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 Statistical Learning


Demixed principal component analysis of population activity in higher cortical areas reveals independent representation of task parameters

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Neurons in higher cortical areas, such as the prefrontal cortex, are known to be tuned to a variety of sensory and motor variables. The resulting diversity of neural tuning often obscures the represented information. Here we introduce a novel dimensionality reduction technique, demixed principal component analysis (dPCA), which automatically discovers and highlights the essential features in complex population activities. We reanalyze population data from the prefrontal areas of rats and monkeys performing a variety of working memory and decision-making tasks. In each case, dPCA summarizes the relevant features of the population response in a single figure. The population activity is decomposed into a few demixed components that capture most of the variance in the data and that highlight dynamic tuning of the population to various task parameters, such as stimuli, decisions, rewards, etc. Moreover, dPCA reveals strong, condition-independent components of the population activity that remain unnoticed with conventional approaches.


Active Regression by Stratification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose a new active learning algorithm for parametric linear regression with random design. We provide finite sample convergence guarantees for general distributions in the misspecified model. This is the first active learner for this setting that provably can improve over passive learning. Unlike other learning settings (such as classification), in regression the passive learning rate of $O(1/\epsilon)$ cannot in general be improved upon. Nonetheless, the so-called `constant' in the rate of convergence, which is characterized by a distribution-dependent risk, can be improved in many cases. For a given distribution, achieving the optimal risk requires prior knowledge of the distribution. Following the stratification technique advocated in Monte-Carlo function integration, our active learner approaches the optimal risk using piecewise constant approximations.


A Spectral Framework for Anomalous Subgraph Detection

arXiv.org Machine Learning

A wide variety of application domains are concerned with data consisting of entities and their relationships or connections, formally represented as graphs. Within these diverse application areas, a common problem of interest is the detection of a subset of entities whose connectivity is anomalous with respect to the rest of the data. While the detection of such anomalous subgraphs has received a substantial amount of attention, no application-agnostic framework exists for analysis of signal detectability in graph-based data. In this paper, we describe a framework that enables such analysis using the principal eigenspace of a graph's residuals matrix, commonly called the modularity matrix in community detection. Leveraging this analytical tool, we show that the framework has a natural power metric in the spectral norm of the anomalous subgraph's adjacency matrix (signal power) and of the background graph's residuals matrix (noise power). We propose several algorithms based on spectral properties of the residuals matrix, with more computationally expensive techniques providing greater detection power. Detection and identification performance are presented for a number of signal and noise models, including clusters and bipartite foregrounds embedded into simple random backgrounds as well as graphs with community structure and realistic degree distributions. The trends observed verify intuition gleaned from other signal processing areas, such as greater detection power when the signal is embedded within a less active portion of the background. We demonstrate the utility of the proposed techniques in detecting small, highly anomalous subgraphs in real graphs derived from Internet traffic and product co-purchases.


On Iterative Hard Thresholding Methods for High-dimensional M-Estimation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The use of M-estimators in generalized linear regression models in high dimensional settings requires risk minimization with hard $L_0$ constraints. Of the known methods, the class of projected gradient descent (also known as iterative hard thresholding (IHT)) methods is known to offer the fastest and most scalable solutions. However, the current state-of-the-art is only able to analyze these methods in extremely restrictive settings which do not hold in high dimensional statistical models. In this work we bridge this gap by providing the first analysis for IHT-style methods in the high dimensional statistical setting. Our bounds are tight and match known minimax lower bounds. Our results rely on a general analysis framework that enables us to analyze several popular hard thresholding style algorithms (such as HTP, CoSaMP, SP) in the high dimensional regression setting. We also extend our analysis to a large family of "fully corrective methods" that includes two-stage and partial hard-thresholding algorithms. We show that our results hold for the problem of sparse regression, as well as low-rank matrix recovery.


Daily Stress Recognition from Mobile Phone Data, Weather Conditions and Individual Traits

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Research has proven that stress reduces quality of life and causes many diseases. For this reason, several researchers devised stress detection systems based on physiological parameters. However, these systems require that obtrusive sensors are continuously carried by the user. In our paper, we propose an alternative approach providing evidence that daily stress can be reliably recognized based on behavioral metrics, derived from the user's mobile phone activity and from additional indicators, such as the weather conditions (data pertaining to transitory properties of the environment) and the personality traits (data concerning permanent dispositions of individuals). Our multifactorial statistical model, which is person-independent, obtains the accuracy score of 72.28% for a 2-class daily stress recognition problem. The model is efficient to implement for most of multimedia applications due to highly reduced low-dimensional feature space (32d). Moreover, we identify and discuss the indicators which have strong predictive power.


