Statistical Learning
A New Framework for Distance and Kernel-based Metrics in High Dimensions
Chakraborty, Shubhadeep, Zhang, Xianyang
The paper presents new metrics to quantify and test for (i) the equality of distributions and (ii) the independence between two high-dimensional random vectors. We show that the energy distance based on the usual Euclidean distance cannot completely characterize the homogeneity of two high-dimensional distributions in the sense that it only detects the equality of means and the traces of covariance matrices in the high-dimensional setup. We propose a new class of metrics which inherits the desirable properties of the energy distance and maximum mean discrepancy/(generalized) distance covariance and the Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion in the low-dimensional setting and is capable of detecting the homogeneity of/completely characterizing independence between the low-dimensional marginal distributions in the high dimensional setup. We further propose t-tests based on the new metrics to perform high-dimensional two-sample testing/independence testing and study their asymptotic behavior under both high dimension low sample size (HDLSS) and high dimension medium sample size (HDMSS) setups. The computational complexity of the t-tests only grows linearly with the dimension and thus is scalable to very high dimensional data. We demonstrate the superior power behavior of the proposed tests for homogeneity of distributions and independence via both simulated and real datasets.
Rejoinder on: Minimal penalties and the slope heuristics: a survey
This text is the rejoinder following the discussion of a survey paper about minimal penalties and the slope heuristics (Arlot, 2019. Minimal penalties and the slope heuristics: a survey. Journal de la SFDS). While commenting on the remarks made by the discussants, it provides two new results about the slope heuristics for model selection among a collection of projection estimators in least-squares fixed-design regression. First, we prove that the slope heuristics works even when all models are significantly biased. Second, when the noise is Gaussian with a general dependence structure, we compute expectations of key quantities, showing that the slope heuristics certainly is valid in this setting also.
Gated Linear Networks
Veness, Joel, Lattimore, Tor, Bhoopchand, Avishkar, Budden, David, Mattern, Christopher, Grabska-Barwinska, Agnieszka, Toth, Peter, Schmitt, Simon, Hutter, Marcus
This paper presents a family of backpropagation-free neural architectures, Gated Linear Networks (GLNs),that are well suited to online learning applications where sample efficiency is of paramount importance. The impressive empirical performance of these architectures has long been known within the data compression community, but a theoretically satisfying explanation as to how and why they perform so well has proven difficult. What distinguishes these architectures from other neural systems is the distributed and local nature of their credit assignment mechanism; each neuron directly predicts the target and has its own set of hard-gated weights that are locally adapted via online convex optimization. By providing an interpretation, generalization and subsequent theoretical analysis, we show that sufficiently large GLNs are universal in a strong sense: not only can they model any compactly supported, continuous density function to arbitrary accuracy, but that any choice of no-regret online convex optimization technique will provably converge to the correct solution with enough data. Empirically we show a collection of single-pass learning results on established machine learning benchmarks that are competitive with results obtained with general purpose batch learning techniques.
The Non-IID Data Quagmire of Decentralized Machine Learning
Hsieh, Kevin, Phanishayee, Amar, Mutlu, Onur, Gibbons, Phillip B.
Many large-scale machine learning (ML) applications need to train ML models over decentralized datasets that are generated at different devices and locations. These decentralized datasets pose a fundamental challenge to ML because they are typically generated in very different contexts, which leads to significant differences in data distribution across devices/locations (i.e., they are not independent and identically distributed (IID)). In this work, we take a step toward better understanding this challenge, by presenting the first detailed experimental study of the impact of such non-IID data on the decentralized training of deep neural networks (DNNs). Our study shows that: (i) the problem of non-IID data partitions is fundamental and pervasive, as it exists in all ML applications, DNN models, training datasets, and decentralized learning algorithms in our study; (ii) this problem is particularly difficult for DNN models with batch normalization layers; and (iii) the degree of deviation from IID (the skewness) is a key determinant of the difficulty level of the problem. With these findings in mind, we present SkewScout, a system-level approach that adapts the communication frequency of decentralized learning algorithms to the (skew-induced) accuracy loss between data partitions. We also show that group normalization can recover much of the skew-induced accuracy loss of batch normalization.
