Statistical Learning
Efficient Federated Learning over Multiple Access Channel with Differential Privacy Constraints
In this paper, the problem of federated learning (FL) over a multiple access channel (MAC) is considered. More precisely, we consider the FL setting in which clients are prompted to train a machine learning model by simultaneous communications with a parameter server (PS) with the aim of better utilizing the computational resources available in the network. We also consider the additional constraint in which the communication between the users and the PS is subject to a privacy constraint. To minimize the training loss while also satisfying the privacy rate constraint over the MAC channel, the distributed transmission of digital variants of stochastic gradient descents (D-DSGD) is performed by each client. Additionally, binomial noise is also added at each user to preserve the privacy of the transmission. The optimum levels of quantization in the D-DSGD and the binary noise parameters to achieve efficiency in terms of convergence are investigated, subject to privacy constraint and capacity limit of the MAC channel.
Multi-step-ahead Prediction from Short-term Data by Delay-embedding-based Forecast Machine
Peng, Hao, Chen, Pei, Liu, Rui
Making accurate multi-step-ahead prediction for a complex system is a challenge for many practical applications, especially when only short-term time-series data are available. In this work, we proposed a novel framework, Delay-Embedding-based Forecast Machine (DEFM), to predict the future values of a target variable in an accurate and multi-step-ahead manner based on the high-dimensional short-term measurements. With a three-module spatiotemporal architecture, DEFM leverages deep learning to effectively extract both the spatially and sequentially associated information from the short-term dynamics even with time-varying parameters or additive noise. Being trained through a self-supervised scheme, DEFM well fits a nonlinear transformation that maps from the observed high-dimensional information to the delay embeddings of a target variable, thus predicting the future information. The effectiveness and accuracy of DEFM is demonstrated by applications on both representative models and six real-world datasets. The comparison with four traditional prediction methods exhibits the superiority and robustness of DEFM.
Neural Multi-Task Learning for Teacher Question Detection in Online Classrooms
Huang, Gale Yan, Chen, Jiahao, Liu, Haochen, Fu, Weiping, Ding, Wenbiao, Tang, Jiliang, Yang, Songfan, Li, Guoliang, Liu, Zitao
Asking questions is one of the most crucial pedagogical techniques used by teachers in class. It not only offers open-ended discussions between teachers and students to exchange ideas but also provokes deeper student thought and critical analysis. Providing teachers with such pedagogical feedback will remarkably help teachers improve their overall teaching quality over time in classrooms. Therefore, in this work, we build an end-to-end neural framework that automatically detects questions from teachers' audio recordings. Compared with traditional methods, our approach not only avoids cumbersome feature engineering, but also adapts to the task of multi-class question detection in real education scenarios. By incorporating multi-task learning techniques, we are able to strengthen the understanding of semantic relations among different types of questions. We conducted extensive experiments on the question detection tasks in a real-world online classroom dataset and the results demonstrate the superiority of our model in terms of various evaluation metrics.
Spatio-Temporal Point Processes with Attention for Traffic Congestion Event Modeling
Zhu, Shixiang, Ding, Ruyi, Zhang, Minghe, Van Hentenryck, Pascal, Xie, Yao
We present a novel framework for modeling traffic congestion events over road networks based on new mutually exciting spatio-temporal point process models with attention mechanisms and neural network embeddings. Using multi-modal data by combining count data from traffic sensors with police reports that report traffic incidents, we aim to capture two types of triggering effect for congestion events. Current traffic congestion at one location may cause future congestion over the road network, and traffic incidents may cause spread traffic congestion. To capture the non-homogeneous temporal dependence of the event on the past, we introduce a novel attention-based mechanism based on neural networks embedding for the point process model. To incorporate the directional spatial dependence induced by the road network, we adapt the "tail-up" model from the context of spatial statistics to the traffic network setting. We demonstrate the superior performance of our approach compared to the state-of-the-art methods for both synthetic and real data.
On Learnability under General Stochastic Processes
Dawid, A. Philip, Tewari, Ambuj
Statistical learning theory under independent and identically distributed (iid) sampling and online learning theory for worst case individual sequences are two of the best developed branches of learning theory. Statistical learning under general non-iid stochastic processes is less mature. We provide two natural notions of learnability of a function class under a general stochastic process. We are able to sandwich the first one between iid and online learnability. We show that the second one is in fact equivalent to online learnability. Our results are sharpest in the binary classification setting but we also show that similar results continue to hold in the regression setting.
