Statistical Learning
Should I Raise The Red Flag? A comprehensive survey of anomaly scoring methods toward mitigating false alarms
Zohrevand, Zahra, Glässer, Uwe
A general Intrusion Detection System (IDS) fundamentally acts based on an Anomaly Detection System (ADS) or a combination of anomaly detection and signature-based methods, gathering and analyzing observations and reporting possible suspicious cases to a system administrator or the other users for further investigation. One of the notorious challenges which even the state-of-the-art ADS and IDS have not overcome is the possibility of a very high false alarms rate. Especially in very large and complex system settings, the amount of low-level alarms easily overwhelms administrators and increases their tendency to ignore alerts. We can group the existing false alarm mitigation strategies into two main families: The first group covers the methods directly customized and applied toward higher quality anomaly scoring in ADS. The second group includes approaches utilized in the related contexts as a filtering method toward decreasing the possibility of false alarm rates. Given the lack of a comprehensive study regarding possible ways to mitigate the false alarm rates, in this paper, we review the existing techniques for false alarm mitigation in ADS and present the pros and cons of each technique. We also study a few promising techniques applied in the signature-based IDS and other related contexts like commercial Security Information and Event Management (SIEM) tools, which are applicable and promising in the ADS context. Finally, we conclude with some directions for future research.
Analysis of overfitting in the regularized Cox model
The Cox proportional hazards model is ubiquitous in the analysis of time-to-event data. However, when the data dimension p is comparable to the sample size $N$, maximum likelihood estimates for its regression parameters are known to be biased or break down entirely due to overfitting. This prompted the introduction of the so-called regularized Cox model. In this paper we use the replica method from statistical physics to investigate the relationship between the true and inferred regression parameters in regularized multivariate Cox regression with L2 regularization, in the regime where both p and N are large but with p/N ~ O(1). We thereby generalize a recent study from maximum likelihood to maximum a posteriori inference. We also establish a relationship between the optimal regularization parameter and p/N, allowing for straightforward overfitting corrections in time-to-event analysis.
Personalized Context-aware Re-ranking for E-commerce Recommender Systems
Pei, Changhua, Zhang, Yi, Zhang, Yongfeng, Sun, Fei, Lin, Xiao, Sun, Hanxiao, Wu, Jian, Jiang, Peng, Ou, Wenwu, Pei, Dan
Ranking is a core task in E-commerce recommender systems, which aims at providing an ordered list of items to users. Typically, a ranking function is learned from the labeled dataset to optimize the global performance, which produces a ranking score for each individual item. However, it may be sub-optimal because the scoring function applies to each item individually and does not explicitly consider the mutual influence between items, as well as the differences of users' preferences or intents. Therefore, we propose a personalized context-aware re-ranking model for E-commerce recommender systems. The proposed re-ranking model can be easily deployed as a follow-up modular after ranking by directly using the existing feature vectors of ranking. It directly optimizes the whole recommendation list by employing a transformer structure to efficiently encode the information of all items in the list. Specifically, the Transformer applies a self-attention mechanism that directly models the global relationships between any pair of items in the whole list. Besides, we introduce the personalized embedding to model the differences between feature distributions for different users. Experimental results on both offline benchmarks and real-world online E-commerce systems demonstrate the significant improvements of the proposed re-ranking model.
Distributed representation of multi-sense words: A loss-driven approach
Manchanda, Saurav, Karypis, George
Word2Vec's Skip Gram model is the current state-of-the-art approach for estimating the distributed representation of words. However, it assumes a single vector per word, which is not well-suited for representing words that have multiple senses. This work presents LDMI, a new model for estimating distributional representations of words. LDMI relies on the idea that, if a word carries multiple senses, then having a different representation for each of its senses should lead to a lower loss associated with predicting its co-occurring words, as opposed to the case when a single vector representation is used for all the senses. After identifying the multi-sense words, LDMI clusters the occurrences of these words to assign a sense to each occurrence. Experiments on the contextual word similarity task show that LDMI leads to better performance than competing approaches.
P\'olygamma Data Augmentation to address Non-conjugacy in the Bayesian Estimation of Mixed Multinomial Logit Models
Bansal, Prateek, Krueger, Rico, Bierlaire, Michel, Daziano, Ricardo A., Rashidi, Taha H.
The standard Gibbs sampler of Mixed Multinomial Logit (MMNL) models involves sampling from conditional densities of utility parameters using Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm due to unavailability of conjugate prior for logit kernel. To address this non-conjugacy concern, we propose the application of P\'olygamma data augmentation (PG-DA) technique for the MMNL estimation. The posterior estimates of the augmented and the default Gibbs sampler are similar for two-alternative scenario (binary choice), but we encounter empirical identification issues in the case of more alternatives ($J \geq 3$).
