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 Statistical Learning


Provably efficient RL with Rich Observations via Latent State Decoding

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study the exploration problem in episodic MDPs with rich observations generated from a small number of latent states. Under certain identifiability assumptions, we demonstrate how to estimate a mapping from the observations to latent states inductively through a sequence of regression and clustering steps---where previously decoded latent states provide labels for later regression problems---and use it to construct good exploration policies. We provide finite-sample guarantees on the quality of the learned state decoding function and exploration policies, and complement our theory with an empirical evaluation on a class of hard exploration problems. Our method exponentially improves over $Q$-learning with na\"ive exploration, even when $Q$-learning has cheating access to latent states.


Rescaling and other forms of unsupervised preprocessing introduce bias into cross-validation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Cross-validation of predictive models is the de-facto standard for model selection and evaluation. In proper use, it provides an unbiased estimate of a model's predictive performance. However, data sets often undergo a preliminary data-dependent transformation, such as feature rescaling or dimensionality reduction, prior to cross-validation. It is widely believed that such a preprocessing stage, if done in an unsupervised manner that does not consider the class labels or response values, has no effect on the validity of cross-validation. In this paper, we show that this belief is not true. Preliminary preprocessing can introduce either a positive or negative bias into the estimates of model performance. Thus, it may lead to sub-optimal choices of model parameters and invalid inference. In light of this, the scientific community should re-examine the use of preliminary preprocessing prior to cross-validation across the various application domains. By default, all data transformations, including unsupervised preprocessing stages, should be learned only from the training samples, and then merely applied to the validation and testing samples.


Improving Adversarial Robustness via Promoting Ensemble Diversity

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Though deep neural networks have achieved significant progress on various tasks, often enhanced by model ensemble, existing high-performance models can be vulnerable to adversarial attacks. Many efforts have been devoted to enhancing the robustness of individual networks and then constructing a straightforward ensemble, e.g., by directly averaging the outputs, which ignores the interaction among networks. This paper presents a new method that explores the interaction among individual networks to improve robustness for ensemble models. Technically, we define a new notion of ensemble diversity in the adversarial setting as the diversity among non-maximal predictions of individual members, and present an adaptive diversity promoting (ADP) regularizer to encourage the diversity, which leads to globally better robustness for the ensemble by making adversarial examples difficult to transfer among individual members. Our method is computationally efficient and compatible with the defense methods acting on individual networks. Empirical results on various datasets verify that our method can improve adversarial robustness while maintaining state-of-the-art accuracy on normal examples.


Bayes metaclassifier and Soft-confusion-matrix classifier in the task of multi-label classification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The aim of this paper was to compare soft confusion matrix approach and Bayes metaclassifier under the multi-label classification framework. Although the methods were successfully applied under the multi-label classification framework, they have not been compared directly thus far. Such comparison is of vital importance because both methods are quite similar as they are both based on the concept of randomized reference classifier. Since both algorithms were designed to deal with single-label problems, they are combined with the problem-transformation approach to multi-label classification. Present study included 29 benchmark datasets and four different base classifiers. The algorithms were compared in terms of 11 quality criteria and the results were subjected to statistical analysis.


Empowering individual trait prediction using interactions

arXiv.org Machine Learning

One component of precision medicine is to construct prediction models with their predictive ability as high as possible, e.g. to enable individual risk prediction. In genetic epidemiology, complex diseases have a polygenic basis and a common assumption is that biological and genetic features affect the outcome under consideration via interactions. In the case of omics data, the use of standard approaches such as generalized linear models may be suboptimal and machine learning methods are appealing to make individual predictions. However, most of these algorithms focus mostly on main or marginal effects of the single features in a dataset. On the other hand, the detection of interacting features is an active area of research in the realm of genetic epidemiology. One big class of algorithms to detect interacting features is based on the multifactor dimensionality reduction (MDR). Here, we extend the model-based MDR (MB-MDR), a powerful extension of the original MDR algorithm, to enable interaction empowered individual prediction. Using a comprehensive simulation study we show that our new algorithm can use information hidden in interactions more efficiently than two other state-of-the-art algorithms, namely the Random Forest and Elastic Net, and clearly outperforms these if interactions are present. The performance of these algorithms is comparable if no interactions are present. Further, we show that our new algorithm is applicable to real data by comparing the performance of the three algorithms on a dataset of rheumatoid arthritis cases and healthy controls. As our new algorithm is not only applicable to biological/genetic data but to all datasets with discrete features, it may have practical implications in other applications as well, and we made our method available as an R package.


