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 Statistical Learning


Bayesian Optimization of Text Representations

arXiv.org Machine Learning

When applying machine learning to problems in NLP, there are many choices to make about how to represent input texts. These choices can have a big effect on performance, but they are often uninteresting to researchers or practitioners who simply need a module that performs well. We propose an approach to optimizing over this space of choices, formulating the problem as global optimization. We apply a sequential model-based optimization technique and show that our method makes standard linear models competitive with more sophisticated, expensive state-of-the-art methods based on latent variable models or neural networks on various topic classification and sentiment analysis problems. Our approach is a first step towards black-box NLP systems that work with raw text and do not require manual tuning.


Simple, Efficient, and Neural Algorithms for Sparse Coding

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Sparse coding is a basic task in many fields including signal processing, neuroscience and machine learning where the goal is to learn a basis that enables a sparse representation of a given set of data, if one exists. Its standard formulation is as a non-convex optimization problem which is solved in practice by heuristics based on alternating minimization. Re- cent work has resulted in several algorithms for sparse coding with provable guarantees, but somewhat surprisingly these are outperformed by the simple alternating minimization heuristics. Here we give a general framework for understanding alternating minimization which we leverage to analyze existing heuristics and to design new ones also with provable guarantees. Some of these algorithms seem implementable on simple neural architectures, which was the original motivation of Olshausen and Field (1997a) in introducing sparse coding. We also give the first efficient algorithm for sparse coding that works almost up to the information theoretic limit for sparse recovery on incoherent dictionaries. All previous algorithms that approached or surpassed this limit run in time exponential in some natural parameter. Finally, our algorithms improve upon the sample complexity of existing approaches. We believe that our analysis framework will have applications in other settings where simple iterative algorithms are used.


A Hebbian/Anti-Hebbian Network Derived from Online Non-Negative Matrix Factorization Can Cluster and Discover Sparse Features

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Despite our extensive knowledge of biophysical properties of neurons, there is no commonly accepted algorithmic theory of neuronal function. Here we explore the hypothesis that single-layer neuronal networks perform online symmetric nonnegative matrix factorization (SNMF) of the similarity matrix of the streamed data. By starting with the SNMF cost function we derive an online algorithm, which can be implemented by a biologically plausible network with local learning rules. We demonstrate that such network performs soft clustering of the data as well as sparse feature discovery. The derived algorithm replicates many known aspects of sensory anatomy and biophysical properties of neurons including unipolar nature of neuronal activity and synaptic weights, local synaptic plasticity rules and the dependence of learning rate on cumulative neuronal activity. Thus, we make a step towards an algorithmic theory of neuronal function, which should facilitate large-scale neural circuit simulations and biologically inspired artificial intelligence.


Signal inference with unknown response: Calibration-uncertainty renormalized estimator

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The calibration of a measurement device is crucial for every scientific experiment, where a signal has to be inferred from data. We present CURE, the calibration uncertainty renormalized estimator, to reconstruct a signal and simultaneously the instrument's calibration from the same data without knowing the exact calibration, but its covariance structure. The idea of CURE, developed in the framework of information field theory, is starting with an assumed calibration to successively include more and more portions of calibration uncertainty into the signal inference equations and to absorb the resulting corrections into renormalized signal (and calibration) solutions. Thereby, the signal inference and calibration problem turns into solving a single system of ordinary differential equations and can be identified with common resummation techniques used in field theories. We verify CURE by applying it to a simplistic toy example and compare it against existent self-calibration schemes, Wiener filter solutions, and Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling. We conclude that the method is able to keep up in accuracy with the best self-calibration methods and serves as a non-iterative alternative to it.


Automatic Land Use and Land Cover Classification Using RapidEye Imagery in Mexico

AAAI Conferences

The problem with this type of method is that it does not really take advantage of Land use and land cover classification (LUCC) maps from high resolution images. We believe that pixel based spectral remote sensor data are of great interest since they allow to information is not enough to characterize land use and track issues like deforestation/reforestation, water sources land cover classes. For this reason, our goal is to design a reduction, urban growth, or to calculate indicators like a methodology that models classes as areas of correlated pixels.


