Ordinal regression falls between discrete-valued classification and continuous-valued regression. Ordinal target variables can be associated with ranked random variables. These random variables are known as order statistics and they are closely related to ordinal regression. However, the challenge of using order statistics for ordinal regression prediction is finding a suitable parent distribution. In this work, we provide a case study of a real-world orienteering relay race by viewing it as a random process. For this process, we show that accurate order statistical ordinal regression predictions of final team rankings, or places, can be obtained by assuming a lognormal distribution of individual leg times. Moreover, we apply Fenton-Wilkinson approximations to intermediate changeover times alongside an estimator for the total number of teams as in the notorious German tank problem. The purpose of this work is, in part, to spark interest in studying the applicability of order statistics in ordinal regression problems.

FL embodies the principles of focused data collection and minimization, and can mitigate many of the systemic privacy risks and costs resulting from traditional, centralized machine learning and data science approaches. Motivated by the explosive growth in FL research, this paper discusses recent advances and presents an extensive collection of open problems and challenges. Peter Kairouz and H. Brendan McMahan conceived, coordinated, and edited this work.

This paper investigates Frequentist consistency properties of the posterior distributions constructed via Generalized Variational Inference (GVI). A number of generic and novel strategies are given for proving consistency, relying on the theory of $\Gamma$-convergence. Specifically, this paper shows that under minimal regularity conditions, the sequence of GVI posteriors is consistent and collapses to a point mass at the population-optimal parameter value as the number of observations goes to infinity. The results extend to the latent variable case without additional assumptions and hold under misspecification. Lastly, the paper explains how to apply the results to a selection of GVI posteriors with especially popular variational families. For example, consistency is established for GVI methods using the mean field normal variational family, normal mixtures, Gaussian process variational families as well as neural networks indexing a normal (mixture) distribution.

Recently there has been much interest in quantifying the robustness of neural network classifiers through adversarial risk metrics. However, for problems where test-time corruptions occur in a probabilistic manner, rather than being generated by an explicit adversary, adversarial metrics typically do not provide an accurate or reliable indicator of robustness. To address this, we introduce a statistically robust risk (SRR) framework which measures robustness in expectation over both network inputs and a corruption distribution. Unlike many adversarial risk metrics, which typically require separate applications on a point-by-point basis, the SRR can easily be directly estimated for an entire network and used as a training objective in a stochastic gradient scheme. Furthermore, we show both theoretically and empirically that it can scale to higher-dimensional networks by providing superior generalization performance compared with comparable adversarial risks.

Advances in machine learning technologies have led to increasingly powerful models in particular in the context of big data. Yet, many application scenarios demand for robustly interpretable models rather than optimum model accuracy; as an example, this is the case if potential biomarkers or causal factors should be discovered based on a set of given measurements. In this contribution, we focus on feature selection paradigms, which enable us to uncover relevant factors of a given regularity based on a sparse model. We focus on the important specific setting of linear ordinal regression, i.e.\ data have to be ranked into one of a finite number of ordered categories by a linear projection. Unlike previous work, we consider the case that features are potentially redundant, such that no unique minimum set of relevant features exists. We aim for an identification of all strongly and all weakly relevant features as well as their type of relevance (strong or weak); we achieve this goal by determining feature relevance bounds, which correspond to the minimum and maximum feature relevance, respectively, if searched over all equivalent models. In addition, we discuss how this setting enables us to substitute some of the features, e.g.\ due to their semantics, and how to extend the framework of feature relevance intervals to the setting of privileged information, i.e.\ potentially relevant information is available for training purposes only, but cannot be used for the prediction itself.

Subspace clustering assumes that the data is separable into separate subspaces. Such a simple assumption, does not always hold. We assume that, even if the raw data is not separable into subspaces, one can learn a representation ( transform coef-fi cients) such that the learnt representation is separable into subspaces. To achieve the intended goal, we embed subspace clustering techniques (locally linear manifold clustering, sparse subspace clustering and low rank representation) into transform learn ing. The entire formulation is jointly learnt; giving rise to a new class of methods called transformed subspace clustering (TSC). In order to account for non - linearity, ker-nelized extensions of TSC are also proposed. To test the performanc e of the propose d techniques, benchmarking is performed on image clustering and document clustering datasets. Comparison with state - of - the - art clustering techniques shows that our formulation improves upon them.

