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 Statistical Learning


Learning Some Popular Gaussian Graphical Models without Condition Number Bounds

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Gaussian Graphical Models (GGMs) have wide-ranging applications in machine learning and the natural and social sciences. In most of the settings in which they are applied, the number of observed samples is much smaller than the dimension and they are assumed to be sparse. While there are a variety of algorithms (e.g. Graphical Lasso, CLIME) that provably recover the graph structure with a logarithmic number of samples, they assume various conditions that require the precision matrix to be in some sense well-conditioned. Here we give the first polynomial-time algorithms for learning attractive GGMs and walk-summable GGMs with a logarithmic number of samples without any such assumptions. In particular, our algorithms can tolerate strong dependencies among the variables. We complement our results with experiments showing that many existing algorithms fail even in some simple settings where there are long dependency chains, whereas ours do not.


Predicting Urban Dispersal Events: A Two-Stage Framework through Deep Survival Analysis on Mobility Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Urban dispersal events are processes where an unusually large number of people leave the same area in a short period. Early prediction of dispersal events is important in mitigating congestion and safety risks and making better dispatching decisions for taxi and ride-sharing fleets. Existing work mostly focuses on predicting taxi demand in the near future by learning patterns from historical data. However, they fail in case of abnormality because dispersal events with abnormally high demand are non-repetitive and violate common assumptions such as smoothness in demand change over time. Instead, in this paper we argue that dispersal events follow a complex pattern of trips and other related features in the past, which can be used to predict such events. Therefore, we formulate the dispersal event prediction problem as a survival analysis problem. We propose a two-stage framework (DILSA), where a deep learning model combined with survival analysis is developed to predict the probability of a dispersal event and its demand volume. We conduct extensive case studies and experiments on the NYC Yellow taxi dataset from 2014-2016. Results show that DILSA can predict events in the next 5 hours with F1-score of 0.7 and with average time error of 18 minutes. It is orders of magnitude better than the state-ofthe-art deep learning approaches for taxi demand prediction.


Meta-learners' learning dynamics are unlike learners'

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Meta-learning is a tool that allows us to build sample-efficient learning systems. Here we show that, once meta-trained, LSTM Meta-Learners aren't just faster learners than their sample-inefficient deep learning (DL) and reinforcement learning (RL) brethren, but that they actually pursue fundamentally different learning trajectories. We study their learning dynamics on three sets of structured tasks for which the corresponding learning dynamics of DL and RL systems have been previously described: linear regression (Saxe et al., 2013), nonlinear regression (Rahaman et al., 2018; Xu et al., 2018), and contextual bandits (Schaul et al., 2019). In each case, while sample-inefficient DL and RL Learners uncover the task structure in a staggered manner, meta-trained LSTM Meta-Learners uncover almost all task structure concurrently, congruent with the patterns expected from Bayes-optimal inference algorithms. This has implications for research areas wherever the learning behaviour itself is of interest, such as safety, curriculum design, and human-in-the-loop machine learning.


A Survey of Adaptive Resonance Theory Neural Network Models for Engineering Applications

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This survey samples from the ever-growing family of adaptive resonance theory (ART) neural network models used to perform the three primary machine learning modalities, namely, unsupervised, supervised and reinforcement learning. It comprises a representative list from classic to modern ART models, thereby painting a general picture of the architectures developed by researchers over the past 30 years. The learning dynamics of these ART models are briefly described, and their distinctive characteristics such as code representation, long-term memory and corresponding geometric interpretation are discussed. Useful engineering properties of ART (speed, configurability, explainability, parallelization and hardware implementation) are examined along with current challenges. Finally, a compilation of online software libraries is provided. It is expected that this overview will be helpful to new and seasoned ART researchers.


On Transfer Learning For Chatter Detection in Turning Using Wavelet Packet Transform and Empirical Mode Decomposition

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The increasing availability of sensor data at machine tools makes automatic chatter detection algorithms a trending topic in metal cutting. Two prominent and advanced methods for feature extraction via signal decomposition are Wavelet Packet Transform (WPT) and Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD). We apply these two methods to time series acquired from an acceleration sensor at the tool holder of a lathe. Different turning experiments with varying dynamic behavior of the machine tool structure were performed. We compare the performance of these two methods with Support Vector Machine (SVM) classifier combined with Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE). We also show that the common WPT-based approach of choosing wavelet packets with the highest energy ratios as representative features for chatter does not always result in packets that enclose the chatter frequency, thus reducing the classification accuracy. Further, we test the transfer learning capability of each of these methods by training the classifier on one of the cutting configurations and then testing it on the other cases. It is found that when training and testing on data from the same cutting configuration both methods yield high accuracies reaching in one of the cases as high as 94% and 91%, respectively, for WPT and EEMD. However, EEMD is shown to outperform WPT in transfer learning applications with accuracy of up to 84%. Therefore, for systems where the movement of the cutting center leads to significant variations in the stiffness of the machine-tool system, we recommend using EEMD over WPT for training a classifier. This is because EEMD retains higher accuracy rates in comparison to WPT when the input data stream deviates from the data that was used to train the classifier.


