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 Statistical Learning


Hierarchically Compositional Kernels for Scalable Nonparametric Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose a novel class of kernels to alleviate the high computational cost of large-scale nonparametric learning with kernel methods. The proposed kernel is defined based on a hierarchical partitioning of the underlying data domain, where the Nystr\"om method (a globally low-rank approximation) is married with a locally lossless approximation in a hierarchical fashion. The kernel maintains (strict) positive-definiteness. The corresponding kernel matrix admits a recursively off-diagonal low-rank structure, which allows for fast linear algebra computations. Suppressing the factor of data dimension, the memory and arithmetic complexities for training a regression or a classifier are reduced from $O(n^2)$ and $O(n^3)$ to $O(nr)$ and $O(nr^2)$, respectively, where $n$ is the number of training examples and $r$ is the rank on each level of the hierarchy. Although other randomized approximate kernels entail a similar complexity, empirical results show that the proposed kernel achieves a matching performance with a smaller $r$. We demonstrate comprehensive experiments to show the effective use of the proposed kernel on data sizes up to the order of millions.


Fixed effects testing in high-dimensional linear mixed models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Many scientific and engineering challenges -- ranging from pharmacokinetic drug dosage allocation and personalized medicine to marketing mix (4Ps) recommendations -- require an understanding of the unobserved heterogeneity in order to develop the best decision making-processes. In this paper, we develop a hypothesis test and the corresponding p-value for testing for the significance of the homogeneous structure in linear mixed models. A robust matching moment construction is used for creating a test that adapts to the size of the model sparsity. When unobserved heterogeneity at a cluster level is constant, we show that our test is both consistent and unbiased even when the dimension of the model is extremely high. Our theoretical results rely on a new family of adaptive sparse estimators of the fixed effects that do not require consistent estimation of the random effects. Moreover, our inference results do not require consistent model selection. We showcase that moment matching can be extended to nonlinear mixed effects models and to generalized linear mixed effects models. In numerical and real data experiments, we find that the developed method is extremely accurate, that it adapts to the size of the underlying model and is decidedly powerful in the presence of irrelevant covariates.


Evolving imputation strategies for missing data in classification problems with TPOT

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Intelligent Systems Group Univ. of the Basque Country (UPV/EHU) San Sebastian, Spain Missing data has a ubiquitous presence in real-life applications of machine learning techniques. Imputation methods are algorithms conceived for restoring missing values in the data, based on other entries in the database. The choice of the imputation method has an influence on the performance of the machine learning technique, e.g., it influences the accuracy of the classification algorithm applied to the data. Therefore, selecting and applying the right imputation method is important and usually requires a substantial amount of human intervention. In this paper we propose the use of genetic programming techniques to search for the right combination of imputation and classification algorithms. We build our work on the recently introduced Python-based TPOT library, and incorporate a heterogeneous set of imputation algorithms as part of the machine learning pipeline search. We show that genetic programming can automatically find increasingly better pipelines that include the most effective combinations of imputation methods, feature preprocessing, and classifiers for a variety of classification problems with missing data.


DC-Prophet: Predicting Catastrophic Machine Failures in DataCenters

arXiv.org Machine Learning

When will a server fail catastrophically in an industrial datacenter? Is it possible to forecast these failures so preventive actions can be taken to increase the reliability of a datacenter? To answer these questions, we have studied what are probably the largest, publicly available datacenter traces, containing more than 104 million events from 12,500 machines. Among these samples, we observe and categorize three types of machine failures, all of which are catastrophic and may lead to information loss, or even worse, reliability degradation of a datacenter. We further propose a two-stage framework-DC-Prophet-based on One-Class Support Vector Machine and Random Forest. DC-Prophet extracts surprising patterns and accurately predicts the next failure of a machine. Experimental results show that DC-Prophet achieves an AUC of 0.93 in predicting the next machine failure, and a F3-score of 0.88 (out of 1). On average, DC-Prophet outperforms other classical machine learning methods by 39.45% in F3-score.


