Statistical Learning
Robust Complex Behaviour Modeling at 90Hz
Kong, Xiangyu (Peking University) | Wang, Yizhou (Peking University) | Xiang, Tao (Queen Mary College, University of London)
Modeling complex crowd behaviour for tasks such as rare event detection has received increasing interest. However, existing methods are limited because (1) they are sensitive to noise often resulting in a large number of false alarms; and (2) they rely on elaborate models leading to high computational cost thus unsuitable for processing a large number of video inputs in real-time. In this paper, we overcome these limitations by introducing a novel complex behaviour modeling framework, which consists of a Binarized Cumulative Directional (BCD) feature as representation, novel spatial and temporal context modeling via an iterative correlation maximization, and a set of behaviour models, each being a simple Bernoulli distribution. Despite its simplicity, our experiments on three benchmark datasets show that it significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art for both temporal video segmentation and rare event detection. Importantly, it is extremely efficient โ reaches 90Hz on a normal PC platform using MATLAB.
A Probabilistic Approach to Knowledge Translation
Jiang, Shangpu (University of Oregon) | Lowd, Daniel (University of Oregon) | Dou, Dejing (University of Oregon )
In this paper, we focus on a novel knowledge reuse scenario where the knowledge in the source schema needs to be translated to a semantically heterogeneous target schema. We refer to this task as โknowledge translationโ (KT). Unlike data translation and transfer learning, KT does not require any data from the source or target schema. We adopt a probabilistic approach to KT by representing the knowledge in the source schema, the mapping between the source and target schemas, and the resulting knowledge in the target schema all as probability distributions, specially using Markov random fields and Markov logic networks. Given the source knowledge and mappings, we use standard learning and inference algorithms for probabilistic graphical models to find an explicit probability distribution in the target schema that minimizes the Kullback-Leibler divergence from the implicit distribution. This gives us a compact probabilistic model that represents knowledge from the source schema as well as possible, respecting the uncertainty in both the source knowledge and the mapping. In experiments on both propositional and relational domains, we find that the knowledge obtained by KT is comparable to other approaches that require data, demonstrating that knowledge can be reused without data.
SentiCap: Generating Image Descriptions with Sentiments
Mathews, Alexander Patrick (Australian National University) | Xie, Lexing (Australian National University and National ICT Australia) | He, Xuming (Australian National University and National ICT Australia)
The recent progress on image recognition and language modeling is making automatic description of image content a reality. However, stylized, non-factual aspects of the written description are missing from the current systems. One such style is descriptions with emotions, which is commonplace in everyday communication, and influences decision-making and interpersonal relationships. We design a system to describe an image with emotions, and present a model that automatically generates captions with positive or negative sentiments. We propose a novel switching recurrent neural network with word-level regularization, which is able to produce emotional image captions using only 2000+ training sentences containing sentiments. We evaluate the captions with different automatic and crowd-sourcing metrics. Our model compares favourably in common quality metrics for image captioning. In 84.6% of cases the generated positive captions were judged as being at least as descriptive as the factual captions. Of these positive captions 88% were confirmed by the crowd-sourced workers as having the appropriate sentiment.
A Framework for Outlier Description Using Constraint Programming
Kuo, Chia-Tung (University of California, Davis) | Davidson, Ian (University of California, Davis)
Outlier detection has been studied extensively and employed in diverse applications in the past decades. In this paper we formulate a related yet understudied problem which we call outlier description. This problem often arises in practice when we have a small number of data instances that had been identified to be outliers and we wish to explain why they are outliers. We propose a framework based on constraint programming to find an optimal subset of features that most differentiates the outliers and normal instances. We further demonstrate the framework offers great flexibility in incorporating diverse scenarios arising in practice such as multiple explanations and human in the loop extensions. We empirically evaluate our proposed framework on real datasets, including medical imaging and text corpus, and demonstrate how the results are useful and interpretable in these domains.
Tweet Timeline Generation with Determinantal Point Processes
Yao, Jin-ge (Peking University) | Fan, Feifan (Peking University) | Zhao, Wayne Xin (Renmin University of China) | Wan, Xiaojun (Peking University) | Chang, Edward (HTC Research) | Xiao, Jianguo (Peking University)
The task of tweet timeline generation (TTG) aims at selecting a small set of representative tweets to generate a meaningful timeline and providing enough coverage for a given topical query. This paper presents an approach based on determinantal point processes (DPPs) by jointly modeling the topical relevance of each selected tweet and overall selectional diversity. Aiming at better treatment for balancing relevance and diversity, we introduce two novel strategies, namely spectral rescaling and topical prior. Extensive experiments on the public TREC 2014 dataset demonstrate that our proposed DPP model along with the two strategies can achieve fairly competitive results against the state-of-the-art TTG systems.
