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 Statistical Learning


Linear Convergence of Proximal Gradient Algorithm with Extrapolation for a Class of Nonconvex Nonsmooth Minimization Problems

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we study the proximal gradient algorithm with extrapolation for minimizing the sum of a Lipschitz differentiable function and a proper closed convex function. Under the error bound condition used in [19] for analyzing the convergence of the proximal gradient algorithm, we show that there exists a threshold such that if the extrapolation coefficients are chosen below this threshold, then the sequence generated converges $R$-linearly to a stationary point of the problem. Moreover, the corresponding sequence of objective values is also $R$-linearly convergent. In addition, the threshold reduces to $1$ for convex problems and, as a consequence, we obtain the $R$-linear convergence of the sequence generated by FISTA with fixed restart. Finally, we present some numerical experiments to illustrate our results.


On Regularization Parameter Estimation under Covariate Shift

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper identifies a problem with the usual procedure for L2-regularization parameter estimation in a domain adaptation setting. In such a setting, there are differences between the distributions generating the training data (source domain) and the test data (target domain). The usual cross-validation procedure requires validation data, which can not be obtained from the unlabeled target data. The problem is that if one decides to use source validation data, the regularization parameter is underestimated. One possible solution is to scale the source validation data through importance weighting, but we show that this correction is not sufficient. We conclude the paper with an empirical analysis of the effect of several importance weight estimators on the estimation of the regularization parameter.


gLOP: the global and Local Penalty for Capturing Predictive Heterogeneity

arXiv.org Machine Learning

When faced with a supervised learning problem, we hope to have rich enough data to build a model that predicts future instances well. However, in practice, problems can exhibit predictive heterogeneity: most instances might be relatively easy to predict, while others might be predictive outliers for which a model trained on the entire dataset does not perform well. Identifying these can help focus future data collection. We present gLOP, the global and Local Penalty, a framework for capturing predictive heterogeneity and identifying predictive outliers. gLOP is based on penalized regression for multitask learning, which improves learning by leveraging training signal information from related tasks. We give two optimization algorithms for gLOP, one space-efficient, and another giving the full regularization path. We also characterize uniqueness in terms of the data and tuning parameters, and present empirical results on synthetic data and on two health research problems.


The Phylogenetic LASSO and the Microbiome

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Scientific investigations that incorporate next generation sequencing involve analyses of high-dimensional data where the need to organize, collate and interpret the outcomes are pressingly important. Currently, data can be collected at the microbiome level leading to the possibility of personalized medicine whereby treatments can be tailored at this scale. In this paper, we lay down a statistical framework for this type of analysis with a view toward synthesis of products tailored to individual patients. Although the paper applies the technique to data for a particular infectious disease, the methodology is sufficiently rich to be expanded to other problems in medicine, especially those in which coincident `-omics' covariates and clinical responses are simultaneously captured.


Polynomial Networks and Factorization Machines: New Insights and Efficient Training Algorithms

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Polynomial networks and factorization machines are two recently-proposed models that can efficiently use feature interactions in classification and regression tasks. In this paper, we revisit both models from a unified perspective. Based on this new view, we study the properties of both models and propose new efficient training algorithms. Key to our approach is to cast parameter learning as a low-rank symmetric tensor estimation problem, which we solve by multi-convex optimization. We demonstrate our approach on regression and recommender system tasks.


A Non-Parametric Control Chart For High Frequency Multivariate Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Support Vector Data Description (SVDD) is a machine learning technique used for single class classification and outlier detection. SVDD based K-chart was first introduced by Sun and Tsung for monitoring multivariate processes when underlying distribution of process parameters or quality characteristics depart from Normality. The method first trains a SVDD model on data obtained from stable or in-control operations of the process to obtain a threshold $R^2$ and kernel center a. For each new observation, its Kernel distance from the Kernel center a is calculated. The kernel distance is compared against the threshold $R^2$ to determine if the observation is within the control limits. The non-parametric K-chart provides an attractive alternative to the traditional control charts such as the Hotelling's $T^2$ charts when distribution of the underlying multivariate data is either non-normal or is unknown. But there are challenges when K-chart is deployed in practice. The K-chart requires calculating kernel distance of each new observation but there are no guidelines on how to interpret the kernel distance plot and infer about shifts in process mean or changes in process variation. This limits the application of K-charts in big-data applications such as equipment health monitoring, where observations are generated at a very high frequency. In this scenario, the analyst using the K-chart is inundated with kernel distance results at a very high frequency, generally without any recourse for detecting presence of any assignable causes of variation. We propose a new SVDD based control chart, called as $K_T$ chart, which addresses challenges encountered when using K-chart for big-data applications. The $K_T$ charts can be used to simultaneously track process variation and central tendency. We illustrate the successful use of $K_T$ chart using the Tennessee Eastman process data.


