Traditional human activity recognition (HAR) based on time series adopts sliding window analysis method. This method faces the multi-class window problem which mistakenly labels different classes of sampling points within a window as a class. In this paper, a HAR algorithm based on U-Net is proposed to perform activity labeling and prediction at each sampling point. The activity data of the triaxial accelerometer is mapped into an image with the single pixel column and multi-channel which is input into the U-Net network for training and recognition. Our proposal can complete the pixel-level gesture recognition function. The method does not need manual feature extraction and can effectively identify short-term behaviors in long-term activity sequences. We collected the Sanitation dataset and tested the proposed scheme with four open data sets. The experimental results show that compared with Support Vector Machine (SVM), k-Nearest Neighbor (kNN), Decision Tree(DT), Quadratic Discriminant Analysis (QDA), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Fully Convolutional Networks (FCN) methods, our proposal has the highest accuracy and F1-socre in each dataset, and has stable performance and high robustness. At the same time, after the U-Net has finished training, our proposal can achieve fast enough recognition speed.

Multi-object manipulation problems in continuous state and action spaces can be solved by planners that search over sampled values for the continuous parameters of operators. The efficiency of these planners depends critically on the effectiveness of the samplers used, but effective sampling in turn depends on details of the robot, environment, and task. Our strategy is to learn functions called specializers that generate values for continuous operator parameters, given a state description and values for the discrete parameters. Rather than trying to learn a single specializer for each operator from large amounts of data on a single task, we take a modular meta-learning approach. We train on multiple tasks and learn a variety of specializers that, on a new task, can be quickly adapted using relatively little data -- thus, our system "learns quickly to plan quickly" using these specializers. We validate our approach experimentally in simulated 3D pick-and-place tasks with continuous state and action spaces.

In many classification problems it is desirable to output well-calibrated probabilities on the different classes. We propose a robust, non-parametric method of calibrating probabilities called SplineCalib that utilizes smoothing splines to determine a calibration function. We demonstrate how applying certain transformations as part of the calibration process can improve performance on problems in deep learning and other domains where the scores tend to be "overconfident". We adapt the approach to multi-class problems and find that better calibration can improve accuracy as well as log-loss by better resolving uncertain cases. Finally, we present a cross-validated approach to calibration which conserves data. Significant improvements to log-loss and accuracy are shown on several different problems. We also introduce the ml-insights python package which contains an implementation of the SplineCalib algorithm.

Despite the widely-spread consensus on the brain complexity, sprouts of the single neuron revolution emerged in neuroscience in the 1970s. They brought many unexpected discoveries, including grandmother or concept cells and sparse coding of information in the brain. In machine learning for a long time, the famous curse of dimensionality seemed to be an unsolvable problem. Nevertheless, the idea of the blessing of dimensionality becomes gradually more and more popular. Ensembles of non-interacting or weakly interacting simple units prove to be an effective tool for solving essentially multidimensional problems. This approach is especially useful for one-shot (non-iterative) correction of errors in large legacy artificial intelligence systems. These simplicity revolutions in the era of complexity have deep fundamental reasons grounded in geometry of multidimensional data spaces. To explore and understand these reasons we revisit the background ideas of statistical physics. In the course of the 20th century they were developed into the concentration of measure theory. New stochastic separation theorems reveal the fine structure of the data clouds. We review and analyse biological, physical, and mathematical problems at the core of the fundamental question: how can high-dimensional brain organise reliable and fast learning in high-dimensional world of data by simple tools? Two critical applications are reviewed to exemplify the approach: one-shot correction of errors in intellectual systems and emergence of static and associative memories in ensembles of single neurons.

Detection of interesting (e.g., coherent or anomalous) clusters has been studied extensively on plain or univariate networks, with various applications. Recently, algorithms have been extended to networks with multiple attributes for each node in the real-world. In a multi-attributed network, often, a cluster of nodes is only interesting for a subset (subspace) of attributes, and this type of clusters is called subspace clusters. However, in the current literature, few methods are capable of detecting subspace clusters, which involves concurrent feature selection and network cluster detection. These relevant methods are mostly heuristic-driven and customized for specific application scenarios. In this work, we present a generic and theoretical framework for detection of interesting subspace clusters in large multi-attributed networks. Specifically, we propose a subspace graph-structured matching pursuit algorithm, namely, SG-Pursuit, to address a broad class of such problems for different score functions (e.g., coherence or anomalous functions) and topology constraints (e.g., connected subgraphs and dense subgraphs). We prove that our algorithm 1) runs in nearly-linear time on the network size and the total number of attributes and 2) enjoys rigorous guarantees (geometrical convergence rate and tight error bound) analogous to those of the state-of-the-art algorithms for sparse feature selection problems and subgraph detection problems. As a case study, we specialize SG-Pursuit to optimize a number of well-known score functions for two typical tasks, including detection of coherent dense and anomalous connected subspace clusters in real-world networks. Empirical evidence demonstrates that our proposed generic algorithm SG-Pursuit performs superior over state-of-the-art methods that are designed specifically for these two tasks.

