Statistical Learning
Logistic Regression, Neural Networks and Dempster-Shafer Theory: a New Perspective
We revisit logistic regression and its nonlinear extensions, including multilayer feedforward neural networks, by showing that these classifiers can be viewed as converting input or higher-level features into Dempster-Shafer mass functions and aggregating them by Dempster's rule of combination. The probabilistic outputs of these classifiers are the normalized plausibilities corresponding to the underlying combined mass function. This mass function is more informative than the output probability distribution. In particular, it makes it possible to distinguish between lack of evidence (when none of the features provides discriminant information) from conflicting evidence (when different features support different classes). This expressivity of mass functions allows us to gain insight into the role played by each input feature in logistic regression, and to interpret hidden unit outputs in multilayer neural networks. It also makes it possible to use alternative decision rules, such as interval dominance, which select a set of classes when the available evidence does not unambiguously point to a single class, thus trading reduced error rate for higher imprecision.
U-SLADS: Unsupervised Learning Approach for Dynamic Dendrite Sampling
Zhang, Yan, Huang, Xiang, Ferrier, Nicola, Gulsoy, Emine B., Phatak, Charudatta
Novel data acquisition schemes have been an emerging need for scanning microscopy based imaging techniques to reduce the time in data acquisition and to minimize probing radiation in sample exposure. Varies sparse sampling schemes have been studied and are ideally suited for such applications where the images can be reconstructed from a sparse set of measurements. Dynamic sparse sampling methods, particularly supervised learning based iterative sampling algorithms, have shown promising results for sampling pixel locations on the edges or boundaries during imaging. However, dynamic sampling for imaging skeleton-like objects such as metal dendrites remains difficult. Here, we address a new unsupervised learning approach using Hierarchical Gaussian Mixture Mod- els (HGMM) to dynamically sample metal dendrites. This technique is very useful if the users are interested in fast imaging the primary and secondary arms of metal dendrites in solidification process in materials science.
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It covers both the theoretical aspects of Statisticalconcepts and the practical implementation using R. Real life examples: Every concept is explained with the help of examples, case studies and source code in R wherever necessary. The examples cover a wide array of topics and range from A/B testing in an Internet company context to the Capital Asset Pricing Model in a quant finance context. What you will learn Harness R and R packages to read, process and visualize data Understand linear regression and use it confidently to build models Understand the intricacies of all the different data structures in R Use Linear regression in R to overcome the difficulties of LINEST() in Excel Draw inferences from data and support them using tests of significance Use descriptive statistics to perform a quick study of some data and present results Click here To join us for more information, get in touch keep enhancing Complete iOS 11 Machine Learning Masterclass 3. If you want to learn how to start building professional, career-boosting mobile apps and use Machine Learning to take things to the next level, then this course is for you. The Complete iOS Machine Learning Masterclass is the only course that you need for machine learning on iOS. Machine Learning is a fast-growing field that is revolutionizing many industries with tech giants like Google and IBM taking the lead. In this course, you'll use the most cutting-edge iOS Machine Learning technology stacks to add a layer of intelligence and polish to your mobile apps. We're approaching a new era where only apps and games that are considered "smart" will survive.
Distributed Robust Subspace Recovery
We propose distributed solutions to the problem of Robust Subspace Recovery (RSR). Our setting assumes a huge dataset in an ad hoc network without a central processor, where each node has access only to one chunk of the dataset. Furthermore, part of the whole dataset lies around a low-dimensional subspace and the other part is composed of outliers that lie away from that subspace. The goal is to recover the underlying subspace for the whole dataset, without transferring the data itself between the nodes. We first apply the Consensus-Based Gradient method to the Geometric Median Subspace algorithm for RSR. For this purpose, we propose an iterative solution for the local dual minimization problem and establish its r-linear convergence. We then explain how to distributedly implement the Reaper and Fast Median Subspace algorithms for RSR. The proposed algorithms display competitive performance on both synthetic and real data.
Modeling outcomes of soccer matches
Tsokos, Alkeos, Narayanan, Santhosh, Kosmidis, Ioannis, Baio, Gianluca, Cucuringu, Mihai, Whitaker, Gavin, Kirรกly, Franz J.
We compare various extensions of the Bradley-Terry model and a hierarchical Poisson log-linear model in terms of their performance in predicting the outcome of soccer matches (win, draw, or loss). The parameters of the Bradley-Terry extensions are estimated by maximizing the log-likelihood, or an appropriately penalized version of it, while the posterior densities of the parameters of the hierarchical Poisson log-linear model are approximated using integrated nested Laplace approximations. The prediction performance of the various modeling approaches is assessed using a novel, context-specific framework for temporal validation that is found to deliver accurate estimates of the test error. The direct modeling of outcomes via the various Bradley-Terry extensions and the modeling of match scores using the hierarchical Poisson log-linear model demonstrate similar behavior in terms of predictive performance.
