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 Statistical Learning


The Time-Marginalized Coalescent Prior for Hierarchical Clustering

Neural Information Processing Systems

We introduce a new prior for use in Nonparametric Bayesian Hierarchical Clustering. The prior is constructed by marginalizing out the time information of Kingman's coalescent, providing a prior over tree structures which we call the Time-Marginalized Coalescent (TMC). This allows for models which factorize the tree structure and times, providing two benefits: more flexible priors may be constructed and more efficient Gibbs type inference can be used. We demonstrate this on an example model for density estimation and show the TMC achieves competitive experimental results. Papers published at the Neural Information Processing Systems Conference.


Sparse Approximate Manifolds for Differential Geometric MCMC

Neural Information Processing Systems

One of the enduring challenges in Markov chain Monte Carlo methodology is the development of proposal mechanisms to make moves distant from the current point, that are accepted with high probability and at low computational cost. The recent introduction of locally adaptive MCMC methods based on the natural underlying Riemannian geometry of such models goes some way to alleviating these problems for certain classes of models for which the metric tensor is analytically tractable, however computational efficiency is not assured due to the necessity of potentially high-dimensional matrix operations at each iteration. In this paper we firstly investigate a sampling-based approach for approximating the metric tensor and suggest a valid MCMC algorithm that extends the applicability of Riemannian Manifold MCMC methods to statistical models that do not admit an analytically computable metric tensor. Secondly, we show how the approximation scheme we consider naturally motivates the use of l1 regularisation to improve estimates and obtain a sparse approximate inverse of the metric, which enables stable and sparse approximations of the local geometry to be made. We demonstrate the application of this algorithm for inferring the parameters of a realistic system of ordinary differential equations using a biologically motivated robust student-t error model, for which the expected Fisher Information is analytically intractable.


Learning with Recursive Perceptual Representations

Neural Information Processing Systems

Linear Support Vector Machines (SVMs) have become very popular in vision as part of state-of-the-art object recognition and other classification tasks but require high dimensional feature spaces for good performance. Deep learning methods can find more compact representations but current methods employ multilayer perceptrons that require solving a difficult, non-convex optimization problem. We propose a deep non-linear classifier whose layers are SVMs and which incorporates random projection as its core stacking element. Our method learns layers of linear SVMs recursively transforming the original data manifold through a random projection of the weak prediction computed from each layer. Our method scales as linear SVMs, does not rely on any kernel computations or nonconvex optimization, and exhibits better generalization ability than kernel-based SVMs.


High-dimensional regression with noisy and missing data: Provable guarantees with non-convexity

Neural Information Processing Systems

Although the standard formulations of prediction problems involve fully-observed and noiseless data drawn in an i.i.d. We study these issues in the context of high-dimensional sparse linear regression, and propose novel estimators for the cases of noisy, missing, and/or dependent data. Many standard approaches to noisy or missing data, such as those using the EM algorithm, lead to optimization problems that are inherently non-convex, and it is difficult to establish theoretical guarantees on practical algorithms. While our approach also involves optimizing non-convex programs, we are able to both analyze the statistical error associated with any global optimum, and prove that a simple projected gradient descent algorithm will converge in polynomial time to a small neighborhood of the set of global minimizers. On the statistical side, we provide non-asymptotic bounds that hold with high probability for the cases of noisy, missing, and/or dependent data.


Hashing Algorithms for Large-Scale Learning

Neural Information Processing Systems

Minwise hashing is a standard technique in the context of search for efficiently computing set similarities. The recent development of b-bit minwise hashing provides a substantial improvement by storing only the lowest b bits of each hashed value. In this paper, we demonstrate that b-bit minwise hashing can be naturally integrated with linear learning algorithms such as linear SVM and logistic regression, to solve large-scale and high-dimensional statistical learning tasks, especially when the data do not fit in memory. We compare $b$-bit minwise hashing with the Count-Min (CM) and Vowpal Wabbit (VW) algorithms, which have essentially the same variances as random projections. Our theoretical and empirical comparisons illustrate that b-bit minwise hashing is significantly more accurate (at the same storage cost) than VW (and random projections) for binary data.