Predicting Alzheimer's Disease by Hierarchical Graph Convolution from Positron Emission Tomography Imaging
Guo, Jiaming, Qiu, Wei, Li, Xiang, Zhao, Xuandong, Guo, Ning, Li, Quanzheng
Imaging-based early diagnosis of Alzheimer Disease (AD) has become an effective approach, especially by using nuclear medicine imaging techniques such as Positron Emission Topography (PET). In various literature it has been found that PET images can be better modeled as signals (e.g. uptake of florbetapir) defined on a network (non-Euclidean) structure which is governed by its underlying graph patterns of pathological progression and metabolic connectivity. In order to effectively apply deep learning framework for PET image analysis to overcome its limitation on Euclidean grid, we develop a solution for 3D PET image representation and analysis under a generalized, graph-based CNN architecture (PETNet), which analyzes PET signals defined on a group-wise inferred graph structure. Computations in PETNet are defined in non-Euclidean, graph (network) domain, as it performs feature extraction by convolution operations on spectral-filtered signals on the graph and pooling operations based on hierarchical graph clustering. Effectiveness of the PETNet is evaluated on the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) dataset, which shows improved performance over both deep learning and other machine learning-based methods.
Entropy Penalty: Towards Generalization Beyond the IID Assumption
Arpit, Devansh, Xiong, Caiming, Socher, Richard
A BSTRACT It has been shown that instead of learning actual object features, deep networks tend to exploit non-robust (spurious) discriminative features that are shared between training and test sets. Therefore, while they achieve state of the art performance on such test sets, they achieve poor generalization on out of distribution (OOD) samples where the IID (independent, identical distribution) assumption breaks and the distribution of non-robust features shifts. Through theoretical and empirical analysis, we show that this happens because maximum likelihood training (without appropriate regularization) leads the model to depend on all the correlations (including spurious ones) present between inputs and targets in the dataset. We then show evidence that the information bottleneck (IB) principle can address this problem. To do so, we propose a regularization approach based on IB, called Entropy Penalty, that reduces the model's dependence on spurious features-features corresponding to such spurious correlations. This allows deep networks trained with Entropy Penalty to generalize well even under distribution shift of spurious features. As a controlled test-bed for evaluating our claim, we train deep networks with Entropy Penalty on a colored MNIST (C-MNIST) dataset and show that it is able to generalize well on vanilla MNIST, MNIST -M and SVHN datasets in addition to an OOD version of C-MNIST itself. The baseline regularization methods we compare against fail to generalize on this test-bed. An example of non-robust feature is the presence of desert in camel images, which may correlate well with this object class. More realistically, models can learn to exploit the abundance of input-target correlations present in datasets, not all of which may be invariant under different environments. Interestingly, such classifiers can achieve good performance on test sets which share the same non-robust features. However, due to this exploitation, these classifiers perform poorly under distribution shift (Geirhos et al., 2018a; Hendrycks & Dietterich, 2019) because it violates the IID assumption which is the foundation of existing generalization theory (Bartlett & Mendelson, 2002; McAllester, 1999b;a).
Tightening Bounds for Variational Inference by Revisiting Perturbation Theory
Bamler, Robert, Zhang, Cheng, Opper, Manfred, Mandt, Stephan
Variational inference has become one of the most widely used methods in latent variable modeling. In its basic form, variational inference employs a fully factorized variational distribution and minimizes its KL divergence to the posterior. As the minimization can only be carried out approximately, this approximation induces a bias. In this paper, we revisit perturbation theory as a powerful way of improving the variational approximation. Perturbation theory relies on a form of Taylor expansion of the log marginal likelihood, vaguely in terms of the log ratio of the true posterior and its variational approximation. While first order terms give the classical variational bound, higher-order terms yield corrections that tighten it. However, traditional perturbation theory does not provide a lower bound, making it inapt for stochastic optimization. In this paper, we present a similar yet alternative way of deriving corrections to the ELBO that resemble perturbation theory, but that result in a valid bound. We show in experiments on Gaussian Processes and Variational Autoencoders that the new bounds are more mass covering, and that the resulting posterior covariances are closer to the true posterior and lead to higher likelihoods on held-out data.
