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 Statistical Learning


Exploring the Semantic Content of Unsupervised Graph Embeddings: An Empirical Study

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Graph embeddings have become a key and widely used technique within the field of graph mining, proving to be successful across a broad range of domains including social, citation, transportation and biological. Graph embedding techniques aim to automatically create a low-dimensional representation of a given graph, which captures key structural elements in the resulting embedding space. However, to date, there has been little work exploring exactly which topological structures are being learned in the embeddings process. In this paper, we investigate if graph embeddings are approximating something analogous with traditional vertex level graph features. If such a relationship can be found, it could be used to provide a theoretical insight into how graph embedding approaches function. We perform this investigation by predicting known topological features, using supervised and unsupervised methods, directly from the embedding space. If a mapping between the embeddings and topological features can be found, then we argue that the structural information encapsulated by the features is represented in the embedding space. To explore this, we present extensive experimental evaluation from five state-of-the-art unsupervised graph embedding techniques, across a range of empirical graph datasets, measuring a selection of topological features. We demonstrate that several topological features are indeed being approximated by the embedding space, allowing key insight into how graph embeddings create good representations.


Canonical Tensor Decomposition for Knowledge Base Completion

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The problem of Knowledge Base Completion can be framed as a 3rd-order binary tensor completion problem. In this light, the Canonical Tensor Decomposition (CP) (Hitchcock, 1927) seems like a natural solution; however, current implementations of CP on standard Knowledge Base Completion benchmarks are lagging behind their competitors. In this work, we attempt to understand the limits of CP for knowledge base completion. First, we motivate and test a novel regularizer, based on tensor nuclear $p$-norms. Then, we present a reformulation of the problem that makes it invariant to arbitrary choices in the inclusion of predicates or their reciprocals in the dataset. These two methods combined allow us to beat the current state of the art on several datasets with a CP decomposition, and obtain even better results using the more advanced ComplEx model.


Contrastive Explanations with Local Foil Trees

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent advances in interpretable Machine Learning (iML) and eXplainable AI (XAI) construct explanations based on the importance of features in classification tasks. However, in a high-dimensional feature space this approach may become unfeasible without restraining the set of important features. We propose to utilize the human tendency to ask questions like "Why this output (the fact) instead of that output (the foil)?" to reduce the number of features to those that play a main role in the asked contrast. Our proposed method utilizes locally trained one-versus-all decision trees to identify the disjoint set of rules that causes the tree to classify data points as the foil and not as the fact. In this study we illustrate this approach on three benchmark classification tasks.


Outcome-Oriented Predictive Process Monitoring: Review and Benchmark

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Traditional process monitoring techniques provide dashboards and reports showing the recent performance of a business process in terms of key performance indicators such as mean execution time, resource utilization or error rate with respect to a given notion of error. Predictive (business) process monitoring techniques go beyond traditional ones by making predictions about the future state of the executions of a business process (herein called cases). For example, a predictive monitoring technique may seek to predict the remaining execution time of each ongoing case of a process [29], the next activity that will be executed in each case [11], or the final outcome of a case, with respect to a possible set of business outcomes [23-25]. For instance, in an order-to-cash process (a process going from the receipt of a purchase order to the receipt of payment of the corresponding invoice), the possible outcomes of a case may be that the purchase order is closed satisfactorily (i.e., the customer accepted the products and paid) or unsatisfactorily (e.g., the order was canceled or withdrawn). Another set of possible outcomes is that the products were delivered on time (with respect to a maximum acceptable delivery time), or delivered late. Recent years have seen the emergence of a rich field of proposed methods for predictive process monitoring in general, and predictive monitoring of (categorical) case outcomes in particular - herein called outcome-oriented predictive process monitoring. Unfortunately, there is no unified approach to evaluate these methods. Indeed, different authors have used different datasets, experimental settings, evaluation measures and baselines.