Linear Discriminant Analysis for Dimensionality Reduction in Python
Reducing the number of input variables for a predictive model is referred to as dimensionality reduction. Fewer input variables can result in a simpler predictive model that may have better performance when making predictions on new data. Linear Discriminant Analysis, or LDA for short, is a predictive modeling algorithm for multi-class classification. It can also be used as a dimensionality reduction technique, providing a projection of a training dataset that best separates the examples by their assigned class. The ability to use Linear Discriminant Analysis for dimensionality reduction often surprises most practitioners.
Unsupervised Severe Weather Detection Via Joint Representation Learning Over Textual and Weather Data
Davvetas, Athanasios, Klampanos, Iraklis A.
When observing a phenomenon, severe cases or anomalies are often characterised by deviation from the expected data distribution. However, non-deviating data samples may also implicitly lead to severe outcomes. In the case of unsupervised severe weather detection, these data samples can lead to mispredictions, since the predictors of severe weather are often not directly observed as features. We posit that incorporating external or auxiliary information, such as the outcome of an external task or an observation, can improve the decision boundaries of an unsupervised detection algorithm. In this paper, we increase the effectiveness of a clustering method to detect cases of severe weather by learning augmented and linearly separable latent representations.We evaluate our solution against three individual cases of severe weather, namely windstorms, floods and tornado outbreaks.
Evolutionary Simplicial Learning as a Generative and Compact Sparse Framework for Classification
Dictionary learning for sparse representations has been successful in many reconstruction tasks. Simplicial learning is an adaptation of dictionary learning, where subspaces become clipped and acquire arbitrary offsets, taking the form of simplices. Such adaptation is achieved through additional constraints on sparse codes. Furthermore, an evolutionary approach can be chosen to determine the number and the dimensionality of simplices composing the simplicial, in which most generative and compact simplicials are favored. This paper proposes an evolutionary simplicial learning method as a generative and compact sparse framework for classification. The proposed approach is first applied on a one-class classification task and it appears as the most reliable method within the considered benchmark. Most surprising results are observed when evolutionary simplicial learning is considered within a multi-class classification task. Since sparse representations are generative in nature, they bear a fundamental problem of not being capable of distinguishing two classes lying on the same subspace. This claim is validated through synthetic experiments and superiority of simplicial learning even as a generative-only approach is demonstrated. Simplicial learning loses its superiority over discriminative methods in high-dimensional cases but can further be modified with discriminative elements to achieve state-of-the-art performance in classification tasks.
A Weighted Mutual k-Nearest Neighbour for Classification Mining
Dhar, Joydip, Shukla, Ashaya, Kumar, Mukul, Gupta, Prashant
kNN is a very effective Instance based learning method, and it is easy to implement. Due to heterogeneous nature of data, noises from different possible sources are also widespread in nature especially in case of large-scale databases. For noise elimination and effect of pseudo neighbours, in this paper, we propose a new learning algorithm which performs the task of anomaly detection and removal of pseudo neighbours from the dataset so as to provide comparative better results. This algorithm also tries to minimize effect of those neighbours which are distant. A concept of certainty measure is also introduced for experimental results. The advantage of using concept of mutual neighbours and distance-weighted voting is that, dataset will be refined after removal of anomaly and weightage concept compels to take into account more consideration of those neighbours, which are closer. Consequently, finally the performance of proposed algorithm is calculated.
Information-Theoretic Generalization Bounds for Meta-Learning and Applications
Jose, Sharu Theresa, Simeone, Osvaldo
Meta-learning, or "learning to learn", refers to techniques that infer an inductive bias from data corresponding to multiple related tasks with the goal of improving the sample efficiency for new, previously unobserved, tasks. A key performance measure for meta-learning is the meta-generalization gap, that is, the difference between the average loss measured on the meta-training data and on a new, randomly selected task. This paper presents novel information-theoretic upper bounds on the meta-generalization gap. Two broad classes of meta-learning algorithms are considered that uses either separate within-task training and test sets, like MAML, or joint within-task training and test sets, like Reptile. Extending the existing work for conventional learning, an upper bound on the meta-generalization gap is derived for the former class that depends on the mutual information (MI) between the output of the meta-learning algorithm and its input meta-training data. For the latter, the derived bound includes an additional MI between the output of the per-task learning procedure and corresponding data set to capture within-task uncertainty. Tighter bounds are then developed, under given technical conditions, for the two classes via novel Individual Task MI (ITMI) bounds. Applications of the derived bounds are finally discussed, including a broad class of noisy iterative algorithms for meta-learning.