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 Statistical Learning


A Fully Natural Gradient Scheme for Improving Inference of the Heterogeneous Multi-Output Gaussian Process Model

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A recent novel extension of multi-output Gaussian processes handles heterogeneous outputs assuming that each output has its own likelihood function. It uses a vector-valued Gaussian process prior to jointly model all likelihoods' parameters as latent functions drawn from a Gaussian process with a linear model of coregionalisation covariance. By means of an inducing points framework, the model is able to obtain tractable variational bounds amenable to stochastic variational inference. Nonetheless, the strong conditioning between the variational parameters and the hyper-parameters burdens the adaptive gradient optimisation methods used in the original approach. To overcome this issue we borrow ideas from variational optimisation introducing an exploratory distribution over the hyper-parameters, allowing inference together with the variational parameters through a fully natural gradient optimisation scheme. We show that our optimisation scheme can achieve better local optima solution with higher test performance rates than adaptive gradient methods or an hybrid strategy that partially use natural gradients in cooperation with the Adam method. We compare the performance of the different methods over toy and real databases.


Reading The Markets -- Machine Learning Versus The Financial News

#artificialintelligence

Suffice it to say that they are a form of non-linear regression tool whose underlying design found inspiration in a simplification of the basic architecture of the human brain. Many of the great advances that we have experienced in Machine Learning over the last few years make use of neural networks. The basic algorithm has been around for decades -- but it has come into its own as processing power and data availability have steadily increased. For this project we implemented our neural network in Python using the popular TensorFlow library from Google. The characteristics of our neural network, and in particular its complexity, were chosen to balance precision and generalization.


The Hundred-Page Machine Learning Book by Andriy Burkov

#artificialintelligence

Today's top companies undergo the most significant transformation since industrialization. Artificial Intelligence disrupts industries, the way we work, think, interact. Gartner predicts that by 2020 AI will create 2.3 million jobs, while eliminating 1.8 million. Machine Learning is what drives AI. Experts in this domain are rare, employers fight for the ML-skilled talent.


How to Perform Feature Selection with Categorical Data

#artificialintelligence

Feature selection is the process of identifying and selecting a subset of input features that are most relevant to the target variable. Feature selection is often straightforward when working with real-valued data, such as using the Pearson's correlation coefficient, but can be challenging when working with categorical data. The two most commonly used feature selection methods for categorical input data when the target variable is also categorical (e.g. In this tutorial, you will discover how to perform feature selection with categorical input data. How to Perform Feature Selection with Categorical Data Photo by Phil Dolby, some rights reserved. As the basis of this tutorial, we will use the so-called "Breast cancer" dataset that has been widely studied as a machine learning dataset since the 1980s.


Sept 2019: "Top 40" New R Packages

#artificialintelligence

Provides tools to create and manipulate probability distributions using S3. Generics random(), pdf(), cdf(), and quantile() provide replacements for base R's r/d/p/q style functions. The documentation for each distribution contains detailed mathematical notes. There are several vignettes: Intro to hypothesis testing, One-sample sign tests, One-sample T confidence interval, One-sample T-tests, Z confidence interval for a mean, One-sample Z-tests for a proportion, One-sample Z-tests, Paired tests, and Two-sample Z-tests.


20 Machine Learning Bootcamps and Courses Teaching the Art of Algorithms

#artificialintelligence

Machine learning technology has the capacity to autonomously identify malignant tumors, pilot Teslas and subtitle videos in real time. The term "autonomous" is tricky here, because machine learning still requires a lot of human ingenuity to get these jobs done. It works like this: An algorithm scans a massive dataset. Engineers don't tell it exactly what to look for in this initial dataset, which could consist of images, audio clips, emails and more. Instead, the algorithm conducts a freeform analysis.


