We propose and investigate a class of new algorithms for sequential decision making that interacts with \textit{a batch of users} simultaneously instead of \textit{a user} at each decision epoch. This type of batch models is motivated by interactive marketing and clinical trial, where a group of people are treated simultaneously and the outcomes of the whole group are collected before the next stage of decision. In such a scenario, our goal is to allocate a batch of treatments to maximize treatment efficacy based on observed high-dimensional user covariates. We deliver a solution, named \textit{Teamwork LASSO Bandit algorithm}, that resolves a batch version of explore-exploit dilemma via switching between teamwork stage and selfish stage during the whole decision process. This is made possible based on statistical properties of LASSO estimate of treatment efficacy that adapts to a sequence of batch observations. In general, a rate of optimal allocation condition is proposed to delineate the exploration and exploitation trade-off on the data collection scheme, which is sufficient for LASSO to identify the optimal treatment for observed user covariates. An upper bound on expected cumulative regret of the proposed algorithm is provided.

In this contribution, we propose a new computationally efficient method to combine Variational Inference (VI) with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). This approach can be used with generic MCMC kernels, but is especially well suited to \textit{MetFlow}, a novel family of MCMC algorithms we introduce, in which proposals are obtained using Normalizing Flows. The marginal distribution produced by such MCMC algorithms is a mixture of flow-based distributions, thus drastically increasing the expressivity of the variational family. Unlike previous methods following this direction, our approach is amenable to the reparametrization trick and does not rely on computationally expensive reverse kernels. Extensive numerical experiments show clear computational and performance improvements over state-of-the-art methods.

Mobile payment such as Alipay has been widely used in our daily lives. To further promote the mobile payment activities, it is important to run marketing campaigns under a limited budget by providing incentives such as coupons, commissions to merchants. As a result, incentive optimization is the key to maximizing the commercial objective of the marketing campaign. With the analyses of online experiments, we found that the transaction network can subtly describe the similarity of merchants' responses to different incentives, which is of great use in the incentive optimization problem. In this paper, we present a graph representation learning method atop of transaction networks for merchant incentive optimization in mobile payment marketing. With limited samples collected from online experiments, our end-to-end method first learns merchant representations based on an attributed transaction networks, then effectively models the correlations between the commercial objectives each merchant may achieve and the incentives under varying treatments. Thus we are able to model the sensitivity to incentive for each merchant, and spend the most budgets on those merchants that show strong sensitivities in the marketing campaign. Extensive offline and online experimental results at Alipay demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed approach.

We propose to study the problem of few shot graph classification in graph neural networks (GNNs) to recognize unseen classes, given limited labeled graph examples. Despite several interesting GNN variants being proposed recently for node and graph classification tasks, when faced with scarce labeled examples in the few shot setting, these GNNs exhibit significant loss in classification performance. Here, we present an approach where a probability measure is assigned to each graph based on the spectrum of the graphs normalized Laplacian. This enables us to accordingly cluster the graph base labels associated with each graph into super classes, where the Lp Wasserstein distance serves as our underlying distance metric. Subsequently, a super graph constructed based on the super classes is then fed to our proposed GNN framework which exploits the latent inter class relationships made explicit by the super graph to achieve better class label separation among the graphs. We conduct exhaustive empirical evaluations of our proposed method and show that it outperforms both the adaptation of state of the art graph classification methods to few shot scenario and our naive baseline GNNs. Additionally, we also extend and study the behavior of our method to semi supervised and active learning scenarios.

Fraudulent claim detection is one of the greatest challenges the insurance industry faces. Alibaba's return-freight insurance, providing return-shipping postage compensations over product return on the e-commerce platform, receives thousands of potentially fraudulent claims every day. Such deliberate abuse of the insurance policy could lead to heavy financial losses. In order to detect and prevent fraudulent insurance claims, we developed a novel data-driven procedure to identify groups of organized fraudsters, one of the major contributions to financial losses, by learning network information. In this paper, we introduce a device-sharing network among claimants, followed by developing an automated solution for fraud detection based on graph learning algorithms, to separate fraudsters from regular customers and uncover groups of organized fraudsters. This solution applied at Alibaba achieves more than 80% precision while covering 44% more suspicious accounts compared with a previously deployed rule-based classifier after human expert investigations. Our approach can easily and effectively generalizes to other types of insurance.