Data Science Simplified Part 6: Model Selection Methods

@machinelearnbot

In the last article of this series, we had discussed multivariate linear regression model. Fernando creates a model that estimates the price of the car based on five input parameters. Fernando indeed has a better model. Yet, he wanted to select the best set of variables for input. The idea of model selection method is intuitive. How is an optimal model defined?


Machine Learning Applications in Credit Risk

#artificialintelligence

Typical decisions: โ€ข Grant credit/not to new applicants โ€ข Increasing/Decreasing spending limits โ€ข Increasing/Decreasing lending rates โ€ข What new products can be given to existing applicants? Step 2: Assign every entity to its closest medoid (using the distance matrix we have calculated). Step 3: For each cluster, identify the observation that would yield the lowest average distance if it were to be re-assigned as the medoid. If so, make this observation the new medoid. Step 4: If at least one medoid has changes, return to step 2. Otherwise, end the algorithm.


Semi-supervised emotion lexicon expansion with label propagation and specialized word embeddings

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

There exist two main approaches to automatically extract affective orientation: lexicon-based and corpus-based. In this work, we argue that these two methods are compatible and show that combining them can improve the accuracy of emotion classifiers. In particular, we introduce a novel variant of the Label Propagation algorithm that is tailored to distributed word representations, we apply batch gradient descent to accelerate the optimization of label propagation and to make the optimization feasible for large graphs, and we propose a reproducible method for emotion lexicon expansion. We conclude that label propagation can expand an emotion lexicon in a meaningful way and that the expanded emotion lexicon can be leveraged to improve the accuracy of an emotion classifier.


Sentiment Analysis by Joint Learning of Word Embeddings and Classifier

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Word embeddings are representations of individual words of a text document in a vector space and they are often use- ful for performing natural language pro- cessing tasks. Current state of the art al- gorithms for learning word embeddings learn vector representations from large corpora of text documents in an unsu- pervised fashion. This paper introduces SWESA (Supervised Word Embeddings for Sentiment Analysis), an algorithm for sentiment analysis via word embeddings. SWESA leverages document label infor- mation to learn vector representations of words from a modest corpus of text doc- uments by solving an optimization prob- lem that minimizes a cost function with respect to both word embeddings as well as classification accuracy. Analysis re- veals that SWESA provides an efficient way of estimating the dimension of the word embeddings that are to be learned. Experiments on several real world data sets show that SWESA has superior per- formance when compared to previously suggested approaches to word embeddings and sentiment analysis tasks.


Mahalanonbis Distance Informed by Clustering

arXiv.org Machine Learning

A fundamental question in data analysis, machine learning and signal processing is how to compare between data points. The choice of the distance metric is specifically challenging for high-dimensional data sets, where the problem of meaningfulness is more prominent (e.g. the Euclidean distance between images). In this paper, we propose to exploit a property of high-dimensional data that is usually ignored - which is the structure stemming from the relationships between the coordinates. Specifically we show that organizing similar coordinates in clusters can be exploited for the construction of the Mahalanobis distance between samples. When the observable samples are generated by a nonlinear transformation of hidden variables, the Mahalanobis distance allows the recovery of the Euclidean distances in the hidden space.We illustrate the advantage of our approach on a synthetic example where the discovery of clusters of correlated coordinates improves the estimation of the principal directions of the samples. Our method was applied to real data of gene expression for lung adenocarcinomas (lung cancer). By using the proposed metric we found a partition of subjects to risk groups with a good separation between their Kaplan-Meier survival plot.


Model-Based Multiple Instance Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

While Multiple Instance (MI) data are point patterns -- sets or multi-sets of unordered points -- appropriate statistical point pattern models have not been used in MI learning. This article proposes a framework for model-based MI learning using point process theory. Likelihood functions for point pattern data derived from point process theory enable principled yet conceptually transparent extensions of learning tasks, such as classification, novelty detection and clustering, to point pattern data. Furthermore, tractable point pattern models as well as solutions for learning and decision making from point pattern data are developed.