Trajectory Analysis Based on Clustering and Casual Structures

AAAI Conferences

Causal structure discovery methods are investigated recently but none of them has taken possible time-varying structure into consideration. This paper uses a notion of causal time-varying dynamic Bayesian network (CTV-DBN) and define a causal boundary to govern cross-time information sharing. CTV-DBN is constructed by using asymmetric kernels to address sample scarcity and to adhere to causal principles; while maintaining good variance and bias trade-off. Upon satisfying causal Markov assumption, causal inference can be made based on manipulation rule. We explore trajectory data collected from taxis in Beijing which exhibit heterogeneous patterns, data sparseness and distribution skewness. Experiments show that by using casual structures and trajectory clustering, we can analyse the spatio-temporal behavior of the trajectory data.


On Heterogeneous Machine Learning Ensembles for Wind Power Prediction

AAAI Conferences

For a sustainable integration of wind power into the electricity grid, a precise prediction method is required. In this work, we investigate the use of heterogeneous machine learning ensembles for wind power prediction. We first analyze homogeneous ensemble regressors that make use of a single base algorithm and compare decision trees to k-nearest neighbors and support vector regression. As next step, we construct heterogeneous ensembles that make use of multiple base algorithms and benefit from a gain of diversity of the weak predictors. In the experimental evaluation, we show that a combination of decision trees and support vector regression outperforms state-of-the-art predictors (improvements of up to 37% compared to support vector regression) as well as homogeneous ensembles while requiring a shorter runtime (speed-ups from 1.60x to 8.78x). The experiments are based on large wind time series data from simulations and real measurements.


Identifying Meaningful Citations

AAAI Conferences

We introduce the novel task of identifying important citations in scholarly literature, i.e., citations that indicate that the cited work is used or extended in the new effort. We believe this task is a crucial component in algorithms that detect and follow research topics and in methods that measure the quality of publications.We model this task as a supervised classification problem at two levels of detail: a coarse one with classes (important vs. non-important), and a more detailed one with four importance classes. We annotate a dataset of approximately 450 citations with this information, and release it publicly. We propose a supervised classification approach that addresses this task with a battery of features that range from citation counts to where the citation appears in the body of the paper, and show that,our approach achieves a precision of 65% for a recall of 90%.


Social Information Improves Location Prediction in the Wild

AAAI Conferences

How can knowing the location of my friends be used to more accurately predict my location? This paper explores socially-aware location prediction under a particularly challenging setting where the underlying interactions and social network are unknown and must be inferred over continuous spatiotemporal data. Our method samples inferred network topology using a linear regression model to predict future individual locations. We present an in-depth empirical study comparing different network models and network sampling regimes under a bootstrapped sampling baseline. Furthermore, our qualitative analysis demonstrates the value of social information in population mobility modeling under our application’s challenges.


DoSTra: Discovering Common Behaviors of Objects Using the Duration of Staying on Each Location of Trajectories

AAAI Conferences

Since semantic trajectories can discover more semantic meanings of a user’s interests without geographic restrictions, research on semantic trajectories has attracted a lot of attentions in recent years. Most existing work discover the similar behavior of moving objects through analysis of their semantic trajectory pattern, that is, sequences of locations. However, this kind of trajectories without considering the duration of staying on a location limits wild applications. For example, Tom and Anne have a common pattern of Home Restaurant Company Restaurant , but they are not similar, since Tom works at Restaurant , sends snack to someone at Company and return to Restaurant while Anne has breakfast at Restaurant , works at Company and has lunch at Restaurant . If we consider duration of staying on each location we can easily to differentiate their behaviors. In this paper, we propose a novel approach for discovering common behaviors by considering the duration of staying on each location of trajectories (DoSTra). Our approach can be used to detect the group that has similar lifestyle, habit or behavior patterns and predict the future locations of moving objects. We evaluate the experiment based on synthetic dataset, which demonstrates the high effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed method.