KSG mutual information estimator, which is based on the distances of each sample to its k-th nearest neighbor, is widely used to estimate mutual information between two continuous random variables. Existing work has analyzed the convergence rate of this estimator for random variables whose densities are bounded away from zero in its support. In practice, however, KSG estimator also performs well for a much broader class of distributions, including not only those with bounded support and densities bounded away from zero, but also those with bounded support but densities approaching zero, and those with unbounded support. In this paper, we analyze the convergence rate of the error of KSG estimator for smooth distributions, whose support of density can be both bounded and unbounded. As KSG mutual information estimator can be viewed as an adaptive recombination of KL entropy estimators, in our analysis, we also provide convergence analysis of KL entropy estimator for a broad class of distributions.

Dimensionality-reduction methods are a fundamental tool in the analysis of large data sets. These algorithms work on the assumption that the "intrinsic dimension" of the data is generally much smaller than the ambient dimension in which it is collected. Alongside their usual purpose of mapping data into a smaller dimension with minimal information loss, dimensionality-reduction techniques implicitly or explicitly provide information about the dimension of the data set. In this paper, we propose a new statistic that we call the $\kappa$-profile for analysis of large data sets. The $\kappa$-profile arises from a dimensionality-reduction optimization problem: namely that of finding a projection into $k$-dimensions that optimally preserves the secants between points in the data set. From this optimal projection we extract $\kappa,$ the norm of the shortest projected secant from among the set of all normalized secants. This $\kappa$ can be computed for any $k$; thus the tuple of $\kappa$ values (indexed by dimension) becomes a $\kappa$-profile. Algorithms such as the Secant-Avoidance Projection algorithm and the Hierarchical Secant-Avoidance Projection algorithm, provide a computationally feasible means of estimating the $\kappa$-profile for large data sets, and thus a method of understanding and monitoring their behavior. As we demonstrate in this paper, the $\kappa$-profile serves as a useful statistic in several representative settings: weather data, soundscape data, and dynamical systems data.

Data from motion sensors such as accelerometers and gyroscopes embedded in our devices can reveal secondary undesired, private information about our activities. This information can be used for malicious purposes such as user identification by application developers. To address this problem, we propose a data transformation mechanism that enables a device to share data for specific applications (e.g.~monitoring their daily activities) without revealing private user information (e.g.~ user identity). We formulate this anonymization process based on an information theoretic approach and propose a new multi-objective loss function for training convolutional auto-encoders~(CAEs) to provide a practical approximation to our anonymization problem. This effective loss function forces the transformed data to minimize the information about the user's identity, as well as the data distortion to preserve application-specific utility. Our training process regulates the encoder to disregard user-identifiable patterns and tunes the decoder to shape the final output independently of users in the training set. Then, a trained CAE can be deployed on a user's mobile device to anonymize sensor data before sharing with an app, even for users who are not included in the training dataset. The results, on a dataset of 24 users for activity recognition, show a promising trade-off on transformed data between utility and privacy, with an accuracy for activity recognition over 92%, while reducing the chance of identifying a user to less than 7%.

We study consistency properties of machine learning methods based on minimizing convex surrogates. We extend the recent framework of Osokin et al. (2017) for the quantitative analysis of consistency properties to the case of inconsistent surrogates. Our key technical contribution consists in a new lower bound on the calibration function for the quadratic surrogate, which is non-trivial (not always zero) for inconsistent cases. The new bound allows to quantify the level of inconsistency of the setting and shows how learning with inconsistent surrogates can have guarantees on sample complexity and optimization difficulty. We apply our theory to two concrete cases: multi-class classification with the tree-structured loss and ranking with the mean average precision loss. The results show the approximation-computation trade-offs caused by inconsistent surrogates and their potential benefits.

We introduce an extension of the multi-instance learning problem where examples are organized as nested bags of instances (e.g., a document could be represented as a bag of sentences, which in turn are bags of words). This framework can be useful in various scenarios, such as text and image classification, but also supervised learning over graphs. As a further advantage, multi-multi instance learning enables a particular way of interpreting predictions and the decision function. Our approach is based on a special neural network layer, called bag-layer, whose units aggregate bags of inputs of arbitrary size. We prove theoretically that the associated class of functions contains all Boolean functions over sets of sets of instances and we provide empirical evidence that functions of this kind can be actually learned on semi-synthetic datasets. We finally present experiments on text classification and on citation graphs and social graph data, showing that our model obtains competitive results with respect to other approaches such as convolutional networks on graphs.