Preterm Birth Prediction: Deriving Stable and Interpretable Rules from High Dimensional Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Preterm births occur at an alarming rate of 10-15%. Preemies have a higher risk of infant mortality, developmental retardation and long-term disabilities. Predicting preterm birth is difficult, even for the most experienced clinicians. The most well-designed clinical study thus far reaches a modest sensitivity of 18.2-24.2% at specificity of 28.6-33.3%. We take a different approach by exploiting databases of normal hospital operations. We aims are twofold: (i) to derive an easy-to-use, interpretable prediction rule with quantified uncertainties, and (ii) to construct accurate classifiers for preterm birth prediction. Our approach is to automatically generate and select from hundreds (if not thousands) of possible predictors using stability-aware techniques. Derived from a large database of 15,814 women, our simplified prediction rule with only 10 items has sensitivity of 62.3% at specificity of 81.5%.


Asymptotic properties of Principal Component Analysis and shrinkage-bias adjustment under the Generalized Spiked Population model

arXiv.org Machine Learning

With the development of high-throughput technologies, principal component analysis (PCA) in the high-dimensional regime is of great interest. Most of the existing theoretical and methodological results for high-dimensional PCA are based on the spiked population model in which all the population eigenvalues are equal except for a few large ones. Due to the presence of local correlation among features, however, this assumption may not be satisfied in many real-world datasets. To address this issue, we investigated the asymptotic behaviors of PCA under the generalized spiked population model. Based on the theoretical results, we proposed a series of methods for the consistent estimation of population eigenvalues, angles between the sample and population eigenvectors, correlation coefficients between the sample and population principal component (PC) scores, and the shrinkage bias adjustment for the predicted PC scores. Using numerical experiments and real data examples from the genetics literature, we showed that our methods can greatly reduce bias and improve prediction accuracy.


Limit theorems for eigenvectors of the normalized Laplacian for random graphs

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Statistical inference on graphs is a burgeoning field of research in machine learning and statistics, with numerous applications to social network, neuroscience, etc. Many statistical inference procedures for graphs involve a preprocessing step of finding a representation of the vertices as points in some low-dimensional Euclidean space. This representation is usually given by the truncated eigendecomposition of the adjacency matrix or related matrices such as the combinatorial Laplacian or the normalized Laplacian. For example, given a point cloud lying in some purported low-dimensional manifold in a high-dimensional ambient space, many manifold learning or nonlinear dimension reduction algorithms such as Laplacian eigenmaps [5] and diffusion maps [15] use the eigenvectors of the normalized Laplacian constructed from a neighborhood graph of the points as a low-dimensional Euclidean representation of the point cloud before performing inference such as clustering or classification. Spectral clustering 1 algorithms such as the normalized cuts algorithm [35] proceed by embedding a graph into a low-dimensional Euclidean space followed by running K-means on the embedding to obtain a partitioning of the vertices.


Positive Definite Estimation of Large Covariance Matrix Using Generalized Nonconvex Penalties

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This work addresses the issue of large covariance matrix estimation in high-dimensional statistical analysis. Recently, improved iterative algorithms with positive-definite guarantee have been developed. However, these algorithms cannot be directly extended to use a nonconvex penalty for sparsity inducing. Generally, a nonconvex penalty has the capability of ameliorating the bias problem of the popular convex lasso penalty, and thus is more advantageous. In this work, we propose a class of positive-definite covariance estimators using generalized nonconvex penalties. We develop a first-order algorithm based on the alternating direction method framework to solve the nonconvex optimization problem efficiently. The convergence of this algorithm has been proved. Further, the statistical properties of the new estimators have been analyzed for generalized nonconvex penalties. Moreover, extension of this algorithm to covariance estimation from sketched measurements has been considered. The performances of the new estimators have been demonstrated by both a simulation study and a gene clustering example for tumor tissues. Code for the proposed estimators is available at https://github.com/FWen/Nonconvex-PDLCE.git.