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 Statistical Learning


Counting-Based Reliability Estimation for Power-Transmission Grids

AAAI Conferences

Modern society is increasingly reliant on the functionality of infrastructure facilities and utility services. Consequently, there has been surge of interest in the problem of quantification of system reliability, which is known to be #P-complete. Reliability also contributes to the resilience of systems, so as to effectively make them bounce back after contingencies. Despite diverse progress, most techniques to estimate system reliability and resilience remain computationally expensive. In this paper, we investigate how recent advances in hashing-based approaches to counting can be exploited to improve computational techniques for system reliability.The primary contribution of this paper is a novel framework, RelNet, that reduces the problem of computing reliability for a given network to counting the number of satisfying assignments of a ฮฃ 1 1 formula, which is amenable to recent hashing-based techniques developed for counting satisfying assignments of SAT formula. We then apply RelNet to ten real world power-transmission grids across different cities in the U.S. and are able to obtain, to the best of our knowledge, the first theoretically sound a priori estimates of reliability between several pairs of nodes of interest. Such estimates will help managing uncertainty and support rational decision making for community resilience.


Regularization in Hierarchical Time Series Forecasting with Application to Electricity Smart Meter Data

AAAI Conferences

Accurate electricity demand forecast plays a key role in sustainable power systems. It enables better decision making in the planning of electricity generation and distribution for many use cases. The electricity demand data can often be represented in a hierarchical structure. For example, the electricity consumption of a whole country could be disaggregated by states, cities, and households. Hierarchical forecasts require not only good prediction accuracy at each level of the hierarchy, but also the consistency between different levels. State-of-the-art hierarchical forecasting methods usually apply adjustments on the individual level forecasts to satisfy the aggregation constraints. However, the high-dimensionality of the unpenalized regression problem and the estimation errors in the high-dimensional error covariance matrix can lead to increased variability in the revised forecasts with poor prediction performance. In order to provide more robustness to estimation errors in the adjustments, we present a new hierarchical forecasting algorithm that computes sparse adjustments while still preserving the aggregation constraints. We formulate the problem as a high-dimensional penalized regression, which can be efficiently solved using cyclical coordinate descent methods. We also conduct experiments using a large-scale hierarchical electricity demand data. The results confirm the effectiveness of our approach compared to state-of-the-art hierarchical forecasting methods, in both the sparsity of the adjustments and the prediction accuracy. The proposed approach to hierarchical forecasting could be useful for energy generation including solar and wind energy, as well as numerous other applications.


Efficient Object Instance Search Using Fuzzy Objects Matching

AAAI Conferences

Recently, global features aggregated from local convolutional features of the convolutional neural network have shown to be much more effective in comparison with hand-crafted features for image retrieval. However, the global feature might not effectively capture the relevance between the query object and reference images in the object instance search task, especially when the query object is relatively small and there exist multiple types of objects in reference images. Moreover, the object instance search requires to localize the object in the reference image, which may not be achieved through global representations. In this paper, we propose a Fuzzy Objects Matching (FOM) framework to effectively and efficiently capture the relevance between the query object and reference images in the dataset. In the proposed FOM scheme, object proposals are utilized to detect the potential regions of the query object in reference images. To achieve high search efficiency, we factorize the feature matrix of all the object proposals from one reference image into the product of a set of fuzzy objects and sparse codes. In addition, we refine the feature of the generated fuzzy objects according to its neighborhood in the feature space to generate more robust representation. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed FOM framework significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art methods in precision with less memory and computational cost on three public datasets.


Cross-View People Tracking by Scene-Centered Spatio-Temporal Parsing

AAAI Conferences

In this paper, we propose a Spatio-temporal Attributed Parse Graph (ST-APG) to integrate semantic attributes with trajectories for cross-view people tracking. Given videos from multiple cameras with overlapping field of view (FOV), our goal is to parse the videos and organize the trajectories of all targets into a scene-centered representation. We leverage rich semantic attributes of human, e.g., facing directions, postures and actions, to enhance cross-view tracklet associations, besides frequently used appearance and geometry features in the literature.In particular, the facing direction of a human in 3D, once detected, often coincides with his/her moving direction or trajectory. Similarly, the actions of humans, once recognized, provide strong cues for distinguishing one subject from the others. The inference is solved by iteratively grouping tracklets with cluster sampling and estimating people semantic attributes by dynamic programming.In experiments, we validate our method on one public dataset and create another new dataset that records people's daily life in public, e.g., food court, office reception and plaza, each of which includes 3-4 cameras. We evaluate the proposed method on these challenging videos and achieve promising multi-view tracking results.


