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 Statistical Learning


Likelihood-free inference with emulator networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) provides methods for Bayesian inference in simulation-based stochastic models which do not permit tractable likelihoods. We present a new ABC method which uses probabilistic neural emulator networks to learn synthetic likelihoods on simulated data - both'local' emulators which approximate the likelihood for specific observed data, as well as'global' ones which are applicable to a range of data. Simulations are chosen adaptively using an acquisition function which takes into account uncertainty about either the posterior distribution of interest, or the parameters of the emulator. Our approach does not rely on user-defined rejection thresholds or distance functions. We illustrate inference with emulator networks on synthetic examples and on a biophysical neuron model, and show that emulators allow accurate and efficient inference even on high-dimensional problems which are challenging for conventional ABC approaches.


Hierarchical Clustering with Structural Constraints

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Hierarchical clustering (HC) is a widely used data analysis tool, ubiquitous in information retrieval, data mining, and machine learning (see a survey by Berkhin [2006]). This clustering technique represents a given dataset as a binary tree; each leaf represents an individual data point and each internal node represents a cluster on the leaves of its descendants. HC has become the most popular method for gene expression data analysis Eisen et al. [1998], and also has been used in the analysis of social networks Leskovec et al. [2014], Mann et al. [2008], bioinformatics Diez et al. [2015], image and text classification Steinbach et al. [2000], and even in analysis of financial markets Tumminello et al. [2010]. It is attractive because it provides richer information at all levels of granularity simultaneously, compared to more traditional flat clustering approaches like k-means or k-median. Recently, Dasgupta [2016] formulated HC as a combinatorial optimization problem, giving a principled way to compare the performance of different HC algorithms. This optimization viewpoint has since received a lot of attention Roy and Pokutta [2016], Charikar and Chatziafratis [2017], Cohen-Addad et al. [2017], Moseley and Wang [2017], Cohen-Addad et al. [2018] that has led not only to the development of new algorithms but also to theoretical justifications for the observed success of popular HC algorithms (e.g.


Transfer Learning for Illustration Classification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The field of image classification has shown an outstanding success thanks to the development of deep learning techniques. Despite the great performance obtained, most of the work has focused on natural images ignoring other domains like artistic depictions. In this paper, we use transfer learning techniques to propose a new classification network with better performance in illustration images. Starting from the deep convolutional network VGG19, pre-trained with natural images, we propose two novel models which learn object representations in the new domain. Our optimized network will learn new low-level features of the images (colours, edges, textures) while keeping the knowledge of the objects and shapes that it already learned from the ImageNet dataset. Thus, requiring much less data for the training. We propose a novel dataset of illustration images labelled by content where our optimized architecture achieves $\textbf{86.61\%}$ of top-1 and $\textbf{97.21\%}$ of top-5 precision. We additionally demonstrate that our model is still able to recognize objects in photographs.


Phocas: dimensional Byzantine-resilient stochastic gradient descent

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose a novel robust aggregation rule for distributed synchronous Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) under a general Byzantine failure model. The attackers can arbitrarily manipulate the data transferred between the servers and the workers in the parameter server (PS) architecture. We prove the Byzantine resilience of the proposed aggregation rules. Empirical analysis shows that the proposed techniques outperform current approaches for realistic use cases and Byzantine attack scenarios.


Large Data and Zero Noise Limits of Graph-Based Semi-Supervised Learning Algorithms

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Scalings in which the graph Laplacian approaches a differential operator in the large graph limit are used to develop understanding of a number of algorithms for semi-supervised learning; in particular the extension, to this graph setting, of the probit algorithm, level set and kriging methods, are studied. Both optimization and Bayesian approaches are considered, based around a regularizing quadratic form found from an affine transformation of the Laplacian, raised to a, possibly fractional, exponent. Conditions on the parameters defining this quadratic form are identified under which well-defined limiting continuum analogues of the optimization and Bayesian semi-supervised learning problems may be found, thereby shedding light on the design of algorithms in the large graph setting. The large graph limits of the optimization formulations are tackled through $\Gamma$-convergence, using the recently introduced $TL^p$ metric. The small labelling noise limit of the Bayesian formulations are also identified, and contrasted with pre-existing harmonic function approaches to the problem.


