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 Statistical Learning


Approaches and Applications of Early Classification of Time Series: A Review

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Early classification of time series has been extensively studied for minimizing class prediction delay in time-sensitive applications such as healthcare and finance. A primary task of an early classification approach is to classify an incomplete time series as soon as possible with some desired level of accuracy. Recent years have witnessed several approaches for early classification of time series. As most of the approaches have solved the early classification problem with different aspects, it becomes very important to make a thorough review of the existing solutions to know the current status of the area. These solutions have demonstrated reasonable performance in a wide range of applications including human activity recognition, gene expression based health diagnostic, industrial monitoring, and so on. In this paper, we present a systematic review of current literature on early classification approaches for both univariate and multivariate time series. We divide various existing approaches into four exclusive categories based on their proposed solution strategies. The four categories include prefix based, shapelet based, model based, and miscellaneous approaches. The authors also discuss the applications of early classification in many areas including industrial monitoring, intelligent transportation, and medical. Finally, we provide a quick summary of the current literature with future research directions.


Deep Divergence Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

These methods, known as Mahalanobis metric learning approaches, have been analyzed Classical linear metric learning methods have recently theoretically, are scalable, and usually involve convex optimization been extended along two distinct lines: problems that can be solved globally (Kulis, 2013; deep metric learning methods for learning embeddings Bellet et al., 2015). of the data using neural networks, and Classical metric learning methods have been extended along Bregman divergence learning approaches for extending various axes; two important directions are deep metric learning learning Euclidean distances to more general and Bregman divergence learning. Deep metric learning divergence measures such as divergences over approaches replace the linear mapping learned in Mahalanobis distributions. In this paper, we introduce deep metric learning methods with more general mappings Bregman divergences, which are based on learning that are learned via neural networks (Hoffer & Ailon, and parameterizing functional Bregman divergences 2015; Chopra et al., 2005). On the other hand, Bregman using neural networks, and which unify divergence methods replace the squared Euclidean distance and extend these existing lines of work. We show with arbitrary Bregman divergences (Bregman, 1967), and in particular how deep metric learning formulations, learn the underlying generating function of the Bregman kernel metric learning, Mahalanobis metric divergence via piecewise linear approximators (Siahkamari learning, and moment-matching functions for et al., 2019) or convex combinations of existing basis functions comparing distributions arise as special cases of (Wu et al., 2009).


Graph Spectral Feature Learning for Mixed Data of Categorical and Numerical Type

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Feature learning in the presence of a mixed type of variables, numerical and categorical types, is an important issue for related modeling problems. For simple neighborhood queries under mixed data space, standard practice is to consider numerical and categorical variables separately and combining them based on some suitable distance functions. Alternatives, such as Kernel learning or Principal Component do not explicitly consider the inter-dependence structure among the mixed type of variables. In this work, we propose a novel strategy to explicitly model the probabilistic dependence structure among the mixed type of variables by an undirected graph. Spectral decomposition of the graph Laplacian provides the desired feature transformation. The Eigen spectrum of the transformed feature space shows increased separability and more prominent clusterability among the observations. The main novelty of our paper lies in capturing interactions of the mixed feature type in an unsupervised framework using a graphical model. We numerically validate the implications of the feature learning strategy


Prediction of Human Empathy based on EEG Cortical Asymmetry

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Humans constantly interact with digital devices that disregard their feelings. However, the synergy between human and technology can be strengthened if the technology is able to distinguish and react to human emotions. Models that rely on unconscious indications of human emotions, such as (neuro)physiological signals, hold promise in personalization of feedback and adaptation of the interaction. The current study elaborated on adopting a predictive approach in studying human emotional processing based on brain activity. More specifically, we investigated the proposition of predicting self-reported human empathy based on EEG cortical asymmetry in different areas of the brain. Different types of predictive models i.e. multiple linear regression analyses as well as binary and multiclass classifications were evaluated. Results showed that lateralization of brain oscillations at specific frequency bands is an important predictor of self-reported empathy scores. Additionally, prominent classification performance was found during resting-state which suggests that emotional stimulation is not required for accurate prediction of empathy -- as a personality trait -- based on EEG data. Our findings not only contribute to the general understanding of the mechanisms of empathy, but also facilitate a better grasp on the advantages of applying a predictive approach compared to hypothesis-driven studies in neuropsychological research. More importantly, our results could be employed in the development of brain-computer interfaces that assist people with difficulties in expressing or recognizing emotions.


