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 Statistical Learning


DeepFlow: History Matching in the Space of Deep Generative Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The calibration of a reservoir model with observed transient data of fluid pressures and rates is a key task in obtaining a predictive model of the flow and transport behaviour of the earth's subsurface. The model calibration task, commonly referred to as "history matching", can be formalised as an ill-posed inverse problem where we aim to find the underlying spatial distribution of petrophysical properties that explain the observed dynamic data. We use a generative adversarial network pretrained on geostatistical object-based models to represent the distribution of rock properties for a synthetic model of a hydrocarbon reservoir. The dynamic behaviour of the reservoir fluids is modelled using a transient two-phase incompressible Darcy formulation. We invert for the underlying reservoir properties by first modeling property distributions using the pre-trained generative model then using the adjoint equations of the forward problem to perform gradient descent on the latent variables that control the output of the generative model. In addition to the dynamic observation data, we include well rock-type constraints by introducing an additional objective function. Our contribution shows that for a synthetic test case, we are able to obtain solutions to the inverse problem by optimising in the latent variable space of a deep generative model, given a set of transient observations of a non-linear forward problem.


Pairwise Fairness for Ranking and Regression

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We present pairwise metrics of fairness for ranking and regression models that form analogues of statistical fairness notions such as equal opportunity or equal accuracy, as well as statistical parity. Our pairwise formulation supports both discrete protected groups, and continuous protected attributes. We show that the resulting training problems can be efficiently and effectively solved using constrained optimization and robust optimization techniques based on two player game algorithms developed for fair classification. Experiments illustrate the broad applicability and trade-offs of these methods.


The Impact of Regularization on High-dimensional Logistic Regression

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Logistic regression is commonly used for modeling dichotomous outcomes. In the classical setting, where the number of observations is much larger than the number of parameters, properties of the maximum likelihood estimator in logistic regression are well understood. Recently, Sur and Candes have studied logistic regression in the high-dimensional regime, where the number of observations and parameters are comparable, and show, among other things, that the maximum likelihood estimator is biased. In the high-dimensional regime the underlying parameter vector is often structured (sparse, block-sparse, finite-alphabet, etc.) and so in this paper we study regularized logistic regression (RLR), where a convex regularizer that encourages the desired structure is added to the negative of the log-likelihood function. An advantage of RLR is that it allows parameter recovery even for instances where the (unconstrained) maximum likelihood estimate does not exist. We provide a precise analysis of the performance of RLR via the solution of a system of six nonlinear equations, through which any performance metric of interest (mean, mean-squared error, probability of support recovery, etc.) can be explicitly computed. Our results generalize those of Sur and Candes and we provide a detailed study for the cases of $\ell_2^2$-RLR and sparse ($\ell_1$-regularized) logistic regression. In both cases, we obtain explicit expressions for various performance metrics and can find the values of the regularizer parameter that optimizes the desired performance. The theory is validated by extensive numerical simulations across a range of parameter values and problem instances.


DCEF: Deep Collaborative Encoder Framework for Unsupervised Clustering

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Collaborative representation is a popular feature learning approach, which encoding process is assisted by variety types of information. In this paper, we propose a collaborative representation restricted Boltzmann Machine (CRRBM) for modeling binary data and a collaborative representation Gaussian restricted Boltzmann Machine (CRGRBM) for modeling realvalued data by applying a collaborative representation strategy in the encoding procedure. We utilize Locality Sensitive Hashing (LSH) to generate similar sample subsets of the instance and observed feature set simultaneously from input data. Hence, we can obtain some mini blocks, which come from the intersection of instance and observed feature subsets. Then we integrate Contrastive Divergence and Bregman Divergence methods with mini blocks to optimize our CRRBM and CRGRBM models. In their training process, the complex collaborative relationships between multiple instances and features are fused into the hidden layer encoding. Hence, these encodings have dual characteristics of concealment and cooperation. Here, we develop two deep collaborative encoder frameworks (DCEF) based on the CRRBM and CRGRBM models: one is a DCEF with Gaussian linear visible units (GDCEF) for modeling real-valued data, and the other is a DCEF with binary visible units (BDCEF) for modeling binary data. We explore the collaborative representation capability of the hidden features in every layer of the GDCEF and BDCEF framework, especially in the deepest hidden layer. The experimental results show that the GDCEF and BDCEF frameworks have more outstanding performances than the classic Autoencoder framework for unsupervised clustering task on the MSRA-MM2.0 and UCI datasets, respectively.