Generalized Compression Dictionary Distance as Universal Similarity Measure

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We present a new similarity measure based on information theoretic measures which is superior than Normalized Compression Distance for clustering problems and inherits the useful properties of conditional Kolmogorov complexity. We show that Normalized Compression Dictionary Size and Normalized Compression Dictionary Entropy are computationally more efficient, as the need to perform the compression itself is eliminated. Also they scale linearly with exponential vector size growth and are content independent. We show that normalized compression dictionary distance is compressor independent, if limited to lossless compressors, which gives space for optimizations and implementation speed improvement for real-time and big data applications. The introduced measure is applicable for machine learning tasks of parameter-free unsupervised clustering, supervised learning such as classification and regression, feature selection, and is applicable for big data problems with order of magnitude speed increase.


A Robust Ensemble Approach to Learn From Positive and Unlabeled Data Using SVM Base Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We present a novel approach to learn binary classifiers when only positive and unlabeled instances are available (PU learning). This problem is routinely cast as a supervised task with label noise in the negative set. We use an ensemble of SVM models trained on bootstrap resamples of the training data for increased robustness against label noise. The approach can be considered in a bagging framework which provides an intuitive explanation for its mechanics in a semi-supervised setting. We compared our method to state-of-the-art approaches in simulations using multiple public benchmark data sets. The included benchmark comprises three settings with increasing label noise: (i) fully supervised, (ii) PU learning and (iii) PU learning with false positives. Our approach shows a marginal improvement over existing methods in the second setting and a significant improvement in the third.


Scalable Parallel Factorizations of SDD Matrices and Efficient Sampling for Gaussian Graphical Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Motivated by a sampling problem basic to computational statistical inference, we develop a nearly optimal algorithm for a fundamental problem in spectral graph theory and numerical analysis. Given an $n\times n$ SDDM matrix ${\bf \mathbf{M}}$, and a constant $-1 \leq p \leq 1$, our algorithm gives efficient access to a sparse $n\times n$ linear operator $\tilde{\mathbf{C}}$ such that $${\mathbf{M}}^{p} \approx \tilde{\mathbf{C}} \tilde{\mathbf{C}}^\top.$$ The solution is based on factoring ${\bf \mathbf{M}}$ into a product of simple and sparse matrices using squaring and spectral sparsification. For ${\mathbf{M}}$ with $m$ non-zero entries, our algorithm takes work nearly-linear in $m$, and polylogarithmic depth on a parallel machine with $m$ processors. This gives the first sampling algorithm that only requires nearly linear work and $n$ i.i.d. random univariate Gaussian samples to generate i.i.d. random samples for $n$-dimensional Gaussian random fields with SDDM precision matrices. For sampling this natural subclass of Gaussian random fields, it is optimal in the randomness and nearly optimal in the work and parallel complexity. In addition, our sampling algorithm can be directly extended to Gaussian random fields with SDD precision matrices.


Classification of Autism Spectrum Disorder Using Supervised Learning of Brain Connectivity Measures Extracted from Synchrostates

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Objective. The paper investigates the presence of autism using the functional brain connectivity measures derived from electro-encephalogram (EEG) of children during face perception tasks. Approach. Phase synchronized patterns from 128-channel EEG signals are obtained for typical children and children with autism spectrum disorder (ASD). The phase synchronized states or synchrostates temporally switch amongst themselves as an underlying process for the completion of a particular cognitive task. We used 12 subjects in each group (ASD and typical) for analyzing their EEG while processing fearful, happy and neutral faces. The minimal and maximally occurring synchrostates for each subject are chosen for extraction of brain connectivity features, which are used for classification between these two groups of subjects. Among different supervised learning techniques, we here explored the discriminant analysis and support vector machine both with polynomial kernels for the classification task. Main results. The leave one out cross-validation of the classification algorithm gives 94.7% accuracy as the best performance with corresponding sensitivity and specificity values as 85.7% and 100% respectively. Significance. The proposed method gives high classification accuracies and outperforms other contemporary research results. The effectiveness of the proposed method for classification of autistic and typical children suggests the possibility of using it on a larger population to validate it for clinical practice.


Variational Reformulation of Bayesian Inverse Problems

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The classical approach to inverse problems is based on the optimization of a misfit function. Despite its computational appeal, such an approach suffers from many shortcomings, e.g., non-uniqueness of solutions, modeling prior knowledge, etc. The Bayesian formalism to inverse problems avoids most of the difficulties encountered by the optimization approach, albeit at an increased computational cost. In this work, we use information theoretic arguments to cast the Bayesian inference problem in terms of an optimization problem. The resulting scheme combines the theoretical soundness of fully Bayesian inference with the computational efficiency of a simple optimization.