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 Statistical Learning


tdeboissiere/DeepLearningImplementations

@machinelearnbot

This is a keras implementation of Improving Stochastic Gradient Descent With Feedback. Check this page for the authors' original implementation of Eve. Or copy the Eve class to keras/optimizers.py and use it as any other optimizer.


Questions and Answers on Machine Learning with R

#artificialintelligence

Recently, I did a webinar on Machine Learning and R. I received a number of questions during the presentation. Due to time constraints, I was unable to answer all of them, so I have provided the Question and Answers here. Question: Can I Use R in SQL Server to plot non-linear regression curves? We use IC50 and others in Michaelis-Menten kinetics for bio-chemical work. R running on SQL Server provides the functionality of standard CRAN R packages with the additional capability to run the SCALER functions provided by SQL Server's implementation of R. Any other functionality performed in R can therefore also be performed on SQL Server.


Noisy Data in Data Mining Soft Computing and Intelligent Information Systems

#artificialintelligence

This Website contains a short introduction to Noisy Data together with the more relevant bibliography and it also contains the complementary material to the SCI2S research group papers on Noisy Data in Data Mining.


Lauren Oldja, MSPH - Supervised Learning at the Movies

#artificialintelligence

For those following along here or on my Twitter account it's no secret that I am currently enrolled at Metis in their 12-week data science bootcamp, which marries the structure of daily morning problem solving with highly self-guided and project-based afternoons/evenings/weekends. The expectations are high, and the deadlines are "intentionally unfair", giving the three months a hackathon-lite vibe. Some projects featured on this blog, this post included, accompany projects completed and presented for Metis. For this project I scraped Box Office Mojo in order to build a predictive linear regression model. At first blush, predicting domestic box office gross is hardly worthy of machine learning: instinctively we know it must be a function of increasing marketing and production budgets.


Recursive Decomposition for Nonconvex Optimization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Continuous optimization is an important problem in many areas of AI, including vision, robotics, probabilistic inference, and machine learning. Unfortunately, most real-world optimization problems are nonconvex, causing standard convex techniques to find only local optima, even with extensions like random restarts and simulated annealing. We observe that, in many cases, the local modes of the objective function have combinatorial structure, and thus ideas from combinatorial optimization can be brought to bear. Based on this, we propose a problem-decomposition approach to nonconvex optimization. Similarly to DPLL-style SAT solvers and recursive conditioning in probabilistic inference, our algorithm, RDIS, recursively sets variables so as to simplify and decompose the objective function into approximately independent sub-functions, until the remaining functions are simple enough to be optimized by standard techniques like gradient descent. The variables to set are chosen by graph partitioning, ensuring decomposition whenever possible. We show analytically that RDIS can solve a broad class of nonconvex optimization problems exponentially faster than gradient descent with random restarts. Experimentally, RDIS outperforms standard techniques on problems like structure from motion and protein folding.


SGD with Variance Reduction beyond Empirical Risk Minimization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We introduce a doubly stochastic proximal gradient algorithm for optimizing a finite average of smooth convex functions, whose gradients depend on numerically expensive expectations. Our main motivation is the acceleration of the optimization of the regularized Cox partial-likelihood (the core model used in survival analysis), but our algorithm can be used in different settings as well. The proposed algorithm is doubly stochastic in the sense that gradient steps are done using stochastic gradient descent (SGD) with variance reduction, where the inner expectations are approximated by a Monte-Carlo Markov-Chain (MCMC) algorithm. We derive conditions on the MCMC number of iterations guaranteeing convergence, and obtain a linear rate of convergence under strong convexity and a sublinear rate without this assumption. We illustrate the fact that our algorithm improves the state-of-the-art solver for regularized Cox partial-likelihood on several datasets from survival analysis.


Group Regularized Estimation under Structural Hierarchy

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Variable selection for models including interactions between explanatory variables often needs to obey certain hierarchical constraints. The weak or strong structural hierarchy requires that the existence of an interaction term implies at least one or both associated main effects to be present in the model. Lately, this problem has attracted a lot of attention, but existing computational algorithms converge slow even with a moderate number of predictors. Moreover, in contrast to the rich literature on ordinary variable selection, there is a lack of statistical theory to show reasonably low error rates of hierarchical variable selection. This work investigates a new class of estimators that make use of multiple group penalties to capture structural parsimony. We give the minimax lower bounds for strong and weak hierarchical variable selection and show that the proposed estimators enjoy sharp rate oracle inequalities. A general-purpose algorithm is developed with guaranteed convergence and global optimality. Simulations and real data experiments demonstrate the efficiency and efficacy of the proposed approach.


On the Prediction Performance of the Lasso

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Although the Lasso has been extensively studied, the relationship between its prediction performance and the correlations of the covariates is not fully understood. In this paper, we give new insights into this relationship in the context of multiple linear regression. We show, in particular, that the incorporation of a simple correlation measure into the tuning parameter can lead to a nearly optimal prediction performance of the Lasso even for highly correlated covariates. However, we also reveal that for moderately correlated covariates, the prediction performance of the Lasso can be mediocre irrespective of the choice of the tuning parameter. We finally show that our results also lead to near-optimal rates for the least-squares estimator with total variation penalty.


How We Combined Different Methods to Create Advanced Time Series Prediction

@machinelearnbot

Today, businesses need to be able to predict demand and trends to stay in line with any sudden market changes and economy swings. This is exactly where forecasting tools, powered by Data Science, come into play, enabling organizations to successfully deal with strategic and capacity planning. Smart forecasting techniques can be used to reduce any possible risks and assist in making well-informed decisions. One of our customers, an enterprise from the Middle East, needed to predict their market demand for the upcoming twelve weeks. They required a market forecast to help them set their short-term objectives, such as production strategy, as well as assist in capacity planning and price control.


Data Analysis To Data Science

@machinelearnbot

Data analysis, one of the main requirements for Research has transformed into'Data Science' which is considered as one of the most important concepts in the current internet enabled scenario. May be it is for a different purpose, where the requirement of manpower in data analysis related issues is huge. Business decisions started moving towards data aided decisions and the availability of data and information infrastructure have created a situation where Statistics is termed as the sexiest job of the new century. An attempt is made to provide a concise account of the evolution of the concept'Data Science' over the last few years. With an expanding scenario in computing facilities as well as research efforts in various disciplines, the role of Statistics for data analysis either for experiment based data, primary sample data or secondary data gained enormous importance.