Statistical Learning
A convex pseudo-likelihood framework for high dimensional partial correlation estimation with convergence guarantees
Khare, Kshitij, Oh, Sang-Yun, Rajaratnam, Bala
Sparse high dimensional graphical model selection is a topic of much interest in modern day statistics. A popular approach is to apply l1-penalties to either (1) parametric likelihoods, or, (2) regularized regression/pseudo-likelihoods, with the latter having the distinct advantage that they do not explicitly assume Gaussianity. As none of the popular methods proposed for solving pseudo-likelihood based objective functions have provable convergence guarantees, it is not clear if corresponding estimators exist or are even computable, or if they actually yield correct partial correlation graphs. This paper proposes a new pseudo-likelihood based graphical model selection method that aims to overcome some of the shortcomings of current methods, but at the same time retain all their respective strengths. In particular, we introduce a novel framework that leads to a convex formulation of the partial covariance regression graph problem, resulting in an objective function comprised of quadratic forms. The objective is then optimized via a coordinate-wise approach. The specific functional form of the objective function facilitates rigorous convergence analysis leading to convergence guarantees; an important property that cannot be established using standard results, when the dimension is larger than the sample size, as is often the case in high dimensional applications. These convergence guarantees ensure that estimators are well-defined under very general conditions, and are always computable. In addition, the approach yields estimators that have good large sample properties and also respect symmetry. Furthermore, application to simulated/real data, timing comparisons and numerical convergence is demonstrated. We also present a novel unifying framework that places all graphical pseudo-likelihood methods as special cases of a more general formulation, leading to important insights.
Convergence rate of Bayesian tensor estimator: Optimal rate without restricted strong convexity
In this paper, we investigate the statistical convergence rate of a Bayesian low-rank tensor estimator. Our problem setting is the regression problem where a tensor structure underlying the data is estimated. This problem setting occurs in many practical applications, such as collaborative filtering, multi-task learning, and spatio-temporal data analysis. The convergence rate is analyzed in terms of both in-sample and out-of-sample predictive accuracies. It is shown that a near optimal rate is achieved without any strong convexity of the observation. Moreover, we show that the method has adaptivity to the unknown rank of the true tensor, that is, the near optimal rate depending on the true rank is achieved even if it is not known a priori.
Marginal Likelihoods for Distributed Parameter Estimation of Gaussian Graphical Models
Meng, Zhaoshi, Wei, Dennis, Wiesel, Ami, Hero, Alfred O. III
We consider distributed estimation of the inverse covariance matrix, also called the concentration or precision matrix, in Gaussian graphical models. Traditional centralized estimation often requires global inference of the covariance matrix, which can be computationally intensive in large dimensions. Approximate inference based on message-passing algorithms, on the other hand, can lead to unstable and biased estimation in loopy graphical models. In this paper, we propose a general framework for distributed estimation based on a maximum marginal likelihood (MML) approach. This approach computes local parameter estimates by maximizing marginal likelihoods defined with respect to data collected from local neighborhoods. Due to the non-convexity of the MML problem, we introduce and solve a convex relaxation. The local estimates are then combined into a global estimate without the need for iterative message-passing between neighborhoods. The proposed algorithm is naturally parallelizable and computationally efficient, thereby making it suitable for high-dimensional problems. In the classical regime where the number of variables $p$ is fixed and the number of samples $T$ increases to infinity, the proposed estimator is shown to be asymptotically consistent and to improve monotonically as the local neighborhood size increases. In the high-dimensional scaling regime where both $p$ and $T$ increase to infinity, the convergence rate to the true parameters is derived and is seen to be comparable to centralized maximum likelihood estimation. Extensive numerical experiments demonstrate the improved performance of the two-hop version of the proposed estimator, which suffices to almost close the gap to the centralized maximum likelihood estimator at a reduced computational cost.
Fastfood: Approximate Kernel Expansions in Loglinear Time
Le, Quoc Viet, Sarlos, Tamas, Smola, Alexander Johannes
Despite their successes, what makes kernel methods difficult to use in many large scale problems is the fact that storing and computing the decision function is typically expensive, especially at prediction time. In this paper, we overcome this difficulty by proposing Fastfood, an approximation that accelerates such computation significantly. Key to Fastfood is the observation that Hadamard matrices, when combined with diagonal Gaussian matrices, exhibit properties similar to dense Gaussian random matrices. Yet unlike the latter, Hadamard and diagonal matrices are inexpensive to multiply and store. These two matrices can be used in lieu of Gaussian matrices in Random Kitchen Sinks proposed by Rahimi and Recht (2009) and thereby speeding up the computation for a large range of kernel functions. Specifically, Fastfood requires O(n log d) time and O(n) storage to compute n non-linear basis functions in d dimensions, a significant improvement from O(nd) computation and storage, without sacrificing accuracy. Our method applies to any translation invariant and any dot-product kernel, such as the popular RBF kernels and polynomial kernels. We prove that the approximation is unbiased and has low variance. Experiments show that we achieve similar accuracy to full kernel expansions and Random Kitchen Sinks while being 100x faster and using 1000x less memory. These improvements, especially in terms of memory usage, make kernel methods more practical for applications that have large training sets and/or require real-time prediction.
