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 Statistical Learning


Non-Oscillatory Pattern Learning for Non-Stationary Signals

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper proposes a novel non-oscillatory pattern (NOP) learning scheme for several oscillatory data analysis problems including signal decomposition, super-resolution, and signal sub-sampling. To the best of our knowledge, the proposed NOP is the first algorithm for these problems with fully non-stationary oscillatory data with close and crossover frequencies, and general oscillatory patterns. NOP is capable of handling complicated situations while existing algorithms fail; even in simple cases, e.g., stationary cases with trigonometric patterns, numerical examples show that NOP admits competitive or better performance in terms of accuracy and robustness than several state-of-the-art algorithms.


Nonlinear ICA Using Auxiliary Variables and Generalized Contrastive Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

CBL U Cambridge, UK Nonlinear ICA is a fundamental problem for unsupervised representation learning, emphasizing the capacity to recover the underlying latent variables generating the data (i.e., identifiability). Recently, the very first identifiability proofs for nonlinear ICA have been proposed, leveraging the temporal structure of the independent components. Here, we propose a general framework for nonlinear ICA, which, as a special case, can make use of temporal structure. It is based on augmenting the data by an auxiliary variable, such as the time index, the history of the time series, or any other available information. We propose to learn nonlinear ICA by discriminating between true augmented data, or data in which the auxiliary variable has been randomized. This enables the framework to be implemented algorithmically through logistic regression, possibly in a neural network. We provide a comprehensive proof of the identifiability of the model as well as the consistency of our estimation method. The approach not only provides a general theoretical framework combining and generalizing previously proposed nonlinear ICA models and algorithms, but also brings practical advantages.


Multi-Statistic Approximate Bayesian Computation with Multi-Armed Bandits

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Approximate Bayesian computation is an established and popular method for likelihood-free inference with applications in many disciplines. The effectiveness of the method depends critically on the availability of well performing summary statistics. Summary statistic selection relies heavily on domain knowledge and carefully engineered features, and can be a laborious time consuming process. Since the method is sensitive to data dimensionality, the process of selecting summary statistics must balance the need to include informative statistics and the dimensionality of the feature vector. This paper proposes to treat the problem of dynamically selecting an appropriate summary statistic from a given pool of candidate summary statistics as a multi-armed bandit problem. This allows approximate Bayesian computation rejection sampling to dynamically focus on a distribution over well performing summary statistics as opposed to a fixed set of statistics. The proposed method is unique in that it does not require any pre-processing and is scalable to a large number of candidate statistics. This enables efficient use of a large library of possible time series summary statistics without prior feature engineering. The proposed approach is compared to state-of-the-art methods for summary statistics selection using a challenging test problem from the systems biology literature.


"Why Should I Trust Interactive Learners?" Explaining Interactive Queries of Classifiers to Users

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Although interactive learning puts the user into the loop, the learner remains mostly a black box for the user. Understanding the reasons behind queries and predictions is important when assessing how the learner works and, in turn, trust. Consequently, we propose the novel framework of explanatory interactive learning: in each step, the learner explains its interactive query to the user, and she queries of any active classifier for visualizing explanations of the corresponding predictions. We demonstrate that this can boost the predictive and explanatory powers of and the trust into the learned model, using text (e.g.


On Coresets for Logistic Regression

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Coresets are one of the central methods to facilitate the analysis of large data sets. We continue a recent line of research applying the theory of coresets to logistic regression. First, we show a negative result, namely, that no strongly sublinear sized coresets exist for logistic regression. To deal with intractable worst-case instances we introduce a complexity measure $\mu(X)$, which quantifies the hardness of compressing a data set for logistic regression. $\mu(X)$ has an intuitive statistical interpretation that may be of independent interest. For data sets with bounded $\mu(X)$-complexity, we show that a novel sensitivity sampling scheme produces the first provably sublinear $(1\pm\varepsilon)$-coreset. We illustrate the performance of our method by comparing to uniform sampling as well as to state of the art methods in the area. The experiments are conducted on real world benchmark data for logistic regression.