A New COLD Feature based Handwriting Analysis for Ethnicity/Nationality Identification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Identifying crime for forensic investigating teams when crimes involve people of different nationals is challenging. This paper proposes a new method for ethnicity (nationality) identification based on Cloud of Line Distribution (COLD) features of handwriting components. The proposed method, at first, explores tangent angle for the contour pixels in each row and the mean of intensity values of each row in an image for segmenting text lines. For segmented text lines, we use tangent angle and direction of base lines to remove rule lines in the image. We use polygonal approximation for finding dominant points for contours of edge components. Then the proposed method connects the nearest dominant points of every dominant point, which results in line segments of dominant point pairs. For each line segment, the proposed method estimates angle and length, which gives a point in polar domain. For all the line segments, the proposed method generates dense points in polar domain, which results in COLD distribution. As character component shapes change, according to nationals, the shape of the distribution changes. This observation is extracted based on distance from pixels of distribution to Principal Axis of the distribution. Then the features are subjected to an SVM classifier for identifying nationals. Experiments are conducted on a complex dataset, which show the proposed method is effective and outperforms the existing method


How to Maximize the Spread of Social Influence: A Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This survey presents the main results achieved for the influence maximization problem in social networks. This problem is well studied in the literature and, thanks to its recent applications, some of which currently deployed on the field, it is receiving more and more attention in the scientific community. The problem can be formulated as follows: given a graph, with each node having a certain probability of influencing its neighbors, select a subset of vertices so that the number of nodes in the network that are influenced is maximized. Starting from this model, we introduce the main theoretical developments and computational results that have been achieved, taking into account different diffusion models describing how the information spreads throughout the network, various ways in which the sources of information could be placed, and how to tackle the problem in the presence of uncertainties affecting the network. Finally, we present one of the main application that has been developed and deployed exploiting tools and techniques previously discussed.


Built-in Vulnerabilities to Imperceptible Adversarial Perturbations

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Designing models that are robust to small adversarial perturbations of their inputs has proven remarkably difficult. In this work we show that the reverse problem---making models more vulnerable---is surprisingly easy. After presenting some proofs of concept on MNIST, we introduce a generic tilting attack that injects vulnerabilities into the linear layers of pre-trained networks without affecting their performance on natural data. We illustrate this attack on a multilayer perceptron trained on SVHN and use it to design a stand-alone adversarial module which we call a steganogram decoder. Finally, we show on CIFAR-10 that a state-of-the-art network can be trained to misclassify images in the presence of imperceptible backdoor signals. These different results suggest that adversarial perturbations are not always informative of the true features used by a model.


Kernel-based Outlier Detection using the Inverse Christoffel Function

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Outlier detection methods have become increasingly relevant in recent years due to increased security concerns and because of its vast application to different fields. Recently, Pauwels and Lasserre (2016) noticed that the sublevel sets of the inverse Christoffel function accurately depict the shape of a cloud of data using a sum-of-squares polynomial and can be used to perform outlier detection. In this work, we propose a kernelized variant of the inverse Christoffel function that makes it computationally tractable for data sets with a large number of features. We compare our approach to current methods on 15 different data sets and achieve the best average area under the precision recall curve (AUPRC) score, the best average rank and the lowest root mean square deviation.


Collapsing-Fast-Large-Almost-Matching-Exactly: A Matching Method for Causal Inference

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We aim to create the highest possible quality of treatment-control matches for categorical data in the potential outcomes framework. Matching methods are heavily used in the social sciences due to their interpretability, but most matching methods in the past do not pass basic sanity checks in that they fail when irrelevant variables are introduced. Also, past methods tend to be either computationally slow or produce poor matches. The method proposed in this work aims to match units on a weighted Hamming distance, taking into account the relative importance of the covariates; the algorithm aims to match units on as many relevant variables as possible. To do this, the algorithm creates a hierarchy of covariate combinations on which to match (similar to downward closure), in the process solving an optimization problem for each unit in order to construct the optimal matches. The algorithm uses a single dynamic program to solve all of optimization problems simultaneously. Notable advantages of our method over existing matching procedures are its high-quality matches, versatility in handling different data distributions that may have irrelevant variables, and ability to handle missing data by matching on as many available covariates as possible


Comparison-Based Random Forests

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Assume we are given a set of items from a general metric space, but we neither have access to the representation of the data nor to the distances between data points. Instead, suppose that we can actively choose a triplet of items (A,B,C) and ask an oracle whether item A is closer to item B or to item C. In this paper, we propose a novel random forest algorithm for regression and classification that relies only on such triplet comparisons. In the theory part of this paper, we establish sufficient conditions for the consistency of such a forest. In a set of comprehensive experiments, we then demonstrate that the proposed random forest is efficient both for classification and regression. In particular, it is even competitive with other methods that have direct access to the metric representation of the data.