Quasi-Monte Carlo Variational Inference
Buchholz, Alexander, Wenzel, Florian, Mandt, Stephan
Many machine learning problems involve Monte Carlo gradient estimators. As a prominent example, we focus on Monte Carlo variational inference (MCVI) in this paper. The performance of MCVI crucially depends on the variance of its stochastic gradients. We propose variance reduction by means of Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) sampling. QMC replaces N i.i.d. samples from a uniform probability distribution by a deterministic sequence of samples of length N. This sequence covers the underlying random variable space more evenly than i.i.d. draws, reducing the variance of the gradient estimator. With our novel approach, both the score function and the reparameterization gradient estimators lead to much faster convergence. We also propose a new algorithm for Monte Carlo objectives, where we operate with a constant learning rate and increase the number of QMC samples per iteration. We prove that this way, our algorithm can converge asymptotically at a faster rate than SGD. We furthermore provide theoretical guarantees on QMC for Monte Carlo objectives that go beyond MCVI, and support our findings by several experiments on large-scale data sets from various domains.
An Unsupervised Learning Classifier with Competitive Error Performance
An unsupervised learning classification model is described. It achieves classification error probability competitive with that of popular supervised learning classifiers such as SVM or kNN. The model is based on the incremental execution of small step shift and rotation operations upon selected discriminative hyperplanes at the arrival of input samples. When applied, in conjunction with a selected feature extractor, to a subset of the ImageNet dataset benchmark, it yields 6.2 % Top 3 probability of error; this exceeds by merely about 2 % the result achieved by (supervised) k-Nearest Neighbor, both using same feature extractor. This result may also be contrasted with popular unsupervised learning schemes such as k-Means which is shown to be practically useless on same dataset.
Extracting Actionable Knowledge from Domestic Violence Discourses on Social Media
Subramani, Sudha, O'Connor, Manjula
Domestic Violence (DV) is considered as big social issue and there exists a strong relationship between DV and health impacts of the public. Existing research studies have focused on social media to track and analyse real world events like emerging trends, natural disasters, user sentiment analysis, political opinions, and health care. However there is less attention given on social welfare issues like DV and its impact on public health. Recently, the victims of DV turned to social media platforms to express their feelings in the form of posts and seek the social and emotional support, for sympathetic encouragement, to show compassion and empathy among public. But, it is difficult to mine the actionable knowledge from large conversational datasets from social media due to the characteristics of high dimensions, short, noisy, huge volume, high velocity, and so on. Hence, this paper will propose a novel framework to model and discover the various themes related to DV from the public domain. The proposed framework would possibly provide unprecedentedly valuable information to the public health researchers, national family health organizations, government and public with data enrichment and consolidation to improve the social welfare of the community. Thus provides actionable knowledge by monitoring and analysing continuous and rich user generated content.
Learning Theory and Algorithms for Revenue Management in Sponsored Search
Wang, Lulu, Liu, Huahui, Chen, Guanhao, Ren, Shaola, Meng, Xiaonan, Hu, Yi
Online advertisement is the main source of revenue for Internet business. Advertisers are typically ranked according to a score that takes into account their bids and potential click-through rates(eCTR). Generally, the likelihood that a user clicks on an ad is often modeled by optimizing for the click through rates rather than the performance of the auction in which the click through rates will be used. This paper attempts to eliminate this dis-connection by proposing loss functions for click modeling that are based on final auction performance.In this paper, we address two feasible metrics (AUC^R and SAUC) to evaluate the on-line RPM (revenue per mille) directly rather than the CTR. And then, we design an explicit ranking function by incorporating the calibration fac-tor and price-squashed factor to maximize the revenue. Given the power of deep networks, we also explore an implicit optimal ranking function with deep model. Lastly, various experiments with two real world datasets are presented. In particular, our proposed methods perform better than the state-of-the-art methods with regard to the revenue of the platform.
Generating Multi-Categorical Samples with Generative Adversarial Networks
Camino, Ramiro, Hammerschmidt, Christian, State, Radu
We propose a method to train generative adversarial networks on mutivariate feature vectors representing multiple categorical values. In contrast to the continuous domain, where GAN-based methods have delivered considerable results, GANs struggle to perform equally well on discrete data. We propose and compare several architectures based on multiple (Gumbel) softmax output layers taking into account the structure of the data. We evaluate the performance of our architecture on datasets with different sparsity, number of features, ranges of categorical values, and dependencies among the features. Our proposed architecture and method outperforms existing models.