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 Statistical Learning


Hierarchical Clustering with Prior Knowledge

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Hierarchical clustering is a class of algorithms that seeks to build a hierarchy of clusters. It has been the dominant approach to constructing embedded classification schemes since it outputs dendrograms, which capture the hierarchical relationship among members at all levels of granularity, simultaneously. Being greedy in the algorithmic sense, a hierarchical clustering partitions data at every step solely based on a similarity / dissimilarity measure. The clustering results oftentimes depend on not only the distribution of the underlying data, but also the choice of dissimilarity measure and the clustering algorithm. In this paper, we propose a method to incorporate prior domain knowledge about entity relationship into the hierarchical clustering. Specifically, we use a distance function in ultrametric space to encode the external ontological information. We show that popular linkage-based algorithms can faithfully recover the encoded structure. Similar to some regularized machine learning techniques, we add this distance as a penalty term to the original pairwise distance to regulate the final structure of the dendrogram. As a case study, we applied this method on real data in the building of a customer behavior based product taxonomy for an Amazon service, leveraging the information from a larger Amazon-wide browse structure. The method is useful when one wants to leverage the relational information from external sources, or the data used to generate the distance matrix is noisy and sparse. Our work falls in the category of semi-supervised or constrained clustering.


An Estimation and Analysis Framework for the Rasch Model

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The Rasch model is widely used for item response analysis in applications ranging from recommender systems to psychology, education, and finance. While a number of estimators have been proposed for the Rasch model over the last decades, the available analytical performance guarantees are mostly asymptotic. This paper provides a framework that relies on a novel linear minimum mean-squared error (L-MMSE) estimator which enables an exact, nonasymptotic, and closed-form analysis of the parameter estimation error under the Rasch model. The proposed framework provides guidelines on the number of items and responses required to attain low estimation errors in tests or surveys. We furthermore demonstrate its efficacy on a number of real-world collaborative filtering datasets, which reveals that the proposed L-MMSE estimator performs on par with state-of-the-art nonlinear estimators in terms of predictive performance.


DIR-ST$^2$: Delineation of Imprecise Regions Using Spatio--Temporal--Textual Information

arXiv.org Machine Learning

An imprecise region is referred to as a geographical area without a clearly-defined boundary in the literature. Previous clustering-based approaches exploit spatial information to find such regions. However, the prior studies suffer from the following two problems: the subjectivity in selecting clustering parameters and the inclusion of a large portion of the undesirable region (i.e., a large number of noise points). To overcome these problems, we present DIR-ST$^2$, a novel framework for delineating an imprecise region by iteratively performing density-based clustering, namely DBSCAN, along with not only spatio--textual information but also temporal information on social media. Specifically, we aim at finding a proper radius of a circle used in the iterative DBSCAN process by gradually reducing the radius for each iteration in which the temporal information acquired from all resulting clusters are leveraged. Then, we propose an efficient and automated algorithm delineating the imprecise region via hierarchical clustering. Experiment results show that by virtue of the significant noise reduction in the region, our DIR-ST$^2$ method outperforms the state-of-the-art approach employing one-class support vector machine in terms of the $\mathcal{F}_1$ score from comparison with precisely-defined regions regarded as a ground truth, and returns apparently better delineation of imprecise regions. The computational complexity of DIR-ST$^2$ is also analytically and numerically shown.


A hybrid econometric-machine learning approach for relative importance analysis: Food inflation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

A measure of relative importance of variables is often desired by researchers when the explanatory aspects of econometric methods are of interest. To this end, the author briefly reviews the limitations of conventional econometrics in constructing a reliable measure of variable importance. The author highlights the relative stature of explanatory and predictive analysis in economics and the emergence of fruitful collaborations between econometrics and computer science. Learning lessons from both, the author proposes a hybrid approach based on conventional econometrics and advanced machine learning (ML) algorithms, which are otherwise, used in predictive analytics. The purpose of this article is two-fold, to propose a hybrid approach to assess relative importance and demonstrate its applicability in addressing policy priority issues with an example of food inflation in India, followed by a broader aim to introduce the possibility of conflation of ML and conventional econometrics to an audience of researchers in economics and social sciences, in general.


