Each block contains a certain amount of data; and the chain connects these data to form a distributed database. New block needs to be approved by all or some of the network members to become a valid block. Each approved block includes information of the previous block in the chain, therefore if the block is changed, all blocks before this block will be invalid as well. The strategies to reach agreement of the new block (consensus) vary in different types of blockchain. The mathematical structure of the blockchain implies two essential properties: (i) the data (in block) is immutable; (ii) the distributed network with consensus allows users to communicate directly with each other and download a copy of the current ledger, which means that there is continuous monitoring and redundancy of the data in the network.

One of the central themes in the classification task is the estimation of class posterior probability at a new point $\bf{x}$. The vast majority of classifiers output a score for $\bf{x}$, which is monotonically related to the posterior probability via an unknown relationship. There are many attempts in the literature to estimate this latter relationship. Here, we provide a way to estimate the posterior probability without resorting to using classification scores. Instead, we vary the prior probabilities of classes in order to derive the ratio of pdf's at point $\bf{x}$, which is directly used to determine class posterior probabilities. We consider here the binary classification problem.

There is a growing interest in large-scale machine learning and optimization over decentralized networks, e.g. in the context of multi-agent learning and federated learning. Due to the imminent need to alleviate the communication burden, the investigation of communication-efficient distributed optimization algorithms --- particularly for empirical risk minimization --- has flourished in recent years. A large faction of these algorithms have been developed for the master/slave setting, relying on the presence of a central parameter server that can communicate with all agents. This paper focuses on distributed optimization over the network-distributed or the decentralized setting, where each agent is only allowed to aggregate information from its neighbors over a network (namely, no centralized coordination is present). By properly adjusting the global gradient estimate via a tracking term, we develop a communication-efficient approximate Newton-type method, called Network-DANE, which generalizes DANE [Shamir et al., 2014] for decentralized networks. We establish linear convergence of Network-DANE for quadratic losses, which shed light on the impact of data homogeneity and network connectivity upon the rate of convergence. Our key algorithmic ideas can be applied, in a systematic manner, to obtain decentralized versions of other master/slave distributed algorithms. A notable example is our development of Network-SVRG, which employs stochastic variance reduction [Johnson and Zhang, 2013] at each agent to accelerate local computation. The proposed algorithms are built upon the primal formulation without resorting to the dual. Numerical evidence is provided to demonstrate the appealing performance of our algorithms over competitive baselines, in terms of both communication and computation efficiency.

Markov switching models (MSMs) are probabilistic models that employ multiple sets of parameters to describe different dynamic regimes that a time series may exhibit at different periods of time. The switching mechanism between regimes is controlled by unobserved random variables that form a first-order Markov chain. Explicit-duration MSMs contain additional variables that explicitly model the distribution of time spent in each regime. This allows to define duration distributions of any form, but also to impose complex dependence between the observations and to reset the dynamics to initial conditions. Models that focus on the first two properties are most commonly known as hidden semi-Markov models or segment models, whilst models that focus on the third property are most commonly known as changepoint models or reset models. In this monograph, we provide a description of explicit-duration modelling by categorizing the different approaches into three groups, which differ in encoding in the explicit-duration variables different information about regime change/reset boundaries. The approaches are described using the formalism of graphical models, which allows to graphically represent and assess statistical dependence and therefore to easily describe the structure of complex models and derive inference routines. The presentation is intended to be pedagogical, focusing on providing a characterization of the three groups in terms of model structure constraints and inference properties. The monograph is supplemented with a software package that contains most of the models and examples described. The material presented should be useful to both researchers wishing to learn about these models and researchers wishing to develop them further.

Sampling from log-concave distributions is a well researched problem that has many applications in statistics and machine learning. We study the distributions of the form $p^{*}\propto\exp(-f(x))$, where $f:\mathbb{R}^{d}\rightarrow\mathbb{R}$ has an $L$-Lipschitz gradient and is $m$-strongly convex. In our paper, we propose a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm based on the underdamped Langevin diffusion (ULD). It can achieve $\epsilon\cdot D$ error (in 2-Wasserstein distance) in $\tilde{O}\left(\kappa^{7/6}/\epsilon^{1/3}+\kappa/\epsilon^{2/3}\right)$ steps, where $D\overset{\mathrm{def}}{=}\sqrt{\frac{d}{m}}$ is the effective diameter of the problem and $\kappa\overset{\mathrm{def}}{=}\frac{L}{m}$ is the condition number. Our algorithm performs significantly faster than the previously best known algorithm for solving this problem, which requires $\tilde{O}\left(\kappa^{1.5}/\epsilon\right)$ steps. Moreover, our algorithm can be easily parallelized to require only $O(\kappa\log\frac{1}{\epsilon})$ parallel steps. To solve the sampling problem, we propose a new framework to discretize stochastic differential equations. We apply this framework to discretize and simulate ULD, which converges to the target distribution $p^{*}$. The framework can be used to solve not only the log-concave sampling problem, but any problem that involves simulating (stochastic) differential equations.

