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 Statistical Learning


Improved SVD-based Initialization for Nonnegative Matrix Factorization using Low-Rank Correction

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Due to the iterative nature of most nonnegative matrix factorization (\textsc{NMF}) algorithms, initialization is a key aspect as it significantly influences both the convergence and the final solution obtained. Many initialization schemes have been proposed for NMF, among which one of the most popular class of methods are based on the singular value decomposition (SVD). However, these SVD-based initializations do not satisfy a rather natural condition, namely that the error should decrease as the rank of factorization increases. In this paper, we propose a novel SVD-based \textsc{NMF} initialization to specifically address this shortcoming by taking into account the SVD factors that were discarded to obtain a nonnegative initialization. This method, referred to as nonnegative SVD with low-rank correction (NNSVD-LRC), allows us to significantly reduce the initial error at a negligible additional computational cost using the low-rank structure of the discarded SVD factors. NNSVD-LRC has two other advantages compared to previous SVD-based initializations: (1) it provably generates sparse initial factors, and (2) it is faster as it only requires to compute a truncated SVD of rank $\lceil r/2 + 1 \rceil$ where $r$ is the factorization rank of the sought NMF decomposition (as opposed to a rank-$r$ truncated SVD for other methods). We show on several standard dense and sparse data sets that our new method competes favorably with state-of-the-art SVD-based initializations for NMF.


Moving Objects Analytics: Survey on Future Location & Trajectory Prediction Methods

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Nowadays, huge amounts of tracking data in the mobility domain are being generated by Global Positioning System (GPS) enabled devices and collected in data repositories; tracked moving entities could be pedestrians, cars, vessels, planes, animals, robots, etc. These datasets constitute a rich source for inferring mobility patterns and characteristics for a wide spectrum of novel applications and services, from social networking applications [5][46] to aviation traffic monitoring [61][67]. During the recent years, this kind of information has attracted great interest by data scientists, both in industry and in academia, and is being used in order to extract useful knowledge about what, how and for how long the moving entities are conducting individual activities related with specific circumstances. The most challenging task is to make this information actionable, by means of exploiting historical mobility patterns in order to gauge how the moving entities may evolve in short-or long-term, whether the individual forecasted movement is typical or anomalous, whether there exists a high probability for congestion in the near future, etc. As a consequence, predictive analytics over mobility data has become increasingly important and turns out to be a'hot' field in several application domains [4][74][111]. The problem of predictive analytics over mobility data finds two broad categories of application scenarios. The first scenario involves cases where the moving entities are traced in real-time to produce analytics and compute short-term predictions, which are time-critical and need immediate response. The prediction includes either location-or trajectory-related tasks.


Recurrent Auto-Encoder Model for Large-Scale Industrial Sensor Signal Analysis

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Recurrent auto-encoder model summarises sequential data through an encoder structure into a fixed-length vector and then reconstructs the original sequence through the decoder structure. The summarised vector can be used to represent time series features. In this paper, we propose relaxing the dimensionality of the decoder output so that it performs partial reconstruction. The fixed-length vector therefore represents features in the selected dimensions only. In addition, we propose using rolling fixed window approach to generate training samples from unbounded time series data. The change of time series features over time can be summarised as a smooth trajectory path. The fixed-length vectors are further analysed using additional visualisation and unsupervised clustering techniques. The proposed method can be applied in large-scale industrial processes for sensors signal analysis purpose, where clusters of the vector representations can reflect the operating states of the industrial system.


Automatic trajectory recognition in Active Target Time Projection Chambers data by means of hierarchical clustering

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The automatic reconstruction of three-dimensional particle tracks from Active Target Time Projection Chambers data can be a challenging task, especially in the presence of noise. In this article, we propose a nonparametric algorithm that is based on the idea of clustering point triplets instead of the original points. We define an appropriate distance measure on point triplets and then apply a single-link hierarchical clustering on the triplets. Compared to parametric approaches like RANSAC or the Hough transform, the new algorithm has the advantage of potentially finding trajectories even of shapes that are not known beforehand. This feature is particularly important in low-energy nuclear physics experiments with AT operating inside a magnetic field. The algorithm has been validated using data from experiments performed with the Active Target Time Projection Chamber (AT-TPC) at the National Superconducting Cyclotron Laboratory (NSCL).The results demonstrate the capability of the algorithm to identify and isolate particle tracks that describe non-analytical trajectories. For curved tracks, the vertex detection recall was 86% and the precision 94%. For straight tracks, the vertex detection recall was 96% and the precision 98%. In the case of a test set containing only straight linear tracks, the algorithm performed better than an iterative Hough transform. Keywords: Time Projection Chambers, Active Target, Pattern Recognition, Clustering 1. Introduction One of the present aims of modern low-energy nuclear physics is to provide a more complete understanding about the behavior of subatomic matter under large isospin (i.e.


Symbol Emergence in Cognitive Developmental Systems: a Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Humans use signs, e.g., sentences in a spoken language, for communication and thought. Hence, symbol systems like language are crucial for our communication with other agents and adaptation to our real-world environment. The symbol systems we use in our human society adaptively and dynamically change over time. In the context of artificial intelligence (AI) and cognitive systems, the symbol grounding problem has been regarded as one of the central problems related to {\it symbols}. However, the symbol grounding problem was originally posed to connect symbolic AI and sensorimotor information and did not consider many interdisciplinary phenomena in human communication and dynamic symbol systems in our society, which semiotics considered. In this paper, we focus on the symbol emergence problem, addressing not only cognitive dynamics but also the dynamics of symbol systems in society, rather than the symbol grounding problem. We first introduce the notion of a symbol in semiotics from the humanities, to leave the very narrow idea of symbols in symbolic AI. Furthermore, over the years, it became more and more clear that symbol emergence has to be regarded as a multifaceted problem. Therefore, secondly, we review the history of the symbol emergence problem in different fields, including both biological and artificial systems, showing their mutual relations. We summarize the discussion and provide an integrative viewpoint and comprehensive overview of symbol emergence in cognitive systems. Additionally, we describe the challenges facing the creation of cognitive systems that can be part of symbol emergence systems.