Learning Adaptive Forecasting Models from Irregularly Sampled Multivariate Clinical Data
Liu, Zitao (University of Pittsburgh) | Hauskrecht, Milos (University of Pittsburgh)
Building accurate predictive models of clinical multivariate time series is crucial for understanding of the patient condition, the dynamics of a disease, and clinical decision making. A challenging aspect of this process is that the model should be flexible and adaptive to reflect well patient-specific temporal behaviors and this also in the case when the available patient-specific data are sparse and short span. To address this problem we propose and develop an adaptive two-stage forecasting approach for modeling multivariate, irregularly sampled clinical time series of varying lengths. The proposed model (1) learns the population trend from a collection of time series for past patients; (2) captures individual-specific short-term multivariate variability; and (3) adapts by automatically adjusting its predictions based on new observations. The proposed forecasting model is evaluated on a real-world clinical time series dataset. The results demonstrate that our approach is superior on the prediction tasks for multivariate, irregularly sampled clinical time series, and it outperforms both the population based and patient-specific time series prediction models in terms of prediction accuracy.
Efficient Learning of Timeseries Shapelets
Hou, Lu (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology) | Kwok, James T. (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology) | Zurada, Jacek M. (University of Louisville and University of Social Science)
In timeseries classification, shapelets are subsequences of timeseries with high discriminative power. Existing methods perform a combinatorial search for shapelet discovery. Even with speedup heuristics such as pruning, clustering, and dimensionality reduction, the search remains computationally expensive. In this paper, we take an entirely different approach and reformulate the shapelet discovery task as a numerical optimization problem. In particular, the shapelet positions are learned by combining the generalized eigenvector method and fused lasso regularizer to encourage a sparse and blocky solution. Extensive experimental results show that the proposed method is orders of magnitudes faster than the state-of-the-art shapelet-based methods, while achieving comparable or even better classification accuracy.
Learning Future Classifiers without Additional Data
Kumagai, Atsutoshi (NTT Corporation) | Iwata, Tomoharu (NTT Corporation)
We propose probabilistic models for predicting future classifiers given labeled data with timestamps collected until the current time. In some applications, the decision boundary changes over time. For example, in spam mail classification, spammers continuously create new spam mails to overcome spam filters, and therefore, the decision boundary that classifies spam or non-spam can vary. Existing methods require additional labeled and/or unlabeled data to learn a time-evolving decision boundary. However, collecting these data can be expensive or impossible. By incorporating time-series models to capture the dynamics of a decision boundary, the proposed model can predict future classifiers without additional data. We developed two learning algorithms for the proposed model on the basis of variational Bayesian inference. The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated with experiments using synthetic and real-world data sets.
A Word Embedding and a Josa Vector for Korean Unsupervised Semantic Role Induction
Nam, Kyeong-Min (Hallym Universitry) | Kim, Yu-Seop (Hallym Universitry)
We propose an unsupervised semantic role labeling method for Korean language, one of the agglutinative languages which have complicated suffix structures telling much of syntactic. First, we construct an argument embedding and then develop a indicator vector of the suffix such as a Josa. And, we construct an argument tuple by concatenating above two vectors. The role induction is performed by clustering the argument tuples.These method which achieves up to a 70.16% of F1-score and 75.85% of accuracy.
News Verification by Exploiting Conflicting Social Viewpoints in Microblogs
Jin, Zhiwei (Institute of Computing Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences) | Cao, Juan (Institute of Computing Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences) | Zhang, Yongdong (Institute of Computing Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences) | Luo, Jiebo (University of Rochester)
Fake news spreading in social media severely jeopardizes the veracity of online content. Fortunately, with the interactive and open features of microblogs, skeptical and opposing voices against fake news always arise along with it. The conflicting information, ignored by existing studies, is crucial for news verification. In this paper, we take advantage of this "wisdom of crowds" information to improve news verification by mining conflicting viewpoints in microblogs. First, we discover conflicting viewpoints in news tweets with a topic model method. Based on identified tweets' viewpoints, we then build a credibility propagation network of tweets linked with supporting or opposing relations. Finally, with iterative deduction, the credibility propagation on the network generates the final evaluation result for news. Experiments conducted on a real-world data set show that the news verification performance of our approach significantly outperforms those of the baseline approaches.