Statistical Learning
Towards Reproducible Empirical Research in Meta-Learning
Rivolli, Adriano, Garcia, Luís P. F., Soares, Carlos, Vanschoren, Joaquin, de Carvalho, André C. P. L. F.
Meta-learning is increasingly used to support the recommendation of machine learning algorithms and their configurations. Such recommendations are made based on meta-data, consisting of performance evaluations of algorithms on prior datasets, as well as characterizations of these datasets. These characterizations, also called meta-features, describe properties of the data which are predictive for the performance of machine learning algorithms trained on them. Unfortunately, despite being used in a large number of studies, meta-features are not uniformly described and computed, making many empirical studies irreproducible and hard to compare. This paper aims to remedy this by systematizing and standardizing data characterization measures used in meta-learning, and performing an in-depth analysis of their utility. Moreover, it presents MFE, a new tool for extracting meta-features from datasets and identify more subtle reproducibility issues in the literature, proposing guidelines for data characterization that strengthen reproducible empirical research in meta-learning.
Uniform Inference in High-Dimensional Gaussian Graphical Models
Klaassen, Sven, Kück, Jannis, Spindler, Martin
Graphical models have become a very popular tool for representing dependencies within a large set of variables and are key for representing causal structures. We provide results for uniform inference on high-dimensional graphical models with the number of target parameters being possible much larger than sample size. This is in particular important when certain features or structures of a causal model should be recovered. Our results highlight how in high-dimensional settings graphical models can be estimated and recovered with modern machine learning methods in complex data sets. We also demonstrate in simulation study that our procedure has good small sample properties.
Gaussian Mixture Generative Adversarial Networks for Diverse Datasets, and the Unsupervised Clustering of Images
Ben-Yosef, Matan, Weinshall, Daphna
Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have been shown to produce realistically looking synthetic images with remarkable success, yet their performance seems less impressive when the training set is highly diverse. In order to provide a better fit to the target data distribution when the dataset includes many different classes, we propose a variant of the basic GAN model, called Gaussian Mixture GAN (GM-GAN), where the probability distribution over the latent space is a mixture of Gaussians. We also propose a supervised variant which is capable of conditional sample synthesis. In order to evaluate the model's performance, we propose a new scoring method which separately takes into account two (typically conflicting) measures - diversity vs. quality of the generated data. Through a series of empirical experiments, using both synthetic and real-world datasets, we quantitatively show that GM-GANs outperform baselines, both when evaluated using the commonly used Inception Score, and when evaluated using our own alternative scoring method. In addition, we qualitatively demonstrate how the \textit{unsupervised} variant of GM-GAN tends to map latent vectors sampled from different Gaussians in the latent space to samples of different classes in the data space. We show how this phenomenon can be exploited for the task of unsupervised clustering, and provide quantitative evaluation showing the superiority of our method for the unsupervised clustering of image datasets. Finally, we demonstrate a feature which further sets our model apart from other GAN models: the option to control the quality-diversity trade-off by altering, post-training, the probability distribution of the latent space. This allows one to sample higher quality and lower diversity samples, or vice versa, according to one's needs.
On the Minimal Supervision for Training Any Binary Classifier from Only Unlabeled Data
Lu, Nan, Niu, Gang, Menon, Aditya K., Sugiyama, Masashi
Empirical risk minimization (ERM), with proper loss function and regularization, is the common practice of supervised classification. In this paper, we study training arbitrary (from linear to deep) binary classifier from only unlabeled (U) data by ERM but not by clustering in the geometric space. A two-step ERM is considered: first an unbiased risk estimator is designed, and then the empirical training risk is minimized. This approach is advantageous in that we can also evaluate the empirical validation risk, which is indispensable for hyperparameter tuning when some validation data is split from U training data instead of labeled test data. We prove that designing such an estimator is impossible given a single set of U data, but it becomes possible given two sets of U data with different class priors. This answers a fundamental question in weakly-supervised learning, namely what the minimal supervision is for training any binary classifier from only U data. Since the proposed learning method is based on unbiased risk estimates, the asymptotic consistency of the learned classifier is certainly guaranteed. Experiments demonstrate that the proposed method could successfully train deep models like ResNet and outperform state-of-the-art methods for learning from two sets of U data.
Dynamic mode decomposition in vector-valued reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces for extracting dynamical structure among observables
Fujii, Keisuke, Kawahara, Yoshinobu
Understanding nonlinear dynamical systems (NLDSs) is challenging in a variety of engineering and scientific fields. Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD), which is a numerical algorithm for the spectral analysis of Koopman operators, has been attracting attention as a way of obtaining global modal descriptions of NLDSs without requiring explicit prior knowledge. However, since existing DMD algorithms are in principle formulated based on the concatenation of scalar observables, it is not directly applicable to data with dependent structures among observables, which take, for example, the form of a sequence of graphs. In this paper, we formulate Koopman spectral analysis for NLDSs with structures among observables and propose an estimation algorithm for this problem. This method can extract and visualize the underlying low-dimensional global dynamics of NLDSs with structures among observables from data, which can be useful in understanding the underlying dynamics of such NLDSs. To this end, we first formulate the problem of estimating spectra of the Koopman operator defined in vector-valued reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, and then develop an estimation procedure for this problem by reformulating tensor-based DMD. As a special case of our method, we propose the method named as Graph DMD, which is a numerical algorithm for Koopman spectral analysis of graph dynamical systems, using a sequence of adjacency matrices. We investigate the empirical performance of our method by using synthetic and real-world data.