Learning Interpretable Shapelets for Time Series Classification through Adversarial Regularization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Times series classification can be successfully tackled by jointly learning a shapelet-based representation of the series in the dataset and classifying the series according to this representation. However, although the learned shapelets are discriminative, they are not always similar to pieces of a real series in the dataset. This makes it difficult to interpret the decision, i.e. difficult to analyze if there are particular behaviors in a series that triggered the decision. In this paper, we make use of a simple convolutional network to tackle the time series classification task and we introduce an adversarial regularization to constrain the model to learn more interpretable shapelets. Our classification results on all the usual time series benchmarks are comparable with the results obtained by similar state-of-the-art algorithms but our adversarially regularized method learns shapelets that are, by design, interpretable.


Non-Parametric Calibration for Classification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Many applications for classification methods not only require high accuracy but also reliable estimation of predictive uncertainty. However, while many current classification frameworks, in particular deep neural network architectures, provide very good results in terms of accuracy, they tend to underestimate their predictive uncertainty. In this paper, we propose a method that corrects the confidence output of a general classifier such that it approaches the true probability of classifying correctly. This classifier calibration is, in contrast to existing approaches, based on a non-parametric representation using a latent Gaussian process and specifically designed for multi-class classification. It can be applied to any classification method that outputs confidence estimates and is not limited to neural networks. We also provide a theoretical analysis regarding the over- and underconfidence of a classifier and its relationship to calibration. In experiments we show the universally strong performance of our method across different classifiers and benchmark data sets in contrast to existing classifier calibration techniques.


Representation Learning for Words and Entities

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This thesis presents new methods for unsupervised learning of distributed representations of words and entities from text and knowledge bases. The first algorithm presented in the thesis is a multi-view algorithm for learning representations of words called Multiview Latent Semantic Analysis (MVLSA). By incorporating up to 46 different types of co-occurrence statistics for the same vocabulary of english words, I show that MVLSA outperforms other state-of-the-art word embedding models. Next, I focus on learning entity representations for search and recommendation and present the second method of this thesis, Neural Variational Set Expansion (NVSE). NVSE is also an unsupervised learning method, but it is based on the Variational Autoencoder framework. Evaluations with human annotators show that NVSE can facilitate better search and recommendation of information gathered from noisy, automatic annotation of unstructured natural language corpora. Finally, I move from unstructured data and focus on structured knowledge graphs. I present novel approaches for learning embeddings of vertices and edges in a knowledge graph that obey logical constraints.


Correlating Twitter Language with Community-Level Health Outcomes

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study how language on social media is linked to diseases such as atherosclerotic heart disease (AHD), diabetes and various types of cancer. Our proposed model leverages state-of-the-art sentence embeddings, followed by a regression model and clustering, without the need of additional labelled data. It allows to predict community-level medical outcomes from language, and thereby potentially translate these to the individual level. The method is applicable to a wide range of target variables and allows us to discover known and potentially novel correlations of medical outcomes with life-style aspects and other socioeconomic risk factors.


Random Tessellation Forests

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Space partitioning methods such as random forests and the Mondrian process are powerful machine learning methods for multi-dimensional and relational data, and are based on recursively cutting a domain. The flexibility of these methods is often limited by the requirement that the cuts be axis aligned. The Ostomachion process and the self-consistent binary space partitioning-tree process were recently introduced as generalizations of the Mondrian process for space partitioning with non-axis aligned cuts in the two dimensional plane. Motivated by the need for a multi-dimensional partitioning tree with non-axis aligned cuts, we propose the Random Tessellation Process (RTP), a framework that includes the Mondrian process and the binary space partitioning-tree process as special cases. We derive a sequential Monte Carlo algorithm for inference, and provide random forest methods. Our process is self-consistent and can relax axis-aligned constraints, allowing complex inter-dimensional dependence to be captured. We present a simulation study, and analyse gene expression data of brain tissue, showing improved accuracies over other methods.


Persistent homology detects curvature

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In topological data analysis, persistent homology is used to study the "shape of data". Persistent homology computations are completely characterized by a set of intervals called a bar code. It is often said that the long intervals represent the "topological signal" and the short intervals represent "noise". We give evidence to dispute this thesis, showing that the short intervals encode geometric information. Specifically, we prove that persistent homology detects the curvature of disks from which points have been sampled. We describe a general computational framework for solving inverse problems using the average persistence landscape, a continuous mapping from metric spaces with a probability measure to a Hilbert space. In the present application, the average persistence landscapes of points sampled from disks of constant curvature results in a path in this Hilbert space which may be learned using standard tools from statistical and machine learning.