Prognostics is concerned with predicting the future health of the equipment and any potential failures. With the advances in the Internet of Things (IoT), data-driven approaches for prognostics that leverage the power of machine learning models are gaining popularity. One of the most important categories of data-driven approaches relies on a predefined or learned health indicator to characterize the equipment condition up to the present time and make inference on how it is likely to evolve in the future. In these approaches, health indicator forecasting that constructs the health indicator curve over the lifespan using partially observed measurements (i.e., health indicator values within an initial period) plays a key role. Existing health indicator forecasting algorithms, such as the functional Empirical Bayesian approach, the regression-based formulation, a naive scenario matching based on the nearest neighbor, have certain limitations. In this paper, we propose a new `generative + scenario matching' algorithm for health indicator forecasting. The key idea behind the proposed approach is to first non-parametrically fit the underlying health indicator curve with a continuous Gaussian Process using a sample of run-to-failure health indicator curves. The proposed approach then generates a rich set of random curves from the learned distribution, attempting to obtain all possible variations of the target health condition evolution process over the system's lifespan. The health indicator extrapolation for a piece of functioning equipment is inferred as the generated curve that has the highest matching level within the observed period. Our experimental results show the superiority of our algorithm over the other state-of-the-art methods.

By definition, outliers are rarely observed in reality, making them difficult to detect or analyse. Artificial outliers approximate such genuine outliers and can, for instance, help with the detection of genuine outliers or with benchmarking outlier-detection algorithms. The literature features different approaches to generate artificial outliers. However, systematic comparison of these approaches remains absent. This surveys and compares these approaches. We start by clarifying the terminology in the field, which varies from publication to publication, and we propose a general problem formulation. Our description of the connection of generating outliers to other research fields like experimental design or generative models frames the field of artificial outliers. Along with offering a concise description, we group the approaches by their general concepts and how they make use of genuine instances. An extensive experimental study reveals the differences between the generation approaches when ultimately being used for outlier detection. This survey shows that the existing approaches already cover a wide range of concepts underlying the generation, but also that the field still has potential for further development. Our experimental study does confirm the expectation that the quality of the generation approaches varies widely, for example, in terms of the data set they are used on. Ultimately, to guide the choice of the generation approach in a specific context, we propose an appropriate general-decision process. In summary, this survey comprises, describes, and connects all relevant work regarding the generation of artificial outliers and may serve as a basis to guide further research in the field.

This paper addresses the problem of multiclass classification with corrupted or noisy bandit feedback. In this setting, the learner may not receive true feedback. Instead, it receives feedback that has been flipped with some nonzero probability. We propose a novel approach to deal with noisy bandit feedback, based on the unbiased estimator technique. We further propose an approach that can efficiently estimate the noise rates, and thus providing an end-to-end framework. The proposed algorithm enjoys mistake bound of the order of O( T). We provide a theoretical mistake bound for our proposal. We also carry out extensive experiments on several benchmark datasets to demonstrate that our proposed approach successfully learns the underlying classifier even using noisy bandit feedbacks.

Multitask Gaussian processes (MTGP) are the Gaussian process (GP) framework's solution for multioutput regresion problems in which the $T$ elements of the regressors cannot be considered conditionally independent given the observations. Standard MTGP models assume that there exist both a multitask covariance matrix as a function of an intertask matrix, and a noise covariance matrix. These matrices need to be approximated by a low rank simplification of order $P$ in order to reduce the number of parameters to be learnt from $T^2$ to $TP$. Here we introduce a novel approach that simplifies the multitask learning by reducing it to a set of conditioned univariate GPs without the need for any low rank approximations, therefore completely eliminating the requirement to select an adequate value for hyperparameter $P$. At the same time, by extending this approach with either a hierarchical or approximate model, the proposed method is capable of recovering the multitask covariance and noise matrices after learning only $2T$ parameters, avoiding the validation of any model hyperparameter and reducing the overall complexity of the model as well as the risk of overfitting. Experimental results over synthetic and real problems confirm the advantages of this inference approach in its ability to accurately recover the original noise and signal matrices, as well as the achieved performance improvement in comparison to other state of art MTGP approaches. We have also integrated the model with standard GP toolboxes, showing that it is computationally competitive with other state of the art options.