Deep Tensor Factorization for Spatially-Aware Scene Decomposition

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose a completely unsupervised method to understand audio scenes observed with random microphone arrangements by decomposing the scene into its constituent sources and their relative presence in each microphone. To this end, we formulate a neural network architecture that can be interpreted as a nonnegative tensor factorization of a multi-channel audio recording. By clustering on the learned network parameters corresponding to channel content, we can learn sources' individual spectral dictionaries and their activation patterns over time. Our method allows us to leverage deep learning advances like end-to-end training, while also allowing stochastic minibatch training so that we can feasibly decompose realistic audio scenes that are intractable to decompose using standard methods. This neural network architecture is easily extensible to other kinds of tensor factorizations.


Disentangling Factors of Variation Using Few Labels

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Learning disentangled representations is considered a cornerstone problem in representation learning. Recently, Locatello et al. (2019) demonstrated that unsupervised disentanglement learning without inductive biases is theoretically impossible and that existing inductive biases and unsupervised methods do not allow to consistently learn disentangled representations. However, in many practical settings, one might have access to a very limited amount of supervision, for example through manual labeling of training examples. In this paper, we investigate the impact of such supervision on state-of-the-art disentanglement methods and perform a large scale study, training over 29 000 models under well-defined and reproducible experimental conditions. We first observe that a very limited number of labeled examples (0.01-0.5% of the data set) is sufficient to perform model selection on state-of-the-art unsupervised models. Yet, if one has access to labels for supervised model selection, this raises the natural question of whether they should also be incorporated into the training process. As a case-study, we test the benefit of introducing (very limited) supervision into existing state-of-the-art unsupervised disentanglement methods exploiting both the values of the labels and the ordinal information that can be deduced from them. Overall, we empirically validate that with very little and potentially imprecise supervision it is possible to reliably learn disentangled representations.


Information asymmetry in KL-regularized RL

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Many real world tasks exhibit rich structure that is repeated across different parts of the state space or in time. In this work we study the possibility of leveraging such repeated structure to speed up and regularize learning. We start from the KL regularized expected reward objective which introduces an additional component, a default policy. Instead of relying on a fixed default policy, we learn it from data. But crucially, we restrict the amount of information the default policy receives, forcing it to learn reusable behaviours that help the policy learn faster. We formalize this strategy and discuss connections to information bottleneck approaches and to the variational EM algorithm. We present empirical results in both discrete and continuous action domains and demonstrate that, for certain tasks, learning a default policy alongside the policy can significantly speed up and improve learning.


Matlab vs. OpenCV: A Comparative Study of Different Machine Learning Algorithms

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Scientific Computing relies on executing computer algorithms coded in some programming languages. Given a particular available hardware, algorithms speed is a crucial factor. There are many scientific computing environments used to code such algorithms. Matlab is one of the most tremendously successful and widespread scientific computing environments that is rich of toolboxes, libraries, and data visualization tools. OpenCV is a (C++)-based library written primarily for Computer Vision and its related areas. This paper presents a comparative study using 20 different real datasets to compare the speed of Matlab and OpenCV for some Machine Learning algorithms. Although Matlab is more convenient in developing and data presentation, OpenCV is much faster in execution, where the speed ratio reaches more than 80 in some cases. The best of two worlds can be achieved by exploring using Matlab or similar environments to select the most successful algorithm; then, implementing the selected algorithm using OpenCV or similar environments to gain a speed factor.


Toward Extremely Low Bit and Lossless Accuracy in DNNs with Progressive ADMM

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Weight quantization is one of the most important techniques of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) model compression method. A recent work using systematic framework of DNN weight quantization with the advanced optimization algorithm ADMM (Alternating Direction Methods of Multipliers) achieves one of state-of-art results in weight quantization. In this work, we first extend such ADMM-based framework to guarantee solution feasibility and we have further developed a multi-step, progressive DNN weight quantization framework, with dual benefits of (i) achieving further weight quantization thanks to the special property of ADMM regularization, and (ii) reducing the search space within each step. Extensive experimental results demonstrate the superior performance compared with prior work. Some highlights: we derive the first lossless and fully binarized (for all layers) LeNet-5 for MNIST; And we derive the first fully binarized (for all layers) VGG-16 for CIFAR-10 and ResNet for ImageNet with reasonable accuracy loss.