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 Statistical Learning


Unbiased Smoothing using Particle Independent Metropolis-Hastings

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider the approximation of expectations with respect to the distribution of a latent Markov process given noisy measurements. This is known as the smoothing problem and is often approached with particle and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. These methods provide consistent but biased estimators when run for a finite time. We propose a simple way of coupling two MCMC chains built using Particle Independent Metropolis-Hastings (PIMH) to produce unbiased smoothing estimators. Unbiased estimators are appealing in the context of parallel computing, and facilitate the construction of confidence intervals. The proposed scheme only requires access to off-the-shelf Particle Filters (PF) and is thus easier to implement than recently proposed unbiased smoothers. The approach is demonstrated on a L\'evy-driven stochastic volatility model and a stochastic kinetic model.


Metric Learning on Manifolds

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Recent literature has shown that symbolic data, such as text and graphs, is often better represented by points on a curved manifold, rather than in Euclidean space. However, geometrical operations on manifolds are generally more complicated than in Euclidean space, and thus many techniques for processing and analysis taken for granted in Euclidean space are difficult on manifolds. A priori, it is not obvious how we may generalize such methods to manifolds. We consider specifically the problem of distance metric learning, and present a framework that solves it on a large class of manifolds, such that similar data are located in closer proximity with respect to the manifold distance function. In particular, we extend the existing metric learning algorithms, and derive the corresponding sample complexity rates for the case of manifolds. Additionally, we demonstrate an improvement of performance in $k$-means clustering and $k$-nearest neighbor classification on real-world complex networks using our methods.


Robust Regression via Online Feature Selection under Adversarial Data Corruption

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The presence of data corruption in user-generated streaming data, such as social media, motivates a new fundamental problem that learns reliable regression coefficient when features are not accessible entirely at one time. Until now, several important challenges still cannot be handled concurrently: 1) corrupted data estimation when only partial features are accessible; 2) online feature selection when data contains adversarial corruption; and 3) scaling to a massive dataset. This paper proposes a novel RObust regression algorithm via Online Feature Selection (\textit{RoOFS}) that concurrently addresses all the above challenges. Specifically, the algorithm iteratively updates the regression coefficients and the uncorrupted set via a robust online feature substitution method. We also prove that our algorithm has a restricted error bound compared to the optimal solution. Extensive empirical experiments in both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrated that the effectiveness of our new method is superior to that of existing methods in the recovery of both feature selection and regression coefficients, with very competitive efficiency.


Total stochastic gradient algorithms and applications in reinforcement learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Backpropagation and the chain rule of derivatives have been prominent; however, the total derivative rule has not enjoyed the same amount of attention. In this work we show how the total derivative rule leads to an intuitive visual framework for creating gradient estimators on graphical models. In particular, previous "policy gradient theorems" are easily derived. We derive new gradient estimators based on density estimation, as well as a likelihood ratio gradient, which "jumps" to an intermediate node, not directly to the objective function. We evaluate our methods on model-based policy gradient algorithms, achieve good performance, and present evidence towards demystifying the success of the popular PILCO algorithm.


A Universal Algorithm for Variational Inequalities Adaptive to Smoothness and Noise

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider variational inequalities coming from monotone operators, a setting that includes convex minimization and convex-concave saddle-point problems. We assume an access to potentially noisy unbiased values of the monotone operators and assess convergence through a compatible gap function which corresponds to the standard optimality criteria in the aforementioned subcases. We present a universal algorithm for these inequalities based on the Mirror-Prox algorithm. Concretely, our algorithm simultaneously achieves the optimal rates for the smooth/non-smooth, and noisy/noiseless settings. This is done without any prior knowledge of these properties, and in the general set-up of arbitrary norms and compatible Bregman divergences. For convex minimization and convex-concave saddle-point problems, this leads to new adaptive algorithms. Our method relies on a novel yet simple adaptive choice of the step-size, which can be seen as the appropriate extension of AdaGrad to handle constrained problems.


Minimum description length as an objective function for non-negative matrix factorization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Non-negativematrix factorization (NMF) is a dimensionality reduction technique whichtends to produce a sparse representation of data. Commonly, the error between the actual and recreated matrices is used as an objective function, butthis method may not produce the type of representation we desire as it allows for the complexity of the model to grow, constrained only by the size of the subspace and the non-negativity requirement. If additional constraints, such as sparsity, are imposed the question of parameter selection becomes critical. Insteadof adding sparsity constraints in an ad-hoc manner we propose a novel objective function created by using the principle of minimum description length (MDL). Our formulation, MDL-NMF, automatically trades off between the complexity and accuracy of the model using a principled approach with little parameter selection or the need for domain expertise. We demonstrate our model works effectively on three heterogeneous data-sets and on a range of semisynthetic data showing the broad applicability of our method. Keywords: nonnegative matrix factorisation, minimum description length, model selection 1. Introduction Nonnegative matrix factorisation (NMF) is a popular linear dimensionality reduction technique. Its ability to produce a sparse and parts based representation, incontrast to principal component analysis (PCA) which is variance preserving, has been exploited in a range of applications [1, 2, 3].