Predictive Local Smoothness for Stochastic Gradient Methods

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Stochastic gradient methods are dominant in nonconvex optimization especially for deep models but have low asymptotical convergence due to the fixed smoothness. To address this problem, we propose a simple yet effective method for improving stochastic gradient methods named predictive local smoothness (PLS). First, we create a convergence condition to build a learning rate which varies adaptively with local smoothness. Second, the local smoothness can be predicted by the latest gradients. Third, we use the adaptive learning rate to update the stochastic gradients for exploring linear convergence rates. By applying the PLS method, we implement new variants of three popular algorithms: PLS-stochastic gradient descent (PLS-SGD), PLS-accelerated SGD (PLS-AccSGD), and PLS-AMSGrad. Moreover, we provide much simpler proofs to ensure their linear convergence. Empirical results show that the variants have better performance gains than the popular algorithms, such as, faster convergence and alleviating explosion and vanish of gradients.


Input and Weight Space Smoothing for Semi-supervised Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose regularizing the empirical loss for semi-supervised learning by acting on both the input (data) space, and the weight (parameter) space. We show that the two are not equivalent, and in fact are complementary, one affecting the minimality of the resulting representation, the other insensitivity to nuisance variability. We propose a method to perform such smoothing, which combines known input-space smoothing with a novel weight-space smoothing, based on a min-max (adversarial) optimization. The resulting Adversarial Block Coordinate Descent (ABCD) algorithm performs gradient ascent with a small learning rate for a random subset of the weights, and standard gradient descent on the remaining weights in the same mini-batch. It achieves comparable performance to the state-of-the-art without resorting to heavy data augmentation, using a relatively simple architecture.


Learning latent variable structured prediction models with Gaussian perturbations

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The standard margin-based structured prediction commonly uses a maximum loss over all possible structured outputs [23, 1, 5, 22]. The large-margin formulation including latent variables [27, 18] not only results in a non-convex formulation but also increases the search space by a factor of the size of the latent space. Recent work [11] has proposed the use of the maximum loss over random structured outputs sampled independently from some proposal distribution, with theoretical guarantees. We extend this work by including latent variables. We study a new family of loss functions under Gaussian perturbations and analyze the effect of the latent space on the generalization bounds. We show that the non-convexity of learning with latent variables originates naturally, as it relates to a tight upper bound of the Gibbs decoder distortion with respect to the latent space. Finally, we provide a formulation using random samples that produces a tighter upper bound of the Gibbs decoder distortion up to a statistical accuracy, which enables a faster evaluation of the objective function. We illustrate the method with synthetic experiments and a computer vision application.


Matrix Co-completion for Multi-label Classification with Missing Features and Labels

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider a challenging multi-label classification problem where both feature matrix $\X$ and label matrix $\Y$ have missing entries. An existing method concatenated $\X$ and $\Y$ as $[\X; \Y]$ and applied a matrix completion (MC) method to fill the missing entries, under the assumption that $[\X; \Y]$ is of low-rank. However, since entries of $\Y$ take binary values in the multi-label setting, it is unlikely that $\Y$ is of low-rank. Moreover, such assumption implies a linear relationship between $\X$ and $\Y$ which may not hold in practice. In this paper, we consider a latent matrix $\Z$ that produces the probability $\sigma(Z_{ij})$ of generating label $Y_{ij}$, where $\sigma(\cdot)$ is nonlinear. Considering label correlation, we assume $[\X; \Z]$ is of low-rank, and propose an MC algorithm based on subgradient descent named co-completion (COCO) motivated by elastic net and one-bit MC. We give a theoretical bound on the recovery effect of COCO and demonstrate its practical usefulness through experiments.


Neural networks for post-processing ensemble weather forecasts

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Ensemble weather predictions require statistical post-processing of systematic errors to obtain reliable and accurate probabilistic forecasts. Traditionally, this is accomplished with distributional regression models in which the parameters of a predictive distribution are estimated from a training period. We propose a flexible alternative based on neural networks that can incorporate nonlinear relationships between arbitrary predictor variables and forecast distribution parameters that are automatically learned in a data-driven way rather than requiring pre-specified link functions. In a case study of 2-meter temperature forecasts at surface stations in Germany, the neural network approach significantly outperforms benchmark post-processing methods while being computationally more affordable. Key components to this improvement are the use of auxiliary predictor variables and station-specific information with the help of embeddings. Furthermore, the trained neural network can be used to gain insight into the importance of meteorological variables thereby challenging the notion of neural networks as uninterpretable black boxes. Our approach can easily be extended to other statistical post-processing and forecasting problems. We anticipate that recent advances in deep learning combined with the ever-increasing amounts of model and observation data will transform the post-processing of numerical weather forecasts in the coming decade.