Generalization and Robustness of Batched Weighted Average Algorithm with V-geometrically Ergodic Markov Data
Cuong, Nguyen Viet, Ho, Lam Si Tung, Dinh, Vu
We analyze the generalization and robustness of the batched weighted average algorithm for V-geometrically ergodic Markov data. This algorithm is a good alternative to the empirical risk minimization algorithm when the latter suffers from overfitting or when optimizing the empirical risk is hard. For the generalization of the algorithm, we prove a PAC-style bound on the training sample size for the expected $L_1$-loss to converge to the optimal loss when training data are V-geometrically ergodic Markov chains. For the robustness, we show that if the training target variable's values contain bounded noise, then the generalization bound of the algorithm deviates at most by the range of the noise. Our results can be applied to the regression problem, the classification problem, and the case where there exists an unknown deterministic target hypothesis.
Cluster based RBF Kernel for Support Vector Machines
Czarnecki, Wojciech Marian, Tabor, Jacek
In the classical Gaussian SVM classification we use the feature space projection transforming points to normal distributions with fixed covariance matrices (identity in the standard RBF and the covariance of the whole dataset in Mahalanobis RBF). In this paper we add additional information to Gaussian SVM by considering local geometry-dependent feature space projection. We emphasize that our approach is in fact an algorithm for a construction of the new Gaussian-type kernel. We show that better (compared to standard RBF and Mahalanobis RBF) classification results are obtained in the simple case when the space is preliminary divided by k-means into two sets and points are represented as normal distributions with a covariances calculated according to the dataset partitioning. We call the constructed method C$_k$RBF, where $k$ stands for the amount of clusters used in k-means. We show empirically on nine datasets from UCI repository that C$_2$RBF increases the stability of the grid search (measured as the probability of finding good parameters).
Robust computation of linear models by convex relaxation
Lerman, Gilad, McCoy, Michael, Tropp, Joel A., Zhang, Teng
Consider a dataset of vector-valued observations that consists of noisy inliers, which are explained well by a low-dimensional subspace, along with some number of outliers. This work describes a convex optimization problem, called REAPER, that can reliably fit a low-dimensional model to this type of data. This approach parameterizes linear subspaces using orthogonal projectors, and it uses a relaxation of the set of orthogonal projectors to reach the convex formulation. The paper provides an efficient algorithm for solving the REAPER problem, and it documents numerical experiments which confirm that REAPER can dependably find linear structure in synthetic and natural data. In addition, when the inliers lie near a low-dimensional subspace, there is a rigorous theory that describes when REAPER can approximate this subspace.
Exponentiated Gradient Exploration for Active Learning
Active learning strategies respond to the costly labelling task in a supervised classification by selecting the most useful unlabelled examples in training a predictive model. Many conventional active learning algorithms focus on refining the decision boundary, rather than exploring new regions that can be more informative. In this setting, we propose a sequential algorithm named EG-Active that can improve any Active learning algorithm by an optimal random exploration. Experimental results show a statistically significant and appreciable improvement in the performance of our new approach over the existing active feedback methods.
Conditional Probability Tree Estimation Analysis and Algorithms
Beygelzimer, Alina, Langford, John, Lifshits, Yuri, Sorkin, Gregory, Strehl, Alexander L.
We consider the problem of estimating the conditional probability of a label in time O(log n), where n is the number of possible labels. We analyze a natural reduction of this problem to a set of binary regression problems organized in a tree structure, proving a regret bound that scales with the depth of the tree. Motivated by this analysis, we propose the first online algorithm which provably constructs a logarithmic depth tree on the set of labels to solve this problem. We test the algorithm empirically, showing that it works succesfully on a dataset with roughly 106 labels.
One-Class Support Measure Machines for Group Anomaly Detection
Muandet, Krikamol, Schoelkopf, Bernhard
We propose one-class support measure machines (OCSMMs) for group anomaly detection which aims at recognizing anomalous aggregate behaviors of data points. The OCSMMs generalize well-known one-class support vector machines (OCSVMs) to a space of probability measures. By formulating the problem as quantile estimation on distributions, we can establish an interesting connection to the OCSVMs and variable kernel density estimators (VKDEs) over the input space on which the distributions are defined, bridging the gap between large-margin methods and kernel density estimators. In particular, we show that various types of VKDEs can be considered as solutions to a class of regularization problems studied in this paper. Experiments on Sloan Digital Sky Survey dataset and High Energy Particle Physics dataset demonstrate the benefits of the proposed framework in real-world applications.