Extreme Value Theory for Open Set Classification - GPD and GEV Classifiers
Vignotto, Edoardo, Engelke, Sebastian
Classification tasks usually assume that all possible classes are present during the training phase. This is restrictive if the algorithm is used over a long time and possibly encounters samples from unknown classes. The recently introduced extreme value machine, a classifier motivated by extreme value theory, addresses this problem and achieves competitive performance in specific cases. We show that this algorithm can fail when the geometries of known and unknown classes differ. To overcome this problem, we propose two new algorithms relying on approximations from extreme value theory. We show the effectiveness of our classifiers in simulations and on the LETTER and MNIST data sets.
Nested multi-instance classification
Stec, Alexander, Klabjan, Diego, Utke, Jean
There are classification tasks that take as inputs groups of images rather than single images. In order to address such situations, we introduce a nested multi-instance deep network. The approach is generic in that it is applicable to general data instances, not just images. The network has several convolutional neural networks grouped together at different stages. This primarily differs from other previous works in that we organize instances into relevant groups that are treated differently. We also introduce a method to replace instances that are missing which successfully creates neutral input instances and consistently outperforms standard fill-in methods in real world use cases. In addition, we propose a method for manual dropout when a whole group of instances is missing that allows us to use richer training data and obtain higher accuracy at the end of training. With specific pretraining, we find that the model works to great effect on our real world and pub-lic datasets in comparison to baseline methods, justifying the different treatment among groups of instances.
Baidu Apollo Auto-Calibration System - An Industry-Level Data-Driven and Learning based Vehicle Longitude Dynamic Calibrating Algorithm
Zhu, Fan, Ma, Lin, Xu, Xin, Guo, Dingfeng, Cui, Xiao, Kong, Qi
For any autonomous driving vehicle, control module determines its road performance and safety, i.e. its precision and stability should stay within a carefully-designed range. Nonetheless, control algorithms require vehicle dynamics (such as longitudinal dynamics) as inputs, which, unfortunately, are obscure to calibrate in real time. As a result, to achieve reasonable performance, most, if not all, research-oriented autonomous vehicles do manual calibrations in a one-by-one fashion. Since manual calibration is not sustainable once entering into mass production stage for industrial purposes, we here introduce a machine-learning based auto-calibration system for autonomous driving vehicles. In this paper, we will show how we build a data-driven longitudinal calibration procedure using machine learning techniques. We first generated offline calibration tables from human driving data. The offline table serves as an initial guess for later uses and it only needs twenty-minutes data collection and process. We then used an online-learning algorithm to appropriately update the initial table (the offline table) based on real-time performance analysis. This longitudinal auto-calibration system has been deployed to more than one hundred Baidu Apollo self-driving vehicles (including hybrid family vehicles and electronic delivery-only vehicles) since April 2018. By August 27, 2018, it had been tested for more than two thousands hours, ten thousands kilometers (6,213 miles) and yet proven to be effective.
Skip-gram word embeddings in hyperbolic space
Leimeister, Matthias, Wilson, Benjamin J.
Embeddings of tree-like graphs in hyperbolic space were recently shown to surpass their Euclidean counterparts in performance by a large margin. Inspired by these results, we present an algorithm for learning word embeddings in hyperbolic space from free text. An objective function based on the hyperbolic distance is derived and included in the skip-gram architecture from word2vec. The hyperbolic word embeddings are then evaluated on word similarity and analogy benchmarks. The results demonstrate the potential of hyperbolic word embeddings, particularly in low dimensions, though without clear superiority over their Euclidean counterparts. We further discuss problems in the formulation of the analogy task resulting from the curvature of hyperbolic space.
Finding Dory in the Crowd: Detecting Social Interactions using Multi-Modal Mobile Sensing
Katevas, Kleomenis, Hänsel, Katrin, Clegg, Richard, Leontiadis, Ilias, Haddadi, Hamed, Tokarchuk, Laurissa
Remembering our day-to-day social interactions is challenging even if you aren't a blue memory challenged fish. The ability to automatically detect and remember these types of interactions is not only beneficial for individuals interested in their behavior in crowded situations, but also of interest to those who analyze crowd behavior. Currently, detecting social interactions is often performed using a variety of methods including ethnographic studies, computer vision techniques and manual annotation-based data analysis. However, mobile phones offer easier means for data collection that is easy to analyze and can preserve the user's privacy. In this work, we present a system for detecting stationary social interactions inside crowds, leveraging multi-modal mobile sensing data such as Bluetooth Smart (BLE), accelerometer and gyroscope. To inform the development of such system, we conducted a study with 24 participants, where we asked them to socialize with each other for 45 minutes. We built a machine learning system based on gradient-boosted trees that predicts both 1:1 and group interactions with 77.8% precision and 86.5% recall, a 30.2% performance increase compared to a proximity-based approach. By utilizing a community detection based method, we further detected the various group formation that exist within the crowd. Using mobile phone sensors already carried by the majority of people in a crowd makes our approach particularly well suited to real-life analysis of crowd behaviour and influence strategies.