Statistical Learning
Don't Blame the ELBO! A Linear VAE Perspective on Posterior Collapse
Lucas, James, Tucker, George, Grosse, Roger, Norouzi, Mohammad
Posterior collapse in Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) arises when the variational posterior distribution closely matches the prior for a subset of latent variables. This paper presents a simple and intuitive explanation for posterior collapse through the analysis of linear VAEs and their direct correspondence with Probabilistic PCA (pPCA). We explain how posterior collapse may occur in pPCA due to local maxima in the log marginal likelihood. Unexpectedly, we prove that the ELBO objective for the linear VAE does not introduce additional spurious local maxima relative to log marginal likelihood. We show further that training a linear VAE with exact variational inference recovers an identifiable global maximum corresponding to the principal component directions. Empirically, we find that our linear analysis is predictive even for high-capacity, non-linear VAEs and helps explain the relationship between the observation noise, local maxima, and posterior collapse in deep Gaussian VAEs.
Unfairness towards subjective opinions in Machine Learning
Balayn, Agathe, Bozzon, Alessandro, Szlavik, Zoltan
Despite the high interest for Machine Learning (ML) in academia and industry, many issues related to the application of ML to real-life problems are yet to be addressed. Here we put forward one limitation which arises from a lack of adaptation of ML models and datasets to specific applications. We formalise a new notion of unfairness as exclusion of opinions. We propose ways to quantify this unfairness, and aid understanding its causes through visualisation. These insights into the functioning of ML-based systems hint at methods to mitigate unfairness.
Linear Support Vector Regression with Linear Constraints
Klopfenstein, Quentin, Vaiter, Samuel
This paper studies the addition of linear constraints to the Support Vector Regression (SVR) when the kernel is linear. Adding those constraints into the problem allows to add prior knowledge on the estimator obtained, such as finding probability vector or monotone data. We propose a generalization of the Sequential Minimal Optimization (SMO) algorithm for solving the optimization problem with linear constraints and prove its convergence. Then, practical performances of this estimator are shown on simulated and real datasets with different settings: non negative regression, regression onto the simplex for biomedical data and isotonic regression for weather forecast.
The gradient complexity of linear regression
Braverman, Mark, Hazan, Elad, Simchowitz, Max, Woodworth, Blake
We investigate the computational complexity of several basic linear algebra primitives, including largest eigenvector computation and linear regression, in the computational model that allows access to the data via a matrix-vector product oracle. We show that for polynomial accuracy, $\Theta(d)$ calls to the oracle are necessary and sufficient even for a randomized algorithm. Our lower bound is based on a reduction to estimating the least eigenvalue of a random Wishart matrix. This simple distribution enables a concise proof, leveraging a few key properties of the random Wishart ensemble.
Machine Learning using the Variational Predictive Information Bottleneck with a Validation Set
Zellner (1988) modeled statistical inference in terms of information processing and postulated the Information Conservation Principle (ICP) between the input and output of the information processing block, showing that this yielded Bayesian inference as the optimum information processing rule. Recently, Alemi (2019) reviewed Zellner's work in the context of machine learning and showed that the ICP could be seen as a special case of a more general optimum information processing criterion, namely the Predictive Information Bottleneck Objective. However, Alemi modeled the model training step in machine learning as using training and test data sets only, and did not account for the use of a validation data set during training. The present note is an attempt to extend Alemi's information processing formulation of machine learning, and the predictive information bottleneck objective for model training, to the widely-used scenario where training utilizes not only a training but also a validation data set.
Global Adaptive Generative Adjustment
Wang, Bin, Wang, Xiaofei, Guo, Jianhua
Many traditional signal recovery approaches can behave well basing on the penalized likelihood. However, they have to meet with the difficulty in the selection of hyperparameters or tuning parameters in the penalties. In this article, we propose a global adaptive generative adjustment (GAGA) algorithm for signal recovery, in which multiple hyperpameters are automatically learned and alternatively updated with the signal. W e further prove that the output of our algorithm directly guarantees the consistency of model selection and the asymptotic normality of signal estimate. Moreover, we also propose a variant GAGA algorithm for improving the computational efficiency in the high-dimensional data analysis. Finally, in the simulated experiment, we consider the consistency of the outputs of our algorithms, and compare our algorithms to other penalized likelihood methods: the Adaptive LASSO, the SCAD and the MCP . The simulation results support the efficiency of our algorithms for signal recovery, and demonstrate that our algorithms outperform the other algorithms.
