Recent years have witnessed the rapid development of block coordinate update (BCU) methods, which are particularly suitable for problems involving large-sized data and/or variables. In optimization, BCU first appears as the coordinate descent method that works well for smooth problems or those with separable nonsmooth terms and/or separable constraints. As nonseparable constraints exist, BCU can be applied under primal-dual settings. In the literature, it has been shown that for weakly convex problems with nonseparable linear constraint, BCU with fully Gauss-Seidel updating rule may fail to converge and that with fully Jacobian rule can converge sublinearly. However, empirically the method with Jacobian update is usually slower than that with Gauss-Seidel rule. To maintain their advantages, we propose a hybrid Jacobian and Gauss-Seidel BCU method for solving linearly constrained multi-block structured convex programming, where the objective may have a nonseparable quadratic term and separable nonsmooth terms. At each primal block variable update, the method approximates the augmented Lagrangian function at an affine combination of the previous two iterates, and the affinely mixing matrix with desired nice properties can be chosen through solving a semidefinite programming. We show that the hybrid method enjoys the theoretical convergence guarantee as Jacobian BCU. In addition, we numerically demonstrate that the method can perform as well as Gauss-Seidel method and better than a recently proposed randomized primal-dual BCU method.

Everyday, we depend on many systems and machines. We use a car to travel, a lift go up and down, and a plane to fly. Electricity comes through turbines and in a hospital machine keeps us alive. Some failures are an just an inconvenience, while others could mean life or death. When stakes are high, we perform regular maintenance on our systems.

There has never been a better time to get into machine learning. With the learning resources available online, free open-source tools with implementations of any algorithm imaginable, and the cheap availability of computing power through cloud services such as AWS, machine learning is truly a field that has been democratized by the internet. Anyone with access to a laptop and a willingness to learn can try out state-of-the-art algorithms in minutes. With a little more time, you can develop practical models to help in your daily life or at work (or better yet, switch into the machine learning field and reap the economic benefits). This post will walk you through an end-to-end implementation of the powerful random forest machine learning model.

Machine learning (ML) is touted as the most critical skill of current times. Artificial intelligence (AI), an application of ML, is becoming pervasive. From autonomous vehicles to self-tuned databases, AI and ML are found everywhere. Industry analysts often refer to AI-driven automation as the job killer. Almost every domain and industry vertical are getting impacted by AI and ML.

With the development of free, open-source machine learning and artificial intelligence tools like Google's TensorFlow and sci-kit learn, as well as "ML-as-a-service" products like Google's Cloud Prediction API and Microsoft's Azure Machine Learning platform, it's never been easier for companies of all sizes to harness the power of data. But machine learning is such a vast, complex field. Where do you start learning how to use it in your business? In this article, we'll survey the current landscape of machine learning algorithms and explain how they work, provide example applications, share how other companies use them, and provide further resources on learning about them. This executive overview will provide the first step in learning how to apply machine learning algorithm(s) to make your business more efficient, more effective, and more profitable.

Market Mix Modeling (MMM) is a technique which helps in quantifying the impact of several marketing inputs on sales or Market Share. The purpose of using MMM is to understand how much each marketing input contributes to sales, and how much to spend on each marketing input. MMM helps in the ascertaining the effectiveness of each marketing input in terms of Return on Investment. In other words, a marketing input with higher return on Investment (ROI) is more effective as a medium than a marketing input with a lower ROI. MMM uses the Regression technique and the analysis performed through Regression is further used for extracting key information/insights.

Clinical electroencephalographic (EEG) data varies significantly depending on a number of operational conditions (e.g., the type and placement of electrodes, the type of electrical grounding used). This investigation explores the statistical differences present in two different referential montages: Linked Ear (LE) and Averaged Reference (AR). Each of these accounts for approximately 45% of the data in the TUH EEG Corpus. In this study, we explore the impact this variability has on machine learning performance. We compare the statistical properties of features generated using these two montages, and explore the impact of performance on our standard Hidden Markov Model (HMM) based classification system. We show that a system trained on LE data significantly outperforms one trained only on AR data (77.2% vs. 61.4%). We also demonstrate that performance of a system trained on both data sets is somewhat compromised (71.4% vs. 77.2%). A statistical analysis of the data suggests that mean, variance and channel normalization should be considered. However, cepstral mean subtraction failed to produce an improvement in performance, suggesting that the impact of these statistical differences is subtler.

Transfer learning has recently attracted significant research attention, as it simultaneously learns from different source domains, which have plenty of labeled data, and transfers the relevant knowledge to the target domain with limited labeled data to improve the prediction performance. We propose a Bayesian transfer learning framework where the source and target domains are related through the joint prior density of the model parameters. The modeling of joint prior densities enables better understanding of the "transferability" between domains. We define a joint Wishart density for the precision matrices of the Gaussian feature-label distributions in the source and target domains to act like a bridge that transfers the useful information of the source domain to help classification in the target domain by improving the target posteriors. Using several theorems in multivariate statistics, the posteriors and posterior predictive densities are derived in closed forms with hypergeometric functions of matrix argument, leading to our novel closed-form and fast Optimal Bayesian Transfer Learning (OBTL) classifier. Experimental results on both synthetic and real-world benchmark data confirm the superb performance of the OBTL compared to the other state-of-the-art transfer learning and domain adaptation methods.

Predictive modelling and supervised learning are central to modern data science. With predictions from an ever-expanding number of supervised black-box strategies - e.g., kernel methods, random forests, deep learning aka neural networks - being employed as a basis for decision making processes, it is crucial to understand the statistical uncertainty associated with these predictions. As a general means to approach the issue, we present an overarching framework for black-box prediction strategies that not only predict the target but also their own predictions' uncertainty. Moreover, the framework allows for fair assessment and comparison of disparate prediction strategies. For this, we formally consider strategies capable of predicting full distributions from feature variables, so-called probabilistic supervised learning strategies. Our work draws from prior work including Bayesian statistics, information theory, and modern supervised machine learning, and in a novel synthesis leads to (a) new theoretical insights such as a probabilistic bias-variance decomposition and an entropic formulation of prediction, as well as to (b) new algorithms and meta-algorithms, such as composite prediction strategies, probabilistic boosting and bagging, and a probabilistic predictive independence test. Our black-box formulation also leads (c) to a new modular interface view on probabilistic supervised learning and a modelling workflow API design, which we have implemented in the newly released skpro machine learning toolbox, extending the familiar modelling interface and meta-modelling functionality of sklearn. The skpro package provides interfaces for construction, composition, and tuning of probabilistic supervised learning strategies, together with orchestration features for validation and comparison of any such strategy - be it frequentist, Bayesian, or other.

Application of fuzzy support vector machine in stock price forecast. Support vector machine is a new type of machine learning method proposed in 1990s. It can deal with classification and regression problems very successfully. Due to the excellent learning performance of support vector machine, the technology has become a hot research topic in the field of machine learning, and it has been successfully applied in many fields. However, as a new technology, there are many limitations to support vector machines. There is a large amount of fuzzy information in the objective world. If the training of support vector machine contains noise and fuzzy information, the performance of the support vector machine will become very weak and powerless. As the complexity of many factors influence the stock price prediction, the prediction results of traditional support vector machine cannot meet people with precision, this study improved the traditional support vector machine fuzzy prediction algorithm is proposed to improve the new model precision. NASDAQ Stock Market, Standard & Poor's (S&P) Stock market are considered. Novel advanced- fuzzy support vector machine (NA-FSVM) is the proposed methodology.