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 Statistical Learning


Adaptive surrogate models for parametric studies

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The computational effort for the evaluation of numerical simulations based on e.g. the finite-element method is high. Metamodels can be utilized to create a low-cost alternative. However the number of required samples for the creation of a sufficient metamodel should be kept low, which can be achieved by using adaptive sampling techniques. In this Master thesis adaptive sampling techniques are investigated for their use in creating metamodels with the Kriging technique, which interpolates values by a Gaussian process governed by prior covariances. The Kriging framework with extension to multifidelity problems is presented and utilized to compare adaptive sampling techniques found in the literature for benchmark problems as well as applications for contact mechanics. This thesis offers the first comprehensive comparison of a large spectrum of adaptive techniques for the Kriging framework. Furthermore a multitude of adaptive techniques is introduced to multifidelity Kriging as well as well as to a Kriging model with reduced hyperparameter dimension called partial least squares Kriging. In addition, an innovative adaptive scheme for binary classification is presented and tested for identifying chaotic motion of a Duffing's type oscillator.


A Pattern Recognition Method for Partial Discharge Detection on Insulated Overhead Conductors

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Today,insulated overhead conductors are increasingly used in many places of the world due to the higher operational reliability, elimination of phase-to-phase contact, closer distances between phases and stronger protection for animals. However, the standard protection devices are often not able to detect the conductor phase-to-ground fault and the more frequent tree/tree branch hitting conductor events as these events only lead to partial discharge (PD) activities instead of causing overcurrent seen on bare conductors. To solve this problem, in recent years, Technical University of Ostrava (VSB) devised a special meter to measure the voltage signal of the stray electrical field along the insulated overhead conductors, hoping to detect the above hazardous PD activities. In 2018, VSB published a large amount of waveform data recorded by their meter on Kaggle, the world's largest data science collaboration platform, looking for promising pattern recognition methods for this application. To tackle this challenge, we developed a unique method based on Seasonal and Trend decomposition using Loess (STL) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) to recognize PD activities on insulated overhead conductors. Different SVM kernels were tested and compared. Satisfactory classification rates on VSB dataset were achieved with the use of Gaussian radial basis kernel.


A New Look at an Old Problem: A Universal Learning Approach to Linear Regression

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Linear regression is a classical paradigm in statistics. A new look at it is provided via the lens of universal learning. In applying universal learning to linear regression the hypotheses class represents the label $y\in {\cal R}$ as a linear combination of the feature vector $x^T\theta$ where $x\in {\cal R}^M$, within a Gaussian error. The Predictive Normalized Maximum Likelihood (pNML) solution for universal learning of individual data can be expressed analytically in this case, as well as its associated learnability measure. Interestingly, the situation where the number of parameters $M$ may even be larger than the number of training samples $N$ can be examined. As expected, in this case learnability cannot be attained in every situation; nevertheless, if the test vector resides mostly in a subspace spanned by the eigenvectors associated with the large eigenvalues of the empirical correlation matrix of the training data, linear regression can generalize despite the fact that it uses an ``over-parametrized'' model. We demonstrate the results with a simulation of fitting a polynomial to data with a possibly large polynomial degree.


Random Function Priors for Correlation Modeling

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The likelihood model of high dimensional data $X_n$ can often be expressed as $p(X_n|Z_n,\theta)$, where $\theta\mathrel{\mathop:}=(\theta_k)_{k\in[K]}$ is a collection of hidden features shared across objects, indexed by $n$, and $Z_n$ is a non-negative factor loading vector with $K$ entries where $Z_{nk}$ indicates the strength of $\theta_k$ used to express $X_n$. In this paper, we introduce random function priors for $Z_n$ for modeling correlations among its $K$ dimensions $Z_{n1}$ through $Z_{nK}$, which we call \textit{population random measure embedding} (PRME). Our model can be viewed as a generalized paintbox model~\cite{Broderick13} using random functions, and can be learned efficiently with neural networks via amortized variational inference. We derive our Bayesian nonparametric method by applying a representation theorem on separately exchangeable discrete random measures.


ECG Identification under Exercise and Rest Situations via Various Learning Methods

arXiv.org Machine Learning

As the advancement of information security, human recognition as its core technology, has absorbed an increasing amount of attention in the past few years. A myriad of biometric features including fingerprint, face, iris, have been applied to security systems, which are occasionally considered vulnerable to forgery and spoofing attacks. Due to the difficulty of being fabricated, electrocardiogram (ECG) has attracted much attention. Though many works have shown the excellent human identification provided by ECG, most current ECG human identification (ECGID) researches only focus on rest situation. In this manuscript, we overcome the oversimplification of previous researches and evaluate the performance under both exercise and rest situations, especially the influence of exercise on ECGID. By applying various existing learning methods to our ECG dataset, we find that current methods which can well support the identification of individuals under rests, do not suffice to present satisfying ECGID performance under exercise situations, therefore exposing the deficiency of existing ECG identification methods.


