Statistical Learning
Connection graph Laplacian methods can be made robust to noise
Karoui, Noureddine El, Wu, Hau-tieng
Recently, several data analytic techniques based on connection graph laplacian (CGL) ideas have appeared in the literature. At this point, the properties of these methods are starting to be understood in the setting where the data is observed without noise. We study the impact of additive noise on these methods, and show that they are remarkably robust. As a by-product of our analysis, we propose modifications of the standard algorithms that increase their robustness to noise. We illustrate our results in numerical simulations.
Compressive Mining: Fast and Optimal Data Mining in the Compressed Domain
Vlachos, Michail, Freris, Nikolaos, Kyrillidis, Anastasios
Real-world data typically contain repeated and periodic patterns. This suggests that they can be effectively represented and compressed using only a few coefficients of an appropriate basis (e.g., Fourier, Wavelets, etc.). However, distance estimation when the data are represented using different sets of coefficients is still a largely unexplored area. This work studies the optimization problems related to obtaining the \emph{tightest} lower/upper bound on Euclidean distances when each data object is potentially compressed using a different set of orthonormal coefficients. Our technique leads to tighter distance estimates, which translates into more accurate search, learning and mining operations \textit{directly} in the compressed domain. We formulate the problem of estimating lower/upper distance bounds as an optimization problem. We establish the properties of optimal solutions, and leverage the theoretical analysis to develop a fast algorithm to obtain an \emph{exact} solution to the problem. The suggested solution provides the tightest estimation of the $L_2$-norm or the correlation. We show that typical data-analysis operations, such as k-NN search or k-Means clustering, can operate more accurately using the proposed compression and distance reconstruction technique. We compare it with many other prevalent compression and reconstruction techniques, including random projections and PCA-based techniques. We highlight a surprising result, namely that when the data are highly sparse in some basis, our technique may even outperform PCA-based compression. The contributions of this work are generic as our methodology is applicable to any sequential or high-dimensional data as well as to any orthogonal data transformation used for the underlying data compression scheme.
Compressive Sampling Using EM Algorithm
Ghosh, Atanu Kumar, Chakraborty, Arnab
Conventional approaches of sampling signals follow the celebrated theorem of Nyquist and Shannon. Compressive sampling, introduced by Donoho, Romberg and Tao, is a new paradigm that goes against the conventional methods in data acquisition and provides a way of recovering signals using fewer samples than the traditional methods use. Here we suggest an alternative way of reconstructing the original signals in compressive sampling using EM algorithm. We first propose a naive approach which has certain computational difficulties and subsequently modify it to a new approach which performs better than the conventional methods of compressive sampling. The comparison of the different approaches and the performance of the new approach has been studied using simulated data.
Gaussian Approximation of Collective Graphical Models
Liu, Li-Ping, Sheldon, Daniel, Dietterich, Thomas G.
The Collective Graphical Model (CGM) models a population of independent and identically distributed individuals when only collective statistics (i.e., counts of individuals) are observed. Exact inference in CGMs is intractable, and previous work has explored Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and MAP approximations for learning and inference. This paper studies Gaussian approximations to the CGM. As the population grows large, we show that the CGM distribution converges to a multivariate Gaussian distribution (GCGM) that maintains the conditional independence properties of the original CGM. If the observations are exact marginals of the CGM or marginals that are corrupted by Gaussian noise, inference in the GCGM approximation can be computed efficiently in closed form. If the observations follow a different noise model (e.g., Poisson), then expectation propagation provides efficient and accurate approximate inference. The accuracy and speed of GCGM inference is compared to the MCMC and MAP methods on a simulated bird migration problem. The GCGM matches or exceeds the accuracy of the MAP method while being significantly faster.
Sequential Advantage Selection for Optimal Treatment Regimes
Fan, Ailin, Lu, Wenbin, Song, Rui
Variable selection for optimal treatment regime in a clinical trial or an observational study is getting more attention. Most existing variable selection techniques focused on selecting variables that are important for prediction, therefore some variables that are poor in prediction but are critical for decision-making may be ignored. A qualitative interaction of a variable with treatment arises when treatment effect changes direction as the value of this variable varies. The qualitative interaction indicates the importance of this variable for decision-making. Gunter et al. (2011) proposed S-score which characterizes the magnitude of qualitative interaction of each variable with treatment individually. In this article, we developed a sequential advantage selection method based on the modified S-score. Our method selects qualitatively interacted variables sequentially, and hence excludes marginally important but jointly unimportant variables {or vice versa}. The optimal treatment regime based on variables selected via joint model is more comprehensive and reliable. With the proposed stopping criteria, our method can handle a large amount of covariates even if sample size is small. Simulation results show our method performs well in practical settings. We further applied our method to data from a clinical trial for depression.