ABSTRACT: T his paper aims at detecting an accurate position of the main entrance of the buildings. The proposed approach relies on the fact that the GPS signals drop significantly when the user enters a building. Moreover, as most of the public buildings provide Wi - Fi services, the W i - Fi received signal strength (RSS) can be utilized in order to detect the entrance of the buildings. The rationale behind this paper is that the GPS signals decrease as the user gets close to the main entrance and the Wi - Fi signal increases as the user ap proaches the main entrance. Several real experiments have been conducted in order to guarantee the feasibility of the proposed approach.

Double descent refers to the phase transition that is exhibited by the generalization error of unregularized learning models when varying the ratio between the number of parameters and the number of training samples. The recent success of highly over-parameterized machine learning models such as deep neural networks has motivated a theoretical analysis of the double descent phenomenon in classical models such as linear regression which can also generalize well in the over-parameterized regime. We build on recent advances in Randomized Numerical Linear Algebra (RandNLA) to provide the first exact non-asymptotic expressions for double descent of the minimum norm linear estimator. Our approach involves constructing what we call a surrogate random design to replace the standard i.i.d. design of the training sample. This surrogate design admits exact expressions for the mean squared error of the estimator while preserving the key properties of the standard design. We also establish an exact implicit regularization result for over-parameterized training samples. In particular, we show that, for the surrogate design, the implicit bias of the unregularized minimum norm estimator precisely corresponds to solving a ridge-regularized least squares problem on the population distribution.

Kernel methods form a powerful, versatile, and theoretically-grounded unifying framework to solve nonlinear problems in signal processing and machine learning. The standard approach relies on the kernel trick to perform pairwise evaluations of a kernel function, which leads to scalability issues for large datasets due to its linear and superlinear growth with respect to the training data. A popular approach to tackle this problem, known as random Fourier features (RFFs), samples from a distribution to obtain the data-independent basis of a higher finite-dimensional feature space, where its dot product approximates the kernel function. Recently, deterministic, rather than random construction has been shown to outperform RFFs, by approximating the kernel in the frequency domain using Gaussian quadrature. In this paper, we view the dot product of these explicit mappings not as an approximation, but as an equivalent positive-definite kernel that induces a new finite-dimensional reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). This opens the door to no-trick (NT) online kernel adaptive filtering (KAF) that is scalable and robust. Random features are prone to large variances in performance, especially for smaller dimensions. Here, we focus on deterministic feature-map construction based on polynomial-exact solutions and show their superiority over random constructions. Without loss of generality, we apply this approach to classical adaptive filtering algorithms and validate the methodology to show that deterministic features are faster to generate and outperform state-of-the-art kernel methods based on random Fourier features.

We study nonconvex optimization landscapes for learning overcomplete representations, including learning (i) sparsely used overcomplete dictionaries and (ii) convolutional dictionaries, where these unsupervised learning problems find many applications in high-dimensional data analysis. Despite the empirical success of simple nonconvex algorithms, theoretical justifications of why these methods work so well are far from satisfactory. In this work, we show these problems can be formulated as $\ell^4$-norm optimization problems with spherical constraint, and study the geometric properties of their nonconvex optimization landscapes. For both problems, we show the nonconvex objectives have benign (global) geometric structures, in the sense that every local minimizer is close to one of the target solutions and every saddle point exhibits negative curvature. This discovery enables the development of guaranteed global optimization methods using simple initializations. For both problems, we show the nonconvex objectives have benign geometric structures -- every local minimizer is close to one of the target solutions and every saddle point exhibits negative curvature -- either in the entire space or within a sufficiently large region. This discovery ensures local search algorithms (such as Riemannian gradient descent) with simple initializations approximately find the target solutions. Finally, numerical experiments justify our theoretical discoveries.