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 Statistical Learning


Hypergraph clustering with categorical edge labels

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Graphs and networks are a standard model for describing data or systems based on pairwise interactions. Oftentimes, the underlying relationships involve more than two entities at a time, and hypergraphs are a more faithful model. However, we have fewer rigorous methods that can provide insight from such representations. Here, we develop a computational framework for the problem of clustering hypergraphs with categorical edge labels --- or different interaction types --- where clusters corresponds to groups of nodes that frequently participate in the same type of interaction. Our methodology is based on a combinatorial objective function that is related to correlation clustering but enables the design of much more efficient algorithms. When there are only two label types, our objective can be optimized in polynomial time, using an algorithm based on minimum cuts. Minimizing our objective becomes NP-hard with more than two label types, but we develop fast approximation algorithms based on linear programming relaxations that have theoretical cluster quality guarantees. We demonstrate the efficacy of our algorithms and the scope of the model through problems in edge-label community detection, clustering with temporal data, and exploratory data analysis.


Abnormal Client Behavior Detection in Federated Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In federated learning systems, clients are autonomous in that their behaviors are not fully governed by the server. Consequently, a client may intentionally or unintentionally deviate from the prescribed course of federated model training, resulting in abnormal behaviors, such as turning into a malicious attacker or a malfunctioning client. Timely detecting those anomalous clients is therefore critical to minimize their adverse impacts. In this work, we propose to detect anomalous clients at the server side. In particular, we generate low-dimensional surrogates of model weight vectors and use them to perform anomaly detection. We evaluate our solution through experiments on image classification model training over the FEMNIST dataset. Experimental results show that the proposed detection-based approach significantly outperforms the conventional defense-based methods.


Orthogonal variance decomposition based feature selection

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Existing feature selection methods fail to properly account for interactions between features when evaluating feature subsets. In this paper, we attempt to remedy this issue by using orthogonal variance decomposition to evaluate features. The orthogonality of the decomposition allows us to directly calculate the total contribution of a feature to the output variance. Thus we obtain an efficient algorithm for feature evaluation which takes into account interactions among features. Numerical experiments demonstrate that our method accurately identifies relevant features and improves the accuracy of numerical models.


Targeted Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effect in Observational Survival Analysis

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The aim of clinical effectiveness research using repositories of electronic health records is to identify what health interventions 'work best' in real-world settings. Since there are several reasons why the net benefit of intervention may differ across patients, current comparative effectiveness literature focuses on investigating heterogeneous treatment effect and predicting whether an individual might benefit from an intervention. The majority of this literature has concentrated on the estimation of the effect of treatment on binary outcomes. However, many medical interventions are evaluated in terms of their effect on future events, which are subject to loss to follow-up. In this study, we describe a framework for the estimation of heterogeneous treatment effect in terms of differences in time-to-event (survival) probabilities. We divide the problem into three phases: (1) estimation of treatment effect conditioned on unique sets of the covariate vector; (2) identification of features important for heterogeneity using an ensemble of non-parametric variable importance methods; and (3) estimation of treatment effect on the reference classes defined by the previously selected features, using one-step Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation. We conducted a series of simulation studies and found that this method performs well when either sample size or event rate is high enough and the number of covariates contributing to the effect heterogeneity is moderate. An application of this method to a clinical case study was conducted by estimating the effect of oral anticoagulants on newly diagnosed non-valvular atrial fibrillation patients using data from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink.


Identifying the Most Explainable Classifier

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We introduce the notion of pointwise coverage to measure the explainability properties of machine learning classifiers. An explanation for a prediction is a definably simple region of the feature space sharing the same label as the prediction, and the coverage of an explanation measures its size or generalizability. With this notion of explanation, we investigate whether or not there is a natural characterization of the most explainable classifier. According with our intuitions, we prove that the binary linear classifier is uniquely the most explainable classifier up to negligible sets.


