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 Statistical Learning


Incremental Learning-to-Learn with Statistical Guarantees

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In learning-to-learn the goal is to infer a learning algorithm that works well on a class of tasks sampled from an unknown meta distribution. In contrast to previous work on batch learning-to-learn, we consider a scenario where tasks are presented sequentially and the algorithm needs to adapt incrementally to improve its performance on future tasks. Key to this setting is for the algorithm to rapidly incorporate new observations into the model as they arrive, without keeping them in memory. We focus on the case where the underlying algorithm is ridge regression parameterized by a positive semidefinite matrix. We propose to learn this matrix by applying a stochastic strategy to minimize the empirical error incurred by ridge regression on future tasks sampled from the meta distribution. We study the statistical properties of the proposed algorithm and prove non-asymptotic bounds on its excess transfer risk, that is, the generalization performance on new tasks from the same meta distribution. We compare our online learning-to-learn approach with a state of the art batch method, both theoretically and empirically.


Conditional Variance Penalties and Domain Shift Robustness

arXiv.org Machine Learning

When training a deep network for image classification, one can broadly distinguish between two types of latent features of images that will drive the classification. Following the notation of Gong et al. (2016), we can divide latent features into (i) "core" features $X^\text{core}$ whose distribution $X^\text{core}\vert Y$ does not change substantially across domains and (ii) "style" features $X^{\text{style}}$ whose distribution $X^{\text{style}}\vert Y$ can change substantially across domains. These latter orthogonal features would generally include features such as rotation, image quality or brightness but also more complex ones like hair color or posture for images of persons. Guarding against future adversarial domain shifts implies that the influence of the second type of style features in the prediction has to be limited. We assume that the domain itself is not observed and hence a latent variable. We do assume, however, that we can sometimes observe a typically discrete identifier or $\mathrm{ID}$ variable. We know in some applications, for example, that two images show the same person, and $\mathrm{ID}$ then refers to the identity of the person. The method requires only a small fraction of images to have an $\mathrm{ID}$ variable. We group data samples if they share the same class and identifier $(Y,\mathrm{ID})=(y,\mathrm{id})$ and penalize the conditional variance of the prediction if we condition on $(Y,\mathrm{ID})$. Using this approach is shown to protect against shifts in the distribution of the style variables for both regression and classification models. Specifically, the conditional variance penalty CoRe is shown to be equivalent to minimizing the risk under noise interventions in a regression setting and is shown to lead to adversarial risk consistency in a partially linear classification setting.


Adaptive Estimation in Structured Factor Models with Applications to Overlapping Clustering

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This work introduces a novel estimation method, called LOVE, of the entries and structure of a loading matrix A in a sparse latent factor model X = AZ + E, for an observable random vector X in Rp, with correlated unobservable factors Z \in RK, with K unknown, and independent noise E. Each row of A is scaled and sparse. In order to identify the loading matrix A, we require the existence of pure variables, which are components of X that are associated, via A, with one and only one latent factor. Despite the fact that the number of factors K, the number of the pure variables, and their location are all unknown, we only require a mild condition on the covariance matrix of Z, and a minimum of only two pure variables per latent factor to show that A is uniquely defined, up to signed permutations. Our proofs for model identifiability are constructive, and lead to our novel estimation method of the number of factors and of the set of pure variables, from a sample of size n of observations on X. This is the first step of our LOVE algorithm, which is optimization-free, and has low computational complexity of order p2. The second step of LOVE is an easily implementable linear program that estimates A. We prove that the resulting estimator is minimax rate optimal up to logarithmic factors in p. The model structure is motivated by the problem of overlapping variable clustering, ubiquitous in data science. We define the population level clusters as groups of those components of X that are associated, via the sparse matrix A, with the same unobservable latent factor, and multi-factor association is allowed. Clusters are respectively anchored by the pure variables, and form overlapping sub-groups of the p-dimensional random vector X. The Latent model approach to OVErlapping clustering is reflected in the name of our algorithm, LOVE.


Discovering Relationships and their Structures Across Disparate Data Modalities

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Determining how certain properties are related to other properties is fundamental to scientific discovery. As data collection rates accelerate, it is becoming increasingly difficult yet ever more important to determine whether one property of data (e.g., cloud density) is related to another (e.g., grass wetness). Only if two properties are related are further investigations into the geometry of the relationship warranted. While existing approaches can test whether two properties are related, they may require unfeasibly large sample sizes in real data scenarios, and do not address how they are related. Our key insight is that one can adaptively restrict the analysis to the "jointly local" observations---that is, one can estimate the scales with the most informative neighbors for determining the existence and geometry of a relationship. "Multiscale Graph Correlation" (MGC) is a framework that extends global procedures to be multiscale; consequently, MGC tests typically require far fewer samples than existing methods for a wide variety of dependence structures and dimensionalities, while maintaining computational efficiency. Moreover, MGC provides a simple and elegant multiscale characterization of the potentially complex latent geometry underlying the relationship. In several real data applications, MGC uniquely detects the presence and reveals the geometry of the relationships.