Explainable Recommendation via Multi-Task Learning in Opinionated Text Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Explaining automatically generated recommendations allows users to make more informed and accurate decisions about which results to utilize, and therefore improves their satisfaction. In this work, we develop a multi-task learning solution for explainable recommendation. Two companion learning tasks of user preference modeling for recommendation} and \textit{opinionated content modeling for explanation are integrated via a joint tensor factorization. As a result, the algorithm predicts not only a user's preference over a list of items, i.e., recommendation, but also how the user would appreciate a particular item at the feature level, i.e., opinionated textual explanation. Extensive experiments on two large collections of Amazon and Yelp reviews confirmed the effectiveness of our solution in both recommendation and explanation tasks, compared with several existing recommendation algorithms. And our extensive user study clearly demonstrates the practical value of the explainable recommendations generated by our algorithm.


A Taxonomy and Survey of Intrusion Detection System Design Techniques, Network Threats and Datasets

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

With the world moving towards being increasingly dependent on computers and automation, one of the main challenges in the current decade has been to build secure applications, systems and networks. Alongside these challenges, the number of threats is rising exponentially due to the attack surface increasing through numerous interfaces offered for each service. To alleviate the impact of these threats, researchers have proposed numerous solutions; however, current tools often fail to adapt to ever-changing architectures, associated threats and 0-days. This manuscript aims to provide researchers with a taxonomy and survey of current dataset composition and current Intrusion Detection Systems (IDS) capabilities and assets. These taxonomies and surveys aim to improve both the efficiency of IDS and the creation of datasets to build the next generation IDS as well as to reflect networks threats more accurately in future datasets. To this end, this manuscript also provides a taxonomy and survey or network threats and associated tools. The manuscript highlights that current IDS only cover 25% of our threat taxonomy, while current datasets demonstrate clear lack of real-network threats and attack representation, but rather include a large number of deprecated threats, hence limiting the accuracy of current machine learning IDS. Moreover, the taxonomies are open-sourced to allow public contributions through a Github repository.


Learning Continuous Hierarchies in the Lorentz Model of Hyperbolic Geometry

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We are concerned with the discovery of hierarchical relationships from large-scale unstructured similarity scores. For this purpose, we study different models of hyperbolic space and find that learning embeddings in the Lorentz model is substantially more efficient than in the Poincar\'e-ball model. We show that the proposed approach allows us to learn high-quality embeddings of large taxonomies which yield improvements over Poincar\'e embeddings, especially in low dimensions. Lastly, we apply our model to discover hierarchies in two real-world datasets: we show that an embedding in hyperbolic space can reveal important aspects of a company's organizational structure as well as reveal historical relationships between language families.


Support Vector Machine -- Introduction to Machine Learning Algorithms

#artificialintelligence

To separate the two classes of data points, there are many possible hyperplanes that could be chosen. Our objective is to find a plane that has the maximum margin, i.e the maximum distance between data points of both classes. Maximizing the margin distance provides some reinforcement so that future data points can be classified with more confidence. Hyperplanes are decision boundaries that help classify the data points. Data points falling on either side of the hyperplane can be attributed to different classes.


Machine learning detects lymphedema in breast cancer survivors

#artificialintelligence

A new study led by NYU Rory Meyers College of Nursing shows that machine learning--combined with the collection of real-time symptom reports using a mHealth system--can provide early detection and help patients to receive timely intervention to effectively manage lymphedema. Lymphedema, which has no cure and comes with lifelong risk, is the build-up of lymph fluid that causes swelling in the arms or legs of patients. In the study of 355 women from 45 states who had undergone treatment for breast cancer, the performance of five machine learning algorithms were evaluated--artificial neural network (ANN), Decision Tree of C4.5, Decision Tree of C5.0, gradient boosting model and support vector machine. According to results published in the journal mHealth, all five machine learning approaches outperformed the conventional statistical approach. However, of the five, the ANN achieved the best performance for detecting lymphedema with accuracy of 93.75 percent, sensitivity of 95.65 percent and specificity of 91.03 percent.


A Stein variational Newton method

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD) was recently proposed as a general purpose nonparametric variational inference algorithm [Liu & Wang, NIPS 2016]: it minimizes the Kullback-Leibler divergence between the target distribution and its approximation by implementing a form of functional gradient descent on a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. In this paper, we accelerate and generalize the SVGD algorithm by including second-order information, thereby approximating a Newton-like iteration in function space. We also show how second-order information can lead to more effective choices of kernel. We observe significant computational gains over the original SVGD algorithm in multiple test cases.