Mixtures-of-Experts models and their maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) via the EM algorithm have been thoroughly studied in the statistics and machine learning literature. They are subject of a growing investigation in the context of modeling with high-dimensional predictors with regularized MLE. We examine MoE with Gaussian gating network, for clustering and regression, and propose an $\ell_1$-regularized MLE to encourage sparse models and deal with the high-dimensional setting. We develop an EM-Lasso algorithm to perform parameter estimation and utilize a BIC-like criterion to select the model parameters, including the sparsity tuning hyperparameters. Experiments conducted on simulated data show the good performance of the proposed regularized MLE compared to the standard MLE with the EM algorithm.

This research introduces a framework for forecasting, reconstruction and feature engineering of multivariate processes. We integrate derivative-free optimization with ensemble of sequence-to-sequence networks. We design a new resampling technique called additive which along with Bootstrap aggregating (bagging) resampling are applied to initialize the ensemble structure. We explore the proposed framework performance on three renewable energy sources wind, solar and ocean wave. We conduct several short- to long-term forecasts showing the superiority of the proposed method compare to numerous machine learning techniques. The findings indicate that the introduced method performs reasonably better when the forecasting horizon becomes longer. In addition, we modify the framework for automated feature selection. The model represents a clear interpretation of the selected features. We investigate the effects of different environmental and marine factors on the wind speed and ocean output power respectively and report the selected features. Moreover, we explore the online forecasting setting and illustrate that the model exceeds alternatives through different measurement errors.

Covariance matrices have attracted attention for machine learning applications due to their capacity to capture interesting structure in the data. The main challenge is that one needs to take into account the particular geometry of the Riemannian manifold of symmetric positive definite (SPD) matrices they belong to. In the context of deep networks, several architectures for these matrices have recently been proposed. In our article, we introduce a Riemannian batch normalization (batchnorm) algorithm, which generalizes the one used in Euclidean nets. This novel layer makes use of geometric operations on the manifold, notably the Riemannian barycenter, parallel transport and non-linear structured matrix transformations. We derive a new manifold-constrained gradient descent algorithm working in the space of SPD matrices, allowing to learn the batchnorm layer. We validate our proposed approach with experiments in three different contexts on diverse data types: a drone recognition dataset from radar observations, and on emotion and action recognition datasets from video and motion capture data. Experiments show that the Riemannian batchnorm systematically gives better classification performance compared with leading methods and a remarkable robustness to lack of data.

Event series, such as the Wimbledon Championships and the US presidential elections, represent important happenings in key societal areas including sports, culture and politics. However, semantic reference sources, such as Wikidata, DBpedia and EventKG knowledge graphs, provide only an incomplete event series representation. In this paper we target the problem of event series completion in a knowledge graph. We address two tasks: 1) prediction of sub-event relations, and 2) inference of real-world events that happened as a part of event series and are missing in the knowledge graph. To address these problems, our proposed supervised HapPenIng approach leverages structural features of event series. HapPenIng does not require any external knowledge - the characteristics making it unique in the context of event inference. Our experimental evaluation demonstrates that HapPenIng outperforms the baselines by 44 and 52 percentage points in terms of precision for the sub-event prediction and the inference tasks, correspondingly. 1 Introduction Event series, such as sports tournaments, music festivals and political elections are sequences of recurring events. Prominent examples include the Wimbledon Championships, the Summer Olympic Games, the United States presidential elections and the International Semantic Web Conference. The provision of reliable reference sources for event series is of crucial importance for many real-world applications, for example in the context of Digital Humanities and Web Science research [7, 9, 25], as well as media analytics and digital journalism [15, 23].

Multi-view clustering is an important yet challenging task due to the difficulty of integrating the information from multiple representations. Most existing multi-view clustering methods explore the heterogeneous information in the space where the data points lie. Such common practice may cause significant information loss because of unavoidable noise or inconsistency among views. Since different views admit the same cluster structure, the natural space should be all partitions. Orthogonal to existing techniques, in this paper, we propose to leverage the multi-view information by fusing partitions. Specifically, we align each partition to form a consensus cluster indicator matrix through a distinct rotation matrix. Moreover, a weight is assigned for each view to account for the clustering capacity differences of views. Finally, the basic partitions, weights, and consensus clustering are jointly learned in a unified framework. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach on several real datasets, where significant improvement is found over other state-of-the-art multi-view clustering methods.