Statistical Learning
Deep Learning Multidimensional Projections
Espadoto, Mateus, Hirata, Nina S. T., Telea, Alexandru C.
Dimensionality reduction methods, also known as projections, are frequently used for exploring multidimensional data in machine learning, data science, and information visualization. Among these, t-SNE and its variants have become very popular for their ability to visually separate distinct data clusters. However, such methods are computationally expensive for large datasets, suffer from stability problems, and cannot directly handle out-of-sample data. We propose a learning approach to construct such projections. We train a deep neural network based on a collection of samples from a given data universe, and their corresponding projections, and next use the network to infer projections of data from the same, or similar, universes. Our approach generates projections with similar characteristics as the learned ones, is computationally two to three orders of magnitude faster than SNE-class methods, has no complex-to-set user parameters, handles out-of-sample data in a stable manner, and can be used to learn any projection technique. We demonstrate our proposal on several real-world high dimensional datasets from machine learning.
An information criterion for auxiliary variable selection in incomplete data analysis
Imori, Shinpei, Shimodaira, Hidetoshi
Statistical inference is considered for variables of interest, called primary variables, when auxiliary variables are observed along with the primary variables. We consider the setting of incomplete data analysis, where some primary variables are not observed. Utilizing a parametric model of joint distribution of primary and auxiliary variables, it is possible to improve the estimation of parametric model for the primary variables when the auxiliary variables are closely related to the primary variables. However, the estimation accuracy reduces when the auxiliary variables are irrelevant to the primary variables. For selecting useful auxiliary variables, we formulate the problem as model selection, and propose an information criterion for predicting primary variables by leveraging auxiliary variables. The proposed information criterion is an asymptotically unbiased estimator of the Kullback-Leibler divergence for complete data of primary variables under some reasonable conditions. We also clarify an asymptotic equivalence between the proposed information criterion and a variant of leave-one-out cross validation. Performance of our method is demonstrated via a simulation study and a real data example.
Prediction of Malignant & Benign Breast Cancer: A Data Mining Approach in Healthcare Applications
Kumar, Vivek, Mishra, Brojo Kumar, Mazzara, Manuel, Thanh, Dang N. H., Verma, Abhishek
As much as data science is playing a pivotal role everywhere, healthcare also finds it prominent application. Breast Cancer is the top rated type of cancer amongst women; which took away 627,000 lives alone. This high mortality rate due to breast cancer does need attention, for early detection so that prevention can be done in time. As a potential contributor to state-of-art technology development, data mining finds a multi-fold application in predicting Brest cancer. This work focuses on different classification techniques implementation for data mining in predicting malignant and benign breast cancer. Breast Cancer Wisconsin data set from the UCI repository has been used as experimental dataset while attribute clump thickness being used as an evaluation class. The performances of these twelve algorithms: Ada Boost M 1, Decision Table, J Rip, Lazy IBK, Logistics Regression, Multiclass Classifier, Multilayer Perceptron, Naive Bayes, Random forest and Random Tree are analyzed on this data set. Keywords- Data Mining, Classification Techniques, UCI repository, Breast Cancer, Classification Algorithms
Feature Selection for multi-labeled variables via Dependency Maximization
Sekeh, Salimeh Yasaei, Hero, Alfred O.
Feature selection and reducing the dimensionality of data is an essential step in data analysis. In this work, we propose a new criterion for feature selection that is formulated as conditional information between features given the labeled variable. Instead of using the standard mutual information measure based on Kullback-Leibler divergence, we use our proposed criterion to filter out redundant features for the purpose of multiclass classification. This approach results in an efficient and fast non-parametric implementation of feature selection as it can be directly estimated using a geometric measure of dependency, the global Friedman-Rafsky (FR) multivariate run test statistic constructed by a global minimal spanning tree (MST). We demonstrate the advantages of our proposed feature selection approach through simulation. In addition the proposed feature selection method is applied to the MNIST data set.
Web Links Prediction And Category-Wise Recommendation Based On Browser History
Shawon, Ashadullah, Zuhori, Syed Tauhid, Mahmud, Firoz, Rahman, Md. Jamil-Ur
A web browser should not be only for browsing web pages but also help users to find out their target websites and recommend similar type websites based on their behavior. Throughout this paper, we propose two methods to make a web browser more intelligent about link prediction which works during typing on address-bar and recommendation of websites according to several categories. Our proposed link prediction system is actually frecency prediction which is predicted based on the first visit, last visit and URL counts. But recommend system is the most challenging as it is needed to classify web URLs according to names without visiting web pages. So we use existing model for URL classification. The only existing approach gives unsatisfactory results and low accuracy. So we add hyperparameter optimization with an existing approach that finds the best parameters for existing URL classification model and gives better accuracy. In this paper, we propose a category wise recommendation system using frecency value and the total visit of individual URL category.
On the Sensitivity of Adversarial Robustness to Input Data Distributions
Ding, Gavin Weiguang, Lui, Kry Yik Chau, Jin, Xiaomeng, Wang, Luyu, Huang, Ruitong
Neural networks are vulnerable to small adversarial perturbations. Existing literature largely focused on understanding and mitigating the vulnerability of learned models. In this paper, we demonstrate an intriguing phenomenon about the most popular robust training method in the literature, adversarial training: Adversarial robustness, unlike clean accuracy, is sensitive to the input data distribution. Even a semantics-preserving transformations on the input data distribution can cause a significantly different robustness for the adversarial trained model that is both trained and evaluated on the new distribution. Our discovery of such sensitivity on data distribution is based on a study which disentangles the behaviors of clean accuracy and robust accuracy of the Bayes classifier. Empirical investigations further confirm our finding. We construct semantically-identical variants for MNIST and CIFAR10 respectively, and show that standardly trained models achieve comparable clean accuracies on them, but adversarially trained models achieve significantly different robustness accuracies. This counter-intuitive phenomenon indicates that input data distribution alone can affect the adversarial robustness of trained neural networks, not necessarily the tasks themselves. Lastly, we discuss the practical implications on evaluating adversarial robustness, and make initial attempts to understand this complex phenomenon.
