-- In this paper, in following of the first part (which ADF tests using ACI evaluation) has conducted, Time Series (TSs) are analyzed using decomposition analysis. In fact, TSs are composed of four components including trend (long term be - haviour or progression of series), cyclic component ( non - periodic fluctuation behaviour which are usually long term), seasonal component (periodic fluctuations due to seasonal variations like temperature, weather condition and etc.) and error term. The first method is additive decomposition and the second is mu ltiplicative method to decompose a TS into its components. After decomposition, the error term is tested using Durbin - Watson and Breusch - Godfrey test to see whether the error follows any predictable pattern, it can be concluded that there is a chance of cy ber - attack to the system. In this paper, to find out that TS errors (or called residual's interchangeably)follows any particular patterns or not and to obtain t he residual values of TSs, we conducted two classical methods of TS decomposition and then we analyzed the residual terms of TSs for both decomposition method to find anomaly in residual distributions.

The internet activity records (IARs) of a mobile cellular network posses significant information which can be exploited to identify the network's efficacy and the mobile users' behavior. In this work, we extract useful information from the IAR data and identify a healthy predictability of spatio-temporal pattern within the network traffic. The information extracted is helpful for network operators to plan effective network configuration and perform management and optimization of network's resources. We report experimentation on spatiotemporal analysis of IAR data of the Telecom Italia. Based on this, we present mobile traffic partitioning scheme. Experimental results of the proposed model is helpful in modelling and partitioning of network traffic patterns.

With the proliferation of training data, distributed machine learning (DML) is becoming more competent for large-scale learning tasks. However, privacy concern has to be attached prior importance in DML, since training data may contain sensitive information of users. Most existing privacy-aware schemes are established based on an assumption that the users trust the server collecting their data, and are limited to provide the same privacy guarantee for the entire data sample. In this paper, we remove the trustworthy servers assumption, and propose a privacy-preserving ADMM-based DML framework that preserves heterogeneous privacy for users' data. The new challenging issue is to reduce the accumulation of privacy losses over ADMM iterations as much as possible. In the proposed privacy-aware DML framework, a local randomization approach, which is proved to be differentially private, is adopted to provide users with self-controlled privacy guarantee for the most sensitive information. Further, the ADMM algorithm is perturbed through a combined noise-adding method, which simultaneously preserves privacy for users' less sensitive information and strengthens the privacy protection of the most sensitive information. Also, we analyze the performance of the trained model according to its generalization error. Finally, we conduct extensive experiments using synthetic and real-world datasets to validate the theoretical results and evaluate the classification performance of the proposed framework.

This paper describes Plumbing for Optimization with Asynchronous Parallelism (POAP) and the Python Surrogate Optimization Toolbox (pySOT). POAP is an event-driven framework for building and combining asynchronous optimization strategies, designed for global optimization of expensive functions where concurrent function evaluations are useful. POAP consists of three components: a worker pool capable of function evaluations, strategies to propose evaluations or other actions, and a controller that mediates the interaction between the workers and strategies. pySOT is a collection of synchronous and asynchronous surrogate optimization strategies, implemented in the POAP framework. We support the stochastic RBF method by Regis and Shoemaker along with various extensions of this method, and a general surrogate optimization strategy that covers most Bayesian optimization methods. We have implemented many different surrogate models, experimental designs, acquisition functions, and a large set of test problems. We make an extensive comparison between synchronous and asynchronous parallelism and find that the advantage of asynchronous computation increases as the variance of the evaluation time or number of processors increases. We observe a close to linear speed-up with 4, 8, and 16 processors in both the synchronous and asynchronous setting.

We present here the Temporal Clustering Algorithm (TCA), an incremental learning algorithm applicable to problems of anticipatory computing in the context of the Internet of Things. This algorithm was tested in a specific prediction scenario of consumption of an electric water dispenser typically used in tropical countries, in which the ambient temperature is around 30-degree Celsius. In this context, the user typically wants to drinking iced water therefore uses the cooler function of the dispenser. Real and synthetic water consumption data was used to test a forecasting capacity on how much energy can be saved by predicting the pattern of use of the equipment. In addition to using a small constant amount of memory, which allows the algorithm to be implemented at the lowest cost, while using microcontrollers with a small amount of memory (less than 1Kbyte) available on the market. The algorithm can also be configured according to user preference, prioritizing comfort, keeping the water at the desired temperature longer, or prioritizing energy savings. The main result is that the TCA achieved energy savings of up to 40% compared to the conventional mode of operation of the dispenser with an average success rate higher than 90% in its times of use.

