Although machine learning methods have been used as an outcome prediction tool in many fields, their utilization in predicting incident outcome in occupational safety is relatively new. This study tests the performance of machine learning techniques in modeling and predicting occupational incidents severity with respect to accessible information of injured workers in agribusiness industries using workers’ compensation claims. More than 33,000 incidents within agribusiness industries in the Midwest of the United States for 2008–2016 were analyzed. The total cost of incidents was extracted and classified from workers’ compensation claims. Supervised machine learning algorithms for classification (support vector machines with linear, quadratic, and RBF kernels, Boosted Trees, and Naïve Bayes) were applied.

Evaporation is one of the main processes in the hydrological cycle, and it is one of the most critical factors in agricultural, hydrological, and meteorological studies. Due to the interactions of multiple climatic factors, the evaporation is a complex and nonlinear phenomenon; therefore, the data-based methods can be used to have precise estimations of it. In this regard, in the present study, Gaussian Process Regression, Nearest-Neighbor, Random Forest and Support Vector Regression were used to estimate the pan evaporation in the meteorological stations of Golestan Province, Iran. For this purpose, meteorological data including PE, temperature, relative humidity, wind speed and sunny hours collected from the Gonbad-e Kavus, Gorgan and Bandar Torkman stations from 2011 through 2017. The accuracy of the studied methods was determined using the statistical indices of Root Mean Squared Error, correlation coefficient and Mean Absolute Error. Furthermore, the Taylor charts utilized for evaluating the accuracy of the mentioned models. We report that GPR for Gonbad-e Kavus Station with input parameters of T, W and S and GPR for Gorgan and Bandar Torkmen stations with input parameters of T, RH, W, and S had the most accurate performances and proposed for precise estimation of PE. Due to the high rate of evaporation in Iran and the lack of measurement instruments, the findings of the current study indicated that the PE values might be estimated with few easily measured meteorological parameters accurately.

Various domain users are increasingly leveraging real-time social media data to gain rapid situational awareness. However, due to the high noise in the deluge of data, effectively determining semantically relevant information can be difficult, further complicated by the changing definition of relevancy by each end user for different events. The majority of existing methods for short text relevance classification fail to incorporate users' knowledge into the classification process. Existing methods that incorporate interactive user feedback focus on historical datasets. Therefore, classifiers cannot be interactively retrained for specific events or user-dependent needs in real-time. This limits real-time situational awareness, as streaming data that is incorrectly classified cannot be corrected immediately, permitting the possibility for important incoming data to be incorrectly classified as well. We present a novel interactive learning framework to improve the classification process in which the user iteratively corrects the relevancy of tweets in real-time to train the classification model on-the-fly for immediate predictive improvements. We computationally evaluate our classification model adapted to learn at interactive rates. Our results show that our approach outperforms state-of-the-art machine learning models. In addition, we integrate our framework with the extended Social Media Analytics and Reporting Toolkit (SMART) 2.0 system, allowing the use of our interactive learning framework within a visual analytics system tailored for real-time situational awareness. To demonstrate our framework's effectiveness, we provide domain expert feedback from first responders who used the extended SMART 2.0 system.

When training clinical prediction models from electronic health records (EHRs), a key concern should be a model's ability to sustain performance over time when deployed, even as care practices, database systems, and population demographics evolve. Due to de-identification requirements, however, current experimental practices for public EHR benchmarks (such as the MIMIC-III critical care dataset) are time agnostic, assigning care records to train or test sets without regard for the actual dates of care. As a result, current benchmarks cannot assess how well models trained on one year generalise to another. In this work, we obtain a Limited Data Use Agreement to access year of care for each record in MIMIC and show that all tested state-of-the-art models decay in prediction quality when trained on historical data and tested on future data, particularly in response to a system-wide record-keeping change in 2008 (0.29 drop in AUROC for mortality prediction, 0.10 drop in AUROC for length-of-stay prediction with a random forest classifier). We further develop a simple yet effective mitigation strategy: by aggregating raw features into expert-defined clinical concepts, we see only a 0.06 drop in AUROC for mortality prediction and a 0.03 drop in AUROC for length-of-stay prediction. We demonstrate that this aggregation strategy outperforms other automatic feature preprocessing techniques aimed at increasing robustness to data drift. We release our aggregated representations and code to encourage more deployable clinical prediction models.

Subspace clustering methods based on expressing each data point as a linear combination of all other points in a dataset are popular unsupervised learning techniques. However, existing methods incur high computational complexity on large-scale datasets as they require solving an expensive optimization problem and performing spectral clustering on large affinity matrices. This paper presents an efficient approach to subspace clustering by selecting a small subset of the input data called landmarks. The resulting subspace clustering method in the reduced domain runs in linear time with respect to the size of the original data. Numerical experiments on synthetic and real data demonstrate the effectiveness of our method.