Demixed Principal Component Analysis

Neural Information Processing Systems

In many experiments, the data points collected live in high-dimensional observation spaces, yet can be assigned a set of labels or parameters. In electrophysiological recordings, for instance, the responses of populations of neurons generally depend on mixtures of experimentally controlled parameters. The heterogeneity and diversity of these parameter dependencies can make visualization and interpretation of such data extremely difficult. Standard dimensionality reduction techniques such as principal component analysis (PCA) can provide a succinct and complete description of the data, but the description is constructed independent of the relevant task variables and is often hard to interpret. Here, we start with the assumption that a particularly informative description is one that reveals the dependency of the high-dimensional data on the individual parameters.


A Stochastic Gradient Method with an Exponential Convergence _Rate for Finite Training Sets

Neural Information Processing Systems

We propose a new stochastic gradient method for optimizing the sum of a finite set of smooth functions, where the sum is strongly convex. While standard stochastic gradient methods converge at sublinear rates for this problem, the proposed method incorporates a memory of previous gradient values in order to achieve a linear convergence rate. In a machine learning context, numerical experiments indicate that the new algorithm can dramatically outperform standard algorithms, both in terms of optimizing the training error and reducing the test error quickly. Papers published at the Neural Information Processing Systems Conference.


Select and Sample - A Model of Efficient Neural Inference and Learning

Neural Information Processing Systems

An increasing number of experimental studies indicate that perception encodes a posterior probability distribution over possible causes of sensory stimuli, which is used to act close to optimally in the environment. One outstanding difficulty with this hypothesis is that the exact posterior will in general be too complex to be represented directly, and thus neurons will have to represent an approximation of this distribution. Two influential proposals of efficient posterior representation by neural populations are: 1) neural activity represents samples of the underlying distribution, or 2) they represent a parametric representation of a variational approximation of the posterior. We show that these approaches can be combined for an inference scheme that retains the advantages of both: it is able to represent multiple modes and arbitrary correlations, a feature of sampling methods, and it reduces the represented space to regions of high probability mass, a strength of variational approximations. Neurally, the combined method can be interpreted as a feed-forward preselection of the relevant state space, followed by a neural dynamics implementation of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to approximate the posterior over the relevant states.


Optimization-Based MCMC Methods for Nonlinear Hierarchical Statistical Inverse Problems

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In many hierarchical inverse problems, not only do we want to estimate high- or infinite-dimensional model parameters in the parameter-to-observable maps, but we also have to estimate hyperparameters that represent critical assumptions in the statistical and mathematical modeling processes. As a joint effect of high-dimensionality, nonlinear dependence, and non-concave structures in the joint posterior posterior distribution over model parameters and hyperparameters, solving inverse problems in the hierarchical Bayesian setting poses a significant computational challenge. In this work, we aim to develop scalable optimization-based Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for solving hierarchical Bayesian inverse problems with nonlinear parameter-to-observable maps and a broader class of hyperparameters. Our algorithmic development is based on the recently developed scalable randomize-then-optimize (RTO) method [4] for exploring the high- or infinite-dimensional model parameter space. By using RTO either as a proposal distribution in a Metropolis-within-Gibbs update or as a biasing distribution in the pseudo-marginal MCMC [2], we are able to design efficient sampling tools for hierarchical Bayesian inversion. In particular, the integration of RTO and the pseudo-marginal MCMC has sampling performance robust to model parameter dimensions. We also extend our methods to nonlinear inverse problems with Poisson-distributed measurements. Numerical examples in PDE-constrained inverse problems and positron emission tomography (PET) are used to demonstrate the performance of our methods.


Fake News Detection with Different Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Problem: The problem we intend to solve is modelled as a binary classification problem. We intend to find the relation in the words and the context in which the words appear within the text and how it could be used to classify texts as real (negative cases) or fake (positive). High-level description: Many news sources contain false information and are therefore "fake news." Because there is a lot of "fake news" articles and fabricated, misleading information on the web, we would like to determine which texts are legitimate (real) and which are illegitimate (fake). To solve this as a binary classification problem, we investigate the effectiveness of different Natural Language Processing models which are used to convert character based texts into numeric representations such as TFIDF, CountVectorizer and Word2Vec models and find out which model is able to preserve most of the contextual information about the text used in a fake news data set and how helpful and effective it is in detecting whether the text is a fake news or not.