Data preprocessing is an important component of machine learning pipelines, which requires ample time and resources. An integral part of preprocessing is data transformation into the format required by a given learning algorithm. This paper outlines some of the modern data processing techniques used in relational learning that enable data fusion from different input data types and formats into a single table data representation, focusing on the propositionalization and embedding data transformation approaches. While both approaches aim at transforming data into tabular data format, they use different terminology and task definitions, are perceived to address different goals, and are used in different contexts. This paper contributes a unifying framework that allows for improved understanding of these two data transformation techniques by presenting their unified definitions, and by explaining the similarities and differences between the two approaches as variants of a unified complex data transformation task. In addition to the unifying framework, the novelty of this paper is a unifying methodology combining propositionalization and embeddings, which benefits from the advantages of both in solving complex data transformation and learning tasks. We present two efficient implementations of the unifying methodology: an instance-based PropDRM approach, and a feature-based PropStar approach to data transformation and learning, together with their empirical evaluation on several relational problems. The results show that the new algorithms can outperform existing relational learners and can solve much larger problems.

There has been an increased need for secondary means of credit evaluation by both traditional banking organizations as well as peer-to-peer lending entities. This is especially important in the present technological era where sticking with strict primary credit histories doesn't help distinguish between a 'good' and a 'bad' borrower, and ends up hurting both the individual borrower as well as the investor as a whole. We utilized machine learning classification and clustering algorithms to accurately predict a borrower's creditworthiness while identifying specific secondary attributes that contribute to this score. While extensive research has been done in predicting when a loan would be fully paid, the area of feature selection for lending is relatively new. We achieved 65% F1 and 73% AUC on the LendingClub data while identifying key secondary attributes.

Travel time estimation is an important component in modern transportation applications. The state of the art techniques for travel time estimation use GPS traces to learn the weights of a road network, often modeled as a directed graph, then apply Dijkstra-like algorithms to find shortest paths. Travel time is then computed as the sum of edge weights on the returned path. In order to enable time-dependency, existing systems compute multiple weighted graphs corresponding to different time windows. These graphs are often optimized offline before they are deployed into production routing engines, causing a serious engineering overhead. In this paper, we present STAD, a system that adjusts - on the fly - travel time estimates for any trip request expressed in the form of origin, destination, and departure time. STAD uses machine learning and sparse trips data to learn the imperfections of any basic routing engine, before it turns it into a full-fledged time-dependent system capable of adjusting travel times to real traffic conditions in a city. STAD leverages the spatio-temporal properties of traffic by combining spatial features such as departing and destination geographic zones with temporal features such as departing time and day to significantly improve the travel time estimates of the basic routing engine. Experiments on real trip datasets from Doha, New York City, and Porto show a reduction in median absolute errors of 14% in the first two cities and 29% in the latter. We also show that STAD performs better than different commercial and research baselines in all three cities.

This article characterizes the exact asymptotics of random Fourier feature (RFF) regression, in the realistic setting where the number of data samples $n$, their dimension $p$, and the dimension of feature space $N$ are all large and comparable. In this regime, the random RFF Gram matrix no longer converges to the well-known limiting Gaussian kernel matrix (as it does when $N \to \infty$ alone), but it still has a tractable behavior that is captured by our analysis. This analysis also provides accurate estimates of training and test regression errors for large $n,p,N$. Based on these estimates, a precise characterization of two qualitatively different phases of learning, including the phase transition between them, is provided; and the corresponding double descent test error curve is derived from this phase transition behavior. These results do not depend on strong assumptions on the data distribution, and they perfectly match empirical results on finite-dimensional real-world data sets.

The key task of physical simulation is to solve partial differential equations (PDEs) on discretized domains, which is known to be costly. In particular, high-fidelity solutions are much more expensive than low-fidelity ones. To reduce the cost, we consider novel Gaussian process (GP) models that leverage simulation examples of different fidelities to predict high-dimensional PDE solution outputs. Existing GP methods are either not scalable to high-dimensional outputs or lack effective strategies to integrate multi-fidelity examples. To address these issues, we propose Multi-Fidelity High-Order Gaussian Process (MFHoGP) that can capture complex correlations both between the outputs and between the fidelities to enhance solution estimation, and scale to large numbers of outputs. Based on a novel nonlinear coregionalization model, MFHoGP propagates bases throughout fidelities to fuse information, and places a deep matrix GP prior over the basis weights to capture the (nonlinear) relationships across the fidelities. To improve inference efficiency and quality, we use bases decomposition to largely reduce the model parameters, and layer-wise matrix Gaussian posteriors to capture the posterior dependency and to simplify the computation. Our stochastic variational learning algorithm successfully handles millions of outputs without extra sparse approximations. We show the advantages of our method in several typical applications.