Robust supervised classification and feature selection using a primal-dual method

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper deals with supervised classification and feature selection in high dimensional space. A classical approach is to project data on a low dimensional space and classify by minimizing an appropriate quadratic cost. A strict control on sparsity is moreover obtained by adding an $\ell_1$ constraint, here on the matrix of weights used for projecting the data. Tuning the sparsity bound results in selecting the relevant features for supervised classification. It is well known that using a quadratic cost is not robust to outliers. We cope with this problem by using an $\ell_1$ norm both for the constraint and for the loss function. In this case, the criterion is convex but not gradient Lipschitz anymore. Another second issue is that we optimize simultaneously the projection matrix and the centers used for classification. In this paper, we provide a novel tailored constrained primal-dual method to compute jointly selected features and classifiers. Extending our primal-dual method to other criteria is easy provided that efficient projection (on the dual ball for the loss data term) and prox (for the regularization term) algorithms are available. We illustrate such an extension in the case of a Frobenius norm for the loss term. We provide a convergence proof of our primal-dual method, and demonstrate its effectiveness on three datasets (one synthetic, two from biological data) on which we compare $\ell_1$ and $\ell_2$ costs.


Survival Forests under Test: Impact of the Proportional Hazards Assumption on Prognostic and Predictive Forests for ALS Survival

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We investigate the effect of the proportional hazards assumption on prognostic and predictive models of the survival time of patients suffering from amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). We theoretically compare the underlying model formulations of several variants of survival forests and implementations thereof, including random forests for survival, conditional inference forests, Ranger, and survival forests with $L_1$ splitting, with two novel variants, namely distributional and transformation survival forests. Theoretical considerations explain the low power of log-rank-based splitting in detecting patterns in non-proportional hazards situations in survival trees and corresponding forests. This limitation can potentially be overcome by the alternative split procedures suggested herein. We empirically investigated this effect using simulation experiments and a re-analysis of the PRO-ACT database of ALS survival, giving special emphasis to both prognostic and predictive models.


Global convergence of neuron birth-death dynamics

arXiv.org Machine Learning

As a consequence of the universal approximation theorems, sufficiently wide single layer neural networks are expressive enough to accurately represent a broad class of functions [Cyb89, Bar93, PS91]. The existence of a neural network function arbitrarily close to a given target function, however, is not a guarantee that any particular optimization procedure can identify the optimal parameters. Recently, using mathematical tools from optimal transport theory and interacting particle systems, it was shown that gradient descent [RVE18b, MMN18, SS18, CB18b] and stochastic gradient descent converge asymptotically to the target function in the large data limit. This analysis relies on taking a "mean-field" limit in which the number of parameters n tends to infinity. In this setting, gradient descent optimization dynamics is described by a partial differential equation (PDE), corresponding to a Wasserstein gradient flow on a convex energy functional. While this PDE provides a powerful conceptual framework for analyzing the properties of neural networks evolving under gradient descent dynamics, the formula confers few immediate practical advantages.


Blaze: Simplified High Performance Cluster Computing

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

MapReduce and its variants have significantly simplified and accelerated the process of developing parallel programs. However, most MapReduce implementations focus on data-intensive tasks while many real-world tasks are compute intensive and their data can fit distributedly into the memory. For these tasks, the speed of MapReduce programs can be much slower than those hand-optimized ones. We present Blaze, a C++ library that makes it easy to develop high performance parallel programs for such compute intensive tasks. At the core of Blaze is a highly-optimized in-memory MapReduce function, which has three main improvements over conventional MapReduce implementations: eager reduction, fast serialization, and special treatment for a small fixed key range. We also offer additional conveniences that make developing parallel programs similar to developing serial programs. These improvements make Blaze an easy-to-use cluster computing library that approaches the speed of hand-optimized parallel code. We apply Blaze to some common data mining tasks, including word frequency count, PageRank, k-means, expectation maximization (Gaussian mixture model), and k-nearest neighbors. Blaze outperforms Apache Spark by more than 10 times on average for these tasks, and the speed of Blaze scales almost linearly with the number of nodes. In addition, Blaze uses only the MapReduce function and 3 utility functions in its implementation while Spark uses almost 30 different parallel primitives in its official implementation.