With higher-order neighborhood information of graph network, the accuracy of graph representation learning classification can be significantly improved. However, the current higher order graph convolutional network has a large number of parameters and high computational complexity. Therefore, we propose a Hybrid Lower order and Higher order Graph convolutional networks (HLHG) learning model, which uses weight sharing mechanism to reduce the number of network parameters. To reduce computational complexity, we propose a novel fusion pooling layer to combine the neighborhood information of high order and low order. Theoretically, we compare the model complexity of the proposed model with the other state-of-the-art model. Experimentally, we verify the proposed model on the large-scale text network datasets by supervised learning, and on the citation network datasets by semi-supervised learning. The experimental results show that the proposed model achieves highest classification accuracy with a small set of trainable weight parameters.

The task of choosing a preconditioner $\boldsymbol{M}$ to use when solving a linear system $\boldsymbol{Ax}=\boldsymbol{b}$ with iterative methods is difficult. For instance, even if one has access to a collection $\boldsymbol{M}_1,\boldsymbol{M}_2,\ldots,\boldsymbol{M}_n$ of candidate preconditioners, it is currently unclear how to practically choose the $\boldsymbol{M}_i$ which minimizes the number of iterations of an iterative algorithm to achieve a suitable approximation to $\boldsymbol{x}$. This paper makes progress on this sub-problem by showing that the preconditioner stability $\|\boldsymbol{I}-\boldsymbol{M}^{-1}\boldsymbol{A}\|_\mathsf{F}$, known to forecast preconditioner quality, can be computed in the time it takes to run a constant number of iterations of conjugate gradients through use of sketching methods. This is in spite of folklore which suggests the quantity is impractical to compute, and a proof we give that ensures the quantity could not possibly be approximated in a useful amount of time by a deterministic algorithm. Using our estimator, we provide a method which can provably select the minimal stability preconditioner among $n$ candidates using floating point operations commensurate with running on the order of $n\log n$ steps of the conjugate gradients algorithm. Our method can also advise the practitioner to use no preconditioner at all if none of the candidates appears useful. The algorithm is extremely easy to implement and trivially parallelizable. In one of our experiments, we use our preconditioner selection algorithm to create to the best of our knowledge the first preconditioned method for kernel regression reported to never use more iterations than the non-preconditioned analog in standard tests.

We consider the framework of learning over decentralized networks, where nodes observe unique, possibly correlated, observation streams. We focus on the case where agents learn a regression \emph{function} that belongs to a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). In this setting, a decentralized network aims to learn nonlinear statistical models that are optimal in terms of a global stochastic convex functional that aggregates data across the network, with only access to a local data stream. We incentivize coordination while respecting network heterogeneity through the introduction of nonlinear proximity constraints. To solve it, we propose applying a functional variant of stochastic primal-dual (Arrow-Hurwicz) method which yields a decentralized algorithm. To handle the fact that the RKHS parameterization has complexity proportionate with the iteration index, we project the primal iterates onto Hilbert subspaces that are greedily constructed from the observation sequence of each node. The resulting proximal stochastic variant of Arrow-Hurwicz, dubbed Heterogeneous Adaptive Learning with Kernels (HALK), is shown to converge in expectation, both in terms of primal sub-optimality and constraint violation to a neighborhood that depends on a given constant step-size selection. Simulations on a correlated spatio-temporal random field estimation problem validate our theoretical results, which are born out in practice for networked oceanic sensing buoys estimating temperature and salinity from depth measurements.

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a framework for black-box optimization that is especially suitable for expensive cost functions. Among the main parts of a BO algorithm, the acquisition function is of fundamental importance, since it guides the optimization algorithm by translating the uncertainty of the regression model in a utility measure for each point to be evaluated. Considering such aspect, selection and design of acquisition functions are one of the most popular research topics in BO. Since no single acquisition function was proved to have better performance in all tasks, a well-established approach consists of selecting different acquisition functions along the iterations of a BO execution. In such an approach, the GP-Hedge algorithm is a widely used option given its simplicity and good performance. Despite its success in various applications, GP-Hedge shows an undesirable characteristic of accounting on all past performance measures of each acquisition function to select the next function to be used. In this case, good or bad values obtained in an initial iteration may impact the choice of the acquisition function for the rest of the algorithm. This fact may induce a dominant behavior of an acquisition function and impact the final performance of the method. Aiming to overcome such limitation, in this work we propose a variant of GP-Hedge, named No-PASt-BO, that reduce the influence of far past evaluations. Moreover, our method presents a built-in normalization that avoids the functions in the portfolio to have similar probabilities, thus improving the exploration. The obtained results on both synthetic and real-world optimization tasks indicate that No-PASt-BO presents competitive performance and always outperforms GP-Hedge.

Stochastic convex optimization lies at the core of modern statistica l and machine learning. Standard results in the subject bound the number of samples that an algorithm needs to generate a point with small function value in expectation. More nuanced high probability guarantees are rarer, and typically either rely on "light-tails" assu mptions or exhibit worse sample complexity. To address this issue, we show that a wide c lass of stochastic algorithms for strongly convex problems can be augmented with high confidence bounds at an overhead cost that is only logarithmic in the confidence level an d polylogarithmic in the condition number. We discuss consequences both for streamin g and offline algorithms. The procedure we propose, called proxBoost, is elementary and combines two well-known ingredients: robust distance estimation and the proximal point met hod.