Deep metric learning has gained promising improvement in recent years following the success of deep learning. It has been successfully applied to problems in few-shot learning, image retrieval, and open-set classifications. However, measuring the confidence of a deep metric learning model and identifying unreliable predictions is still an open challenge. This paper focuses on defining a calibrated and interpretable confidence metric that closely reflects its classification accuracy. While performing similarity comparison directly in the latent space using the learned distance metric, our approach approximates the distribution of data points for each class using a Gaussian kernel smoothing function. The post-processing calibration algorithm with proposed confidence metric on the held-out validation dataset improves generalization and robustness of state-of-the-art deep metric learning models while provides an interpretable estimation of the confidence. Extensive tests on four popular benchmark datasets (Caltech-UCSD Birds, Stanford Online Product, Stanford Car-196, and In-shop Clothes Retrieval) show consistent improvements even at the presence of distribution shifts in test data related to additional noise or adversarial examples.

This paper tries to present a more unified view of clustering, by identifying the relationships between five different clustering algorithms. Some of the results are not new, but they are presented in a cleaner, simpler and more concise way. To the best of my knowledge, the interpretation of DBSCAN as a climbing procedure, which introduces a theoretical connection between DBSCAN and Mean shift, is a novel result.

Survival models are a popular tool for the analysis of time to event data with applications in medicine, engineering, economics and many more. Advances like the Cox proportional hazard model have enabled researchers to better describe hazard rates for the occurrence of single fatal events, but are limited by modeling assumptions, like proportionality of hazard rates and linear effects. Moreover, common phenomena are often better described through multiple states, for example, the progress of a disease might be modeled as healthy, sick and dead instead of healthy and dead, where the competing nature of death and disease has to be taken into account. Also, individual characteristics can vary significantly between observational units, like patients, resulting in idiosyncratic hazard rates and different disease trajectories. These considerations require flexible modeling assumptions. Current standard models, however, are often ill-suited for such an analysis. To overcome these issues, we propose the use of neural ordinary differential equations as a flexible and general method for estimating multi-state survival models by directly solving the Kolmogorov forward equations. To quantify the uncertainty in the resulting individual cause-specific hazard rates, we further introduce a variational latent variable model. We show that our model exhibits state-of-the-art performance on popular survival data sets and demonstrate its efficacy in a multi-state setting.

Hashing is one of the most popular methods for similarity search because of its speed and efficiency. Dense binary hashing is prevalent in the literature. Recently, insect olfaction was shown to be structurally and functionally analogous to sparse hashing [6]. Here, we prove that this biological mechanism is the solution to a well-posed optimization problem. Furthermore, we show that orthogonality increases the accuracy of sparse hashing. Next, we present a novel method, Procrustean Orthogonal Sparse Hashing (POSH), that unifies these findings, learning an orthogonal transform from training data compatible with the sparse hashing mechanism. We provide theoretical evidence of the shortcomings of Optimal Sparse Lifting (OSL) [22] and BioHash [30], two related olfaction-inspired methods, and propose two new methods, Binary OSL and SphericalHash, to address these deficiencies. We compare POSH, Binary OSL, and SphericalHash to several state-of-the-art hashing methods and provide empirical results for the superiority of the proposed methods across a wide range of standard benchmarks and parameter settings.

In this paper we revisit some classic problems on classification under misspecification. In particular, we study the problem of learning halfspaces under Massart noise with rate $\eta$. In a recent work, Diakonikolas, Goulekakis, and Tzamos resolved a long-standing problem by giving the first efficient algorithm for learning to accuracy $\eta + \epsilon$ for any $\epsilon > 0$. However, their algorithm outputs a complicated hypothesis, which partitions space into $\text{poly}(d,1/\epsilon)$ regions. Here we give a much simpler algorithm and in the process resolve a number of outstanding open questions: (1) We give the first proper learner for Massart halfspaces that achieves $\eta + \epsilon$. We also give improved bounds on the sample complexity achievable by polynomial time algorithms. (2) Based on (1), we develop a blackbox knowledge distillation procedure to convert an arbitrarily complex classifier to an equally good proper classifier. (3) By leveraging a simple but overlooked connection to evolvability, we show any SQ algorithm requires super-polynomially many queries to achieve $\mathsf{OPT} + \epsilon$. Moreover we study generalized linear models where $\mathbb{E}[Y|\mathbf{X}] = \sigma(\langle \mathbf{w}^*, \mathbf{X}\rangle)$ for any odd, monotone, and Lipschitz function $\sigma$. This family includes the previously mentioned halfspace models as a special case, but is much richer and includes other fundamental models like logistic regression. We introduce a challenging new corruption model that generalizes Massart noise, and give a general algorithm for learning in this setting. Our algorithms are based on a small set of core recipes for learning to classify in the presence of misspecification. Finally we study our algorithm for learning halfspaces under Massart noise empirically and find that it exhibits some appealing fairness properties.