Ricci Curvature and the Manifold Learning Problem

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Consider a sample of $n$ points taken i.i.d from a submanifold $\Sigma$ of Euclidean space. We show that there is a way to estimate the Ricci curvature of $\Sigma$ with respect to the induced metric from the sample. Our method is grounded in the notions of Carr\'e du Champ for diffusion semi-groups, the theory of Empirical processes and local Principal Component Analysis.


Which Machine Learning Platform Performs Best?

#artificialintelligence

The advent of automated machine learning platforms has expanded the access and availability of algorithmic interpretation over the past several years. But how do the different machine learning platforms stack up from a performance perspective? That's the question that researchers from Arizona State University sought to answer. As the market for machine learning platforms expands, users are naturally inclined to seek sources of information to rank and rate the various options that are available to them. Which systems are the easiest to use?


Machine Learning on DARWIN Datasets (MLD-I) Darwinex Blog

#artificialintelligence

Machine learning in essence, is the research and application of algorithms that help us better understand data. By leveraging statistical learning techniques from the realm of machine learning, practitioners are able to draw meaningful inferences from and turn data into actionable intelligence. Furthermore, the availability of several open source machine learning tools, platforms and libraries today enables absolutely anyone to break into this field, utilizing a plethora of powerful algorithms to discover exploitable patterns in data and predict future outcomes. This development in particular has given rise to a new wave of DIY retail traders, creating sophisticated trading strategies that compete (and in some cases, outperform others) in a space previously dominated by just institutional participants. In this introductory blog post, we will discuss supportive reasoning for, and different categories of machine learning.


Generating Redundant Features with Unsupervised Multi-Tree Genetic Programming

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recently, feature selection has become an increasingly important area of research due to the surge in high-dimensional datasets in all areas of modern life. A plethora of feature selection algorithms have been proposed, but it is difficult to truly analyse the quality of a given algorithm. Ideally, an algorithm would be evaluated by measuring how well it removes known bad features. Acquiring datasets with such features is inherently difficult, and so a common technique is to add synthetic bad features to an existing dataset. While adding noisy features is an easy task, it is very difficult to automatically add complex, redundant features. This work proposes one of the first approaches to generating redundant features, using a novel genetic programming approach. Initial experiments show that our proposed method can automatically create difficult, redundant features which have the potential to be used for creating high-quality feature selection benchmark datasets. Keywords: Genetic Programming, Feature Creation, Feature Construction, Feature Selection, Mutual Information, Evolutionary Computation 1 Introduction Feature Selection (FS) techniques aim to remove features from a dataset which are less useful than others.


Risk and parameter convergence of logistic regression

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The logistic loss is strictly convex and does not attain its infimum; consequently the solutions of logistic regression are in general off at infinity. This work provides a convergence analysis of gradient descent applied to logistic regression under no assumptions on the problem instance. Firstly, the risk is shown to converge at a rate $\mathcal{O}(\ln(t)^2/t)$. Secondly, the parameter convergence is characterized along a unique pair of complementary subspaces defined by the problem instance: one subspace along which strong convexity induces parameters to converge at rate $\mathcal{O}(\ln(t)^2/\sqrt{t})$, and its orthogonal complement along which separability induces parameters to converge in direction at rate $\mathcal{O}(\ln\ln(t) / \ln(t))$.


Sparse Reduced Rank Regression With Nonconvex Regularization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, the estimation problem for sparse reduced rank regression (SRRR) model is considered. The SRRR model is widely used for dimension reduction and variable selection with applications in signal processing, econometrics, etc. The problem is formulated to minimize the least squares loss with a sparsity-inducing penalty considering an orthogonality constraint. Convex sparsity-inducing functions have been used for SRRR in literature. In this work, a nonconvex function is proposed for better sparsity inducing. An efficient algorithm is developed based on the alternating minimization (or projection) method to solve the nonconvex optimization problem. Numerical simulations show that the proposed algorithm is much more efficient compared to the benchmark methods and the nonconvex function can result in a better estimation accuracy.