The recent decades have seen a surge of interests in distributed computing. Existing work focus primarily on either distributed computing platforms, data query tools, or, algorithms to divide big data and conquer at individual machines etc. It is, however, increasingly often that the data of interest are inherently distributed, i.e., data are stored at multiple distributed sites due to diverse collection channels, business operations etc. We propose to enable learning and inference in such a setting via a general framework based on the distortion minimizing local transformations. This framework only requires a small amount of local signatures to be shared among distributed sites, eliminating the need of having to transmitting big data. Computation can be done very efficiently via parallel local computation. The error incurred due to distributed computing vanishes when increasing the size of local signatures. As the shared data need not be in their original form, data privacy may also be preserved. Experiments on linear (logistic) regression and Random Forests have shown promise of this approach. This framework is expected to apply to a general class of tools in learning and inference with the continuity property.

In order to improve mobile data transparency, a number of network-based approaches have been proposed to inspect packets generated by mobile devices and detect personally identifiable information (PII), ad requests, or other activities. State-of-the-art approaches train classifiers based on features extracted from HTTP packets. So far, these classifiers have only been trained in a centralized way, where mobile users label and upload their packet logs to a central server, which then trains a global classifier and shares it with the users to apply on their devices. However, packet logs used as training data may contain sensitive information that users may not want to share/upload. In this paper, we apply, for the first time, a Federated Learning approach to mobile packet classification, which allows mobile devices to collaborate and train a global model, without sharing raw training data. Methodological challenges we address in this context include: model and feature selection, and tuning the Federated Learning parameters. We apply our framework to two different packet classification tasks ( i.e., to predict PII exposure or ad requests in HTTP packets) and we demonstrate its effectiveness in terms of classification performance, communication and computation cost, using three real-world datasets.

Climate has been an important factor in shaping the distribution and incidence of dengue cases in tropical and subtropical countries. In Costa Rica, a tropical country with distinctive micro-climates, dengue has been endemic since its introduction in 1993, inflicting substantial economic, social, and public health repercussions. Using the number of dengue reported cases and climate data from 2007-2017, we fitted a prediction model applying a Generalized Additive Model (GAM) and Random Forest (RF) approach, which allowed us to retrospectively predict dengue occurrence in five climatological diverse municipalities around the country.

Objective: Schizophrenia seriously affects the quality of life. To date, both simple (linear discriminant analysis) and complex (deep neural network) machine learning methods have been utilized to identify schizophrenia based on functional connectivity features. The existing simple methods need two separate steps (i.e., feature extraction and classification) to achieve the identification, which disables simultaneous tuning for the best feature extraction and classifier training. The complex methods integrate two steps and can be simultaneously tuned to achieve optimal performance, but these methods require a much larger amount of data for model training. Methods: To overcome the aforementioned drawbacks, we proposed a multi-kernel capsule network (MKCapsnet), which was developed by considering the brain anatomical structure. Kernels were set to match with partition sizes of brain anatomical structure in order to capture interregional connectivities at the varying scales. With the inspiration of widely-used dropout strategy in deep learning, we developed vector dropout in the capsule layer to prevent overfitting of the model. Results: The comparison results showed that the proposed method outperformed the state-of-the-art methods. Besides, we compared performances using different parameters and illustrated the routing process to reveal characteristics of the proposed method. Conclusion: MKCapsnet is promising for schizophrenia identification. Significance: Our study not only proposed a multi-kernel capsule network but also provided useful information in the parameter setting, which is informative for further studies using a capsule network for neurophysiological signal classification.

Informatization grows rapidly in all walks of life, going with the enhancement of dependence on IT systems. It is of vital importance to ensure the safe and stable running of the system especially in the field of finance. This paper puts forward a machine learning-based framework for predicting the occurrence of the alarm cases of a financial IT system. We extracted the features from the system logs then build three sub modules which are time-series prediction module, alarm classification module and level division module that composing the whole work flow. We take multiple methods to deal with the problems facing the obstacles in each module. We built the time-series prediction model in terms of time and accuracy performance. To gain higher performance, we introduced ensemble learning methods in designing alarm classifier and alleviated the class-imbalance problem in alarm level division process. The evaluation results from all sides show that our framework could be exploited for real time applications with the veracity and reliability ensured.