Building A User-Centric and Content-Driven Socialbot

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

To build Sounding Board, we develop a system architecture that is capable of accommodating dialog strategies that we designed for socialbot conversations. The architecture consists of a multi-dimensional language understanding module for analyzing user utterances, a hierarchical dialog management framework for dialog context tracking and complex dialog control, and a language generation process that realizes the response plan and makes adjustments for speech synthesis. Additionally, we construct a new knowledge base to power the socialbot by collecting social chat content from a variety of sources. An important contribution of the system is the synergy between the knowledge base and the dialog management, i.e., the use of a graph structure to organize the knowledge base that makes dialog control very efficient in bringing related content to the discussion. Using the data collected from Sounding Board during the competition, we carry out in-depth analyses of socialbot conversations and user ratings which provide valuable insights in evaluation methods for socialbots. We additionally investigate a new approach for system evaluation and diagnosis that allows scoring individual dialog segments in the conversation. Finally, observing that socialbots suffer from the issue of shallow conversations about topics associated with unstructured data, we study the problem of enabling extended socialbot conversations grounded on a document. To bring together machine reading and dialog control techniques, a graph-based document representation is proposed, together with methods for automatically constructing the graph. Using the graph-based representation, dialog control can be carried out by retrieving nodes or moving along edges in the graph. To illustrate the usage, a mixed-initiative dialog strategy is designed for socialbot conversations on news articles.


Online Parameter Estimation for Human Driver Behavior Prediction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Driver models are invaluable for planning in autonomous vehicles as well as validating their safety in simulation. Highly parameterized black-box driver models are very expressive, and can capture nuanced behavior. However, they usually lack interpretability and sometimes exhibit unrealistic-even dangerous-behavior. Rule-based models are interpretable, and can be designed to guarantee "safe" behavior, but are less expressive due to their low number of parameters. In this article, we show that online parameter estimation applied to the Intelligent Driver Model captures nuanced individual driving behavior while providing collision free trajectories. We solve the online parameter estimation problem using particle filtering, and benchmark performance against rule-based and black-box driver models on two real world driving data sets. We evaluate the closeness of our driver model to ground truth data demonstration and also assess the safety of the resulting emergent driving behavior.


Topological Descriptors for Parkinson's Disease Classification and Regression Analysis

arXiv.org Machine Learning

At present, the vast majority of human subjects with neurological disease are still diagnosed through in-person assessments and qualitative analysis of patient data. In this paper, we propose to use Topological Data Analysis (TDA) together with machine learning tools to automate the process of Parkinson's disease classification and severity assessment. An automated, stable, and accurate method to evaluate Parkinson's would be significant in streamlining diagnoses of patients and providing families more time for corrective measures. We propose a methodology which incorporates TDA into analyzing Parkinson's disease postural shifts data through the representation of persistence images. Studying the topology of a system has proven to be invariant to small changes in data and has been shown to perform well in discrimination tasks. The contributions of the paper are twofold. We propose a method to 1) classify healthy patients from those afflicted by disease and 2) diagnose the severity of disease. We explore the use of the proposed method in an application involving a Parkinson's disease dataset comprised of healthy-elderly, healthy-young and Parkinson's disease patients. Our code is available at https://github.com/itsmeafra/Sublevel-Set-TDA.


LamaHamadeh/DS-ML-Books

#artificialintelligence

This book provides an introduction to statistical learning methods. It is aimed for upper level undergraduate students, masters students and Ph.D. students in the non-mathematical sciences. The book also contains a number of R labs with detailed explanations on how to implement the various methods in real life settings, and should be a valuable resource for a practicing data scientist.


A robust algorithm for explaining unreliable machine learning survival models using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov bounds

arXiv.org Machine Learning

A new robust algorithm based of the explanation method SurvLIME called SurvLIME-KS is proposed for explaining machine learning survival models. The algorithm is developed to ensure robustness to cases of a small amount of training data or outliers of survival data. The first idea behind SurvLIME-KS is to apply the Cox proportional hazards model to approximate the black-box survival model at the local area around a test example due to the linear relationship of covariates in the model. The second idea is to incorporate the well-known Kolmogorov-Smirnov bounds for constructing sets of predicted cumulative hazard functions. As a result, the robust maximin strategy is used, which aims to minimize the average distance between cumulative hazard functions of the explained black-box model and of the approximating Cox model, and to maximize the distance over all cumulative hazard functions in the interval produced by the Kolmogorov-Smirnov bounds. The maximin optimization problem is reduced to the quadratic program. Various numerical experiments with synthetic and real datasets demonstrate the SurvLIME-KS efficiency.


When Machine Unlearning Jeopardizes Privacy

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The right to be forgotten states that a data owner has the right to erase her data from an entity storing it. In the context of machine learning (ML), the right to be forgotten requires an ML model owner to remove the data owner's data from the training set used to build the ML model, a process known as machine unlearning. While originally designed to protect the privacy of the data owner, we argue that machine unlearning may leave some imprint of the data in the ML model and thus create unintended privacy risks. In this paper, we perform the first study on investigating the unintended information leakage caused by machine unlearning. We propose a novel membership inference attack which leverages the different outputs of an ML model's two versions to infer whether the deleted sample is part of the training set. Our experiments over five different datasets demonstrate that the proposed membership inference attack achieves strong performance. More importantly, we show that our attack in multiple cases outperforms the classical membership inference attack on the original ML model, which indicates that machine unlearning can have counterproductive effects on privacy. We notice that the privacy degradation is especially significant for well-generalized ML models where classical membership inference does not perform well. We further investigate two mechanisms to mitigate the newly discovered privacy risks and show that the only effective mechanism is to release the predicted label only. We believe that our results can help improve privacy in practical implementation of machine unlearning.