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 Statistical Learning


The mRMR variable selection method: a comparative study for functional data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The use of variable selection methods is particularly appealing in statistical problems with functional data. The obvious general criterion for variable selection is to choose the `most representative' or `most relevant' variables. However, it is also clear that a purely relevance-oriented criterion could lead to select many redundant variables. The mRMR (minimum Redundance Maximum Relevance) procedure, proposed by Ding and Peng (2005) and Peng et al. (2005) is an algorithm to systematically perform variable selection, achieving a reasonable trade-off between relevance and redundancy. In its original form, this procedure is based on the use of the so-called mutual information criterion to assess relevance and redundancy. Keeping the focus on functional data problems, we propose here a modified version of the mRMR method, obtained by replacing the mutual information by the new association measure (called distance correlation) suggested by Sz\'ekely et al. (2007). We have also performed an extensive simulation study, including 1600 functional experiments (100 functional models $\times$ 4 sample sizes $\times$ 4 classifiers) and three real-data examples aimed at comparing the different versions of the mRMR methodology. The results are quite conclusive in favor of the new proposed alternative.


Beyond Hartigan Consistency: Merge Distortion Metric for Hierarchical Clustering

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Hierarchical clustering is a popular method for analyzing data which associates a tree to a dataset. Hartigan consistency has been used extensively as a framework to analyze such clustering algorithms from a statistical point of view. Still, as we show in the paper, a tree which is Hartigan consistent with a given density can look very different than the correct limit tree. Specifically, Hartigan consistency permits two types of undesirable configurations which we term over-segmentation and improper nesting. Moreover, Hartigan consistency is a limit property and does not directly quantify difference between trees. In this paper we identify two limit properties, separation and minimality, which address both over-segmentation and improper nesting and together imply (but are not implied by) Hartigan consistency. We proceed to introduce a merge distortion metric between hierarchical clusterings and show that convergence in our distance implies both separation and minimality. We also prove that uniform separation and minimality imply convergence in the merge distortion metric. Furthermore, we show that our merge distortion metric is stable under perturbations of the density. Finally, we demonstrate applicability of these concepts by proving convergence results for two clustering algorithms. First, we show convergence (and hence separation and minimality) of the recent robust single linkage algorithm of Chaudhuri and Dasgupta (2010). Second, we provide convergence results on manifolds for topological split tree clustering.


Priors for Random Count Matrices Derived from a Family of Negative Binomial Processes

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We define a family of probability distributions for random count matrices with a potentially unbounded number of rows and columns. The three distributions we consider are derived from the gamma-Poisson, gamma-negative binomial, and beta-negative binomial processes. Because the models lead to closed-form Gibbs sampling update equations, they are natural candidates for nonparametric Bayesian priors over count matrices. A key aspect of our analysis is the recognition that, although the random count matrices within the family are defined by a row-wise construction, their columns can be shown to be i.i.d. This fact is used to derive explicit formulas for drawing all the columns at once. Moreover, by analyzing these matrices' combinatorial structure, we describe how to sequentially construct a column-i.i.d. random count matrix one row at a time, and derive the predictive distribution of a new row count vector with previously unseen features. We describe the similarities and differences between the three priors, and argue that the greater flexibility of the gamma- and beta- negative binomial processes, especially their ability to model over-dispersed, heavy-tailed count data, makes these well suited to a wide variety of real-world applications. As an example of our framework, we construct a naive-Bayes text classifier to categorize a count vector to one of several existing random count matrices of different categories. The classifier supports an unbounded number of features, and unlike most existing methods, it does not require a predefined finite vocabulary to be shared by all the categories, and needs neither feature selection nor parameter tuning. Both the gamma- and beta- negative binomial processes are shown to significantly outperform the gamma-Poisson process for document categorization, with comparable performance to other state-of-the-art supervised text classification algorithms.


