Statistical Learning
The Sea Exploration Problem: Data-driven Orienteering on a Continuous Surface
Pedroso, João Pedro, Kramer, Alpar Vajk, Zhang, Ke
This paper describes a problem arising in sea exploration, where the aim is to schedule the expedition of a ship for collecting information about the resources on the seafloor. The aim is to collect data by probing on a set of carefully chosen locations, so that the information available is optimally enriched. This problem has similarities with the orienteering problem, where the aim is to plan a time-limited trip for visiting a set of vertices, collecting a prize at each of them, in such a way that the total value collected is maximum. In our problem, the score at each vertex is associated with an estimation of the level of the resource on the given surface, which is done by regression using Gaussian processes. Hence, there is a correlation among scores on the selected vertices; this is a first difference with respect to the standard orienteering problem. The second difference is the location of each vertex, which in our problem is a freely chosen point on a given surface.
Adapting Stochastic Block Models to Power-Law Degree Distributions
Qiao, Maoying, Yu, Jun, Bian, Wei, Li, Qiang, Tao, Dacheng
Stochastic block models (SBMs) have been playing an important role in modeling clusters or community structures of network data. But, it is incapable of handling several complex features ubiquitously exhibited in real-world networks, one of which is the power-law degree characteristic. To this end, we propose a new variant of SBM, termed power-law degree SBM (PLD-SBM), by introducing degree decay variables to explicitly encode the varying degree distribution over all nodes. With an exponential prior, it is proved that PLD-SBM approximately preserves the scale-free feature in real networks. In addition, from the inference of variational E-Step, PLD-SBM is indeed to correct the bias inherited in SBM with the introduced degree decay factors. Furthermore, experiments conducted on both synthetic networks and two real-world datasets including Adolescent Health Data and the political blogs network verify the effectiveness of the proposed model in terms of cluster prediction accuracies.
Data Shapley: Equitable Valuation of Data for Machine Learning
As data becomes the fuel driving technological and economic growth, a fundamental challenge is how to quantify the value of data in algorithmic predictions and decisions. For example, in healthcare and consumer markets, it has been suggested that individuals should be compensated for the data that they generate, but it is not clear what is an equitable valuation for individual data. In this work, we develop a principled framework to address data valuation in the context of supervised machine learning. Given a learning algorithm trained on $n$ data points to produce a predictor, we propose data Shapley as a metric to quantify the value of each training datum to the predictor performance. Data Shapley uniquely satisfies several natural properties of equitable data valuation. We develop Monte Carlo and gradient-based methods to efficiently estimate data Shapley values in practical settings where complex learning algorithms, including neural networks, are trained on large datasets. In addition to being equitable, extensive experiments across biomedical, image and synthetic data demonstrate that data Shapley has several other benefits: 1) it is more powerful than the popular leave-one-out or leverage score in providing insight on what data is more valuable for a given learning task; 2) low Shapley value data effectively capture outliers and corruptions; 3) high Shapley value data inform what type of new data to acquire to improve the predictor.
Multi-Preference Actor Critic
Durugkar, Ishan, Hausknecht, Matthew, Swaminathan, Adith, MacAlpine, Patrick
Policy gradient algorithms typically combine discounted future rewards with an estimated value function, to compute the direction and magnitude of parameter updates. However, for most Reinforcement Learning tasks, humans can provide additional insight to constrain the policy learning. We introduce a general method to incorporate multiple different feedback channels into a single policy gradient loss. In our formulation, the Multi-Preference Actor Critic (M-PAC), these different types of feedback are implemented as constraints on the policy. We use a Lagrangian relaxation to satisfy these constraints using gradient descent while learning a policy that maximizes rewards. Experiments in Atari and Pendulum verify that constraints are being respected and can accelerate the learning process.
Robust Subspace Recovery with Adversarial Outliers
We study the problem of robust subspace recovery (RSR) in the presence of adversarial outliers. That is, we seek a subspace that contains a large portion of a dataset when some fraction of the data points are arbitrarily corrupted. We first examine a theoretical estimator that is intractable to calculate and use it to derive information-theoretic bounds of exact recovery. We then propose two tractable estimators: a variant of RANSAC and a simple relaxation of the theoretical estimator. The two estimators are fast to compute and achieve state-of-the-art theoretical performance in a noiseless RSR setting with adversarial outliers. The former estimator achieves better theoretical guarantees in the noiseless case, while the latter estimator is robust to small noise, and its guarantees significantly improve with non-adversarial models of outliers. We give a complete comparison of guarantees for the adversarial RSR problem, as well as a short discussion on the estimation of affine subspaces.
Is 'Unsupervised Learning' a Misconceived Term?
