Statistical Learning
Support Vector Machine Model for Currency Crisis Discrimination
Support Vector Machine (SVM) is powerful classification technique based on the idea of structural risk minimization. Use of kernel function enables curse of dimensionality to be addressed. However, proper kernel function for certain problem is dependent on specific dataset and as such there is no good method on choice of kernel function. In this paper, SVM is used to build empirical models of currency crisis in Argentina. An estimation technique is developed by training model on real life data set which provides reasonably accurate model outputs and helps policy makers to identify situations in which currency crisis may happen. The third and fourth order polynomial kernel is generally best choice to achieve high generalization of classifier performance. SVM has high level of maturity with algorithms that are simple, easy to implement, tolerates curse of dimensionality and good empirical performance. The satisfactory results show that currency crisis situation is properly emulated using only small fraction of database and could be used as an evaluation tool as well as an early warning system. To the best of knowledge this is the first work on SVM approach for currency crisis evaluation of Argentina.
Matching Image Sets via Adaptive Multi Convex Hull
Chen, Shaokang, Wiliem, Arnold, Sanderson, Conrad, Lovell, Brian C.
Traditional nearest points methods use all the samples in an image set to construct a single convex or affine hull model for classification. However, strong artificial features and noisy data may be generated from combinations of training samples when significant intra-class variations and/or noise occur in the image set. Existing multi-model approaches extract local models by clustering each image set individually only once, with fixed clusters used for matching with various image sets. This may not be optimal for discrimination, as undesirable environmental conditions (eg. illumination and pose variations) may result in the two closest clusters representing different characteristics of an object (eg. frontal face being compared to non-frontal face). To address the above problem, we propose a novel approach to enhance nearest points based methods by integrating affine/convex hull classification with an adapted multi-model approach. We first extract multiple local convex hulls from a query image set via maximum margin clustering to diminish the artificial variations and constrain the noise in local convex hulls. We then propose adaptive reference clustering (ARC) to constrain the clustering of each gallery image set by forcing the clusters to have resemblance to the clusters in the query image set. By applying ARC, noisy clusters in the query set can be discarded. Experiments on Honda, MoBo and ETH-80 datasets show that the proposed method outperforms single model approaches and other recent techniques, such as Sparse Approximated Nearest Points, Mutual Subspace Method and Manifold Discriminant Analysis.
Blind and fully constrained unmixing of hyperspectral images
Ammanouil, Rita, Ferrari, Andrรฉ, Richard, Cรฉdric, Mary, David
This paper addresses the problem of blind and fully constrained unmixing of hyperspectral images. Unmixing is performed without the use of any dictionary, and assumes that the number of constituent materials in the scene and their spectral signatures are unknown. The estimated abundances satisfy the desired sum-to-one and nonnegativity constraints. Two models with increasing complexity are developed to achieve this challenging task, depending on how noise interacts with hyperspectral data. The first one leads to a convex optimization problem, and is solved with the Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers. The second one accounts for signal-dependent noise, and is addressed with a Reweighted Least Squares algorithm. Experiments on synthetic and real data demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach.
Multiview Hessian regularized logistic regression for action recognition
Liu, W., Liu, H., Tao, D., Wang, Y., Lu, Ke
With the rapid development of social media sharing, people often need to manage the growing volume of multimedia data such as large scale video classification and annotation, especially to organize those videos containing human activities. Recently, manifold regularized semi-supervised learning (SSL), which explores the intrinsic data probability distribution and then improves the generalization ability with only a small number of labeled data, has emerged as a promising paradigm for semiautomatic video classification. In addition, human action videos often have multi-modal content and different representations. To tackle the above problems, in this paper we propose multiview Hessian regularized logistic regression (mHLR) for human action recognition. Compared with existing work, the advantages of mHLR lie in three folds: (1) mHLR combines multiple Hessian regularization, each of which obtained from a particular representation of instance, to leverage the exploring of local geometry; (2) mHLR naturally handle multi-view instances with multiple representations; (3) mHLR employs a smooth loss function and then can be effectively optimized. We carefully conduct extensive experiments on the unstructured social activity attribute (USAA) dataset and the experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed multiview Hessian regularized logistic regression for human action recognition.
Object Tracking via Non-Euclidean Geometry: A Grassmann Approach
Shirazi, Sareh, Harandi, Mehrtash T., Lovell, Brian C., Sanderson, Conrad
A robust visual tracking system requires an object appearance model that is able to handle occlusion, pose, and illumination variations in the video stream. This can be difficult to accomplish when the model is trained using only a single image. In this paper, we first propose a tracking approach based on affine subspaces (constructed from several images) which are able to accommodate the abovementioned variations. We use affine subspaces not only to represent the object, but also the candidate areas that the object may occupy. We furthermore propose a novel approach to measure affine subspace-to-subspace distance via the use of non-Euclidean geometry of Grassmann manifolds. The tracking problem is then considered as an inference task in a Markov Chain Monte Carlo framework via particle filtering. Quantitative evaluation on challenging video sequences indicates that the proposed approach obtains considerably better performance than several recent state-of-the-art methods such as Tracking-Learning-Detection and MILtrack.