OCKELM+: Kernel Extreme Learning Machine based One-class Classification using Privileged Information (or KOC+: Kernel Ridge Regression or Least Square SVM with zero bias based One-class Classification using Privileged Information)
Gautam, Chandan, Tiwari, Aruna, Tanveer, M.
Kernel method-based one-class classifier is mainly used for outlier or novelty detection. In this letter, kernel ridge regression (KRR) based one-class classifier (KOC) has been extended for learning using privileged information (LUPI). LUPI-based KOC method is referred to as KOC+. This privileged information is available as a feature with the dataset but only for training (not for testing). KOC+ utilizes the privileged information differently compared to normal feature information by using a so-called correction function. Privileged information helps KOC+ in achieving better generalization performance which is exhibited in this letter by testing the classifiers with and without privileged information. Existing and proposed classifiers are evaluated on the datasets from UCI machine learning repository and also on MNIST dataset. Moreover, experimental results evince the advantage of KOC+ over KOC and support vector machine (SVM) based one-class classifiers.
Self-Paced Probabilistic Principal Component Analysis for Data with Outliers
Zhao, Bowen, Xiao, Xi, Zhang, Wanpeng, Zhang, Bin, Xia, Shutao
Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is a popular tool for dimensionality reduction and feature extraction in data analysis. There is a probabilistic version of PCA, known as Probabilistic PCA (PPCA). However, standard PCA and PPCA are not robust, as they are sensitive to outliers. To alleviate this problem, this paper introduces the Self-Paced Learning mechanism into PPCA, and proposes a novel method called Self-Paced Probabilistic Principal Component Analysis (SP-PPCA). Furthermore, we design the corresponding optimization algorithm based on the alternative search strategy and the expectation-maximization algorithm. SP-PPCA looks for optimal projection vectors and filters out outliers iteratively. Experiments on both synthetic problems and real-world datasets clearly demonstrate that SP-PPCA is able to reduce or eliminate the impact of outliers.
Maximum Correntropy Criterion with Variable Center
Chen, Badong, Wang, Xin, Li, Yingsong, Principe, Jose C.
Correntropy is a local similarity measure defined in kernel space and the maximum correntropy criterion (MCC) has been successfully applied in many areas of signal processing and machine learning in recent years. The kernel function in correntropy is usually restricted to the Gaussian function with center located at zero. However, zero-mean Gaussian function may not be a good choice for many practical applications. In this study, we propose an extended version of correntropy, whose center can locate at any position. Accordingly, we propose a new optimization criterion called maximum correntropy criterion with variable center (MCC-VC). We also propose an efficient approach to optimize the kernel width and center location in MCC-VC. Simulation results of regression with linear in parameters (LIP) models confirm the desirable performance of the new method.
Bayesian estimation of the latent dimension and communities in stochastic blockmodels
Passino, Francesco Sanna, Heard, Nicholas A.
Spectral embedding of adjacency or Laplacian matrices of undirected graphs is a common technique for representing a network in a lower dimensional latent space, with optimal theoretical guarantees. The embedding can be used to estimate the community structure of the network, with strong consistency results in the stochastic blockmodel framework. One of the main practical limitations of standard algorithms for community detection from spectral embeddings is that the number of communities and the latent dimension of the embedding must be specified in advance. In this article, a novel Bayesian model for simultaneous and automatic selection of the appropriate dimension of the latent space and the number of blocks is proposed. Extensions to directed and bipartite graphs are discussed. The model is tested on simulated and real world network data, showing promising performance for recovering latent community structure.
Kernelized Complete Conditional Stein Discrepancy
Singhal, Raghav, Lahlou, Saad, Ranganath, Rajesh
Much of machine learning relies on comparing distributions with discrepancy measures. Stein's method creates discrepancy measures between two distributions that require only the unnormalized density of one and samples from the other. Stein discrepancies can be combined with kernels to define the kernelized Stein discrepancies (KSDs).While kernels make Stein discrepancies tractable, they pose several challenges in high dimensions. We introduce kernelized complete conditional Stein discrepancies (KCC-SDs). Complete conditionals turn a multivariate distribution into multiple univariate distributions. We prove that KCC-SDs detect convergence and non-convergence, and that they upper-bound KSDs. We empirically show that KCC-SDs detect non-convergence where KSDs fail. Our experiments illustrate the difference between KCC-SDs and KSDs when comparing high-dimensional distributions and performing variational inference.