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 Statistical Learning


Generating Counterfactual and Contrastive Explanations using SHAP

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

With the advent of GDPR, the domain of explainable AI and model interpretability has gained added impetus. Methods to extract and communicate visibility into decision-making models have become legal requirement. Two specific types of explanations, contrastive and counterfactual have been identified as suitable for human understanding. In this paper, we propose a model agnostic method and its systemic implementation to generate these explanations using shapely additive explanations (SHAP). We discuss a generative pipeline to create contrastive explanations and use it to further to generate counterfactual datapoints. This pipeline is tested and discussed on the IRIS, Wine Quality & Mobile Features dataset. Analysis of the results obtained follows.


10 Compelling Machine Learning Dissertations from Ph.D. Students

#artificialintelligence

This dissertation proposes efficient algorithms and provides theoretical analysis through the angle of spectral methods for some important non-convex optimization problems in machine learning. Specifically, the focus is on two types of non-convex optimization problems: learning the parameters of latent variable models and learning in deep neural networks. Learning latent variable models is traditionally framed as a non-convex optimization problem through Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE). For some specific models such as multi-view model, it's possible to bypass the non-convexity by leveraging the special model structure and convert the problem into spectral decomposition through Methods of Moments (MM) estimator. In this research, a novel algorithm is proposed that can flexibly learn a multi-view model in a non-parametric fashion.


Cross-Subject Statistical Shift Estimation for Generalized Electroencephalography-based Mental Workload Assessment

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Assessment of mental workload in real world conditions is key to ensure the performance of workers executing tasks which demand sustained attention. Previous literature has employed electroencephalography (EEG) to this end. However, EEG correlates of mental workload vary across subjects and physical strain, thus making it difficult to devise models capable of simultaneously presenting reliable performance across users. The field of domain adaptation (DA) aims at developing methods that allow for generalization across different domains by learning domain-invariant representations. Such DA methods, however, rely on the so-called covariate shift assumption, which typically does not hold for EEG-based applications. As such, in this paper we propose a way to measure the statistical (marginal and conditional) shift observed on data obtained from different users and use this measure to quantitatively assess the effectiveness of different adaptation strategies. In particular, we use EEG data collected from individuals performing a mental task while running in a treadmill and explore the effects of different normalization strategies commonly used to mitigate cross-subject variability. We show the effects that different normalization schemes have on statistical shifts and their relationship with the accuracy of mental workload prediction as assessed on unseen participants at train time.


Deep Leakage from Gradients

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Exchanging gradients is a widely used method in modern multi-node machine learning system (e.g., distributed training, collaborative learning). For a long time, people believed that gradients are safe to share: i.e., the training data will not be leaked by gradient exchange. However, we show that it is possible to obtain the private training data from the publicly shared gradients. We name this leakage as Deep Leakage from Gradient and empirically validate the effectiveness on both computer vision and natural language processing tasks. Experimental results show that our attack is much stronger than previous approaches: the recovery is pixel-wise accurate for images and token-wise matching for texts. We want to raise people's awareness to rethink the gradient's safety. Finally, we discuss several possible strategies to prevent such deep leakage. The most effective defense method is gradient pruning.


Customer Segmentation of Wireless Trajectory Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Wireless trajectory data consists of a number of (time, point) entries where each point is associated with a particular wireless device (WAP or BLE beacon) tied to a location identifier, such as a place name. A trajectory relates to a particular mobile device. Such data can be clustered `semantically' to identify similar trajectories, where similarity relates to non-geographic characteristics such as the type of location visited. Here we present a new approach to semantic trajectory clustering for such data. The approach is applicable to interpreting data that does not contain geographical coordinates, and thus contributes to the current literature on semantic trajectory clustering. The literature does not appear to provide such an approach, instead focusing on trajectory data where latitude and longitude data is available. We apply the techniques developed above in the context of the Onward Journey Planner Application, with the motivation of providing on-line recommendations for onward journey options in a context-specific manner. The trajectories analysed indicate commute patterns on the London Underground. Points are only recorded for communication with WAP and BLE beacons within the rail network. This context presents additional challenge since the trajectories are `truncated', with no true origin and destination details. In the above context we find that there are a range of travel patterns in the data, without the existence of distinct clusters. Suggestions are made concerning how to approach the problem of provision of on-line recommendations with such a data set. Thoughts concerning the related problem of prediction of journey route and destination are also provided.