Electronic Health Records (EHRs) are commonly used by the machine learning community for research on problems specifically related to health care and medicine. EHRs have the advantages that they can be easily distributed and contain many features useful for e.g. classification problems. What makes EHR data sets different from typical machine learning data sets is that they are often very sparse, due to their high dimensionality, and often contain heterogeneous (mixed) data types. Furthermore, the data sets deal with sensitive information, which limits the distribution of any models learned using them, due to privacy concerns. For these reasons, using EHR data in practice presents a real challenge. In this work, we explore using Generative Adversarial Networks to generate synthetic, heterogeneous EHRs with the goal of using these synthetic records in place of existing data sets for downstream classification tasks. We will further explore applying differential privacy (DP) preserving optimization in order to produce DP synthetic EHR data sets, which provide rigorous privacy guarantees, and are therefore shareable and usable in the real world. The performance (measured by AUROC, AUPRC and accuracy) of our model's synthetic, heterogeneous data is very close to the original data set (within 3 - 5% of the baseline) for the non-DP model when tested in a binary classification task. Using strong $(1, 10^{-5})$ DP, our model still produces data useful for machine learning tasks, albeit incurring a roughly 17% performance penalty in our tested classification task. We additionally perform a sub-population analysis and find that our model does not introduce any bias into the synthetic EHR data compared to the baseline in either male/female populations, or the 0-18, 19-50 and 51+ age groups in terms of classification performance for either the non-DP or DP variant.

Multiple product attributes like dimensions, weight, fragility, liquid content etc. determine the package type used by e-commerce companies to ship products. Sub-optimal package types lead to damaged shipments, incurring huge damage related costs and adversely impacting the company's reputation for safe delivery. Items can be shipped in more protective packages to reduce damage costs, however this increases the shipment costs due to expensive packaging and higher transportation costs. In this work, we propose a multi-stage approach that trades-off between shipment and damage costs for each product, and accurately assigns the optimal package type using a scalable, computationally efficient linear time algorithm. A simple binary search algorithm is presented to find the hyper-parameter that balances between the shipment and damage costs. Our approach when applied to choosing package type for Amazon shipments, leads to significant cost savings of tens of millions of dollars in emerging marketplaces, by decreasing both the overall shipment cost and the number of in-transit damages. Our algorithm is live and deployed in the production system where, package types for more than 130,000 products have been modified based on the model's recommendation, realizing a reduction in damage rate of 24%.

In recent years, several unsupervised, "contrastive" learning algorithms in vision have been shown to learn representations that perform remarkably well on transfer tasks. We show that this family of algorithms maximizes a lower bound on the mutual information between two or more "views" of an image where typical views come from a composition of image augmentations. Our bound generalizes the InfoNCE objective to support negative sampling from a restricted region of "difficult" contrasts. We find that the choice of negative samples and views are critical to the success of these algorithms. Reformulating previous learning objectives in terms of mutual information also simplifies and stabilizes them. In practice, our new objectives yield representations that outperform those learned with previous approaches for transfer to classification, bounding box detection, instance segmentation, and keypoint detection. The mutual information framework provides a unifying comparison of approaches to contrastive learning and uncovers the choices that impact representation learning.

Machine learning (ML) is study of computer algorithms that can build different analytical model from data. Machine learning is subset of artificial intelligence that builds mathematical analytic model based on data feed to learning model. Machine learning has a hunger for lots of data and build mathematical relationship between data. Before going deep into ML we should discuss conventional/classical programming approach. In classical programming we would have lots of data and we know how system should work so programmer hard code rules to act on data that produce desired output/answer.

Existing vehicle re-identification methods commonly use spatial pooling operations to aggregate feature maps extracted via off-the-shelf backbone networks. They ignore exploring the spatial significance of feature maps, eventually degrading the vehicle re-identification performance. In this paper, firstly, an innovative spatial graph network (SGN) is proposed to elaborately explore the spatial significance of feature maps. The SGN stacks multiple spatial graphs (SGs). Each SG assigns feature map's elements as nodes and utilizes spatial neighborhood relationships to determine edges among nodes. During the SGN's propagation, each node and its spatial neighbors on an SG are aggregated to the next SG. On the next SG, each aggregated node is re-weighted with a learnable parameter to find the significance at the corresponding location. Secondly, a novel pyramidal graph network (PGN) is designed to comprehensively explore the spatial significance of feature maps at multiple scales. The PGN organizes multiple SGNs in a pyramidal manner and makes each SGN handles feature maps of a specific scale. Finally, a hybrid pyramidal graph network (HPGN) is developed by embedding the PGN behind a ResNet-50 based backbone network. Extensive experiments on three large scale vehicle databases (i.e., VeRi776, VehicleID, and VeRi-Wild) demonstrate that the proposed HPGN is superior to state-of-the-art vehicle re-identification approaches.