A Latent Feelings-aware RNN Model for User Churn Prediction with Behavioral Data
Xi, Meng, Luo, Zhiling, Wang, Naibo, Yin, Jianwei
Predicting user churn and taking personalized measures to retain users is a set of common and effective practices for online game operators. However, different from the traditional user churn relevant researches that can involve demographic, economic, and behavioral data, most online games can only obtain logs of user behavior and have no access to users' latent feelings. There are mainly two challenges in this work: 1. The latent feelings, which cannot be directly observed in this work, need to be estimated and verified; 2. User churn needs to be predicted with only behavioral data. In this work, a Recurrent Neural Network(RNN) called LaFee (Latent Feeling) is proposed, which can get the users' latent feelings while predicting user churn. Besides, we proposed a method named BMM-UCP (Behavior-based Modeling Method for User Churn Prediction) to help models predict user churn with only behavioral data. The latent feelings are names as satisfaction and aspiration in this work. We designed experiments on a real dataset and the results show that our methods outperform baselines and are more suitable for long-term sequential learning. The latent feelings learned are fully discussed and proven meaningful.
A Comparative Analysis of XGBoost
Bentéjac, Candice, Csörgő, Anna, Martínez-Muñoz, Gonzalo
XGBoost is a scalable ensemble technique based on gradient boosting that has demonstrated to be a reliable and efficient machine learning challenge solver. This work proposes a practical analysis of how this novel technique works in terms of training speed, generalization performance and parameter setup. In addition, a comprehensive comparison between XGBoost, random forests and gradient boosting has been performed using carefully tuned models as well as using the default settings. The results of this comparison may indicate that XGBoost is not necessarily the best choice under all circumstances. Finally an extensive analysis of XGBoost parametrization tuning process is carried out.
Detecting Point Outliers Using Prune-based Outlier Factor (PLOF)
Babaei, Kasra, Chen, ZhiYuan, Maul, Tomas
Outlier detection (also known as anomaly detection or deviation detection) is a process of detecting data points in which their patterns deviate significantly from others. It is common to have outliers in industry applications, which could be generated by different causes such as human error, fraudulent activities, or system failure. Recently, density-based methods have shown promising results, particularly among which Local Outlier Factor (LOF) is arguably dominating. However, one of the major drawbacks of LOF is that it is computationally expensive. Motivated by the mentioned problem, this research presents a novel pruning-based procedure in which the execution time of LOF is reduced while the performance is maintained. A novel Prune-based Local Outlier Factor (PLOF) approach is proposed, in which prior to employing LOF, outlierness of each data instance is measured. Next, based on a threshold, data instances that require further investigation are separated and LOF score is only computed for these points. Extensive experiments have been conducted and results are promising. Comparison experiments with the original LOF and two state-of-the-art variants of LOF have shown that PLOF produces higher accuracy and precision while reducing execution time.
Study of Constrained Network Structures for WGANs on Numeric Data Generation
Wang, Wei, Wang, Chuang, Cui, Tao, Li, Yue
Some recent studies have suggested using GANs for numeric data generation such as to generate data for completing the imbalanced numeric data. Considering the significant difference between the dimensions of the numeric data and images, as well as the strong correlations between features of numeric data, the conventional GANs normally face an overfitting problem, consequently leads to an ill-conditioning problem in generating numeric and structured data. This paper studies the constrained network structures between generator G and discriminator D in WGAN, designs several structures including isomorphic, mirror and self-symmetric structures. We evaluates the performances of the constrained WGANs in data augmentations, taking the non-constrained GANs and WGANs as the baselines. Experiments prove the constrained structures have been improved in 17/20 groups of experiments. In twenty experiments on four UCI Machine Learning Repository datasets, Australian Credit Approval data, German Credit data, Pima Indians Diabetes data and SPECT heart data facing five conventional classifiers. Especially, Isomorphic WGAN is the best in 15/20 experiments. Finally, we theoretically proves that the effectiveness of constrained structures by the directed graphic model (DGM) analysis.