Ashkan, Orlitsky, Alon, Suresh, Ananda Theertha
Statistical and machine-learning algorithms are frequently applied to high-dimensional data. In many of these applications data is scarce, and often much more costly than computation time. We provide the first sample-efficient polynomial-time estimator for high-dimensional spherical Gaussian mixtures. For mixtures of any $k$ $d$-dimensional spherical Gaussians, we derive an intuitive spectral-estimator that uses $\mathcal{O}_k\bigl(\frac{d\log^2d}{\epsilon^4}\bigr)$ samples and runs in time $\mathcal{O}_{k,\epsilon}(d^3\log^5 d)$, both significantly lower than previously known. The constant factor $\mathcal{O}_k$ is polynomial for sample complexity and is exponential for the time complexity, again much smaller than what was previously known. We also show that $\Omega_k\bigl(\frac{d}{\epsilon^2}\bigr)$ samples are needed for any algorithm. Hence the sample complexity is near-optimal in the number of dimensions. We also derive a simple estimator for one-dimensional mixtures that uses $\mathcal{O}\bigl(\frac{k \log \frac{k}{\epsilon} }{\epsilon^2} \bigr)$ samples and runs in time $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}\left(\bigl(\frac{k}{\epsilon}\bigr)^{3k+1}\right)$. Our other technical contributions include a faster algorithm for choosing a density estimate from a set of distributions, that minimizes the $\ell_1$ distance to an unknown underlying distribution.
Asymptotic Accuracy of Distribution-Based Estimation for Latent Variables
Hierarchical statistical models are widely employed in information science and data engineering. The models consist of two types of variables: observable variables that represent the given data and latent variables for the unobservable labels. An asymptotic analysis of the models plays an important role in evaluating the learning process; the result of the analysis is applied not only to theoretical but also to practical situations, such as optimal model selection and active learning. There are many studies of generalization errors, which measure the prediction accuracy of the observable variables. However, the accuracy of estimating the latent variables has not yet been elucidated. For a quantitative evaluation of this, the present paper formulates distribution-based functions for the errors in the estimation of the latent variables. The asymptotic behavior is analyzed for both the maximum likelihood and the Bayes methods.
Student-t Processes as Alternatives to Gaussian Processes
Shah, Amar, Wilson, Andrew Gordon, Ghahramani, Zoubin
We investigate the Student-t process as an alternative to the Gaussian process as a nonparametric prior over functions. We derive closed form expressions for the marginal likelihood and predictive distribution of a Student-t process, by integrating away an inverse Wishart process prior over the covariance kernel of a Gaussian process model. We show surprising equivalences between different hierarchical Gaussian process models leading to Student-t processes, and derive a new sampling scheme for the inverse Wishart process, which helps elucidate these equivalences. Overall, we show that a Student-t process can retain the attractive properties of a Gaussian process -- a nonparametric representation, analytic marginal and predictive distributions, and easy model selection through covariance kernels -- but has enhanced flexibility, and predictive covariances that, unlike a Gaussian process, explicitly depend on the values of training observations. We verify empirically that a Student-t process is especially useful in situations where there are changes in covariance structure, or in applications like Bayesian optimization, where accurate predictive covariances are critical for good performance. These advantages come at no additional computational cost over Gaussian processes.
Group-sparse Embeddings in Collective Matrix Factorization
Klami, Arto, Bouchard, Guillaume, Tripathi, Abhishek
CMF is a technique for simultaneously learning low-rank representations based on a collection of matrices with shared entities. A typical example is the joint modeling of user-item, item-property, and user-feature matrices in a recommender system. The key idea in CMF is that the embeddings are shared across the matrices, which enables transferring information between them. The existing solutions, however, break down when the individual matrices have low-rank structure not shared with others. In this work we present a novel CMF solution that allows each of the matrices to have a separate low-rank structure that is independent of the other matrices, as well as structures that are shared only by a subset of them. We compare MAP and variational Bayesian solutions based on alternating optimization algorithms and show that the model automatically infers the nature of each factor using group-wise sparsity. Our approach supports in a principled way continuous, binary and count observations and is efficient for sparse matrices involving missing data. We illustrate the solution on a number of examples, focusing in particular on an interesting use-case of augmented multi-view learning.
The Random Forest Kernel and other kernels for big data from random partitions
Davies, Alex, Ghahramani, Zoubin
We present Random Partition Kernels, a new class of kernels derived by demonstrating a natural connection between random partitions of objects and kernels between those objects. We show how the construction can be used to create kernels from methods that would not normally be viewed as random partitions, such as Random Forest. To demonstrate the potential of this method, we propose two new kernels, the Random Forest Kernel and the Fast Cluster Kernel, and show that these kernels consistently outperform standard kernels on problems involving real-world datasets. Finally, we show how the form of these kernels lend themselves to a natural approximation that is appropriate for certain big data problems, allowing $O(N)$ inference in methods such as Gaussian Processes, Support Vector Machines and Kernel PCA.
High Dimensional Semiparametric Scale-Invariant Principal Component Analysis
We propose a new high dimensional semiparametric principal component analysis (PCA) method, named Copula Component Analysis (COCA). The semiparametric model assumes that, after unspecified marginally monotone transformations, the distributions are multivariate Gaussian. COCA improves upon PCA and sparse PCA in three aspects: (i) It is robust to modeling assumptions; (ii) It is robust to outliers and data contamination; (iii) It is scale-invariant and yields more interpretable results. We prove that the COCA estimators obtain fast estimation rates and are feature selection consistent when the dimension is nearly exponentially large relative to the sample size. Careful experiments confirm that COCA outperforms sparse PCA on both synthetic and real-world datasets.
A Statistical Approach to Set Classification by Feature Selection with Applications to Classification of Histopathology Images
Set classification problems arise when classification tasks are based on sets of observations as opposed to individual observations. In set classification, a classification rule is trained with $N$ sets of observations, where each set is labeled with class information, and the prediction of a class label is performed also with a set of observations. Data sets for set classification appear, for example, in diagnostics of disease based on multiple cell nucleus images from a single tissue. Relevant statistical models for set classification are introduced, which motivate a set classification framework based on context-free feature extraction. By understanding a set of observations as an empirical distribution, we employ a data-driven method to choose those features which contain information on location and major variation. In particular, the method of principal component analysis is used to extract the features of major variation. Multidimensional scaling is used to represent features as vector-valued points on which conventional classifiers can be applied. The proposed set classification approaches achieve better classification results than competing methods in a number of simulated data examples. The benefits of our method are demonstrated in an analysis of histopathology images of cell nuclei related to liver cancer.
Continuous Learning: Engineering Super Features With Feature Algebras
In this paper we consider a problem of searching a space of predictive models for a given training data set. We propose an iterative procedure for deriving a sequence of improving models and a corresponding sequence of sets of non-linear features on the original input space. After a finite number of iterations N, the non-linear features become 2^N -degree polynomials on the original space. We show that in a limit of an infinite number of iterations derived non-linear features must form an associative algebra: a product of two features is equal to a linear combination of features from the same feature space for any given input point. Because each iteration consists of solving a series of convex problems that contain all previous solutions, the likelihood of the models in the sequence is increasing with each iteration while the dimension of the model parameter space is set to a limited controlled value.