Solving Empirical Risk Minimization in the Current Matrix Multiplication Time

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Many convex problems in machine learning and computer science share the same form: \begin{align*} \min_{x} \sum_{i} f_i( A_i x + b_i), \end{align*} where $f_i$ are convex functions on $\mathbb{R}^{n_i}$ with constant $n_i$, $A_i \in \mathbb{R}^{n_i \times d}$, $b_i \in \mathbb{R}^{n_i}$ and $\sum_i n_i = n$. This problem generalizes linear programming and includes many problems in empirical risk minimization. In this paper, we give an algorithm that runs in time \begin{align*} O^* ( ( n^{\omega} + n^{2.5 - \alpha/2} + n^{2+ 1/6} ) \log (n / \delta) ) \end{align*} where $\omega$ is the exponent of matrix multiplication, $\alpha$ is the dual exponent of matrix multiplication, and $\delta$ is the relative accuracy. Note that the runtime has only a log dependence on the condition numbers or other data dependent parameters and these are captured in $\delta$. For the current bound $\omega \sim 2.38$ [Vassilevska Williams'12, Le Gall'14] and $\alpha \sim 0.31$ [Le Gall, Urrutia'18], our runtime $O^* ( n^{\omega} \log (n / \delta))$ matches the current best for solving a dense least squares regression problem, a special case of the problem we consider. Very recently, [Alman'18] proved that all the current known techniques can not give a better $\omega$ below $2.168$ which is larger than our $2+1/6$. Our result generalizes the very recent result of solving linear programs in the current matrix multiplication time [Cohen, Lee, Song'19] to a more broad class of problems. Our algorithm proposes two concepts which are different from [Cohen, Lee, Song'19] : $\bullet$ We give a robust deterministic central path method, whereas the previous one is a stochastic central path which updates weights by a random sparse vector. $\bullet$ We propose an efficient data-structure to maintain the central path of interior point methods even when the weights update vector is dense.


A Distributed Approach towards Discriminative Distance Metric Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Distance metric learning is successful in discovering intrinsic relations in data. However, most algorithms are computationally demanding when the problem size becomes large. In this paper, we propose a discriminative metric learning algorithm, and develop a distributed scheme learning metrics on moderate-sized subsets of data, and aggregating the results into a global solution. The technique leverages the power of parallel computation. The algorithm of the aggregated distance metric learning (ADML) scales well with the data size and can be controlled by the partition. We theoretically analyse and provide bounds for the error induced by the distributed treatment. We have conducted experimental evaluation of ADML, both on specially designed tests and on practical image annotation tasks. Those tests have shown that ADML achieves the state-of-the-art performance at only a fraction of the cost incurred by most existing methods.


Robust Learning from Noisy Side-information by Semidefinite Programming

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Robustness recently becomes one of the major concerns among machine learning community, since learning algorithms are usually vulnerable to outliers or corruptions. Motivated by such a trend and needs, we pursue robustness in semi-definite programming (SDP) in this paper. Specifically, this is done by replacing the commonly used squared loss with the more robust $\ell_1$-loss in the low-rank SDP. However, the resulting objective becomes neither convex nor smooth. As no existing algorithms can be applied, we design an efficient algorithm, based on majorization-minimization, to optimize the objective. The proposed algorithm not only has cheap iterations and low space complexity but also theoretically converges to some critical points. Finally, empirical study shows that the new objective armed with proposed algorithm outperforms state-of-the-art in terms of both speed and accuracy.


Explainable AI for Trees: From Local Explanations to Global Understanding

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Tree-based machine learning models such as random forests, decision trees, and gradient boosted trees are the most popular non-linear predictive models used in practice today, yet comparatively little attention has been paid to explaining their predictions. Here we significantly improve the interpretability of tree-based models through three main contributions: 1) The first polynomial time algorithm to compute optimal explanations based on game theory. 2) A new type of explanation that directly measures local feature interaction effects. 3) A new set of tools for understanding global model structure based on combining many local explanations of each prediction. We apply these tools to three medical machine learning problems and show how combining many high-quality local explanations allows us to represent global structure while retaining local faithfulness to the original model. These tools enable us to i) identify high magnitude but low frequency non-linear mortality risk factors in the general US population, ii) highlight distinct population sub-groups with shared risk characteristics, iii) identify non-linear interaction effects among risk factors for chronic kidney disease, and iv) monitor a machine learning model deployed in a hospital by identifying which features are degrading the model's performance over time. Given the popularity of tree-based machine learning models, these improvements to their interpretability have implications across a broad set of domains.


Ranking-based Deep Cross-modal Hashing

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Cross-modal hashing has been receiving increasing interests for its low storage cost and fast query speed in multi-modal data retrievals. However, most existing hashing methods are based on hand-crafted or raw level features of objects, which may not be optimally compatible with the coding process. Besides, these hashing methods are mainly designed to handle simple pairwise similarity. The complex multilevel ranking semantic structure of instances associated with multiple labels has not been well explored yet. In this paper, we propose a ranking-based deep cross-modal hashing approach (RDCMH). RDCMH firstly uses the feature and label information of data to derive a semi-supervised semantic ranking list. Next, to expand the semantic representation power of hand-crafted features, RDCMH integrates the semantic ranking information into deep cross-modal hashing and jointly optimizes the compatible parameters of deep feature representations and of hashing functions. Experiments on real multi-modal datasets show that RDCMH outperforms other competitive baselines and achieves the state-of-the-art performance in cross-modal retrieval applications.