Image Cosegmentation via Saliency-Guided Constrained Clustering with Cosine Similarity

AAAI Conferences

Cosegmentation jointly segments the common objects from multiple images. In this paper, a novel clustering algorithm, called Saliency-Guided Constrained Clustering approach with Cosine similarity (SGC3), is proposed for the image cosegmentation task, where the common foregrounds are extracted via a one-step clustering process. In our method, the unsupervised saliency prior is utilized as a partition-level side information to guide the clustering process. To guarantee the robustness to noise and outlier in the given prior, the similarities of instance-level and partition-level are jointly computed for cosegmentation. Specifically, we employ cosine distance to calculate the feature similarity between data point and its cluster centroid, and introduce a cosine utility function to measure the similarity between clustering result and the side information. These two parts are both based on the cosine similarity, which is able to capture the intrinsic structure of data, especially for the non-spherical cluster structure. Finally, a K-means-like optimization is designed to solve our objective function in an efficient way. Experimental results on two widely-used datasets demonstrate our approach achieves competitive performance over the state-of-the-art cosegmentation methods.


Privacy-Preserving Human Activity Recognition from Extreme Low Resolution

AAAI Conferences

Privacy protection from surreptitious video recordings is an important societal challenge. We desire a computer vision system (e.g., a robot) that can recognize human activities and assist our daily life, yet ensure that it is not recording video that may invade our privacy. This paper presents a fundamental approach to address such contradicting objectives: human activity recognition while only using extreme low-resolution (e.g., 16x12) anonymized videos. We introduce the paradigm of inverse super resolution (ISR), the concept of learning the optimal set of image transformations to generate multiple low-resolution (LR) training videos from a single video. Our ISR learns different types of sub-pixel transformations optimized for the activity classification, allowing the classifier to best take advantage of existing high-resolution videos (e.g., YouTube videos) by creating multiple LR training videos tailored for the problem. We experimentally confirm that the paradigm of inverse super resolution is able to benefit activity recognition from extreme low-resolution videos.


Non-Rigid Point Set Registration with Robust Transformation Estimation under Manifold Regularization

AAAI Conferences

In this paper, we propose a robust transformation estimation method based on manifold regularization for non-rigid point set registration. The method iteratively recovers the point correspondence and estimates the spatial transformation between two point sets. The correspondence is established based on existing local feature descriptors which typically results in a number of outliers. To achieve an accurate estimate of the transformation from such putative point correspondence, we formulate the registration problem by a mixture model with a set of latent variables introduced to identify outliers, and a prior involving manifold regularization is imposed on the transformation to capture the underlying intrinsic geometry of the input data. The non-rigid transformation is specified in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space and a sparse approximation is adopted to achieve a fast implementation. Extensive experiments on both 2D and 3D data demonstrate that our method can yield superior results compared to other state-of-the-arts, especially in case of badly degraded data.


Boosting Complementary Hash Tables for Fast Nearest Neighbor Search

AAAI Conferences

Hashing has been proven a promising technique for fast nearest neighbor search over massive databases. In many practical tasks it usually builds multiple hash tables for a desired level of recall performance. However, existing multi-table hashing methods suffer from the heavy table redundancy, without strong table complementarity and effective hash code learning. To address the problem, this paper proposes a multi-table learning method which pursues a specified number of complementary and informative hash tables from a perspective of ensemble learning. By regarding each hash table as a neighbor prediction model, the multi-table search procedure boils down to a linear assembly of predictions stemming from multiple tables. Therefore, a sequential updating and learning framework is naturally established in a boosting mechanism, theoretically guaranteeing the table complementarity and algorithmic convergence. Furthermore, each boosting round pursues the discriminative hash functions for each table by a discrete optimization in the binary code space. Extensive experiments carried out on two popular tasks including Euclidean and semantic nearest neighbor search demonstrate that the proposed boosted complementary hash-tables method enjoys the strong table complementarity and significantly outperforms the state-of-the-arts.


A Multiview-Based Parameter Free Framework for Group Detection

AAAI Conferences

Group detection is fundamentally important for analyzing crowd behaviors, and has attracted plenty of attention in artificial intelligence. However, existing works mostly have limitations due to the insufficient utilization of crowd properties and the arbitrary processing of individuals. In this paper,we propose the Multiview-based Parameter Free (MPF) approach to detect groups in crowd scenes. The main contributions made in this study are threefold: (1) a new structural context descriptor is designed to characterize the structural property of individuals in crowd motions; (2) an self-weighted multiview clustering method is proposed to cluster feature points by incorporating their motion and context similarities;(3) a novel framework is introduced for group detection, which is able to determine the group number automatically without any parameter or threshold to be tuned. Extensive experiments on various real world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach, and show its superiority against state-of-the-art group detection techniques.


Image Caption with Global-Local Attention

AAAI Conferences

Image caption is becoming important in the field of artificial intelligence. Most existing methods based on CNN-RNN framework suffer from the problems of object missing and misprediction due to the mere use of global representation at image-level. To address these problems, in this paper, we propose a global-local attention (GLA) method by integrating local representation at object-level with global representation at image-level through attention mechanism. Thus, our proposed method can pay more attention to how to predict the salient objects more precisely with high recall while keeping context information at image-level cocurrently. Therefore, our proposed GLA method can generate more relevant sentences, and achieve the state-of-the-art performance on the well-known Microsoft COCO caption dataset with several popular metrics.