Minimal Dirichlet energy partitions for graphs
Osting, Braxton, White, Chris D., Oudet, Edouard
Motivated by a geometric problem, we introduce a new non-convex graph partitioning objective where the optimality criterion is given by the sum of the Dirichlet eigenvalues of the partition components. A relaxed formulation is identified and a novel rearrangement algorithm is proposed, which we show is strictly decreasing and converges in a finite number of iterations to a local minimum of the relaxed objective function. Our method is applied to several clustering problems on graphs constructed from synthetic data, MNIST handwritten digits, and manifold discretizations. The model has a semi-supervised extension and provides a natural representative for the clusters as well.
Scalable Recommendation with Poisson Factorization
Gopalan, Prem, Hofman, Jake M., Blei, David M.
We develop a Bayesian Poisson matrix factorization model for forming recommendations from sparse user behavior data. These data are large user/item matrices where each user has provided feedback on only a small subset of items, either explicitly (e.g., through star ratings) or implicitly (e.g., through views or purchases). In contrast to traditional matrix factorization approaches, Poisson factorization implicitly models each user's limited attention to consume items. Moreover, because of the mathematical form of the Poisson likelihood, the model needs only to explicitly consider the observed entries in the matrix, leading to both scalable computation and good predictive performance. We develop a variational inference algorithm for approximate posterior inference that scales up to massive data sets. This is an efficient algorithm that iterates over the observed entries and adjusts an approximate posterior over the user/item representations. We apply our method to large real-world user data containing users rating movies, users listening to songs, and users reading scientific papers. In all these settings, Bayesian Poisson factorization outperforms state-of-the-art matrix factorization methods.
Inference in High Dimensions with the Penalized Score Test
Voorman, Arend, Shojaie, Ali, Witten, Daniela
In recent years, there has been considerable theoretical development regarding variable selection consistency of penalized regression techniques, such as the lasso. However, there has been relatively little work on quantifying the uncertainty in these selection procedures. In this paper, we propose a new method for inference in high dimensions using a score test based on penalized regression. In this test, we perform penalized regression of an outcome on all but a single feature, and test for correlation of the residuals with the held-out feature. This procedure is applied to each feature in turn. Interestingly, when an $\ell_1$ penalty is used, the sparsity pattern of the lasso corresponds exactly to a decision based on the proposed test. Further, when an $\ell_2$ penalty is used, the test corresponds precisely to a score test in a mixed effects model, in which the effects of all but one feature are assumed to be random. We formulate the hypothesis being tested as a compromise between the null hypotheses tested in simple linear regression on each feature and in multiple linear regression on all features, and develop reference distributions for some well-known penalties. We also examine the behavior of the test on real and simulated data.
Online Stochastic Optimization under Correlated Bandit Feedback
Azar, Mohammad Gheshlaghi, Lazaric, Alessandro, Brunskill, Emma
In this paper we consider the problem of online stochastic optimization of a locally smooth function under bandit feedback. We introduce the high-confidence tree (HCT) algorithm, a novel any-time $\mathcal{X}$-armed bandit algorithm, and derive regret bounds matching the performance of existing state-of-the-art in terms of dependency on number of steps and smoothness factor. The main advantage of HCT is that it handles the challenging case of correlated rewards, whereas existing methods require that the reward-generating process of each arm is an identically and independent distributed (iid) random process. HCT also improves on the state-of-the-art in terms of its memory requirement as well as requiring a weaker smoothness assumption on the mean-reward function in compare to the previous anytime algorithms. Finally, we discuss how HCT can be applied to the problem of policy search in reinforcement learning and we report preliminary empirical results.
Modelling Data Dispersion Degree in Automatic Robust Estimation for Multivariate Gaussian Mixture Models with an Application to Noisy Speech Processing
The trimming scheme with a prefixed cutoff portion is known as a method of improving the robustness of statistical models such as multivariate Gaussian mixture models (MG- MMs) in small scale tests by alleviating the impacts of outliers. However, when this method is applied to real- world data, such as noisy speech processing, it is hard to know the optimal cut-off portion to remove the outliers and sometimes removes useful data samples as well. In this paper, we propose a new method based on measuring the dispersion degree (DD) of the training data to avoid this problem, so as to realise automatic robust estimation for MGMMs. The DD model is studied by using two different measures. For each one, we theoretically prove that the DD of the data samples in a context of MGMMs approximately obeys a specific (chi or chi-square) distribution. The proposed method is evaluated on a real-world application with a moderately-sized speaker recognition task. Experiments show that the proposed method can significantly improve the robustness of the conventional training method of GMMs for speaker recognition.