Spurious Vanishing Problem in Approximate Vanishing Ideal

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Approximate vanishing ideal, which is a new concept from computer algebra, is a set of polynomials that almost takes a zero value for a set of given data points. The introduction of approximation to exact vanishing ideal has played a critical role in capturing the nonlinear structures of noisy data by computing the approximate vanishing polynomials. However, approximate vanishing has a theoretical problem, which is giving rise to the spurious vanishing problem that any polynomial turns into an approximate vanishing polynomial by coefficient scaling. In the present paper, we propose a general method that enables many basis construction methods to overcome this problem. Furthermore, a coefficient truncation method is proposed that balances the theoretical soundness and computational cost. The experiments show that the proposed method overcomes the spurious vanishing problem and significantly increases the accuracy of classification.


Estimate Sequences for Stochastic Composite Optimization: Variance Reduction, Acceleration, and Robustness to Noise

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we propose a unified view of gradient-based algorithms for stochastic convex composite optimization. By extending the concept of estimate sequence introduced by Nesterov, we interpret a large class of stochastic optimization methods as procedures that iteratively minimize a surrogate of the objective. This point of view covers stochastic gradient descent (SGD), the variance-reduction approaches SAGA, SVRG, MISO, their proximal variants, and has several advantages: (i) we provide a simple generic proof of convergence for all of the aforementioned methods; (ii) we naturally obtain new algorithms with the same guarantees; (iii) we derive generic strategies to make these algorithms robust to stochastic noise, which is useful when data is corrupted by small random perturbations. Finally, we show that this viewpoint is useful to obtain accelerated algorithms.


Robust estimation of tree structured Gaussian Graphical Model

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Consider jointly Gaussian random variables whose conditional independence structure is specified by a graphical model. If we observe realizations of the variables, we can compute the covariance matrix, and it is well known that the support of the inverse covariance matrix corresponds to the edges of the graphical model. Instead, suppose we only have noisy observations. If the noise at each node is independent, we can compute the sum of the covariance matrix and an unknown diagonal. The inverse of this sum is (in general) dense. We ask: can the original independence structure be recovered? We address this question for tree structured graphical models. We prove that this problem is unidentifiable, but show that this unidentifiability is limited to a small class of candidate trees. We further present additional constraints under which the problem is identifiable. Finally, we provide an O(n^3) algorithm to find this equivalence class of trees.


SecureBoost: A Lossless Federated Learning Framework

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The protection of user privacy is an important concern in machine learning, as evidenced by the rolling out of the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) in the European Union (EU) in May 2018. The GDPR is designed to give users more control over their personal data, which motivates us to explore machine learning frameworks with data sharing without violating user privacy. To meet this goal, in this paper, we propose a novel lossless privacy-preserving tree-boosting system known as SecureBoost in the setting of federated learning. This federated-learning system allows a learning process to be jointly conducted over multiple parties with partially common user samples but different feature sets, which corresponds to a vertically partitioned virtual data set. An advantage of SecureBoost is that it provides the same level of accuracy as the non-privacy-preserving approach while at the same time, reveal no information of each private data provider. We theoretically prove that the SecureBoost framework is as accurate as other non-federated gradient tree-boosting algorithms that bring the data into one place. In addition, along with a proof of security, we discuss what would be required to make the protocols completely secure.


Communication-Efficient and Decentralized Multi-Task Boosting while Learning the Collaboration Graph

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In the era of big data, the classical paradigm is to build huge data centers to collect and process users' data. This centralized access to resources and datasets simplifies some procedures, such as building predictive models with machine learning, but also comes with important drawbacks. From the company point of view, the need to gather and analyze the data centrally induces high infrastructure costs. As the server represents a single point of entry, it must also be secure enough to prevent attacks that could put the entire user database in jeopardy. On the user end, disadvantages include limited control over one's personal data as well as possible privacy risks, which may come from the aforementioned attacks but also from potentially loose data governance policies on the part of the companies.