Gradient Energy Matching for Distributed Asynchronous Gradient Descent

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Distributed asynchronous SGD has become widely used for deep learning in large-scale systems, but remains notorious for its instability when increasing the number of workers. In this work, we study the dynamics of distributed asynchronous SGD under the lens of Lagrangian mechanics. Using this description, we introduce the concept of energy to describe the optimization process and derive a sufficient condition ensuring its stability as long as the collective energy induced by the active workers remains below the energy of a target synchronous process. Making use of this criterion, we derive a stable distributed asynchronous optimization procedure, GEM, that estimates and maintains the energy of the asynchronous system below or equal to the energy of sequential SGD with momentum. Experimental results highlight the stability and speedup of GEM compared to existing schemes, even when scaling to one hundred asynchronous workers. Results also indicate better generalization compared to the targeted SGD with momentum.


Conditional Network Embeddings

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Network embeddings map the nodes of a given network into $d$-dimensional Euclidean space $\mathbb{R}^d$. Ideally, this mapping is such that `similar' nodes are mapped onto nearby points, such that the embedding can be used for purposes such as link prediction (if `similar' means being `more likely to be connected') or classification (if `similar' means `being more likely to have the same label'). In recent years various methods for network embedding have been introduced. These methods all follow a similar strategy, defining a notion of similarity between nodes (typically deeming nodes more similar if they are nearby in the network in some metric), a distance measure in the embedding space, and minimizing a loss function that penalizes large distances for similar nodes or small distances for dissimilar nodes. A difficulty faced by existing methods is that certain networks are fundamentally hard to embed due to their structural properties, such as (approximate) multipartiteness, certain degree distributions, or certain kinds of assortativity. Overcoming this difficulty, we introduce a conceptual innovation to the literature on network embedding, proposing to create embeddings that maximally add information with respect to such structural properties (e.g. node degrees, block densities, etc.). We use a simple Bayesian approach to achieve this, and propose a block stochastic gradient descent algorithm for fitting it efficiently. Finally, we demonstrate that the combination of information such structural properties and a Euclidean embedding provides superior performance across a range of link prediction tasks. Moreover, we demonstrate the potential of our approach for network visualization.


Multi-task Maximum Entropy Inverse Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Multi-task Inverse Reinforcement Learning (IRL) is the problem of inferring multiple reward functions from expert demonstrations. Prior work, built on Bayesian IRL, is unable to scale to complex environments due to computational constraints. This paper contributes the first formulation of multi-task IRL in the more computationally efficient Maximum Causal Entropy (MCE) IRL framework. Experiments show our approach can perform one-shot imitation learning in a gridworld environment that single-task IRL algorithms require hundreds of demonstrations to solve. Furthermore, we outline how our formulation can be applied to state-of-the-art MCE IRL algorithms such as Guided Cost Learning. This extension, based on meta-learning, could enable multi-task IRL to be performed for the first time in high-dimensional, continuous state MDPs with unknown dynamics as commonly arise in robotics.


Adversarial Labeling for Learning without Labels

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We consider the task of training classifiers without labels. We propose a weakly supervised method---adversarial label learning---that trains classifiers to perform well against an adversary that chooses labels for training data. The weak supervision constrains what labels the adversary can choose. The method therefore minimizes an upper bound of the classifier's error rate using projected primal-dual subgradient descent. Minimizing this bound protects against bias and dependencies in the weak supervision. Experiments on three real datasets show that our method can train without labels and outperforms other approaches for weakly supervised learning.


Why Logistic Regression should be the last thing you learn when becoming a Data Scientist

@machinelearnbot

There are hundred of types of logistic regression, some for categorical variables, some with curious names such as Poisson regression. It is confusing for the expert, and even more for the beginner, and for your boss. If you transform your response (often a proportion or a binary response such as fraud or no fraud in this context) you can instead use a linear regression. While purists claim that an actual logistic regression is more precise (from a theoretical perspective), model precision is irrelevant: it is the quality of your data that matters. A model with 1% extra accuracy does not help if your data has 20% of noise, or your theoretical model is a rough approximation of the reality.