Tutorial on Implied Posterior Probability for SVMs
Nalbantov, Georgi, Ivanov, Svetoslav
Department of Data Science, Medical Data Science Ltd., Bulgaria Editor: Abstract Implied posterior probability of a given model (say, Support Vector Machines (SVM)) at a point x is an estimate of the class posterior probability pertaining to the class of functions of the model applied to a given dataset. It can be regarded as a score (or estimate) for the true posterior probability, which can then be calibrated/mapped onto expected (non-implied by the model) posterior probability implied by the underlying functions, which have generated the data. In this tutorial we discuss how to compute implied posterior probabilities of SVMs for the binary classification case as well as how to calibrate them via a standard method of isotonic regression. Keywords: Posterior probability, Bayes rule, Classification, SVMs 1. Introduction The implied posterior probability method for estimating class posterior probability has recently been proposed (Nalbantov and Ivanov, 2019). The method provides a score (or estimate) for the true posterior probability, which can then be calibrated/mapped onto expected (non-implied by the model) posterior probability implied by the underlying functions, which have generated the data. The main difference with other methods for solving this problem is the non-reliance on the original model built on the data to estimate posterior probabilities for points which do not belong to the separation surface of the model. Rather, the estimates are based on the class of functions used to build the (original) model, as applied to different versions of the dataset, where the relative weight of the instances varies between the classes. For each such relative weight a different model is built, which is relevant for the estimation of a particular value of the posterior probability.
Weakly Supervised Attention Networks for Fine-Grained Opinion Mining and Public Health
Karamanolakis, Giannis, Hsu, Daniel, Gravano, Luis
In many review classification applications, a fine-grained analysis of the reviews is desirable, because different segments (e.g., sentences) of a review may focus on different aspects of the entity in question. However, training supervised models for segment-level classification requires segment labels, which may be more difficult or expensive to obtain than review labels. In this paper, we employ Multiple Instance Learning (MIL) and use only weak supervision in the form of a single label per review. First, we show that when inappropriate MIL aggregation functions are used, then MIL-based networks are outperformed by simpler baselines. Second, we propose a new aggregation function based on the sigmoid attention mechanism and show that our proposed model outperforms the state-of-the-art models for segment-level sentiment classification (by up to 9.8% in F1). Finally, we highlight the importance of fine-grained predictions in an important public-health application: finding actionable reports of foodborne illness. We show that our model achieves 48.6% higher recall compared to previous models, thus increasing the chance of identifying previously unknown foodborne outbreaks.
Localised Generative Flows
Cornish, Rob, Caterini, Anthony L., Deligiannidis, George, Doucet, Arnaud
A BSTRACT We argue that flow-based density models based on continuous bijections are limited in their ability to learn target distributions with complicated topologies, and propose localised generative flows (LGFs) to address this problem. LGFs are composed of stacked continuous mixtures of bijections, which enables each bijection to learn a local region of the target rather than its entirety. Our method is a generalisation of existing flow-based methods, which can be used without modification as the basis for an LGF model. Unlike normalising flows, LGFs do not permit exact computation of log likelihoods, but we propose a simple variational scheme that performs well in practice. We show empirically that LGFs yield improved performance across a variety of density estimation tasks. 1 I NTRODUCTION Flow-based generative models, often referred to as normalising flows, have become popular methods for density estimation because of their flexibility, expressiveness, and tractable likelihoods. Given the problem of learning an unknown target density p null X on a data space X, normalising flows model p null X as the marginal of X obtained by the generative process Z p Z, X: g 1 ( Z), (1) where p Z is a prior density on a space Z, and g: X Z is a bijection. The parameters of g can be learned via maximum likelihood given i.i.d. To be effective, a normalising flow model must specify an expressive family of bijections with tractable Jacobians. Affine coupling layers (Dinh et al., 2014; 2016), autoregressive transformations (Germain et al., 2015; Papamakarios et al., 2017), ODEbased transformations (Grathwohl et al., 2018), and invertible ResNet blocks (Behrmann et al., 2019) are all examples of such bijections that can be composed to produce complicated flows. These models have demonstrated significant promise in their ability to model complex datasets (Papamakarios et al., 2017) and to synthesise novel data points (Kingma & Dhariwal, 2018). However, in all these cases, g is continuous in x .