Fast Model-Selection through Adapting Design of Experiments Maximizing Information Gain

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Experimentation in the social sciences is a fundamental tool for understanding the mechanisms and heuristics that underlie human behavior. At the same time, running experiments is a costly process and requires careful design in order to test hypotheses while maximizing statistical power. This experimental design process is often guided by the intuition of scientists conducting the research, and while there are many benefits in relying on the intuition of skilled researchers, there is often a lack of principled, optimal experimental design when choosing which experiment to run (Fisher, 1936; Hill, 1995). Despite best efforts, we often are faced with conflicting results that stall scientific progress, which may be one consequence of under-powered or suboptimal experimental designs. Today, social scientists are witnessing two parallel improvements in experimental design techniques. First, a number of new, online experimentation platforms have begun to address the problem of cost and efficiency of experimentation (e.g., nodeGame (Balietti, 2017), Volunteer Science (Radford et al., 2016)). These online platforms are retooling social science by allowing for rapidly-deployed, large-scale experiments involving participants from around the world.


An Empirical Approach For Probing the Definiteness of Kernels

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Models like support vector machines or Gaussian process regression often require positive semi-definite kernels. These kernels may be based on distance functions. While definiteness is proven for common distances and kernels, a proof for a new kernel may require too much time and effort for users who simply aim at practical usage. Furthermore, designing definite distances or kernels may be equally intricate. Finally, models can be enabled to use indefinite kernels. This may deteriorate the accuracy or computational cost of the model. Hence, an efficient method to determine definiteness is required. We propose an empirical approach. We show that sampling as well as optimization with an evolutionary algorithm may be employed to determine definiteness. We provide a proof-of-concept with 16 different distance measures for permutations. Our approach allows to disprove definiteness if a respective counter-example is found. It can also provide an estimate of how likely it is to obtain indefinite kernel matrices. This provides a simple, efficient tool to decide whether additional effort should be spent on designing/selecting a more suitable kernel or algorithm.


A Simple Unified Framework for Detecting Out-of-Distribution Samples and Adversarial Attacks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Detecting test samples drawn sufficiently far away from the training distribution statistically or adversarially is a fundamental requirement to deploying a good classifier in many real-world machine learning applications. However, deep neural networks with the softmax classifier are known to produce highly overconfident posterior distributions even for such abnormal samples. In this paper, we propose a simple yet effective method for detecting any abnormal samples, which is applicable to any pre-trained softmax neural classifier. We obtain the class conditionalGaussian distributions with respect to (low- and upper-level) features of the deep models under Gaussian discriminant analysis, which result in a confidence score based on the Mahalanobis distance. While most prior methods have been evaluated for detecting either out-of-distribution or adversarial samples, but not both, the proposed method achieves the state-of-art performances for both cases in our experiments. Moreover, we found that our proposed method is more robust in extreme cases, e.g., when the training dataset has noisy labels or small number of samples. Finally, we show that the proposed method enjoys broader usage by applying it to class incremental learning: whenever out-of-distribution samples are detected, our classification rule can incorporate new classes well without further training deep models.


Fooling the classifier: Ligand antagonism and adversarial examples

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Machine learning algorithms are sensitive to so-called adversarial perturbations. This is reminiscent of cellular decision-making where antagonist ligands may prevent correct signaling, like during the early immune response. We draw a formal analogy between neural networks used in machine learning and the general class of adaptive proofreading networks. We then apply simple adversarial strategies from machine learning to models of ligand discrimination. We show how kinetic proofreading leads to "boundary tilting" and identify three types of perturbation (adversarial, non adversarial and ambiguous). We then use a gradient-descent approach to compare different adaptive proofreading models, and we reveal the existence of two qualitatively different regimes characterized by the presence or absence of a critical point. These regimes are reminiscent of the "feature-to-prototype" transition identified in machine learning, corresponding to two strategies in ligand antagonism (broad vs. specialized). Overall, our work connects evolved cellular decision-making to classification in machine learning, showing that behaviours close to the decision boundary can be understood through the same mechanisms.


Automatic Gradient Boosting

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Automatic machine learning performs predictive modeling with high performing machine learning tools without human interference. This is achieved by making machine learning applications parameter-free, i.e. only a dataset is provided while the complete model selection and model building process is handled internally through (often meta) optimization. Projects like Auto-WEKA and auto-sklearn aim to solve the Combined Algorithm Selection and Hyperparameter optimization (CASH) problem resulting in huge configuration spaces. However, for most real-world applications, the optimization over only a few different key learning algorithms can not only be sufficient, but also potentially beneficial. The latter becomes apparent when one considers that models have to be validated, explained, deployed and maintained. Here, less complex model are often preferred, for validation or efficiency reasons, or even a strict requirement. Automatic gradient boosting simplifies this idea one step further, using only gradient boosting as a single learning algorithm in combination with model-based hyperparameter tuning, threshold optimization and encoding of categorical features. We introduce this general framework as well as a concrete implementation called autoxgboost. It is compared to current AutoML projects on 16 datasets and despite its simplicity is able to achieve comparable results on about half of the datasets as well as performing best on two.