Accelerated, Parallel and Proximal Coordinate Descent
Fercoq, Olivier, Richtรกrik, Peter
We propose a new stochastic coordinate descent method for minimizing the sum of convex functions each of which depends on a small number of coordinates only. Our method (APPROX) is simultaneously Accelerated, Parallel and PROXimal; this is the first time such a method is proposed. In the special case when the number of processors is equal to the number of coordinates, the method converges at the rate $2\bar{\omega}\bar{L} R^2/(k+1)^2 $, where $k$ is the iteration counter, $\bar{\omega}$ is an average degree of separability of the loss function, $\bar{L}$ is the average of Lipschitz constants associated with the coordinates and individual functions in the sum, and $R$ is the distance of the initial point from the minimizer. We show that the method can be implemented without the need to perform full-dimensional vector operations, which is the major bottleneck of existing accelerated coordinate descent methods. The fact that the method depends on the average degree of separability, and not on the maximum degree of separability, can be attributed to the use of new safe large stepsizes, leading to improved expected separable overapproximation (ESO). These are of independent interest and can be utilized in all existing parallel stochastic coordinate descent algorithms based on the concept of ESO.
Exact Post Model Selection Inference for Marginal Screening
Lee, Jason D, Taylor, Jonathan E
We develop a framework for post model selection inference, via marginal screening, in linear regression. At the core of this framework is a result that characterizes the exact distribution of linear functions of the response $y$, conditional on the model being selected (``condition on selection" framework). This allows us to construct valid confidence intervals and hypothesis tests for regression coefficients that account for the selection procedure. In contrast to recent work in high-dimensional statistics, our results are exact (non-asymptotic) and require no eigenvalue-like assumptions on the design matrix $X$. Furthermore, the computational cost of marginal regression, constructing confidence intervals and hypothesis testing is negligible compared to the cost of linear regression, thus making our methods particularly suitable for extremely large datasets. Although we focus on marginal screening to illustrate the applicability of the condition on selection framework, this framework is much more broadly applicable. We show how to apply the proposed framework to several other selection procedures including orthogonal matching pursuit, non-negative least squares, and marginal screening+Lasso.
Robust Asymmetric Clustering
Morris, Katherine, McNicholas, Paul D., Punzo, Antonio, Browne, Ryan P.
Contaminated mixture models are developed for model-based clustering of data with asymmetric clusters as well as spurious points, outliers, and/or noise. Specifically, we introduce a contaminated mixture of contaminated shifted asymmetric Laplace distributions and a contaminated mixture of contaminated skew-normal distributions. In each case, mixture components have a parameter controlling the proportion of bad points (i.e., spurious points, outliers, and/or noise) and one specifying the degree of contamination. A very important feature of our approaches is that these parameters do not have to be specified a priori. Expectation-conditional maximization algorithms are outlined for parameter estimation and the number of components is selected using the Bayesian information criterion. The performance of our approaches is illustrated on artificial and real data.
Machine Learning at Scale
Izrailev, Sergei, Stanley, Jeremy M.
It takes skill to build a meaningful predictive model even with the abundance of implementations of modern machine learning algorithms and readily available computing resources. Building a model becomes challenging if hundreds of terabytes of data need to be processed to produce the training data set. In a digital advertising technology setting, we are faced with the need to build thousands of such models that predict user behavior and power advertising campaigns in a 24/7 chaotic real-time production environment. As data scientists, we also have to convince other internal departments critical to implementation success, our management, and our customers that our machine learning system works. In this paper, we present the details of the design and implementation of an automated, robust machine learning platform that impacts billions of advertising impressions monthly. This platform enables us to continuously optimize thousands of campaigns over hundreds of millions of users, on multiple continents, against varying performance objectives.
Regularization of $\ell_1$ minimization for dealing with outliers and noise in Statistics and Signal Recovery
Flores, Salvador, Briceno-Arias, Luis M.
We study the robustness properties of $\ell_1$ norm minimization for the classical linear regression problem with a given design matrix and contamination restricted to the dependent variable. We perform a fine error analysis of the $\ell_1$ estimator for measurements errors consisting of outliers coupled with noise. We introduce a new estimation technique resulting from a regularization of $\ell_1$ minimization by inf-convolution with the $\ell_2$ norm. Concerning robustness to large outliers, the proposed estimator keeps the breakdown point of the $\ell_1$ estimator, and reduces to least squares when there are not outliers. We present a globally convergent forward-backward algorithm for computing our estimator and some numerical experiments confirming its theoretical properties.