A Topological "Reading" Lesson: Classification of MNIST using TDA

arXiv.org Machine Learning

--We present a way to use T opological Data Analysis (TDA) for machine learning tasks on grayscale images. We apply persistent homology to generate a wide range of topological features using a point cloud obtained from an image, its natural grayscale filtration, and different filtrations defined on the binarized image. We show that this topological machine learning pipeline can be used as a highly relevant dimensionality reduction by applying it to the MNIST digits dataset. We conduct a feature selection and study their correlations while providing an intuitive interpretation of their importance, which is relevant in both machine learning and TDA. Finally, we show that we can classify digit images while reducing the size of the feature set by a factor 5 compared to the grayscale pixel value features and maintain similar accuracy. I NTRODUCTION Topological Data Analysis (TDA) [1] applies techniques from algebraic topology to study and extract topological and geometric information on the shape of data. In this paper, we use persistent homology [2], a tool from TDA that extracts features representing the numbers of connected components, cycles, and voids and their birth and death during an iterative process called a filtration. Each of those features is summarized as a point in a persistence diagram .


Challenges in Bayesian inference via Markov chain Monte Carlo for neural networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods and neural networks are instrumental in tackling inferential and prediction problems. However, Bayesian inference based on joint use of MCMC methods and of neural networks is limited. This paper reviews the main challenges posed by neural networks to MCMC developments, including lack of parameter identifiability due to weight symmetries, prior specification effects, and consequently high computational cost and convergence failure. Population and manifold MCMC algorithms are combined to demonstrate these challenges via multilayer perceptron (MLP) examples and to develop case studies for assessing the capacity of approximate inference methods to uncover the posterior covariance of neural network parameters. Some of these challenges, such as high computational cost arising from the application of neural networks to big data and parameter identifiability arising from weight symmetries, stimulate research towards more scalable approximate MCMC methods or towards MCMC methods in reduced parameter spaces.


Suicidal Ideation Detection: A Review of Machine Learning Methods and Applications

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Suicide is a critical issue in the modern society. Early detection and prevention of suicide attempt should be addressed to save people's life. Current suicidal ideation detection methods include clinical methods based on the interaction between social workers or experts and the targeted individuals, and machine learning techniques with feature engineering or deep learning for automatic detection based on online social contents. This is the first survey that comprehensively introduces and discusses the methods from these categories. Domain-specific applications of suicidal ideation detection are also reviewed according to their data sources, i.e., questionnaires, electronic health records, suicide notes, and online user content. To facilitate further research, several specific tasks and datasets are introduced. Finally, we summarize the limitations of current work and provide an outlook of further research directions.


Towards a Theory of Systems Engineering Processes: A Principal-Agent Model of a One-Shot, Shallow Process

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Systems engineering processes coordinate the effort of different individuals to generate a product satisfying certain requirements. As the involved engineers are self-interested agents, the goals at different levels of the systems engineering hierarchy may deviate from the system-level goals which may cause budget and schedule overruns. Therefore, there is a need of a systems engineering theory that accounts for the human behavior in systems design. To this end, the objective of this paper is to develop and analyze a principal-agent model of a one-shot (single iteration), shallow (one level of hierarchy) systems engineering process. We assume that the systems engineer maximizes the expected utility of the system, while the subsystem engineers seek to maximize their expected utilities. Furthermore, the systems engineer is unable to monitor the effort of the subsystem engineer and may not have a complete information about their types or the complexity of the design task. However, the systems engineer can incentivize the subsystem engineers by proposing specific contracts. To obtain an optimal incentive, we pose and solve numerically a bi-level optimization problem. Through extensive simulations, we study the optimal incentives arising from different system-level value functions under various combinations of effort costs, problem-solving skills, and task complexities.


Democratizing machine learning: perspective from scikit-learn

#artificialintelligence

Scaling Algorithmic improvement is top priority External infrastructure helps scaling out Tension with our mission of generic, reusable library work on impedence matching layer 33. 3 Bridging to data engineering 34. 3 Data assembly for statistics "Dirty data" is a central problem Merging data sources Input errors 35. 3 Machine learning versus data in the wild numbers (in arrays) arrays (of numbers) arrays strings databases schemas A gap between statistics & data engineering 36.