Scatter Matrix Concordance: A Diagnostic for Regressions on Subsets of Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Linear regression models depend directly on the design matrix and its properties. Techniques that efficiently estimate model coefficients by partitioning rows of the design matrix are increasingly popular for large-scale problems because they fit well with modern parallel computing architectures. We propose a simple measure of {\em concordance} between a design matrix and a subset of its rows that estimates how well a subset captures the variance-covariance structure of a larger data set. We illustrate the use of this measure in a heuristic method for selecting row partition sizes that balance statistical and computational efficiency goals in real-world problems.


Tensor principal component analysis via sum-of-squares proofs

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study a statistical model for the tensor principal component analysis problem introduced by Montanari and Richard: Given a order-$3$ tensor $T$ of the form $T = \tau \cdot v_0^{\otimes 3} + A$, where $\tau \geq 0$ is a signal-to-noise ratio, $v_0$ is a unit vector, and $A$ is a random noise tensor, the goal is to recover the planted vector $v_0$. For the case that $A$ has iid standard Gaussian entries, we give an efficient algorithm to recover $v_0$ whenever $\tau \geq \omega(n^{3/4} \log(n)^{1/4})$, and certify that the recovered vector is close to a maximum likelihood estimator, all with high probability over the random choice of $A$. The previous best algorithms with provable guarantees required $\tau \geq \Omega(n)$. In the regime $\tau \leq o(n)$, natural tensor-unfolding-based spectral relaxations for the underlying optimization problem break down (in the sense that their integrality gap is large). To go beyond this barrier, we use convex relaxations based on the sum-of-squares method. Our recovery algorithm proceeds by rounding a degree-$4$ sum-of-squares relaxations of the maximum-likelihood-estimation problem for the statistical model. To complement our algorithmic results, we show that degree-$4$ sum-of-squares relaxations break down for $\tau \leq O(n^{3/4}/\log(n)^{1/4})$, which demonstrates that improving our current guarantees (by more than logarithmic factors) would require new techniques or might even be intractable. Finally, we show how to exploit additional problem structure in order to solve our sum-of-squares relaxations, up to some approximation, very efficiently. Our fastest algorithm runs in nearly-linear time using shifted (matrix) power iteration and has similar guarantees as above. The analysis of this algorithm also confirms a variant of a conjecture of Montanari and Richard about singular vectors of tensor unfoldings.


Homotopy Continuation Approaches for Robust SV Classification and Regression

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In support vector machine (SVM) applications with unreliable data that contains a portion of outliers, non-robustness of SVMs often causes considerable performance deterioration. Although many approaches for improving the robustness of SVMs have been studied, two major challenges remain in robust SVM learning. First, robust learning algorithms are essentially formulated as non-convex optimization problems. It is thus important to develop a non-convex optimization method for robust SVM that can find a good local optimal solution. The second practical issue is how one can tune the hyperparameter that controls the balance between robustness and efficiency. Unfortunately, due to the non-convexity, robust SVM solutions with slightly different hyper-parameter values can be significantly different, which makes model selection highly unstable. In this paper, we address these two issues simultaneously by introducing a novel homotopy approach to non-convex robust SVM learning. Our basic idea is to introduce parametrized formulations of robust SVM which bridge the standard SVM and fully robust SVM via the parameter that represents the influence of outliers. We characterize the necessary and sufficient conditions of the local optimal solutions of robust SVM, and develop an algorithm that can trace a path of local optimal solutions when the influence of outliers is gradually decreased. An advantage of our homotopy approach is that it can be interpreted as simulated annealing, a common approach for finding a good local optimal solution in non-convex optimization problems. In addition, our homotopy method allows stable and efficient model selection based on the path of local optimal solutions. Empirical performances of the proposed approach are demonstrated through intensive numerical experiments both on robust classification and regression problems.