Adaptive Estimation of Multivariate Piecewise Polynomials and Bounded Variation Functions by Optimal Decision Trees

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Proposed by Donoho (1997), Dyadic CART is a nonparametric regression method which computes a globally optimal dyadic decision tree and fits piecewise constant functions. In this article we define and study Dyadic CART and a closely related estimator, namely Optimal Regression Tree (ORT), in the context of estimating piecewise smooth functions in general dimensions. More precisely, these optimal decision tree estimators fit piecewise polynomials of any given degree. Like Dyadic CART in two dimensions, we reason that these estimators can also be computed in polynomial time in the sample size via dynamic programming. We prove oracle inequalities for the finite sample risk of Dyadic CART and ORT which imply tight risk bounds for several function classes of interest. Firstly, they imply that the finite sample risk of ORT of order $r \geq 0$ is always bounded by $C k \frac{\log N}{N}$ ($N$ is the sample size) whenever the regression function is piecewise polynomial of degree $r$ on some reasonably regular axis aligned rectangular partition of the domain with at most $k$ rectangles. Beyond the univariate case, such guarantees are scarcely available in the literature for computationally efficient estimators. Secondly, our oracle inequalities uncover optimality and adaptivity of the Dyadic CART estimator for function spaces with bounded variation. We consider two function spaces of recent interest where multivariate total variation denoising and univariate trend filtering are the state of the art methods. We show that Dyadic CART enjoys certain advantages over these estimators while still maintaining all their known guarantees.


Independence Promoted Graph Disentangled Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We address the problem of disentangled representation learning with independent latent factors in graph convolutional networks (GCNs). The current methods usually learn node representation by describing its neighborhood as a perceptual whole in a holistic manner while ignoring the entanglement of the latent factors. However, a real-world graph is formed by the complex interaction of many latent factors (e.g., the same hobby, education or work in social network). While little effort has been made toward exploring the disentangled representation in GCNs. In this paper, we propose a novel Independence Promoted Graph Disentangled Networks (IPGDN) to learn disentangled node representation while enhancing the independence among node representations. In particular, we firstly present disentangled representation learning by neighborhood routing mechanism, and then employ the Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion (HSIC) to enforce independence between the latent representations, which is effectively integrated into a graph convolutional framework as a reg-ularizer at the output layer. Experimental studies on real-world graphs validate our model and demonstrate that our algorithms outperform the state-of-the-arts by a wide margin in different network applications, including semi-supervised graph classification, graph clustering and graph visualization.


Federated Learning for Ranking Browser History Suggestions

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Federated Learning is a new subfield of machine learning that allows fitting models without collecting the training data itself. Instead of sharing data, users collaboratively train a model by only sending weight updates to a server. To improve the ranking of suggestions in the Firefox URL bar, we make use of Federated Learning to train a model on user interactions in a privacy-preserving way. This trained model replaces a handcrafted heuristic, and our results show that users now type over half a character less to find what they are looking for. To be able to deploy our system to real users without degrading their experience during training, we design the optimization process to be robust. To this end, we use a variant of Rprop for optimization, and implement additional safeguards. By using a numerical gradient approximation technique, our system is able to optimize anything in Firefox that is currently based on handcrafted heuristics. Our paper shows that Federated Learning can be used successfully to train models in privacy-respecting ways.


Comprehensive decision-strategy space exploration for efficient territorial planning strategies

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Comprehensive decision-strategy space exploration for efficient territorial planning strategies Olivier Billaud, 1, Maxence Soubeyrand, 1, Sandra Luque, 1 and Maxime Lenormand 1, † 1 TETIS, Univ Montpellier, AgroParisTech, Cirad, CNRS, Irstea, Montpellier, France Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) is a well-known decision support tool that can be used in a wide variety of contexts. It is particularly useful for territorial planning in situations where several actors with different, and sometimes contradictory, point of views have to take a decision regarding land use development. While the impact of the weights used to represent the relative importance of criteria has been widely studied in the recent literature, the impact of order weights determination have rarely been investigated. This paper presents a spatial sensitivity analysis to assess the impact of order weights determination in Multi-Criteria Analysis by Ordered Weighted Averaging. We propose a methodology based on an efficient exploration of the decision-strategy space defined by the level of risk and tradeoff in the decision process. We illustrate our approach with a land use planning process in the South of France. The objective is to find suitable areas for urban development while preserving green areas and their associated ecosystem services. The ecosystem service approach has indeed the potential to widen the scope of traditional landscape-ecological planning by including ecosystem-based benefits, including social and economic benefits, green infrastructures and biophysical parameters in urban and territorial planning. We show that in this particular case the decision-strategy space can be divided into four clusters. Each of them is associated with a map summarizing the average spatial suitability distribution used to identify potential areas for urban development.