Submodular Batch Selection for Training Deep Neural Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Mini-batch gradient descent based methods are the de facto algorithms for training neural network architectures today. We introduce a mini-batch selection strategy based on submodular function maximization. Our novel submodular formulation captures the informativeness of each sample and diversity of the whole subset. We design an efficient, greedy algorithm which can give high-quality solutions to this NP-hard combinatorial optimization problem. Our extensive experiments on standard datasets show that the deep models trained using the proposed batch selection strategy provide better generalization than Stochastic Gradient Descent as well as a popular baseline sampling strategy across different learning rates, batch sizes, and distance metrics.


Data Cleansing for Models Trained with SGD

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Data cleansing is a typical approach used to improve the accuracy of machine learning models, which, however, requires extensive domain knowledge to identify the influential instances that affect the models. In this paper, we propose an algorithm that can suggest influential instances without using any domain knowledge. With the proposed method, users only need to inspect the instances suggested by the algorithm, implying that users do not need extensive knowledge for this procedure, which enables even non-experts to conduct data cleansing and improve the model. The existing methods require the loss function to be convex and an optimal model to be obtained, which is not always the case in modern machine learning. To overcome these limitations, we propose a novel approach specifically designed for the models trained with stochastic gradient descent (SGD). The proposed method infers the influential instances by retracing the steps of the SGD while incorporating intermediate models computed in each step. Through experiments, we demonstrate that the proposed method can accurately infer the influential instances. Moreover, we used MNIST and CIFAR10 to show that the models can be effectively improved by removing the influential instances suggested by the proposed method.


Active Linear Regression

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider the problem of active linear regression where a decision maker has to choose between several covariates to sample in order to obtain the best estimate $\hat{\beta}$ of the parameter $\beta^{\star}$ of the linear model, in the sense of minimizing $\mathbb{E} \lVert\hat{\beta}-\beta^{\star}\rVert^2$. Using bandit and convex optimization techniques we propose an algorithm to define the sampling strategy of the decision maker and we compare it with other algorithms. We provide theoretical guarantees of our algorithm in different settings, including a $\mathcal{O}(T^{-2})$ regret bound in the case where the covariates form a basis of the feature space, generalizing and improving existing results. Numerical experiments validate our theoretical findings.


Quantum-Inspired Support Vector Machine

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Support vector machine (SVM) is a particularly powerful and flexible supervised learning model that analyze data for both classification and regression, whose usual complexity scales polynomially with the dimension and number of data points. Inspired by the quantum SVM, we present a quantum-inspired classical algorithm for SVM using fast sampling techniques. In our approach, we develop a general method to approximately calculate the kernel function and make classification via carefully sampling the data matrix, thus our approach can be applied to various types of SVM, such as linear SVM, poly-kernel SVM and soft SVM. Theoretical analysis shows one can find the supported hyperplanes on a data set which we have sampling access, and thus make classification with arbitrary success probability in logarithmic runtime, matching the runtime of the quantum SVM.


Bayesian Optimisation over Multiple Continuous and Categorical Inputs

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Efficient optimisation of black-box problems that comprise both continuous and categorical inputs is important, yet poses significant challenges. We propose a new approach, Continuous and Categorical Bayesian Optimisation (CoCaBO), which combines the strengths of multi-armed bandits and Bayesian optimisation to select values for both categorical and continuous inputs. We model this mixed-type space using a Gaussian Process kernel, designed to allow sharing of information across multiple categorical variables, each with multiple possible values; this allows CoCaBO to leverage all available data efficiently. We extend our method to the batch setting and propose an efficient selection procedure that dynamically balances exploration and exploitation whilst encouraging batch diversity. We demonstrate empirically that our method outperforms existing approaches on both synthetic and real-world optimisation tasks with continuous and categorical inputs.