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 Statistical Learning


Power Weighted Shortest Paths for Unsupervised Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study the use of power weighted shortest path distance functions for clustering high dimensional Euclidean data, under the assumption that the data is drawn from a collection of disjoint low dimensional manifolds. We argue, theoretically and experimentally, that this leads to higher clustering accuracy. We also present a fast algorithm for computing these distances.


On the Accuracy of Influence Functions for Measuring Group Effects

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Influence functions estimate the effect of removing particular training points on a model without needing to retrain it. They are based on a first-order approximation that is accurate for small changes in the model, and so are commonly used for studying the effect of individual points in large datasets. However, we often want to study the effects of large groups of training points, e.g., to diagnose batch effect or apportion credit between different data sources. Removing such large groups can result in significant changes to the model. Are influence functions still accurate in this setting? In this paper, we find that across many different types of groups and in a range of real-world datasets, the influence of a group correlates surprisingly well with its actual effect, even if the absolute and relative error can be large. Our theoretical analysis shows that such correlation arises under certain settings but need not hold in general, indicating that real-world datasets have particular properties that keep the influence approximation well-behaved.


Sum-of-squares meets square loss: Fast rates for agnostic tensor completion

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study tensor completion in the agnostic setting. In the classical tensor completion problem, we receive $n$ entries of an unknown rank-$r$ tensor and wish to exactly complete the remaining entries. In agnostic tensor completion, we make no assumption on the rank of the unknown tensor, but attempt to predict unknown entries as well as the best rank-$r$ tensor. For agnostic learning of third-order tensors with the square loss, we give the first polynomial time algorithm that obtains a "fast" (i.e., $O(1/n)$-type) rate improving over the rate obtained by reduction to matrix completion. Our prediction error rate to compete with the best $d\times{}d\times{}d$ tensor of rank-$r$ is $\tilde{O}(r^{2}d^{3/2}/n)$. We also obtain an exact oracle inequality that trades off estimation and approximation error. Our algorithm is based on the degree-six sum-of-squares relaxation of the tensor nuclear norm. The key feature of our analysis is to show that a certain characterization for the subgradient of the tensor nuclear norm can be encoded in the sum-of-squares proof system. This unlocks the standard toolbox for localization of empirical processes under the square loss, and allows us to establish restricted eigenvalue-type guarantees for various tensor regression models, with tensor completion as a special case. The new analysis of the relaxation complements Barak and Moitra (2016), who gave slow rates for agnostic tensor completion, and Potechin and Steurer (2017), who gave exact recovery guarantees for the noiseless setting. Our techniques are user-friendly, and we anticipate that they will find use elsewhere.


Efficient Covariance Estimation from Temporal Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Estimating the covariance structure of multivariate time series is a fundamental problem with a wide-range of real-world applications -- from financial modeling to fMRI analysis. Despite significant recent advances, current state-of-the-art methods are still severely limited in terms of scalability, and do not work well in high-dimensional undersampled regimes. In this work we propose a novel method called Temporal Correlation Explanation, or T-CorEx, that (a) has linear time and memory complexity with respect to the number of variables, and can scale to very large temporal datasets that are not tractable with existing methods; (b) gives state-of-the-art results in highly undersampled regimes on both synthetic and real-world datasets; and (c) makes minimal assumptions about the character of the dynamics of the system. T-CorEx optimizes an information-theoretic objective function to learn a latent factor graphical model for each time period and applies two regularization techniques to induce temporal consistency of estimates. We perform extensive evaluation of T-Corex using both synthetic and real-world data and demonstrate that it can be used for detecting sudden changes in the underlying covariance matrix, capturing transient correlations and analyzing extremely high-dimensional complex multivariate time series such as high-resolution fMRI data.


Supervised Online Hashing via Similarity Distribution Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Hashing based visual search has attracted extensive research Online hashing has attracted extensive research attention attention in recent years due to the rapid growth of when facing streaming data. Most online hashing visual data on the Internet [7, 33, 8, 26, 12, 13, 30, 32, 25, methods, learning binary codes based on pairwise similarities 35, 27]. In various scenarios, online hashing has become of training instances, fail to capture the semantic relationship, a hot topic due to the emergence of handling the streaming and suffer from a poor generalization in largescale data, which aims to resolve an online retrieval task by applications due to large variations. In this paper, we updating the hash functions from sequentially arriving data propose to model the similarity distributions between the input instances. On one hand, online hashing takes advantages data and the hashing codes, upon which a novel supervised of traditional offline hashing methods, i.e., low storage cost online hashing method, dubbed as Similarity Distribution and efficiency of pairwise distance computation in the Hamming based Online Hashing (SDOH), is proposed, to keep space. On the other hand, it also merits in training the intrinsic semantic relationship in the produced Hamming efficiency and scalability for large-scale applications, since space. Specifically, we first transform the discrete the hash functions are updated instantly and solely based on similarity matrix into a probability matrix via a Gaussianbased the current streaming data, which is superior to traditional normalization to address the extremely imbalanced hashing methods based on a hashing model entirely trained distribution issue. And then, we introduce a scaling Student from scratch.