Hybrid Block Successive Approximation for One-Sided Non-Convex Min-Max Problems: Algorithms and Applications
Lu, Songtao, Tsaknakis, Ioannis, Hong, Mingyi, Chen, Yongxin
The min-max problem, also known as the saddle point problem, is a class of optimization problems in which we minimize and maximize two subsets of variables simultaneously. This class of problems can be used to formulate a wide range of signal processing and communication (SPCOM) problems. Despite its popularity, existing theory for this class has been mainly developed for problems with certain special convex-concave structure. Therefore, it cannot be used to guide the algorithm design for many interesting problems in SPCOM, where some kind of non-convexity often arises. In this work, we consider a general block-wise one-sided non-convex min-max problem, in which the minimization problem consists of multiple blocks and is non-convex, while the maximization problem is (strongly) concave. We propose a class of simple algorithms named Hybrid Block Successive Approximation (HiBSA), which alternatingly performs gradient descent-type steps for the minimization blocks and one gradient ascent-type step for the maximization problem. A key element in the proposed algorithm is the introduction of certain properly designed regularization and penalty terms, which are used to stabilize the algorithm and ensure convergence. For the first time, we show that such simple alternating min-max algorithms converge to first-order stationary solutions, with quantifiable global rates. To validate the efficiency of the proposed algorithms, we conduct numerical tests on a number of information processing and wireless communication problems, including the robust learning problem, the non-convex min-utility maximization problems, and certain wireless jamming problem arising in interfering channels.
An Online Decision-Theoretic Pipeline for Responder Dispatch
Mukhopadhyay, Ayan, Pettet, Geoffrey, Samal, Chinmaya, Dubey, Abhishek, Vorobeychik, Yevgeniy
The problem of dispatching emergency responders to service traffic accidents, fire, distress calls and crimes plagues urban areas across the globe. While such problems have been extensively looked at, most approaches are offline. Such methodologies fail to capture the dynamically changing environments under which critical emergency response occurs, and therefore, fail to be implemented in practice. Any holistic approach towards creating a pipeline for effective emergency response must also look at other challenges that it subsumes - predicting when and where incidents happen and understanding the changing environmental dynamics. We describe a system that collectively deals with all these problems in an online manner, meaning that the models get updated with streaming data sources. We highlight why such an approach is crucial to the effectiveness of emergency response, and present an algorithmic framework that can compute promising actions for a given decision-theoretic model for responder dispatch. We argue that carefully crafted heuristic measures can balance the trade-off between computational time and the quality of solutions achieved and highlight why such an approach is more scalable and tractable than traditional approaches. We also present an online mechanism for incident prediction, as well as an approach based on recurrent neural networks for learning and predicting environmental features that affect responder dispatch. We compare our methodology with prior state-of-the-art and existing dispatch strategies in the field, which show that our approach results in a reduction in response time with a drastic reduction in computational time.
UQ-CHI: An Uncertainty Quantification-Based Contemporaneous Health Index for Degenerative Disease Monitoring
Developing knowledge-driven contemporaneous health index (CHI) that can precisely reflect the underlying patient across the course of the condition's progression holds a unique value, like facilitating a range of clinical decision-making opportunities. This is particularly important for monitoring degenerative condition such as Alzheimer's disease (AD), where the condition of the patient will decay over time. Detecting early symptoms and progression sign, and continuous severity evaluation, are all essential for disease management. While a few methods have been developed in the literature, uncertainty quantification of those health index models has been largely neglected. To ensure the continuity of the care, we should be more explicit about the level of confidence in model outputs. Ideally, decision-makers should be provided with recommendations that are robust in the face of substantial uncertainty about future outcomes. In this paper, we aim at filling this gap by developing an uncertainty quantification based contemporaneous longitudinal index, named UQ-CHI, with a particular focus on continuous patient monitoring of degenerative conditions. Our method is to combine convex optimization and Bayesian learning using the maximum entropy learning (MEL) framework, integrating uncertainty on labels as well. Our methodology also provides closed-form solutions in some important decision making tasks, e.g., such as predicting the label of a new sample. Numerical studies demonstrate the effectiveness of the propose UQ-CHI method in prediction accuracy, monitoring efficacy, and unique advantages if uncertainty quantification is enabled practice.
Derisking machine learning and artificial intelligence
The added risk brought on by the complexity of machine-learning models can be mitigated by making well-targeted modifications to existing validation frameworks. Machine learning and artificial intelligence are set to transform the banking industry, using vast amounts of data to build models that improve decision making, tailor services, and improve risk management. According to the McKinsey Global Institute, this could generate value of more than $250 billion in the banking industry.1 1.For the purposes of this article machine learning is broadly defined to include algorithms that learn from data without being explicitly programmed, including, for example, random forests, boosted decision trees, support-vector machines, deep learning, and reinforcement learning. The definition includes both supervised and unsupervised algorithms. For a full primer on the applications of artificial intelligence, we refer the reader to "An executive's guide to AI."