Clustering is a popular form of unsupervised learning for geometric data. Unfortunately, many clustering algorithms lead to cluster assignments that are hard to explain, partially because they depend on all the features of the data in a complicated way. To improve interpretability, we consider using a small decision tree to partition a data set into clusters, so that clusters can be characterized in a straightforward manner. We study this problem from a theoretical viewpoint, measuring cluster quality by the $k$-means and $k$-medians objectives: Must there exist a tree-induced clustering whose cost is comparable to that of the best unconstrained clustering, and if so, how can it be found? In terms of negative results, we show, first, that popular top-down decision tree algorithms may lead to clusterings with arbitrarily large cost, and second, that any tree-induced clustering must in general incur an $\Omega(\log k)$ approximation factor compared to the optimal clustering. On the positive side, we design an efficient algorithm that produces explainable clusters using a tree with $k$ leaves. For two means/medians, we show that a single threshold cut suffices to achieve a constant factor approximation, and we give nearly-matching lower bounds. For general $k \geq 2$, our algorithm is an $O(k)$ approximation to the optimal $k$-medians and an $O(k^2)$ approximation to the optimal $k$-means. Prior to our work, no algorithms were known with provable guarantees independent of dimension and input size.

Probability metrics have become an indispensable part of modern statistics and machine learning, and they play a quintessential role in various applications, including statistical hypothesis testing and generative modeling. However, in a practical setting, the convergence behavior of the algorithms built upon these distances have not been well established, except for a few specific cases. In this paper, we introduce a broad family of probability metrics, coined as Generalized Sliced Probability Metrics (GSPMs), that are deeply rooted in the generalized Radon transform. We first verify that GSPMs are metrics. Then, we identify a subset of GSPMs that are equivalent to maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) with novel positive definite kernels, which come with a unique geometric interpretation. Finally, by exploiting this connection, we consider GSPM-based gradient flows for generative modeling applications and show that under mild assumptions, the gradient flow converges to the global optimum. We illustrate the utility of our approach on both real and synthetic problems.

Multivariate Hawkes Processes (MHPs) are an important class of temporal point processes that have enabled key advances in understanding and predicting social information systems. However, due to their complex modeling of temporal dependencies, MHPs have proven to be notoriously difficult to scale, what has limited their applications to relatively small domains. In this work, we propose a novel model and computational approach to overcome this important limitation. By exploiting a characteristic sparsity pattern in real-world diffusion processes, we show that our approach allows to compute the exact likelihood and gradients of an MHP -- independently of the ambient dimensions of the underlying network. We show on synthetic and real-world datasets that our model does not only achieve state-of-the-art predictive results, but also improves runtime performance by multiple orders of magnitude compared to standard methods on sparse event sequences. In combination with easily interpretable latent variables and influence structures, this allows us to analyze diffusion processes at previously unattainable scale.

We introduce a new measure to evaluate the transferability of representations learned by classifiers. Our measure, the Log Expected Empirical Prediction (LEEP), is simple and easy to compute: when given a classifier trained on a source data set, it only requires running the target data set through this classifier once. We analyze the properties of LEEP theoretically and demonstrate its effectiveness empirically. Our analysis shows that LEEP can predict the performance and convergence speed of both transfer and meta-transfer learning methods, even for small or imbalanced data. Moreover, LEEP outperforms recently proposed transferability measures such as negative conditional entropy and H scores. Notably, when transferring from ImageNet to CIFAR100, LEEP can achieve up to 30% improvement compared to the best competing method in terms of the correlations with actual transfer accuracy.

In many high dimensional classification or regression problems set in a biological context, the complete identification of the set of informative features is often as important as predictive accuracy, since this can provide mechanistic insight and conceptual understanding. Lasso and related algorithms have been widely used since their sparse solutions naturally identify a set of informative features. However, Lasso performs erratically when features are correlated. This limits the use of such algorithms in biological problems, where features such as genes often work together in pathways, leading to sets of highly correlated features. In this paper, we examine the performance of a Lasso derivative, the exclusive group Lasso, in this setting. We propose fast algorithms to solve the exclusive group Lasso, and introduce a solution to the case when the underlying group structure is unknown. The solution combines stability selection with random group allocation and introduction of artificial features. Experiments with both synthetic and real-world data highlight the advantages of this proposed methodology over Lasso in comprehensive selection of informative features.