Is all of machine learning supervised to some degree? The field of machine learning has traditionally been categorized pedagogically into $supervised~vs~unsupervised~learning$; where supervised learning has typically referred to learning from labeled data, while unsupervised learning has typically referred to learning from unlabeled data. In this paper, we assert that all machine learning is in fact supervised to some degree, and that the scope of supervision is necessarily commensurate to the scope of learning potential. In particular, we argue that clustering algorithms such as k-means, and dimensionality reduction algorithms such as principal component analysis, variational autoencoders, and deep belief networks are each internally supervised by the data itself to learn their respective representations of its features. Furthermore, these algorithms are not capable of external inference until their respective outputs (clusters, principal components, or representation codes) have been identified and externally labeled in effect. As such, they do not suffice as examples of unsupervised learning. We propose that the categorization `supervised vs unsupervised learning' be dispensed with, and instead, learning algorithms be categorized as either $internally~or~externally~supervised$ (or both). We believe this change in perspective will yield new fundamental insights into the structure and character of data and of learning algorithms.
Local Regularization of Noisy Point Clouds: Improved Global Geometric Estimates and Data Analysis
Trillos, Nicolas Garcia, Sanz-Alonso, Daniel, Yang, Ruiyi
Several data analysis techniques employ similarity relationships between data points to uncover the intrinsic dimension and geometric structure of the underlying data-generating mechanism. In this paper we work under the model assumption that the data is made of random perturbations of feature vectors lying on a low-dimensional manifold. We study two questions: how to define the similarity relationship over noisy data points, and what is the resulting impact of the choice of similarity in the extraction of global geometric information from the underlying manifold. We provide concrete mathematical evidence that using a local regularization of the noisy data to define the similarity improves the approximation of the hidden Euclidean distance between unperturbed points. Furthermore, graph-based objects constructed with the locally regularized similarity function satisfy better error bounds in their recovery of global geometric ones. Our theory is supported by numerical experiments that demonstrate that the gain in geometric understanding facilitated by local regularization translates into a gain in classification accuracy in simulated and real data.
Spatial CUSUM for Signal Region Detection
Detecting weak clustered signal in spatial data is important but challenging in applications such as medical image and epidemiology. A more efficient detection algorithm can provide more precise early warning, and effectively reduce the decision risk and cost. To date, many methods have been developed to detect signals with spatial structures. However, most of the existing methods are either too conservative for weak signals or computationally too intensive. In this paper, we consider a novel method named Spatial CUSUM (SCUSUM), which employs the idea of the CUSUM procedure and false discovery rate controlling. We develop theoretical properties of the method which indicates that asymptotically SCUSUM can reach high classification accuracy. In the simulation study, we demonstrate that SCUSUM is sensitive to weak spatial signals. This new method is applied to a real fMRI dataset as illustration, and more irregular weak spatial signals are detected in the images compared to some existing methods, including the conventional FDR, FDR$_L$ and scan statistics.
A topological data analysis based classification method for multiple measurements
Riihimäki, Henri, Chachólski, Wojciech, Theorell, Jakob, Hillert, Jan, Ramanujam, Ryan
Background, Machine learning models for repeated measurements are limited. Using topological data analysis (TDA), we present a classifier for repeated measurements which samples from the data space and builds a network graph based on the data topology. When applying this to two case studies, accuracy exceeds alternative models with additional benefits such as reporting data subsets with high purity along with feature values. Results, For 300 examples of 3 tree species, the accuracy reached 80% after 30 datapoints, which was improved to 90% after increased sampling to 400 datapoints. Using data from 100 examples of each of 6 point processes, the classifier achieved 96.8% accuracy. In both datasets, the TDA classifier outperformed an alternative model. Conclusions, This algorithm and software can be beneficial for repeated measurement data common in biological sciences, as both an accurate classifier and a feature selection tool.
Learning Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi Graphs under Partial Observations: Concentration or Sparsity?
Matta, Vincenzo, Santos, Augusto, Sayed, Ali H.
This work examines the problem of graph learning over a diffusion network when data can be collected from a limited portion of the network (partial observability). While most works in the literature rely on a degree of sparsity to provide guarantees of consistent graph recovery, our analysis moves away from this condition and includes the demanding setting of dense connectivity. We ascertain that suitable estimators of the combination matrix (i.e., the matrix that quantifies the pairwise interaction between nodes) possess an identifiability gap that enables the discrimination between connected and disconnected nodes. Fundamental conditions are established under which the subgraph of monitored nodes can be recovered, with high probability as the network size increases, through universal clustering algorithms. This claim is proved for three matrix estimators: i) the Granger estimator that adapts to the partial observability setting the solution that is optimal under full observability ; ii) the one-lag correlation matrix; and iii) the residual estimator based on the difference between two consecutive time samples. Comparison among the estimators is performed through illustrative examples that reveal how estimators that are not optimal in the full observability regime can outperform the Granger estimator in the partial observability regime. The analysis reveals that the fundamental property enabling consistent graph learning is the statistical concentration of node degrees, rather than the sparsity of connections.