Abstract--The ability to estimate joint, conditional and marginal probability distributions over some set of variables is of great utility for many common machine learning tasks. However, estimating these distributions can be challenging, particularly in the case of data containing a mix of discrete and continuous variables. This paper presents a nonparametric method for estimating these distributions directly from a dataset. The data are first represented as a graph consisting of object nodes and attribute value nodes. Depending on the distribution to be estimated, an appropriate eigenvector equation is then constructed. This equation is then solved to find the corresponding stationary distribution of the graph, from which the required distributions can then be estimated and sampled from. The paper demonstrates how the method can be applied to many common machine learning tasks including classification, regression, missing value imputation, outlier detection, random vector generation, and clustering. Being able to estimate joint, conditional and marginal probabilities from some dataset allows a broad range of useful tasks to be performed. For example, classification and regression involve predicting the value of some target variable conditional on the values of the other variables. If we can sample values from the estimated distributions, we could perform random vector generation by generating full random vectors that display the same correlations as the vectors (i.e., data points) in the original data [4], [5]. If we can estimate the joint distribution for the full dataset, then we should also be able to do this for subsets of data, leading to the use of Expectation-Maximization [6] to cluster the data [7]. Taken together, these activities form a large chunk of the tasks commonly used in machine learning. All of this depends, of course, on being able to estimate the various probabilities, and this is particularly challenging on datasets containing a complex mix of continuous and discrete variables.

We consider the problem of demixing a sequence of source signals from the sum of noisy bilinear measurements. It is a generalized mathematical model for blind demixing with blind deconvolution, which is prevalent across the areas of dictionary learning, image processing, and communications. However, state-of- the-art convex methods for blind demixing via semidefinite programming are computationally infeasible for large-scale problems. Although the existing nonconvex algorithms are able to address the scaling issue, they normally require proper regularization to establish optimality guarantees. The additional regularization yields tedious algorithmic parameters and pessimistic convergence rates with conservative step sizes. To address the limitations of existing methods, we thus develop a provable nonconvex demixing procedure viaWirtinger flow, much like vanilla gradient descent, to harness the benefits of regularization-free fast convergence rate with aggressive step size and computational optimality guarantees. This is achieved by exploiting the benign geometry of the blind demixing problem, thereby revealing that Wirtinger flow enforces the regularization-free iterates in the region of strong convexity and qualified level of smoothness, where the step size can be chosen aggressively.

In open set learning, a model must be able to generalize to novel classes when it encounters a sample that does not belong to any of the classes it has seen before. Open set learning poses a realistic learning scenario that is receiving growing attention. Existing studies on open set learning mainly focused on detecting novel classes, but few studies tried to model them for differentiating novel classes. We recognize that novel classes should be different from each other, and propose distribution networks for open set learning that can learn and model different novel classes. We hypothesize that, through a certain mapping, samples from different classes with the same classification criterion should follow different probability distributions from the same distribution family. We estimate the probability distribution for each known class and a novel class is detected when a sample is not likely to belong to any of the known distributions. Due to the large feature dimension in the original feature space, the probability distributions in the original feature space are difficult to estimate. Distribution networks map the samples in the original feature space to a latent space where the distributions of known classes can be jointly learned with the network. In the latent space, we also propose a distribution parameter transfer strategy for novel class detection and modeling. By novel class modeling, the detected novel classes can serve as known classes to the subsequent classification. Our experimental results on image datasets MNIST and CIFAR10 and text dataset Ohsumed show that the distribution networks can detect novel classes accurately and model them well for the subsequent classification tasks.

Forecasting the movements of stock prices is one the most challenging problems in financial markets analysis. In this paper, we use Machine Learning (ML) algorithms for the prediction of future price movements using limit order book data. Two different sets of features are combined and evaluated: handcrafted features based on the raw order book data and features extracted by ML algorithms, resulting in feature vectors with highly variant dimensionalities. Three classifiers are evaluated using combinations of these sets of features on two different evaluation setups and three prediction scenarios. Even though the large scale and high frequency nature of the limit order book poses several challenges, the scope of the conducted experiments and the significance of the experimental results indicate that Machine Learning highly befits this task carving the path towards future research in this field. Keywords: Machine Learning, limit order book, feature extraction, mid price forecasting 1. Introduction Forecasting of financial time series is a very challenging problem and has attracted scientific interest in the past few decades. Due to the inherently noisy and non-stationary nature of financial time series, statistical models are unsuitable for the task of modeling and forecasting such data. However, the lack of appropriate training and regularization algorithms for Neural Networks at the time, such as the dropout technique [6], rendered them susceptible to over fitting the training data. Support Vector Machines were deemed as better candidates for this task, as their solution implicitly involves the generalization error. The development of effective and efficient training algorithms for deeper architectures [7], in conjunction with the improved results such models presented, steered scientific interests towards Deep Learning techniques in many domains. Deep Learning methods are capable of modeling highly nonlinear, very complex data, making them suitable for application to financial data [8], as well as time series forecasting [9]. Furthermore, ML techniques which perform feature extraction may uncover robust features, better-suited to the specific task at hand. Autoencoders [10], are Neural Networks which learn new features extracted from the original input space, which can be used to enhance the performance of various tasks, such as classification or regression. Bag-of-Features (BoF) models comprise another feature extraction method that can be used to extract representations of objects described by multiple feature vectors, such as time-series [11].

Blockchain as a new technology has a potential to change the traditional way of communication, contracting, and financial management. The first and still most popular use of blockchain technology is its use as a digital currency, or cryptocurrency, as a part of the the Bitcoin protocol [1]. There the payments are processed by a peer-to-peer Bitcoin network where users announce new transactions and which are verified by network nodes and recorded in a blockchain - a public distributed ledger. Beyond its usage in cryptocurrencies, blockchain technology's essential importance is to offer a new way to record and store confidential information.