Statistical Learning
Introduction to Logistic Regression in R
In my previous blog I have explained about linear regression. In today's post I will explain about logistic regression. Consider a scenario where we need to predict a medical condition of a patient (HBP),HAVE HIGH BP or NO HIGH BP, based on some observed symptoms – Age, weight, Issmoking, Systolic value, Diastolic value, RACE, etc.. In this scenario we have to build a model which takes the above mentioned symptoms as input values and HBP as response variable. Note that the response variable (HBP) is a value among a fixed set of classes, HAVE HIGH BP or NO HIGH BP.
Model Selection for Gaussian Process Regression by Approximation Set Coding
Fischer, Benjamin, Gorbach, Nico, Bauer, Stefan, Bian, Yatao, Buhmann, Joachim M.
Gaussian processes are powerful, yet analytically tractable models for supervised learning. A Gaussian process is characterized by a mean function and a covariance function (kernel), which are determined by a model selection criterion. The functions to be compared do not just differ in their parametrization but in their fundamental structure. It is often not clear which function structure to choose, for instance to decide between a squared exponential and a rational quadratic kernel. Based on the principle of approximation set coding, we develop a framework for model selection to rank kernels for Gaussian process regression. In our experiments approximation set coding shows promise to become a model selection criterion competitive with maximum evidence (also called marginal likelihood) and leave-one-out cross-validation.
Model evaluation, model selection, and algorithm selection in machine learning
In the previous article (Part I), we introduced the general ideas behind model evaluation in supervised machine learning. We discussed the holdout method, which helps us to deal with real world limitations such as limited access to new, labeled data for model evaluation. Using the holdout method, we split our dataset into two parts: A training and a test set. First, we provide the training data to a supervised learning algorithm. The learning algorithm builds a model from the training set of labeled observations.
Predictive Analytics For Dummies: Anasse Bari, Mohamed Chaouchi, Tommy Jung: 9781118728963: Amazon.com: Books
There is good content in this book, but its reliability is called into serious question by some very irritating and careless errors. In more than one place, the book gives a link for "extras" that are allegedly available. This link is invalid; there is no such page at the dummies.com This is so egregiously over the line that I am being generous in giving this book more than one star. How careless can you be not to ensure that a link on your own site works?
Bootstrap aggregating - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Bootstrap aggregating, also called bagging, is a machine learning ensemble meta-algorithm designed to improve the stability and accuracy of machine learning algorithms used in statistical classification and regression. It also reduces variance and helps to avoid overfitting. Although it is usually applied to decision tree methods, it can be used with any type of method. Bagging is a special case of the model averaging approach. Bagging (Bootstrap aggregating) was proposed by Leo Breiman in 1994 to improve the classification by combining classifications of randomly generated training sets.
Collective Robot Reinforcement Learning with Distributed Asynchronous Guided Policy Search
Yahya, Ali, Li, Adrian, Kalakrishnan, Mrinal, Chebotar, Yevgen, Levine, Sergey
In principle, reinforcement learning and policy search methods can enable robots to learn highly complex and general skills that may allow them to function amid the complexity and diversity of the real world. However, training a policy that generalizes well across a wide range of real-world conditions requires far greater quantity and diversity of experience than is practical to collect with a single robot. Fortunately, it is possible for multiple robots to share their experience with one another, and thereby, learn a policy collectively. In this work, we explore distributed and asynchronous policy learning as a means to achieve generalization and improved training times on challenging, real-world manipulation tasks. We propose a distributed and asynchronous version of Guided Policy Search and use it to demonstrate collective policy learning on a vision-based door opening task using four robots. We show that it achieves better generalization, utilization, and training times than the single robot alternative.
Data Integration with High Dimensionality
We consider a problem of data integration. Consider determining which genes affect a disease. The genes, which we call predictor objects, can be measured in different experiments on the same individual. We address the question of finding which genes are predictors of disease by any of the experiments. Our formulation is more general. In a given data set, there are a fixed number of responses for each individual, which may include a mix of discrete, binary and continuous variables. There is also a class of predictor objects, which may differ within a subject depending on how the predictor object is measured, i.e., depend on the experiment. The goal is to select which predictor objects affect any of the responses, where the number of such informative predictor objects or features tends to infinity as sample size increases. There are marginal likelihoods for each way the predictor object is measured, i.e., for each experiment. We specify a pseudolikelihood combining the marginal likelihoods, and propose a pseudolikelihood information criterion. Under regularity conditions, we establish selection consistency for the pseudolikelihood information criterion with unbounded true model size, which includes a Bayesian information criterion with appropriate penalty term as a special case. Simulations indicate that data integration improves upon, sometimes dramatically, using only one of the data sources.
Uniform Generalization, Concentration, and Adaptive Learning
One fundamental goal in any learning algorithm is to mitigate its risk for overfitting. Mathematically, this requires that the learning algorithm enjoys a small generalization risk, which is defined either in expectation or in probability. Both types of generalization are commonly used in the literature. For instance, generalization in expectation has been used to analyze algorithms, such as ridge regression and SGD, whereas generalization in probability is used in the VC theory, among others. Recently, a third notion of generalization has been studied, called uniform generalization, which requires that the generalization risk vanishes uniformly in expectation across all bounded parametric losses. It has been shown that uniform generalization is, in fact, equivalent to an information-theoretic stability constraint, and that it recovers classical results in learning theory. It is achievable under various settings, such as sample compression schemes, finite hypothesis spaces, finite domains, and differential privacy. However, the relationship between uniform generalization and concentration remained unknown. In this paper, we answer this question by proving that, while a generalization in expectation does not imply a generalization in probability, a uniform generalization in expectation does imply concentration. We establish a chain rule for the uniform generalization risk of the composition of hypotheses and use it to derive a large deviation bound. Finally, we prove that the bound is tight.
Curse of dimensionality - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The curse of dimensionality refers to various phenomena that arise when analyzing and organizing data in high-dimensional spaces (often with hundreds or thousands of dimensions) that do not occur in low-dimensional settings such as the three-dimensional physical space of everyday experience. The expression was coined by Richard E. Bellman when considering problems in dynamic optimization.[1][2] There are multiple phenomena referred to by this name in domains such as numerical analysis, sampling, combinatorics, machine learning, data mining, and databases. The common theme of these problems is that when the dimensionality increases, the volume of the space increases so fast that the available data become sparse. This sparsity is problematic for any method that requires statistical significance.
Data Science in Python: A tutorial to learning by doing with pandas
The Data Science team at Greenhouse Group is steadily growing and continuously changing. This also implies new Data Scientists and interns starting regularly. Each new Data Scientist we hire is unique and has a different set of skills. What they all have in common though is a strong analytical background and the practical ability to apply this on real business cases. The majority of our team for example studied Econometrics, a study which provides a strong foundation in probability theory and statistics. As the typical Data Scientist also has to work with lots of data, decent programming skills are a must-have.