Statistical Learning
Text Clustering: Get quick insights from Unstructured Data
In this two-part series, we will explore text clustering and how to get insights from unstructured data. It will be quite powerful and industrial strength. The first part will focus on the motivation. The second part will be about implementation. This post is the first part of the two-part series on how to get insights from unstructured data using text clustering.
Bolt: Accelerated Data Mining with Fast Vector Compression
Blalock, Davis W, Guttag, John V
Vectors of data are at the heart of machine learning and data mining. Recently, vector quantization methods have shown great promise in reducing both the time and space costs of operating on vectors. We introduce a vector quantization algorithm that can compress vectors over 12x faster than existing techniques while also accelerating approximate vector operations such as distance and dot product computations by up to 10x. Because it can encode over 2GB of vectors per second, it makes vector quantization cheap enough to employ in many more circumstances. For example, using our technique to compute approximate dot products in a nested loop can multiply matrices faster than a state-of-the-art BLAS implementation, even when our algorithm must first compress the matrices. In addition to showing the above speedups, we demonstrate that our approach can accelerate nearest neighbor search and maximum inner product search by over 100x compared to floating point operations and up to 10x compared to other vector quantization methods. Our approximate Euclidean distance and dot product computations are not only faster than those of related algorithms with slower encodings, but also faster than Hamming distance computations, which have direct hardware support on the tested platforms. We also assess the errors of our algorithm's approximate distances and dot products, and find that it is competitive with existing, slower vector quantization algorithms.
Nuclear penalized multinomial regression with an application to predicting at bat outcomes in baseball
Powers, Scott, Hastie, Trevor, Tibshirani, Robert
We propose the nuclear norm penalty as an alternative to the ridge penalty for regularized multinomial regression. This convex relaxation of reduced-rank multinomial regression has the advantage of leveraging underlying structure among the response categories to make better predictions. We apply our method, nuclear penalized multinomial regression (NPMR), to Major League Baseball play-by-play data to predict outcome probabilities based on batter-pitcher matchups. The interpretation of the results meshes well with subject-area expertise and also suggests a novel understanding of what differentiates players.
Representations of language in a model of visually grounded speech signal
Chrupała, Grzegorz, Gelderloos, Lieke, Alishahi, Afra
We present a visually grounded model of speech perception which projects spoken utterances and images to a joint semantic space. We use a multi-layer recurrent highway network to model the temporal nature of spoken speech, and show that it learns to extract both form and meaning-based linguistic knowledge from the input signal. We carry out an in-depth analysis of the representations used by different components of the trained model and show that encoding of semantic aspects tends to become richer as we go up the hierarchy of layers, whereas encoding of form-related aspects of the language input tends to initially increase and then plateau or decrease.
Optimization Methods for Supervised Machine Learning: From Linear Models to Deep Learning
Curtis, Frank E., Scheinberg, Katya
The goal of this tutorial is to introduce key models, algorithms, and open questions related to the use of optimization methods for solving problems arising in machine learning. It is written with an INFORMS audience in mind, specifically those readers who are familiar with the basics of optimization algorithms, but less familiar with machine learning. We begin by deriving a formulation of a supervised learning problem and show how it leads to various optimization problems, depending on the context and underlying assumptions. We then discuss some of the distinctive features of these optimization problems, focusing on the examples of logistic regression and the training of deep neural networks. The latter half of the tutorial focuses on optimization algorithms, first for convex logistic regression, for which we discuss the use of first-order methods, the stochastic gradient method, variance reducing stochastic methods, and second-order methods. Finally, we discuss how these approaches can be employed to the training of deep neural networks, emphasizing the difficulties that arise from the complex, nonconvex structure of these models.
Collaborative-controlled LASSO for Constructing Propensity Score-based Estimators in High-Dimensional Data
Ju, Cheng, Wyss, Richard, Franklin, Jessica M., Schneeweiss, Sebastian, Häggström, Jenny, van der Laan, Mark J.
Propensity score (PS) based estimators are increasingly used for causal inference in observational studies. However, model selection for PS estimation in high-dimensional data has received little attention. In these settings, PS models have traditionally been selected based on the goodness-of-fit for the treatment mechanism itself, without consideration of the causal parameter of interest. Collaborative minimum loss-based estimation (C-TMLE) is a novel methodology for causal inference that takes into account information on the causal parameter of interest when selecting a PS model. This "collaborative learning" considers variable associations with both treatment and outcome when selecting a PS model in order to minimize a bias-variance trade off in the estimated treatment effect. In this study, we introduce a novel approach for collaborative model selection when using the LASSO estimator for PS estimation in high-dimensional covariate settings. To demonstrate the importance of selecting the PS model collaboratively, we designed quasi-experiments based on a real electronic healthcare database, where only the potential outcomes were manually generated, and the treatment and baseline covariates remained unchanged. Results showed that the C-TMLE algorithm outperformed other competing estimators for both point estimation and confidence interval coverage. In addition, the PS model selected by C-TMLE could be applied to other PS-based estimators, which also resulted in substantive improvement for both point estimation and confidence interval coverage. We illustrate the discussed concepts through an empirical example comparing the effects of non-selective nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs with selective COX-2 inhibitors on gastrointestinal complications in a population of Medicare beneficiaries.
An Expectation-Maximization Algorithm for the Fractal Inverse Problem
Bloem, Peter, de Rooij, Steven
Peter Bloem Knowledge Representation and Reasoning Group VU University Amsterdam De Boelelaan 1105, 1081 HV Amsterdam, NL Steven de Rooij † Mathematical Institute University of Leiden Niels Bohrweg 1, 2333 CA Leiden, NL (Dated: February 9, 2018) We present an Expectation-Maximization algorithm for the fractal inverse problem: the problem of fitting a fractal model to data. In our setting the fractals are Iterated Function Systems (IFS), with similitudes as the family of transformations. The data is a point cloud in R H with arbitrary dimensionH . Each IFS defines a probability distribution on R H, so that the fractal inverse problem can be cast as a problem of parameter estimation. We show that the algorithm reconstructs well-known fractals from data, with the model converging to high precision parameters. We also show the utility of the model as an approximation for datasources outside the IFS model class.
Probabilistic Line Searches for Stochastic Optimization
Mahsereci, Maren, Hennig, Philipp
In deterministic optimization, line searches are a standard tool ensuring stability and efficiency. Where only stochastic gradients are available, no direct equivalent has so far been formulated, because uncertain gradients do not allow for a strict sequence of decisions collapsing the search space. We construct a probabilistic line search by combining the structure of existing deterministic methods with notions from Bayesian optimization. Our method retains a Gaussian process surrogate of the univariate optimization objective, and uses a probabilistic belief over the Wolfe conditions to monitor the descent. The algorithm has very low computational cost, and no user-controlled parameters. Experiments show that it effectively removes the need to define a learning rate for stochastic gradient descent.
Likelihood Inflating Sampling Algorithm
Entezari, Reihaneh, Craiu, Radu V., Rosenthal, Jeffrey S.
Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling from a posterior distribution corresponding to a massive data set can be computationally prohibitive since producing one sample requires a number of operations that is linear in the data size. In this paper, we introduce a new communication-free parallel method, the Likelihood Inflating Sampling Algorithm (LISA), that significantly reduces computational costs by randomly splitting the dataset into smaller subsets and running MCMC methods independently in parallel on each subset using different processors. Each processor will be used to run an MCMC chain that samples sub-posterior distributions which are defined using an "inflated" likelihood function. We develop a strategy for combining the draws from different sub-posteriors to study the full posterior of the Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) model. The performance of the method is tested using both simulated and real data.