Joint estimation of quantile planes over arbitrary predictor spaces

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In spite of the recent surge of interest in quantile regression, joint estimation of linear quantile planes remains a great challenge in statistics and econometrics. We propose a novel parametrization that characterizes any collection of non-crossing quantile planes over arbitrarily shaped convex predictor domains in any dimension by means of unconstrained scalar, vector and function valued parameters. Statistical models based on this parametrization inherit a fast computation of the likelihood function, enabling penalized likelihood or Bayesian approaches to model fitting. We introduce a complete Bayesian methodology by using Gaussian process prior distributions on the function valued parameters and develop a robust and efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo parameter estimation. The resulting method is shown to offer posterior consistency under mild tail and regularity conditions. We present several illustrative examples where the new method is compared against existing approaches and is found to offer better accuracy, coverage and model fit.


Best Subset Selection via a Modern Optimization Lens

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In the last twenty-five years (1990-2014), algorithmic advances in integer optimization combined with hardware improvements have resulted in an astonishing 200 billion factor speedup in solving Mixed Integer Optimization (MIO) problems. We present a MIO approach for solving the classical best subset selection problem of choosing $k$ out of $p$ features in linear regression given $n$ observations. We develop a discrete extension of modern first order continuous optimization methods to find high quality feasible solutions that we use as warm starts to a MIO solver that finds provably optimal solutions. The resulting algorithm (a) provides a solution with a guarantee on its suboptimality even if we terminate the algorithm early, (b) can accommodate side constraints on the coefficients of the linear regression and (c) extends to finding best subset solutions for the least absolute deviation loss function. Using a wide variety of synthetic and real datasets, we demonstrate that our approach solves problems with $n$ in the 1000s and $p$ in the 100s in minutes to provable optimality, and finds near optimal solutions for $n$ in the 100s and $p$ in the 1000s in minutes. We also establish via numerical experiments that the MIO approach performs better than {\texttt {Lasso}} and other popularly used sparse learning procedures, in terms of achieving sparse solutions with good predictive power.


Linear Convergence of Variance-Reduced Stochastic Gradient without Strong Convexity

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Stochastic gradient algorithms estimate the gradient based on only one or a few samples and enjoy low computational cost per iteration. They have been widely used in large-scale optimization problems. However, stochastic gradient algorithms are usually slow to converge and achieve sub-linear convergence rates, due to the inherent variance in the gradient computation. To accelerate the convergence, some variance-reduced stochastic gradient algorithms, e.g., proximal stochastic variance-reduced gradient (Prox-SVRG) algorithm, have recently been proposed to solve strongly convex problems. Under the strongly convex condition, these variance-reduced stochastic gradient algorithms achieve a linear convergence rate. However, many machine learning problems are convex but not strongly convex. In this paper, we introduce Prox-SVRG and its projected variant called Variance-Reduced Projected Stochastic Gradient (VRPSG) to solve a class of non-strongly convex optimization problems widely used in machine learning. As the main technical contribution of this paper, we show that both VRPSG and Prox-SVRG achieve a linear convergence rate without strong convexity. A key ingredient in our proof is a Semi-Strongly Convex (SSC) inequality which is the first to be rigorously proved for a class of non-strongly convex problems in both constrained and regularized settings. Moreover, the SSC inequality is independent of algorithms and may be applied to analyze other stochastic gradient algorithms besides VRPSG and Prox-SVRG, which may be of independent interest. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work that establishes the linear convergence rate for the variance-reduced stochastic gradient algorithms on solving both constrained and regularized problems without strong convexity.


Analysis of Microarray Data using Artificial Intelligence Based Techniques

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The bioinformatics is an interdisciplinary area of study where one of the objectives is to deal with the analysis and interpretation of large sets of data generated from various large-scale biological experiments. The example of one such large-scale biological experiment is measuring the expression levels of tens of thousands of genes simultaneously under some environmental condition. Microarray is one of the essential technologies used by the biologist to measure genome-wide expression levels of genes in a particular organism. As microarrays technologies have become more prevalent, the challenges 1 associated with collecting, managing, and analyzing the data from each experiment have essentially increased. Robust laboratory protocols, improved understanding of the complex experimental design and falling prices of commercial platforms, all these have combined to drive the field to more complex experiments, generating huge amounts of data (Brazma and Vilo, 2000).