In this paper, we propose a Distributed Accumulated Newton Conjugate gradiEnt (DANCE) method in which sample size is gradually increasing to quickly obtain a solution whose empirical loss is under satisfactory statistical accuracy. Our proposed method is multistage in which the solution of a stage serves as a warm start for the next stage which contains more samples (including the samples in the previous stage). The proposed multistage algorithm reduces the number of passes over data to achieve the statistical accuracy of the full training set. Moreover, our algorithm in nature is easy to be distributed and shares the strong scaling property indicating that acceleration is always expected by using more computing nodes. Various iteration complexity results regarding descent direction computation, communication efficiency and stopping criteria are analyzed under convex setting. Our numerical results illustrate that the proposed method outperforms other comparable methods for solving learning problems including neural networks.

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) are an expressive class of neural generative models with tremendous success in modeling high-dimensional continuous measures. In this paper, we present a scalable method for unbalanced optimal transport (OT) based on the generative-adversarial framework. We formulate unbalanced OT as a problem of simultaneously learning a transport map and a scaling factor that push a source measure to a target measure in a cost-optimal manner. In addition, we propose an algorithm for solving this problem based on stochastic alternating gradient updates, similar in practice to GANs. We also provide theoretical justification for this formulation, showing that it is closely related to an existing static formulation by Liero et al. (2018), and perform numerical experiments demonstrating how this methodology can be applied to population modeling.

Global demographic and economic changes have a critical impact on the total energy consumption, which is why demographic and economic parameters have to be taken into account when making predictions about the energy consumption. This research is based on the application of a multiple linear regression model and a neural network model, in particular multilayer perceptron, for predicting the energy consumption. Data from five Balkan countries has been considered in the analysis for the period 1995-2014. Gross domestic product, total number of population, and CO2 emission were taken as predictor variables, while the energy consumption was used as the dependent variable. The analyses showed that CO2 emissions have the highest impact on the energy consumption, followed by the gross domestic product, while the population number has the lowest impact. The results from both analyses are then used for making predictions on the same data, after which the obtained values were compared with the real values. It was observed that the multilayer perceptron model predicts better the energy consumption than the regression model.

We develop deep Poisson-gamma dynamical systems (DPGDS) to model sequentially observed multivariate count data, improving previously proposed models by not only mining deep hierarchical latent structure from the data, but also capturing both first-order and long-range temporal dependencies. Using sophisticated but simple-to-implement data augmentation techniques, we derived closed-form Gibbs sampling update equations by first backward and upward propagating auxiliary latent counts, and then forward and downward sampling latent variables. Moreover, we develop stochastic gradient MCMC inference that is scalable to very long multivariate count time series. Experiments on both synthetic and a variety of real-world data demonstrate that the proposed model not only has excellent predictive performance, but also provides highly interpretable multilayer latent structure to represent hierarchical and temporal information propagation.

Knowing when a classifier's prediction can be trusted is useful in many applications and critical for safely using AI. While the bulk of the effort in machine learning research has been towards improving classifier performance, understanding when a classifier's predictions should and should not be trusted has received far less attention. The standard approach is to use the classifier's discriminant or confidence score; however, we show there exists an alternative that is more effective in many situations. We propose a new score, called the trust score, which measures the agreement between the classifier and a modified nearest-neighbor classifier on the testing example. We show empirically that high (low) trust scores produce surprisingly high precision at identifying correctly (incorrectly) classified examples, consistently outperforming the classifier's confidence score as well as many other baselines. Further, under some mild distributional assumptions, we show that if the trust score for an example is high (low), the classifier will likely agree (disagree) with the Bayes-optimal classifier. Our guarantees consist of non-asymptotic rates of statistical consistency under various nonparametric settings and build on recent developments in topological data analysis.