Generalized Separable Nonnegative Matrix Factorization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) is a linear dimensionality technique for nonnegative data with applications such as image analysis, text mining, audio source separation and hyperspectral unmixing. Given a data matrix $M$ and a factorization rank $r$, NMF looks for a nonnegative matrix $W$ with $r$ columns and a nonnegative matrix $H$ with $r$ rows such that $M \approx WH$. NMF is NP-hard to solve in general. However, it can be computed efficiently under the separability assumption which requires that the basis vectors appear as data points, that is, that there exists an index set $\mathcal{K}$ such that $W = M(:,\mathcal{K})$. In this paper, we generalize the separability assumption: We only require that for each rank-one factor $W(:,k)H(k,:)$ for $k=1,2,\dots,r$, either $W(:,k) = M(:,j)$ for some $j$ or $H(k,:) = M(i,:)$ for some $i$. We refer to the corresponding problem as generalized separable NMF (GS-NMF). We discuss some properties of GS-NMF and propose a convex optimization model which we solve using a fast gradient method. We also propose a heuristic algorithm inspired by the successive projection algorithm. To verify the effectiveness of our methods, we compare them with several state-of-the-art separable NMF algorithms on synthetic, document and image data sets.


Learning by Active Nonlinear Diffusion

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This article proposes an active learning method for high dimensional data, based on intrinsic data geometries learned through diffusion processes on graphs. Diffusion distances are used to parametrize low-dimensional structures on the dataset, which allow for high-accuracy labelings of the dataset with only a small number of carefully chosen labels. The geometric structure of the data suggests regions that have homogeneous labels, as well as regions with high label complexity that should be queried for labels. The proposed method enjoys theoretical performance guarantees on a general geometric data model, in which clusters corresponding to semantically meaningful classes are permitted to have nonlinear geometries, high ambient dimensionality, and suffer from significant noise and outlier corruption. The proposed algorithm is implemented in a manner that is quasilinear in the number of unlabeled data points, and exhibits competitive empirical performance on synthetic datasets and real hyperspectral remote sensing images.


Meta-Surrogate Benchmarking for Hyperparameter Optimization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Despite the recent progress in hyperparameter optimization (HPO), available benchmarks that resemble real-world scenarios consist of a few and very large problem instances that are expensive to solve. This blocks researchers and practitioners not only from systematically running large-scale comparisons that are needed to draw statistically significant results but also from reproducing experiments that were conducted before. This work proposes a method to alleviate these issues by means of a meta-surrogate model for HPO tasks trained on off-line generated data. The model combines a probabilistic encoder with a multi-task model such that it can generate inexpensive and realistic tasks of the class of problems of interest. We demonstrate that benchmarking HPO methods on samples of the generative model allows us to draw more coherent and statistically significant conclusions that can be reached orders of magnitude faster than using the original tasks. We provide evidence of our findings for various HPO methods on a wide class of problems.


Enriched Mixtures of Gaussian Process Experts

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Mixtures of experts probabilistically divide the input space into regions, where the assumptions of each expert, or conditional model, need only hold locally. Combined with Gaussian process (GP) experts, this results in a powerful and highly flexible model. We focus on alternative mixtures of GP experts, which model the joint distribution of the inputs and targets explicitly. We highlight issues of this approach in multi-dimensional input spaces, namely, poor scalability and the need for an unnecessarily large number of experts, degrading the predictive performance and increasing uncertainty. We construct a novel model to address these issues through a nested partitioning scheme that automatically infers the number of components at both levels. Multiple response types are accommodated through a generalised GP framework, while multiple input types are included through a factorised exponential family structure. We show the effectiveness of our approach in estimating a parsimonious probabilistic description of both synthetic data of increasing dimension and an Alzheimer's challenge dataset.


Monotonic Gaussian Process Flow

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose a new framework of imposing monotonicity constraints in a Bayesian non-parametric setting. Our approach is based on numerical solutions of stochastic differential equations [Hedge, 2019]. We derive a non-parametric model of monotonic functions that allows for interpretable priors and principled quantification of hierarchical uncertainty. We demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed model by providing competitive results to other probabilistic models of monotonic functions on a number of benchmark functions. In addition, we consider the utility of a monotonic constraint in hierarchical probabilistic models, such as deep Gaussian processes. These typically suffer difficulties in modelling and propagating uncertainties throughout the hierarchy that can lead to hidden layers collapsing to point estimates. We address this by constraining hidden layers to be monotonic and present novel procedures for learning and inference that maintain uncertainty. We illustrate the capacity and versatility of the proposed framework on the task of temporal alignment of time-series data where it is beneficial to preserve the uncertainty in the temporal warpings.